Southampton vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - Premier League

2025-02-22
15:00:00

Southampton⁶

Brighton & Hove Albion⁷

St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton, Hampshire)

D. Bond

6.284.721.59

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.23

Injuries & Suspensions

Southampton

Brighton & Hove Albion

A. Lallana

Hamstring

App: 13 (5), G: 0

J. Milner

Hamstring

App: 3 (3), G: 0

J. Stephens

Calf Injury

App: 11 (10), G: 0

L. Dunk

Rib Injury

App: 19 (17), G: 0

J. Steele

Shoulder Injury

App: 2 (2), G: 0

R. Fraser

Calf Injury

App: 8 (4), G: 0

F. Kadıoğlu

Toe Injury

App: 6 (5), G: 1

I. dos Santos de Paulo

Hamstring

App: 12 (9), G: 0

R. Stewart

Calf Injury

App: 4 (1), G: 0

T. Harwood-Bellis

Ankle Injury

App: 23 (22), G: 1

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Liverpool26187162263661DWDWW

2Arsenal25158251222953WWWDW

3Nottingham Forest25145641291247LWLWD

4Manchester City25135752351744WLWWD

5AFC Bournemouth25127644291543WLWWD

6Chelsea25127647341343LWLWD

7Newcastle United2512584233941LLWLW

8Fulham2510963833539WWLWL

9Aston Villa2610973740-339DDLDD

10Brentford26114114742537WWLWL

11Brighton & Hove Albion2591063838037WLLWW

12Tottenham Hotspur25931349371230WWLLL

13Crystal Palace257992932-330LWLWW

14Everton257992731-430WDWWW

15Manchester United2585122835-729LLWLW

16West Ham United2576122947-1827LLDLW

17Wolverhampton Wanderers2554163554-1919LWLLL

18Ipswich Town2538142350-2717DLLLL

19Leicester City2645172559-3417LLLWL

20Southampton2523201957-389LWLLL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Southampton's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

30.591.219.67%

Southampton's home matches when WIN odds between 5.3 and 7.3

15-02-25

Southampton⁶1 - 3⁽¹⁾AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.17W

28-05-23

Southampton⁶4 - 4⁽⁰⁾Liverpool⁷1.50.14W

30-08-22

Southampton²2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Chelsea²1.50.28W

Brighton & Hove Albion's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

40.921.2323%

Brighton & Hove Albion's away matches when WIN odds between 1.5 and 1.7

08-12-24

Leicester City⁴2 - 2⁽³⁾Brighton & Hove Albion^2(A)1.50.2W

18-02-24

Sheffield United⁷0 - 5⁽²⁾Brighton & Hove Albion⁷1.50.2W

26-04-23

Nottingham Forest³3 - 1⁽¹⁾Brighton & Hove Albion²1.50.28W

04-04-23

AFC Bournemouth²0 - 2⁽¹⁾Brighton & Hove Albion²1.50.24W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Southampton's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-0.481.2-4.8%

Southampton's last 10 home matches

15-02-25

Southampton⁶1 - 3⁽¹⁾AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.17W

25-01-25

Southampton⁵1 - 3⁽⁰⁾Newcastle United⁶1.50.18W

04-01-25

Southampton⁵0 - 5⁽²⁾Brentford²1.50.25W

26-12-24

Southampton³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾West Ham United⁴1.5-1L

15-12-24

Southampton⁷0 - 5⁽⁰⁾Tottenham Hotspur^2(A)1.50.1W

04-12-24

Southampton⁴1 - 5⁽²⁾Chelsea²1.50.14W

24-11-24

Southampton¹⁴2 - 3⁽¹⁾Liverpool¹⁴1.50.15W

02-11-24

Southampton³1 - 0⁽¹⁾Everton⁶1.5-1L

19-10-24

Southampton¹³2 - 3⁽¹⁾Leicester City¹³1.50.25W

21-09-24

Southampton³1 - 1⁽¹⁾Ipswich Town⁶1.50.28W

Brighton & Hove Albion's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

100.991.229.9%

Brighton & Hove Albion's last 10 away matches.

01-02-25

Nottingham Forest⁶7 - 0⁽²⁾Brighton & Hove Albion⁶1.50.26W

19-01-25

Manchester United²1 - 3⁽¹⁾Brighton & Hove Albion^2(A)1.50.28W

16-01-25

Ipswich Town³0 - 2⁽¹⁾Brighton & Hove Albion⁴1.50.25W

30-12-24

Aston Villa³2 - 2⁽¹⁾Brighton & Hove Albion²1.50.23W

21-12-24

West Ham United⁴1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Brighton & Hove Albion⁵1.50.18W

08-12-24

Leicester City⁴2 - 2⁽³⁾Brighton & Hove Albion^2(A)1.50.2W

05-12-24

Fulham³3 - 1⁽²⁾Brighton & Hove Albion⁵1.50.23W

23-11-24

AFC Bournemouth¹³1 - 2⁽¹⁾Brighton & Hove Albion¹³1.50.21W

02-11-24

Liverpool^2(A)2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Brighton & Hove Albion²1.50.15W

19-10-24

Newcastle United¹³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Brighton & Hove Albion¹²1.5-1L

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Southampton's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61.31.2221.67%

Southampton's all matches - last 6

15-02-25

Southampton⁶1 - 3⁽¹⁾AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.17W

01-02-25

Ipswich Town⁶1 - 2⁽¹⁾Southampton⁶1.50.26W

25-01-25

Southampton⁵1 - 3⁽⁰⁾Newcastle United⁶1.50.18W

19-01-25

Nottingham Forest⁴3 - 2⁽¹⁾Southampton^2(A)1.50.23W

16-01-25

Manchester United³3 - 1⁽³⁾Southampton³1.50.21W

04-01-25

Southampton⁵0 - 5⁽²⁾Brentford²1.50.25W

Brighton & Hove Albion's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.321.265.33%

Brighton & Hove Albion's all matches - last 6

14-02-25

Brighton & Hove Albion⁵3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Chelsea⁵1.50.21W

01-02-25

Nottingham Forest⁶7 - 0⁽²⁾Brighton & Hove Albion⁶1.50.26W

25-01-25

Brighton & Hove Albion⁵0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Everton⁵1.5-1L

19-01-25

Manchester United²1 - 3⁽¹⁾Brighton & Hove Albion^2(A)1.50.28W

16-01-25

Ipswich Town³0 - 2⁽¹⁾Brighton & Hove Albion⁴1.50.25W

04-01-25

Brighton & Hove Albion⁴1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Arsenal^2(A)1.50.32W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

40.811.220.25%

H2H matches - last 6

29-11-24

Brighton & Hove Albion⁵1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Southampton⁴1.50.14W

21-05-23

Brighton & Hove Albion^2(A)3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Southampton⁷1.50.13W

26-12-22

Southampton⁵1 - 3⁽⁰⁾Brighton & Hove Albion⁴1.50.21W

24-04-22

Brighton & Hove Albion³2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Southampton^2(A)1.50.33W

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Liverpool26187162263661DWDWW

2Arsenal25158251222953WWWDW

3Nottingham Forest25145641291247LWLWD

4Manchester City25135752351744WLWWD

5AFC Bournemouth25127644291543WLWWD

6Chelsea25127647341343LWLWD

7Newcastle United2512584233941LLWLW

8Fulham2510963833539WWLWL

9Aston Villa2610973740-339DDLDD

10Brentford26114114742537WWLWL

11Brighton & Hove Albion2591063838037WLLWW

12Tottenham Hotspur25931349371230WWLLL

13Crystal Palace257992932-330LWLWW

14Everton257992731-430WDWWW

15Manchester United2585122835-729LLWLW

16West Ham United2576122947-1827LLDLW

17Wolverhampton Wanderers2554163554-1919LWLLL

18Ipswich Town2538142350-2717DLLLL

19Leicester City2645172559-3417LLLWL

20Southampton2523201957-389LWLLL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 9%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.92 (1.09)0.09 (1.23)1.182.96

Premier League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.07 - 0.12 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

1144.431.233.89%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Southampton's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.07 - 0.12 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-0.861.19-10.75%

15-02-25

^0.09Southampton⁶1 - 3⁽¹⁾AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.17W

19-01-25

^0.10Nottingham Forest⁴3 - 2⁽¹⁾Southampton^2(A)1.50.23W

09-11-24

^0.10Wolverhampton Wanderers⁶2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Southampton⁶1.50.25W

24-08-24

^0.08Southampton⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Nottingham Forest⁶1.5-1L

17-08-24

^0.11Newcastle United⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Southampton⁶1.5-1L

28-05-23

^0.07Southampton⁶4 - 4⁽⁰⁾Liverpool⁷1.50.14W

30-04-23

^0.11Newcastle United^2(A)3 - 1⁽²⁾Southampton²1.50.17W

21-04-23

^0.08Arsenal⁴3 - 3⁽²⁾Southampton⁵1.50.18W

Brighton & Hove Albion's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.07 - 0.12 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

102.041.2020.40%

09-11-24

^0.08Brighton & Hove Albion⁶2 - 1⁽²⁾Manchester City³1.50.17W

26-10-24

^0.09Brighton & Hove Albion⁶2 - 2⁽³⁾Wolverhampton Wanderers⁵1.50.22W

21-12-23

^0.11Crystal Palace⁴1 - 1⁽¹⁾Brighton & Hove Albion³1.50.37W

12-11-23

^0.07Brighton & Hove Albion^2(A)1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Sheffield United⁷1.50.18W

08-10-23

^0.08Brighton & Hove Albion^2(A)2 - 2⁽¹⁾Liverpool²1.50.13W

30-09-23

^0.11Aston Villa²6 - 1⁽²⁾Brighton & Hove Albion^2(A)1.50.18W

19-08-23

^0.09Wolverhampton Wanderers⁴1 - 4⁽⁰⁾Brighton & Hove Albion⁶1.50.18W

18-05-23

^0.11Newcastle United⁴4 - 1⁽²⁾Brighton & Hove Albion³1.50.2W

14-05-23

^0.09Arsenal⁶0 - 3⁽²⁾Brighton & Hove Albion⁵1.50.17W

04-04-23

^0.09AFC Bournemouth²0 - 2⁽¹⁾Brighton & Hove Albion²1.50.24W

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

405.221.2213.05%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -214 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Southampton (ELO: 1549) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

51.241.2524.8%

15-12-24

^-233Southampton⁷0 - 5Tottenham Hotspur^2(A)1.50.1W

18-03-23

^-197Southampton²3 - 3Tottenham Hotspur⁶1.50.33W

23-10-22

^-238Southampton³1 - 1Arsenal²1.50.23W

30-08-22

^-213Southampton²2 - 1Chelsea²1.50.28W

09-04-22

^-203Southampton⁶0 - 6Chelsea²1.50.3W

Brighton & Hove Albion (ELO 1763) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

30.711.2423.67%

18-02-24

^-207Sheffield United⁷0 - 5Brighton & Hove Albion⁷1.50.2W

30-01-24

^-211Luton Town^2(A)4 - 0Brighton & Hove Albion^2(A)1.50.23W

26-04-23

^-207Nottingham Forest³3 - 1Brighton & Hove Albion²1.50.28W

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Southampton's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-2.031.18-25.38%

15-02-25

Southampton⁶1 - 3AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.17W

01-02-25

Ipswich Town⁶1 - 2Southampton⁶1.50.26W

09-11-24

Wolverhampton Wanderers⁶2 - 0Southampton⁶1.50.25W

26-10-24

Manchester City²1 - 0Southampton⁶1.5-1L

24-08-24

Southampton⁶0 - 1Nottingham Forest⁶1.5-1L

17-08-24

Newcastle United⁶1 - 0Southampton⁶1.5-1L

04-05-24

Leeds United⁷1 - 2Southampton⁶1.50.14W

09-03-24

Southampton⁶4 - 2Sunderland³1.50.15W

Brighton & Hove Albion's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

51.141.2322.8%

06-10-24

Brighton & Hove Albion⁷3 - 2Tottenham Hotspur^2(A)1.50.15W

18-02-24

Sheffield United⁷0 - 5Brighton & Hove Albion⁷1.50.2W

21-08-22

West Ham United²0 - 2Brighton & Hove Albion⁷1.50.21W

07-08-22

Manchester United⁶1 - 2Brighton & Hove Albion⁷1.50.29W

15-05-22

Leeds United³1 - 1Brighton & Hove Albion⁷1.50.29W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Southampton's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

4-1.441.27-36%

25-02-23

Leeds United⁶1 - 0Southampton⁶1.5-1L

18-02-23

Chelsea^2(A)0 - 1Southampton⁶1.5-1L

25-02-22

Southampton⁵2 - 0Norwich City⁵1.50.25W

19-02-22

Southampton⁶2 - 0Everton⁶1.50.31W

Brighton & Hove Albion's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

50.221.294.4%

24-02-24

Brighton & Hove Albion⁵1 - 1Everton⁴1.50.21W

18-02-24

Sheffield United⁷0 - 5Brighton & Hove Albion⁷1.50.2W

18-02-23

Brighton & Hove Albion⁶0 - 1Fulham⁶1.5-1L

26-02-22

Brighton & Hove Albion⁶0 - 2Aston Villa⁶1.50.43W

19-02-22

Brighton & Hove Albion³0 - 3Burnley⁵1.50.38W

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Premier League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.983.033.043.07

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Premier League2523.03

2023/2024

Premier League3803.28

2022/2023

Premier League3802.85

2021/2022

Premier League3802.82

Premier League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

79.56%1.2684.13%1.1985%1.1886.67%1.15

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Premier League25284.13% 1.19

2023/2024

Premier League38086.05% 1.16

2022/2023

Premier League38075.53% 1.32

2021/2022

Premier League38077.11% 1.3

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Premier League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.321.401.431.38

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Premier League2521.40

2023/2024

Premier League3801.36

2022/2023

Premier League3801.32

2021/2022

Premier League3801.27

Premier League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.661.631.631.66

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Premier League2521.63

2023/2024

Premier League3801.92

2022/2023

Premier League3801.53

2021/2022

Premier League3801.54

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

214.21.2620%

Last 2 seasons - 20 vs 11 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

1-11.29-100%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Southampton matches against table positions: 10,11,12

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

40.011.310.25%

04-01-25

²⁰Southampton⁵0 - 5¹²Brentford²1.50.25W

24-08-24

¹⁶Southampton⁶0 - 1¹²Nottingham Forest⁶1.5-1L

13-05-23

²⁰Southampton⁴0 - 2¹⁰Fulham⁴1.50.32W

15-04-23

²⁰Southampton⁶0 - 2¹²Crystal Palace⁵1.50.44W

Brighton & Hove Albion matches against table positions: 18,19,20

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

51.181.2423.6%

13-04-24

¹⁹Burnley⁶1 - 1¹⁰Brighton & Hove Albion⁶1.50.2W

18-02-24

²⁰Sheffield United⁷0 - 5⁹Brighton & Hove Albion⁷1.50.2W

30-01-24

¹⁸Luton Town^2(A)4 - 0⁷Brighton & Hove Albion^2(A)1.50.23W

26-04-23

¹⁹Nottingham Forest³3 - 1⁸Brighton & Hove Albion²1.50.28W

11-03-23

¹⁸Leeds United⁶2 - 2⁸Brighton & Hove Albion⁶1.50.27W

YOUR TEXT

Southampton vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - Premier League

Injuries & Suspensions

Southampton's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Southampton's home matches when WIN odds between 5.3 and 7.3

Brighton & Hove Albion's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Brighton & Hove Albion's away matches when WIN odds between 1.5 and 1.7

Southampton's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Southampton's last 10 home matches

Brighton & Hove Albion's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Brighton & Hove Albion's last 10 away matches.

Southampton's all matches (last 6 matches)

Southampton's all matches - last 6

Brighton & Hove Albion's all matches (last 6 matches)

Brighton & Hove Albion's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Premier League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.07 - 0.12 )

Southampton's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.07 - 0.12 )

Brighton & Hove Albion's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.07 - 0.12 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Southampton (ELO: 1549) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Brighton & Hove Albion (ELO 1763) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Southampton's all matches (last 8 matches)

Brighton & Hove Albion's all matches (last 8 matches)

Southampton's all matches (last 8 matches)

Brighton & Hove Albion's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Premier League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Premier League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Premier League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Premier League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 20 vs 11 in the table

Southampton matches against table positions: 10,11,12

Brighton & Hove Albion matches against table positions: 18,19,20

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