Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 goals – introduction
Rules
Both team to score and over 2.5 goals markets have become more increasingly popular over the past few years. When you bet on BTTS & Over 2.5 goals selection, your bet will win when both teams score and the match finishes in 3 or more goals. Being football fans, punters are attracted to these types of bets due to two main factors. Firstly, they like to see entertaining football matches with both teams going for the win and scoring a few goals each. No football fan will go to a stadium or sit in front of their TV hoping for the game to finish 0-0. Secondly, the odds for BTTS & O2.5 goals – Yes outcomes are often very generous. Punters love to combine a few matches into big returns accumulators.
Market overrounds
Let’s look at example books from a couple of different bookies for the same match (Udinese vs Juventus).
Overrounds: 1/2.20 + 1/6.5 + 1/8 + 1/2.60 = 111.8%
In this case, the bookmaker is offering only the BTTS yes with under/over 2.5 goals options. And the outcome that we are looking for is priced at lower odds which means less value for your money and even worse overrounds!
The bigger the overrounds the more money bookies make from those markets and the more difficult it gets for you to profit from them in the long term. The BTTS + O2.5 goals outcomes placed with those soft bookies are offered for casual and mug punters mainly for entertaining purposes. If you like the idea of placing bets on the both teams to score and over 2.5 goals selections to make profits, you should look at the alternative markets and methods of achieving the same outcome.
It’s important to note that this is an average and it can vary depending on the bookmaker, the teams involved and the match. Some bookmakers may have higher overrounds, while others may have lower overrounds. It’s important to compare the odds offered by different bookmakers to find the best deal and to be aware of the overround that the bookmaker is applying.
Also, it’s worth noting that the overrounds tend to be higher in markets with more uncertain outcomes such as BTTS & O 2.5. This is because bookmakers want to protect themselves from potential large payouts and they build this protection into the odds they offer.
In conclusion, the usual overrounds for bookmakers on the BTTS & O 2.5 market can vary, but it’s usually around 5% – 8%. It’s important to be aware of the overrounds when comparing the odds offered by different bookmakers and to shop around to find the best deal.
Alternatives
Learn more about advanced correct score in-play trading systems & strategies here.
BTTS & Over 2.5 goals – analysis
Poisson Distribution model for BTTS + O2.5 Goals
One statistical model that can be used to find the best selections for the Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 Goals (BTTS & O 2.5) market is Poisson Distribution model. Poisson Distribution is a mathematical model that can be used to predict the number of goals scored in a match based on the teams’ average number of goals scored and conceded, as well as the number of matches they have played.
Here is an example of how the Poisson Distribution model can be used to find the best selections for the BTTS & O 2.5 market:
- Collect data on the teams’ past performances, including their average number of goals scored and conceded, as well as the number of matches they have played.
- Calculate the expected number of goals for each team using the Poisson Distribution formula: Expected Goals = (Average goals scored per match) x (Average goals conceded per match)
- Compare the expected number of goals for each team to the odds offered by bookmakers for BTTS & O 2.5.
- Identify bets where the odds offered by bookmakers are higher than the expected number of goals, as these bets have positive expected value (EV).
- Place bets on the matches with the highest positive EV.
It’s important to note that the Poisson Distribution model is just one of the many models that can be used to find the best selections for the BTTS & O 2.5 market and other models like logistic regression, decision tree, random forest etc can also be used. These models can be combined with other techniques and information such as the teams’ recent form, head-to-head records, and the specific players that will be playing in the match to make more informed predictions.
Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 goals – tips & predictions
Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 goals (BTTS & O 2.5) is a popular betting market in soccer, where the bettor tries to predict whether both teams in a match will score, and whether the total number of goals scored will be over 2.5. This market can be quite lucrative if you have a good understanding of the teams and the statistical models that can help you make more informed predictions.
One strategy that can increase your chances of winning in the BTTS & O 2.5 market is to look at the historical data of the teams involved. This can include their past performances, head-to-head records, and the specific players that will be playing in the match. By analyzing this data, you can get a better sense of the teams’ strengths and weaknesses, and use that information to make more accurate predictions.
Another strategy is to use statistical models to analyze the data. These models can take into account a wide range of variables, such as the teams’ scoring and defensive records, the type of match (home or away), and the form of the players. By using these models, you can make predictions that are more informed and accurate than those based on intuition alone.
One useful statistical model for predicting BTTS & O 2.5 is Poisson distribution, which can be used to predict the number of goals scored in a match. Poisson distribution takes into account the teams’ average number of goals scored and conceded, as well as the number of matches they have played. By using this model, you can make predictions that are more accurate than those based on the teams’ overall records.
Another model is Logistic regression, which can be used to predict the probability of a goal being scored. Logistic regression takes into account the teams’ attacking and defensive records, as well as the form of the players. By using this model, you can make predictions that are more accurate than those based on the teams’ overall records.
It’s also important to consider the odds offered by different bookmakers. Some bookmakers may offer better odds than others, so it’s worth shopping around to find the best deal. Additionally, it’s worth keeping an eye on the odds throughout the week leading up to the match, as they can change depending on the teams’ performances and the latest news.
It’s also worth noting that not all matches are created equal. A match between two highly-rated teams is likely to have a higher chance of both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals than a match between two lower-rated teams. It’s important to keep this in mind when making your predictions and picking your bets.
In conclusion, the BTTS & O 2.5 market can be a great way to make money if you have a good understanding of the teams and use statistical models to make your predictions. By analyzing historical data, using statistical models, and keeping an eye on the odds offered by different bookmakers, you can increase your chances of winning in this market.
- Pay attention to the teams’ recent form: The recent form of the teams can give you an idea of how they are likely to perform in the upcoming match. For example, if a team has won their last few matches, they are likely to be in good form and more likely to score goals. On the other hand, if a team has lost their last few matches, they may be struggling and less likely to score goals.
- Look at the teams’ performance in similar matches: By looking at the teams’ performance in similar matches, you can get a better idea of how they are likely to perform in the upcoming match. For example, if a team has performed well in similar matches in the past, they are likely to perform well in the upcoming match. On the other hand, if a team has struggled in similar matches in the past, they may struggle in the upcoming match.
- Check for injuries and suspensions: Injuries and suspensions can greatly affect a team’s performance. If a team is missing key players, they may be less likely to score goals or to keep a clean sheet. By checking for injuries and suspensions before the match, you can get a better idea of how the teams are likely to perform.
- Check the weather forecast: Weather can greatly affect a match’s outcome. In case of heavy rain, snow, or wind, playing conditions will be difficult and goals will be harder to score. This is something to keep in mind when making your predictions.
- Look into the referee’s history: Some referees have a tendency to give more yellow or red cards than others. This can greatly affect the outcome of a match, as teams with more players on the field are more likely to score goals. By looking into the referee’s history, you can get an idea of how they are likely to handle the match, which can help you make more informed predictions.
- Check the teams’ performance on different playing surfaces: Different teams may perform better on different playing surfaces. For example, some teams may perform better on grass, while others may perform better on artificial turf. By checking the teams’ performance on different playing surfaces, you can get a better idea of how they are likely to perform in the upcoming match.
- Check the teams’ performance at different times of the day: Some teams may perform better at night, while others may perform better during the day. By checking the teams’ performance at different times of the day, you can get a better idea of how they are likely to perform in the upcoming match.
By considering these additional angles, it will give you a more holistic approach in predicting the outcome of the match, and increase your chances of winning in the BTTS & O 2.5 market.
Betting on the Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 goals (BTTS & O 2.5) market can be a great way to make money, but it also has some downsides that you should be aware of. Some of these downsides include:
- High odds: The odds for the BTTS & O 2.5 market can be quite high, which means that you need to make a significant investment to make a decent profit. This can make it difficult for some bettors, especially those with smaller budgets.
- Difficult to predict: The BTTS & O 2.5 market can be difficult to predict, as it depends on both teams scoring and a relatively high number of goals being scored in the match. This can make it harder to make accurate predictions, and increase the risk of losing your bets.
- Short-term fluctuations: The performance of teams can fluctuate greatly over short periods of time, which makes it harder to make accurate predictions. For example, a team that is in great form may suddenly lose their next match, making it hard to predict how they will perform in future matches.
- Dependence on many factors: As you need to predict both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals, it depends on many factors such as team’s form, players’ form, injuries and suspensions, weather, pitch condition and referee’s performance, etc. Even if you have a good understanding of the teams and use statistical models to make your predictions, it is still possible to lose your bets.
- Dependence on luck: Like any other betting markets, there is always an element of luck involved in BTTS & O 2.5 betting. Even if you have a good understanding of the teams and use statistical models to make your predictions, it is still possible to lose your bets.
It is important to keep in mind that there are downsides to betting on the BTTS & O 2.5 market and to be aware of the risks involved. It is also important to manage your bankroll and never bet more than you can afford to lose.
