Mechelen vs Genk - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

BELGIUM - Pro League

Mechelen Logo

2025-01-18
17:15:00
Genk Logo
Mechelen5
Genk2(A)

AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne (Malines)
3.183.612.45
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25

Injuries & Suspensions

Mechelen
Genk
Y. Thoelen
Foot Injury
App: 0 (0), G: 0
N. Storm
Knee Injury
App: 14 (12), G: 4
Z. Vanheusden
Hernia
App: 2 (2), G: 0
M. Konate
Knee Injury
App: 1 (1), G: 0
B. Van den Eynden
Groin Injury
App: 9 (8), G: 3
D. Foulon
Hamstring
App: 15 (15), G: 2
Pro League Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Genk21143442271545DWWLW
2Club Brugge21135347232444WWDWW
3Union Saint-Gilloise21810330191134WWDWD
4Antwerp2196637221533DDWDL
5Anderlecht2196636211533LLLWW
6Gent228863125632DDLWD
7Sporting Charleroi2284102326-328DLWWL
8Dender217772733-628DWLWW
9Standard Liège217771321-828WDLDD
10Mechelen217683527827LDDDL
11OH Leuven2151061923-425LWLWD
12Cercle Brugge216692232-1024WDWDD
13Westerlo2165103536-123LLDLL
14Sint-Truiden215792641-1522WDLLL
15Kortrijk2153131740-2318LLDLL
16K. Beerschot V.A.2127121943-2413DLDDL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Mechelen's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.341.245.67%

Mechelen's home matches when WIN odds between 3 and 3.3

17-08-24Mechelen71 - 3 (1)Anderlecht61.50.22W
01-02-24Mechelen32 - 2 (2)Anderlecht31.50.29W
05-02-23Mechelen2(A)2 - 2 (0)Sporting Charleroi71.50.26W
21-08-22Mechelen75 - 4 (3)Westerlo71.50.31W
24-07-22Mechelen70 - 2 (0)Antwerp21.50.26W
21-05-22Mechelen60 - 0 (0)Genk51.5-1L

Genk's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
102.11.2121%

Genk's away matches when WIN odds between 2.3 and 2.6

27-10-24Gent20 - 2 (0)Genk61.50.2W
14-09-24Cercle Brugge122 - 3 (0)Genk141.50.16W
03-08-24OH Leuven63 - 1 (1)Genk51.50.26W
28-05-23Club Brugge61 - 3 (2)Genk61.50.17W
23-04-23Sporting Charleroi82 - 2 (0)Genk61.50.18W
09-04-23Standard Liège72 - 0 (0)Genk61.50.2W
17-03-23Cercle Brugge41 - 1 (0)Genk41.50.22W
17-01-23Westerlo32 - 3 (0)Genk21.50.23W
13-11-22Anderlecht2(A)0 - 2 (0)Genk31.50.24W
05-03-22Cercle Brugge62 - 2 (0)Genk51.50.24W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Mechelen's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.121.2411.2%

Mechelen's last 10 home matches

26-12-24Mechelen50 - 0 (0)Standard Liège31.5-1L
13-12-24Mechelen51 - 1 (1)Antwerp41.50.33W
07-12-24Mechelen2(A)1 - 2 (2)Club Brugge31.50.23W
24-11-24Mechelen153 - 0 (1)K. Beerschot V.A.131.50.2W
02-11-24Mechelen21 - 1 (1)Union Saint-Gilloise2(A)1.50.25W
20-10-24Mechelen143 - 0 (0)Kortrijk141.50.21W
05-10-24Mechelen65 - 0 (2)OH Leuven51.50.28W
22-09-24Mechelen62 - 0 (1)Cercle Brugge71.50.15W
31-08-24Mechelen65 - 2 (1)Sporting Charleroi51.50.25W
17-08-24Mechelen71 - 3 (1)Anderlecht61.50.22W

Genk's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
102.271.2322.7%

Genk's last 10 away matches.

26-12-24Antwerp42 - 2 (0)Genk31.50.29W
15-12-24Club Brugge42 - 0 (2)Genk71.50.19W
01-12-24Sint-Truiden72 - 2 (2)Genk71.50.19W
10-11-24Union Saint-Gilloise24 - 0 (0)Genk61.50.29W
27-10-24Gent20 - 2 (0)Genk61.50.2W
05-10-24Kortrijk52 - 1 (0)Genk61.50.23W
17-09-24Anderlecht20 - 2 (1)Genk2(A)1.50.23W
14-09-24Cercle Brugge122 - 3 (0)Genk141.50.16W
17-08-24K. Beerschot V.A.53 - 4 (1)Genk51.50.23W
03-08-24OH Leuven63 - 1 (1)Genk51.50.26W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Mechelen's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.961.27-16%

Mechelen's all matches - last 6

12-01-25Cercle Brugge151 - 0 (0)Mechelen161.5-1L
26-12-24Mechelen50 - 0 (0)Standard Liège31.5-1L
20-12-24Westerlo41 - 1 (0)Mechelen61.50.22W
13-12-24Mechelen51 - 1 (1)Antwerp41.50.33W
07-12-24Mechelen2(A)1 - 2 (2)Club Brugge31.50.23W
29-11-24Kortrijk43 - 1 (2)Mechelen41.50.26W

Genk's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.361.2322.67%

Genk's all matches - last 6

11-01-25Genk32 - 0 (1)OH Leuven31.50.22W
26-12-24Antwerp42 - 2 (0)Genk31.50.29W
22-12-24Genk62 - 0 (0)Anderlecht61.50.23W
15-12-24Club Brugge42 - 0 (2)Genk71.50.19W
07-12-24Genk23 - 2 (1)Kortrijk21.50.24W
01-12-24Sint-Truiden72 - 2 (2)Genk71.50.19W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.111.17-1.83%

H2H matches - last 6

28-09-24Genk52 - 1 (1)Mechelen51.50.14W
11-02-24Mechelen61 - 1 (0)Genk71.50.29W
22-10-23Genk134 - 0 (1)Mechelen141.50.13W
17-02-23Mechelen62 - 2 (1)Genk41.50.2W
28-10-22Genk43 - 1 (1)Mechelen51.50.13W
21-05-22Mechelen60 - 0 (0)Genk51.5-1L
Pro League Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Genk21143442271545DWWLW
2Club Brugge21135347232444WWDWW
3Union Saint-Gilloise21810330191134WWDWD
4Antwerp2196637221533DDWDL
5Anderlecht2196636211533LLLWW
6Gent228863125632DDLWD
7Sporting Charleroi2284102326-328DLWWL
8Dender217772733-628DWLWW
9Standard Liège217771321-828WDLDD
10Mechelen217683527827LDDDL
11OH Leuven2151061923-425LWLWD
12Cercle Brugge216692232-1024WDWDD
13Westerlo2165103536-123LLDLL
14Sint-Truiden215792641-1522WDLLL
15Kortrijk2153131740-2318LLDLL
16K. Beerschot V.A.2127121943-2413DLDDL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -8%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.75 (1.33)-0.08 (1.25)0.522.17

Pro League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.11 - -0.06 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
89-7.871.23-8.84%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Mechelen's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.11 - -0.06 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
131.651.2212.69%
20-12-24-0.07Westerlo41 - 1 (0)Mechelen61.50.22W
02-11-24-0.06Mechelen21 - 1 (1)Union Saint-Gilloise2(A)1.50.25W
05-10-24-0.07Mechelen65 - 0 (2)OH Leuven51.50.28W
27-04-24-0.10Mechelen33 - 0 (1)OH Leuven31.50.19W
28-01-24-0.10Mechelen83 - 1 (3)RWDM31.50.33W
05-11-23-0.07Standard Liège31 - 1 (1)Mechelen41.50.22W
28-10-23-0.08Mechelen50 - 2 (0)Cercle Brugge51.50.23W
22-10-23-0.10Genk134 - 0 (1)Mechelen141.50.13W
07-10-23-0.08Anderlecht63 - 1 (1)Mechelen61.50.24W
30-09-23-0.10Mechelen60 - 0 (0)Antwerp21.5-1L
23-09-23-0.07Mechelen51 - 2 (0)OH Leuven51.50.17W
26-08-23-0.08Westerlo52 - 3 (2)Mechelen61.50.19W
19-08-23-0.10Mechelen64 - 0 (3)Union Saint-Gilloise61.50.2W

Genk's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.11 - -0.06 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-1.521.21-15.20%
10-11-24-0.09Union Saint-Gilloise24 - 0 (0)Genk61.50.29W
28-07-24-0.10Genk70 - 0 (0)Standard Liège71.5-1L
23-02-24-0.08Sporting Charleroi50 - 1 (0)Genk51.5-1L
03-12-23-0.09Genk2(A)2 - 2 (1)Gent21.50.21W
22-10-23-0.10Genk134 - 0 (1)Mechelen141.50.13W
28-09-23-0.09Club Brugge31 - 1 (0)Genk31.50.15W
16-09-23-0.10Union Saint-Gilloise120 - 2 (1)Genk121.50.23W
20-08-23-0.07Genk20 - 0 (0)Sporting Charleroi61.5-1L
30-04-23-0.07Genk63 - 1 (1)Club Brugge61.50.17W
05-02-23-0.09Gent62 - 3 (2)Genk31.50.3W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61-5.781.26-9.48%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -113 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Mechelen (ELO: 1521) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
70.371.225.29%
17-08-24-134Mechelen71 - 3Anderlecht61.50.22W
04-05-24-92Mechelen62 - 4Gent61.50.12W
11-02-24-118Mechelen61 - 1Genk71.50.29W
28-10-23-98Mechelen50 - 2Cercle Brugge51.50.23W
09-10-22-102Mechelen71 - 3Anderlecht21.50.29W
10-05-22-112Mechelen2(A)1 - 2Gent21.50.22W
23-01-22-102Mechelen260 - 1Anderlecht61.5-1L

Genk (ELO 1635) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
70.341.214.86%
01-12-24-138Sint-Truiden72 - 2Genk71.50.19W
03-08-24-92OH Leuven63 - 1Genk51.50.26W
11-02-24-118Mechelen61 - 1Genk71.50.29W
23-04-23-123Sporting Charleroi82 - 2Genk61.50.18W
15-10-22-135OH Leuven60 - 1Genk61.5-1L
05-03-22-98Cercle Brugge62 - 2Genk51.50.24W
09-02-22-92OH Leuven32 - 1Genk21.50.18W
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Mechelen's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.721.23-9%
26-12-24Mechelen50 - 0Standard Liège31.5-1L
13-12-24Mechelen51 - 1Antwerp41.50.33W
08-11-24Sint-Truiden52 - 1Mechelen51.50.21W
26-10-24Dender62 - 5Mechelen51.50.31W
28-09-24Genk52 - 1Mechelen51.50.14W
09-08-24Standard Liège40 - 0Mechelen51.5-1L
26-07-24Club Brugge51 - 1Mechelen51.50.15W
18-05-24Westerlo140 - 2Mechelen51.50.14W

Genk's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.321.194%
07-12-24Genk23 - 2Kortrijk21.50.24W
17-09-24Anderlecht20 - 2Genk2(A)1.50.23W
03-02-24Genk2(A)0 - 1Union Saint-Gilloise21.5-1L
31-01-24OH Leuven32 - 1Genk2(A)1.50.18W
26-12-23Genk2(A)3 - 0Antwerp21.50.23W
17-12-23Genk24 - 0Kortrijk81.50.12W
03-12-23Genk2(A)2 - 2Gent21.50.21W
12-11-23Genk2(A)3 - 1OH Leuven71.50.11W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Mechelen's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-0.141.21-2.8%
19-01-24Gent21 - 2Mechelen81.50.25W
21-01-23Mechelen33 - 2Kortrijk21.50.19W
17-01-23Standard Liège2(A)2 - 0Mechelen21.50.22W
14-01-23Mechelen2(A)2 - 1KV Oostende61.50.2W
23-01-22Mechelen260 - 1Anderlecht61.5-1L

Genk's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-0.131.2-2.6%
20-01-24Genk81 - 1Cercle Brugge231.50.19W
17-01-23Westerlo32 - 3Genk21.50.23W
14-01-23Genk21 - 0Zulte-Waregem21.5-1L
23-01-22Union Saint-Gilloise42 - 1Genk61.50.24W
16-01-22Genk204 - 1K. Beerschot V.A.191.50.21W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Pro League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.922.702.712.43

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Pro League1682.70
2023/2024Pro League3122.82
2022/2023Pro League3283.05
2021/2022Pro League3152.89

Pro League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
79.33%1.2676.19%1.3180%1.2573.33%1.36

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Pro League16876.19% 1.31
2023/2024Pro League31276.92% 1.3
2022/2023Pro League32882.01% 1.22
2021/2022Pro League31579.05% 1.27
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Pro League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.291.230.971.16

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Pro League1681.23
2023/2024Pro League3121.26
2022/2023Pro League3281.39
2021/2022Pro League3151.23

Pro League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.621.471.471.55

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Pro League1681.47
2023/2024Pro League3121.55
2022/2023Pro League3281.66
2021/2022Pro League3151.66
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
9-0.31.26-3.33%

Last 2 seasons - 10 vs 1 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-3.33%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Mechelen matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
71.51.2121.43%
07-12-245Mechelen2(A)1 - 22Club Brugge31.50.23W
03-08-247Mechelen72 - 42Westerlo51.50.2W
04-05-242Mechelen62 - 41Gent61.50.12W
05-04-242Mechelen52 - 33Sint-Truiden41.50.26W
01-02-248Mechelen32 - 22Anderlecht31.50.29W
19-08-2313Mechelen64 - 01Union Saint-Gilloise61.50.2W
17-02-2313Mechelen62 - 21Genk41.50.2W

Genk matches against table positions: 9,10,11

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.161.21-19.33%
17-03-2411Westerlo81 - 15Genk61.50.19W
11-02-249Mechelen61 - 16Genk71.50.29W
25-11-239Standard Liège131 - 06Genk121.5-1L
13-08-2310Cercle Brugge70 - 19Genk2(A)1.5-1L
29-07-2310RWDM50 - 48Genk31.50.18W
23-04-239Sporting Charleroi82 - 21Genk61.50.18W
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