Betting on shots on target: The insider’s guide to making money
Are you tired of losing money on football bets? Do you want to increase your chances of winning and maximize your profits? If so, betting on shots on target could be the key to unlocking success in the world of football betting.
In this blog post, we will provide you with everything you need to know about betting on shots on target and how to use this market to your advantage. We will explain why shots on target are an important indicator of a team’s attacking potential, how to identify teams with high numbers of shots on target and a strong conversion rate, and how to use this information to inform your betting decisions.
What is the shots on target market?
First, it’s important to understand what a shot on target is. A shot on target is a shot that is on target and likely to result in a goal. This means that it is a shot that is either saved by the goalkeeper or goes into the goal. Shots that are off target or blocked by a defender do not count as shots on target. This market provides an additional level of insight into a team’s attacking potential and the likelihood of them scoring goals.
Teams vs Player SoT markets
Football betting has two main types of shots on target markets: player shots on target markets and team shots on target markets.
Player shots on target markets allow you to bet on the number of shots on target that a specific player will have during a game. This can be a good option if you think that a particular player is likely to have a high number of shots on target.
Team shots on target markets, on the other hand, allow you to bet on the total number of shots on target that a team will have during a game. This can be a good option if you think that a particular team is likely to have a high number of shots on target overall, regardless of which individual players are taking the shots.
The main difference between the two types of markets is the focus of the bet. In player shots on target markets, the focus is on the individual player, whereas in team shots on target markets, the focus is on the team as a whole.
Why is betting on shots on target a good idea?
There are several reasons why betting on shots on target can be a good idea. First, it can provide an additional level of insight into a team’s performance and the likelihood of them scoring goals. Shots on target are a more accurate measure of a team’s attacking potential than simply the number of shots taken, as they reflect the number of shots that were on target and had a higher likelihood of resulting in a goal.
Second, betting on shots on target can provide opportunities to find value in the betting odds. For example, if a team has a high number of shots on target but is not converting them into goals, they may be undervalued in the betting odds and offer good value for a bet on them to score.
Third, betting on shots on target can be a good way to diversify your betting portfolio and add variety to your bets. By combining bets on different markets and outcomes, you can spread your risk and increase your chances of winning.
Finding Value in the shots on target markets
One way to make money betting on shots on target is to look for value bets. This means finding situations where the odds of a shot on target occurring are higher than the odds being offered by the bookmakers. For example, if a bookmaker is offering odds of 2 to 1 on a shot on target proposition occurring in a game, but you think the chances of a shot on target occurring are actually 3 to 1, then you may have found a value bet. Let’s look at some of the possible approaches that can help you find those value bets:
Qualitative Analysis for shots on target markets
One of the key things to consider when betting on shots on target is the quality of the teams involved. If two teams have strong offences and weak defences, there is a good chance that there will be a lot of shots on target. On the other hand, if two teams have strong defences and weak offences, there is a good chance that there will be fewer shots on target.
Another thing to consider is the style of play of the teams involved. Some teams are known for their possession-based style of play, which can lead to a lot of shots on target. Other teams are known for their counter-attacking style, which can lead to fewer shots on target.
It’s also important to consider the individual players on the teams. If a team has a star striker who is known for taking a lot of shots on goal, then there is a good chance that they will have a high number of shots on target. On the other hand, if a team has a striker who is known for being more conservative in their shot selection, then there may be fewer shots on target.
Secret tip for finding value bets for player shots on target bets
Pay attention to players’ positions in the lineups, especially when playing for club/national teams matches (as these will often see players playing in different positions). We are particularly interested in attacking-minded defenders playing higher up on the pitch. A defender who is played in midfield will likely have more opportunities to score goals. This is because they will be closer to the opponent’s goal and will have more time and space to take shots on the goal.
A good example of a player playing in different positions for their club and country is Oleksandr Zinchenko who played as wing-back (defender) for his club and usually plays higher up the field for his national team. It’s worth paying attention to these kinds of players for their club matches as well, as they are often higher priced in the players’ SoT markets due to being defenders, yet they end up playing in the midfield in certain matches (e.g. as a result of injuries to nominal midfielders).
Statistical Analysis for shots on target markets
Another way to make money betting on shots on target is to use a statistical approach. This involves looking at historical data to identify trends and patterns that can help you make more informed bets. For example, you might look at the average number of shots on target that a team has in a particular league or competition, and use this information to make your bets.
How to find these stats? You may go to your live scores/results sites and look for those numbers manually or simply go to our home page and see the full SoT stats summaries instantly:
Teams Shots On Target Stats
These stats feature numbers from the last 10 matches, featuring:
- both teams teams’ SoT averages (total, for and against)
- both teams total under/over shots on target e.g. from 6.5 and 15.5 lines
- single team shots on target from 1.5 to 10.5 lines
Players’ Shots On Target Stats
These statistics will quickly show you players’ performance in terms of shots on target from their last 10 matches.
Comparing the best available odds with the statistical numbers
Consider the player shots on target market prices (odds) and stats from our site (picture above). We can see that Mbappe is leading the way for the Over 1.5 shots on target stats with 8 out of the last 10 matches ending up with 2 or more SoTs.
Now let’s look at the best available odds for this market from one of the bookmakers.
The price for Kilian Mbappe having 2+ SoTs is 11/8 (2.37). This could be considered a good value bet based on the great recent form of the French striker. However, you may wish to do additional analysis for this particular match that would include the team’s tactics, the defensive strength of the opponent, and match conditions and take into consideration any potential injuries that a player may be carrying.
Your secret weapon to instantly find the best statistical shots on target tips
Using statistics for finding value Shots on target bets is great, but you may find it very time-consuming to check match after match and look for the best numbers and averages. That’s why we have done most of the heavy lifting for you and you can enjoy the best statistics for shots on target markets for both teams, single teams and players with a single click. Check these out:
Both teams Under/Over Shots On Target Tips
Single teams Under/Over Shots On Target Tips
Player Under/Over Shots On Target Tips
These tips pages will save you masses of time and will highlight best statistical tips for shots on target for further analysis.
Tips and strategies for successful shots on target betting
To increase your chances of success when betting on shots on target in football, here are some tips and strategies that you can use:
- Research and analyze the teams and their previous performances. Look for trends and patterns in their shots on target and goal scoring records.
- Look for teams with high numbers of shots on target and a strong conversion rate. This can indicate that they have a good attacking potential and are likely to score goals.
- Consider the quality of the opposition and how likely they are to concede shots on target. This can affect the likelihood of shots on target and the potential for goals.
- Take into account the match conditions, such as the pitch, weather, and referee. These can all impact the likelihood of shots on target and goals.
- Use statistical analysis and data to inform your betting decisions. This can help you identify valuable opportunities and make more informed bets.
By following these tips and using a combination of research, analysis, and intuition, you can improve your chances of success when betting on shots on target in football. It is important to remember that betting carries risks and it is important to gamble responsibly and within your means.