• HA – Shifted Form trends for either Home or Away Team
• ML – Major leagues match (1) or lower league (0)
• 4L – 4 consecutive losers for a given market at home/away respectively for H/A teams (1 for yes, 0 for no)
• 5L – 5 consecutive losers for a given market at home/away respectively for H/A teams (1 for yes, 0 for no)
• 6L – 6 consecutive losers for a given market at home/away respectively for H/A teams (1 for yes, 0 for no)
• PL1 – profit/loss figures for H or A team in 20 matches before the bad run of form (matches 7-26) at home/away respectively
• PL2 – profit/loss figures from last 20 home or away matches of the opponent team (medium term trends from the MTR tool).
• P20 – Sum of the PL1 and PL2
• T1AO – Shifted Form’s average odds from matches 7-26 for a “shifted” team
• Odds – Current available odds for the outcome

Let’s look at the following match:

We are analyzing the over 2.5 goals trends and the shifted form has been identified for the home team – PEC Zwolle. That means that in their last 6 home league matches, they have had at least 4 under 2.5 goals results.We can examine the full stats breakdown at the Money Trends Radar:

We can see that in their last 6 home league matches, 5 of them finished in less than 3 goals. However, we also see the summary of all of those 20 home matches – backing the over 2.5 goals option would have brought a tiny loss. Another important piece of information is the average odds – over 2.5 goals was available to back on average at 1.53.

The Shifted Form Money Trends analyze 20 matches before the last 6 home matches (i.e. past home matches 7-26) and calculates the usual profit/loss figures for that period of time, as well as the averages odds.

In this case, PEC Zwolle was a profitable team to back the over 2.5 goals at home (55.40 points profit to 10 points level stakes) before that current last 6 matches (bag run of under goals outcomes). Furthermore, the average odds in those matches for the O2.5 goals was 1.53 (T1AO field).

We can also spot the current O2.5 goals odds of 2.05, which is a lot higher to the recent O2.5 goals averages and the T1AO value. This difference in odds can be explained by analyzing this match further:

1. The PL2 number from the tables above is the current money trends for their opponents (Heracles) in their last 20 away matches. (Many under 2.5 goals matches and low O2.5 goals odds)
2. Zwolle’s poor O2.5 goals record in their last 6 home matches (Picked up by the Shifted Form Money Trends)
3. Not best O2.5 goals in the last 6 all matches for both teams.

Those are the main 3 factors for the high O2.5 goals odds for this match and most of the punters will not fancy goals in this match.

However, there just may be some value in backing the O2.5 goals at this price given the home teams shifted home form and profitable money trends. Furthermore, you can analyze the League and Long Term money trends and H2H record, which is half decent for these two teams.