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Professional Data Analysis for Asian Handicap Football Betting & Trading
Thanks for reaching out and accessing this page. This professional data analysis includes several angles for analysis of a football match for Asian Handicap betting. It’s being used daily by professional punters & traders to find value in Asian Handicap lines and odds.
This page displays a few different models for past matches of both teams.
The quoted odds and lines are closing figures recorded from Pinnacle bookmaker (offering the best AH odds and lowest margins).
The whole analysis is produced with a specific AH line in mind – this can be found underneath the match odds (red font).
The final verdict, reasoning, and bet recommendation are given at the bottom of this page.
Today I focus on the following match:
NETHERLANDS - Eredivisie
2023-01-14
20:00:00
Ajax2(A)
FC Twente3
Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam)
A. Lindhout
1.465.437.60AH Away Line: 1.251.93
Injuries & Suspensions
Ajax
FC Twente
No absences...
W. Brama
Ankle/Foot Injury
App: 6 (0), G: 0
C. Tzolis
Knee Injury
App: 8 (5), G: 1
Eredivisie Standings#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Feyenoord15104136142234DWWWD
2Ajax1594245182731DDDLW
3PSV15101442202231DLWWL
4FC Twente159332691730WDDWW
5AZ159332617930DWLWL
6Sparta Rotterdam157442516925DDWWL
7FC Utrecht157442422225DWWWW
8SC Heerenveen156631613324DWWLW
9NEC153932017318DWWLD
10Go Ahead Eagles154652324-118WDDWD
11RKC Waalwijk154652528-318DLWLL
12Excelsior155191737-2016WLLLW
13Fortuna Sittard154381827-915LWLLD
14Vitesse153571831-1314DDDLW
15FC Groningen153391730-1312LLLDW
16FC Emmen152581329-1611LDWDL
17FC Volendam1523101639-239WLLLL
18SC Cambuur152211925-168LLLLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)
Ajax's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
102.311.982.31%
Ajax's home matches when WIN odds between 1.4 and 1.6
07-09-22
Ajax34 - 0Rangers3-1.25-1L
Ajax34 - 0Rangers3-1.25-1L20-03-22
Ajax43 - 2Feyenoord6-1.250.45hW
Ajax43 - 2Feyenoord6-1.250.45hW12-12-21Ajax41 - 2AZ Alkmaar6-1.51.09W
Ajax41 - 2AZ Alkmaar6-1.51.09W24-10-21Ajax45 - 0PSV2-1.5-1L
Ajax45 - 0PSV2-1.5-1L25-04-21Ajax22 - 0AZ Alkmaar14-1.5-1L
Ajax22 - 0AZ Alkmaar14-1.5-1L22-04-21Ajax31 - 1FC Utrecht10-1.250.95W
Ajax31 - 1FC Utrecht10-1.250.95W18-04-21
Ajax2(A)2 - 1Vitesse8-1.250.47hW
Ajax2(A)2 - 1Vitesse8-1.250.47hW17-01-21Ajax2(A)1 - 0Feyenoord3-1.51.02W
Ajax2(A)1 - 0Feyenoord3-1.51.02W16-12-20Ajax35 - 4FC Utrecht2(A)-1.250.445hW
Ajax35 - 4FC Utrecht2(A)-1.250.445hW01-03-20Ajax20 - 2AZ Alkmaar2(A)-1.250.88W
Ajax20 - 2AZ Alkmaar2(A)-1.250.88WFC Twente's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.52.01-2.5%
FC Twente's away matches when WIN odds between 6.4 and 8.9
06-02-21PSV53 - 0FC Twente51.25-1L
PSV53 - 0FC Twente51.25-1L23-02-20FC Utrecht62 - 1FC Twente71.250.505hW
FC Utrecht62 - 1FC Twente71.250.505hW LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS ALL (LAST 3 SEASONS, LAST 10 MATCHES)
Ajax's all matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-3.151.96-3.15%
Ajax's home all matches when WIN odds between 1.4 and 1.6
08-01-23NEC251 - 1Ajax0-10.89W
NEC251 - 1Ajax0-10.89W07-09-22Ajax34 - 0Rangers3-1.25-1L
Ajax34 - 0Rangers3-1.25-1L28-08-22FC Utrecht70 - 2Ajax6-1.25-1L
FC Utrecht70 - 2Ajax6-1.25-1L20-03-22Ajax43 - 2Feyenoord6-1.250.45hW
Ajax43 - 2Feyenoord6-1.250.45hW16-01-22FC Utrecht240 - 3Ajax24-1.5-1L
FC Utrecht240 - 3Ajax24-1.5-1L12-12-21Ajax41 - 2AZ Alkmaar6-1.51.09W
Ajax41 - 2AZ Alkmaar6-1.51.09W24-11-21Beşiktaş31 - 2Ajax2(A)-1.250.42hW
Beşiktaş31 - 2Ajax2(A)-1.250.42hW24-10-21Ajax45 - 0PSV2-1.5-1L
Ajax45 - 0PSV2-1.5-1L16-05-21Vitesse2(A)1 - 3Ajax2-1.5-1L
Vitesse2(A)1 - 3Ajax2-1.5-1L09-05-21Feyenoord60 - 3Ajax6-1-1L
Feyenoord60 - 3Ajax6-1-1LFC Twente's all matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
30.331.941.1%
FC Twente's all matches when WIN odds between 6.4 and 8.9
06-02-21PSV53 - 0FC Twente51.25-1L
PSV53 - 0FC Twente51.25-1L23-02-20FC Utrecht62 - 1FC Twente71.250.505hW
FC Utrecht62 - 1FC Twente71.250.505hW03-08-19FC Twente51 - 1PSV310.82W
FC Twente51 - 1PSV310.82W MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 14 HOME/AWAY MATCHES
Ajax's home matches (last 14 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
14-0.381.97-0.27%
Ajax's last 14 home matches
09-11-22Ajax22 - 2Vitesse3-2.250.89W
Ajax22 - 2Vitesse3-2.250.89W06-11-22Ajax41 - 2PSV2(A)-0.51.04W
Ajax41 - 2PSV2(A)-0.51.04W26-10-22Ajax30 - 3Liverpool30.50.98W
Ajax30 - 3Liverpool30.50.98W16-10-22Ajax37 - 1Excelsior7-3.5-1L
Ajax37 - 1Excelsior7-3.5-1L04-10-22Ajax21 - 6Napoli200.79W
Ajax21 - 6Napoli200.79W01-10-22Ajax121 - 1Go Ahead Eagles12-31.07W
Ajax121 - 1Go Ahead Eagles12-31.07W10-09-22Ajax25 - 0SC Heerenveen5-2-1L
Ajax25 - 0SC Heerenveen5-2-1L07-09-22Ajax34 - 0Rangers3-1.25-1L
Ajax34 - 0Rangers3-1.25-1L03-09-22Ajax54 - 0SC Cambuur5-3-1L
Ajax54 - 0SC Cambuur5-3-1L14-08-22Ajax76 - 1FC Groningen6-2.5-1L
Ajax76 - 1FC Groningen6-2.5-1L30-07-22
Ajax33 - 5PSV6-0.750.9W
Ajax33 - 5PSV6-0.750.9W11-05-22Ajax2(A)5 - 0SC Heerenveen2(A)-2.5-1L
Ajax2(A)5 - 0SC Heerenveen2(A)-2.5-1L30-04-22Ajax63 - 0PEC Zwolle6-2-1L
Ajax63 - 0PEC Zwolle6-2-1L09-04-22Ajax62 - 1Sparta Rotterdam5-2.50.95W
Ajax62 - 1Sparta Rotterdam5-2.50.95WFC Twente's away matches (last 14 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
142.761.961.97%
FC Twente's away matches.
11-11-22Sparta Rotterdam51 - 1FC Twente4-0.25-0.50.5L
Sparta Rotterdam51 - 1FC Twente4-0.25-0.50.5L23-10-22SC Cambuur30 - 1FC Twente6-0.750.44hW
SC Cambuur30 - 1FC Twente6-0.750.44hW09-10-22Feyenoord2(A)2 - 0FC Twente70.75-1L
Feyenoord2(A)2 - 0FC Twente70.75-1L18-09-22SC Heerenveen72 - 1FC Twente6-0.25-1L
SC Heerenveen72 - 1FC Twente6-0.25-1L11-09-22AZ Alkmaar2(A)1 - 1FC Twente70.51.03W
AZ Alkmaar2(A)1 - 1FC Twente70.51.03W28-08-22FC Volendam131 - 0FC Twente2-1-1L
FC Volendam131 - 0FC Twente2-1-1L18-08-22
Fiorentina32 - 1FC Twente30.75-0.50.5L
Fiorentina32 - 1FC Twente30.75-0.50.5L07-08-22NEC80 - 1FC Twente2(A)-0.250.92W
NEC80 - 1FC Twente2(A)-0.250.92W04-08-22Čukarički31 - 3FC Twente5-0.51.05W
Čukarički31 - 3FC Twente5-0.51.05W15-05-22Feyenoord31 - 2FC Twente31.250.93W
Feyenoord31 - 2FC Twente31.250.93W30-04-22Heracles51 - 1FC Twente7-0.25-0.50.5L
Heracles51 - 1FC Twente7-0.25-0.50.5L09-04-22NEC50 - 2FC Twente6-0.251.04W
NEC50 - 2FC Twente6-0.251.04W13-03-22AZ Alkmaar60 - 1FC Twente60.50.87W
AZ Alkmaar60 - 1FC Twente60.50.87W25-02-22RKC Waalwijk51 - 2FC Twente4-0.250.98W
RKC Waalwijk51 - 2FC Twente4-0.250.98W SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES
Ajax's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
63.471.895.78%
Ajax's all matches - last 6
11-01-23FC Den Bosch40 - 2Ajax2(A)-2.750.73W
FC Den Bosch40 - 2Ajax2(A)-2.750.73W08-01-23NEC251 - 1Ajax0-10.89W
NEC251 - 1Ajax0-10.89W12-11-22FC Emmen63 - 3Ajax2-1.50.92W
FC Emmen63 - 3Ajax2-1.50.92W09-11-22Ajax22 - 2Vitesse3-2.250.89W
Ajax22 - 2Vitesse3-2.250.89W06-11-22Ajax41 - 2PSV2(A)-0.51.04W
Ajax41 - 2PSV2(A)-0.51.04W01-11-22Rangers21 - 3Ajax5-0.5-1L
Rangers21 - 3Ajax5-0.5-1LFC Twente's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.221.882.03%
FC Twente's all matches - last 6
10-01-23FC Twente33 - 1Telstar3-1.750.45hW
FC Twente33 - 1Telstar3-1.750.45hW06-01-23FC Twente192 - 0FC Emmen8-1.250.85W
FC Twente192 - 0FC Emmen8-1.250.85W11-11-22Sparta Rotterdam51 - 1FC Twente4-0.25-0.50.5L
Sparta Rotterdam51 - 1FC Twente4-0.25-0.50.5L06-11-22FC Twente61 - 1Go Ahead Eagles7-1.25-1L
FC Twente61 - 1Go Ahead Eagles7-1.25-1L30-10-22FC Twente63 - 0RKC Waalwijk7-1.250.98W
FC Twente63 - 0RKC Waalwijk7-1.250.98W23-10-22SC Cambuur30 - 1FC Twente6-0.750.44hW
SC Cambuur30 - 1FC Twente6-0.750.44hW HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS
H2H Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.181.91-2.36%
H2H matches - last 6
13-02-22Ajax35 - 0FC Twente7-2.25-1L
Ajax35 - 0FC Twente7-2.25-1L22-08-21FC Twente71 - 1Ajax7-1.750.88W
FC Twente71 - 1Ajax7-1.750.88W14-01-21FC Twente41 - 3Ajax3-1.5-1L
FC Twente41 - 3Ajax3-1.5-1L05-12-20Ajax31 - 2FC Twente7-2.250.94W
Ajax31 - 2FC Twente7-2.250.94W01-12-19FC Twente62 - 5Ajax3-2-1L
FC Twente62 - 5Ajax3-2-1L11-02-18Ajax32 - 1FC Twente3-1L
Ajax32 - 1FC Twente3-1L Eredivisie Standings#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Feyenoord15104136142234DWWWD
2Ajax1594245182731DDDLW
3PSV15101442202231DLWWL
4FC Twente159332691730WDDWW
5AZ159332617930DWLWL
6Sparta Rotterdam157442516925DDWWL
7FC Utrecht157442422225DWWWW
8SC Heerenveen156631613324DWWLW
9NEC153932017318DWWLD
10Go Ahead Eagles154652324-118WDDWD
11RKC Waalwijk154652528-318DLWLL
12Excelsior155191737-2016WLLLW
13Fortuna Sittard154381827-915LWLLD
14Vitesse153571831-1314DDDLW
15FC Groningen153391730-1312LLLDW
16FC Emmen152581329-1611LDWDL
17FC Volendam1523101639-239WLLLL
18SC Cambuur152211925-168LLLLL
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES
Ajax's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
81.761.882.2%
11-01-23FC Den Bosch40 - 2Ajax2(A)-2.750.73W
FC Den Bosch40 - 2Ajax2(A)-2.750.73W12-11-22FC Emmen63 - 3Ajax2-1.50.92W
FC Emmen63 - 3Ajax2-1.50.92W09-11-22Ajax22 - 2Vitesse3-2.250.89W
Ajax22 - 2Vitesse3-2.250.89W04-10-22Ajax21 - 6Napoli200.79W
Ajax21 - 6Napoli200.79W13-09-22Liverpool52 - 1Ajax21.25-0.50.5L
Liverpool52 - 1Ajax21.25-0.50.5L10-09-22Ajax25 - 0SC Heerenveen5-2-1L
Ajax25 - 0SC Heerenveen5-2-1L11-05-22Ajax2(A)5 - 0SC Heerenveen2(A)-2.5-1L
Ajax2(A)5 - 0SC Heerenveen2(A)-2.5-1L06-03-22Ajax2(A)3 - 2RKC Waalwijk8-3.750.93W
Ajax2(A)3 - 2RKC Waalwijk8-3.750.93WFC Twente's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
83.621.924.53%
10-01-23FC Twente33 - 1Telstar3-1.750.45hW
FC Twente33 - 1Telstar3-1.750.45hW18-08-22Fiorentina32 - 1FC Twente30.75-0.50.5L
Fiorentina32 - 1FC Twente30.75-0.50.5L11-08-22FC Twente34 - 1Čukarički3-1.750.84W
FC Twente34 - 1Čukarički3-1.750.84W15-05-22Feyenoord31 - 2FC Twente31.250.93W
Feyenoord31 - 2FC Twente31.250.93W11-05-22FC Twente33 - 0FC Groningen3-11.06W
FC Twente33 - 0FC Groningen3-11.06W19-01-22FC Twente31 - 2AZ Alkmaar2(A)0.25-1L
FC Twente31 - 2AZ Alkmaar2(A)0.25-1L22-12-21FC Utrecht31 - 1FC Twente30.50.98W
FC Utrecht31 - 1FC Twente30.50.98W23-09-21FC Twente33 - 1AZ Alkmaar30.250.86W
FC Twente33 - 1AZ Alkmaar30.250.86WHOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)
Ajax's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
40.031.970.08%
16-01-22FC Utrecht240 - 3Ajax24-1.5-1L
FC Utrecht240 - 3Ajax24-1.5-1L17-01-21Ajax2(A)1 - 0Feyenoord3-1.51.02W
Ajax2(A)1 - 0Feyenoord3-1.51.02W14-01-21FC Twente41 - 3Ajax3-1.5-1L
FC Twente41 - 3Ajax3-1.5-1L10-01-21Ajax172 - 2PSV18-11.01W
Ajax172 - 2PSV18-11.01WFC Twente's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
51.961.973.92%
15-01-22FC Twente232 - 0SC Heerenveen23-0.50.98W
FC Twente232 - 0SC Heerenveen23-0.50.98W17-01-21FC Groningen2(A)2 - 2FC Twente20.250.475hW
FC Groningen2(A)2 - 2FC Twente20.250.475hW14-01-21FC Twente41 - 3Ajax31.5-1L
FC Twente41 - 3Ajax31.5-1L09-01-21FC Emmen171 - 4FC Twente17-0.250.92W
FC Emmen171 - 4FC Twente17-0.250.92W18-01-20FC Twente80 - 0FC Groningen60.250.585hW
FC Twente80 - 0FC Groningen60.250.585hWUPCOMING MATCHES
Ajax's upcoming matches
FC Twente's upcoming matches
ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 196 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)
Ajax (ELO: 1801) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
30.341.911.13%
01-03-20185Ajax20 - 2AZ Alkmaar2(A)-1.250.88W
185Ajax20 - 2AZ Alkmaar2(A)-1.250.88W02-02-20183Ajax61 - 0PSV6-1.250.46hW
183Ajax61 - 0PSV6-1.250.46hW17-09-19175Ajax23 - 0Lille3-1-1L
175Ajax23 - 0Lille3-1-1LFC Twente (ELO 1605) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.071.95-0.35%
15-05-22173Feyenoord31 - 2FC Twente31.250.93W
173Feyenoord31 - 2FC Twente31.250.93W13-03-21211AZ Alkmaar54 - 1FC Twente6-1L
211AZ Alkmaar54 - 1FC Twente6-1L29-09-19199Feyenoord25 - 1FC Twente81.5-1L
199Feyenoord25 - 1FC Twente81.5-1LELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)
Conclusion
Over 3 AH goals would be a straight bet. If 0-0 at HT, back Over 1.5 Goals for trading.
