Brentford vs Liverpool - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - Premier League

2025-01-18
15:00:00

Brentford³

Liverpool³

A. Madley

6.965.741.47

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.13

Injuries & Suspensions

Brentford

Liverpool

E. Pinnock

Hamstring

App: 16 (16), G: 2

K. Vassbakk Ajer

Ankle Injury

App: 10 (9), G: 0

P. Dasilva

Knee Injury

App: 0 (0), G: 0

A. Hickey

Hamstring

App: 0 (0), G: 0

J. Gomez

Hamstring

App: 9 (6), G: 0

Thiago

Knee Injury

App: 4 (1), G: 0

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Liverpool20145148202847DDWWW

2Arsenal21127241192243WDWWW

3Nottingham Forest21125430201041DWWWW

4Newcastle United21115537221538WWWWW

5Chelsea21107441261537DDLLD

6Manchester City2110563829935DWWDL

7Aston Villa2110563132-135WWDLW

8AFC Bournemouth219753225734DWDDW

9Brighton & Hove Albion2171043229331WDDDD

10Fulham217953230230LDDWD

11Brentford218494037328DWLDL

12Manchester United217592629-326WDLLL

13West Ham United217592741-1426WLLWD

14Tottenham Hotspur21731143321124LLDLL

15Crystal Palace215972328-524WDWDL

16Everton203891526-1117LLLDD

17Wolverhampton Wanderers2144133148-1716LLDWW

18Ipswich Town2137112037-1716LDWLL

19Leicester City2135132346-2314LLLLL

20Southampton2113171347-346LLLLD

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Brentford's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

3-0.561.25-18.67%

Brentford's home matches when WIN odds between 6 and 8

01-01-25

Brentford⁴1 - 3⁽⁰⁾Arsenal⁴1.50.23W

25-11-23

Brentford¹²0 - 1⁽¹⁾Arsenal¹³1.5-1L

02-01-23

Brentford^2(A)3 - 1⁽¹⁾Liverpool²1.50.21W

Liverpool's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-0.591.18-5.9%

Liverpool's away matches when WIN odds between 1.4 and 1.6

29-12-24

West Ham United^2(A)0 - 5⁽¹⁾Liverpool²1.50.17W

27-04-24

West Ham United⁵2 - 2⁽¹⁾Liverpool^2(A)1.50.14W

24-04-24

Everton²2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Liverpool^2(A)1.50.18W

26-12-23

Burnley^2(A)0 - 2⁽¹⁾Liverpool²1.50.17W

09-12-23

Crystal Palace²1 - 2⁽²⁾Liverpool^2(A)1.50.23W

28-05-23

Southampton⁶4 - 4⁽⁰⁾Liverpool⁷1.50.14W

11-03-23

AFC Bournemouth⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Liverpool⁵1.5-1L

02-01-23

Brentford^2(A)3 - 1⁽¹⁾Liverpool²1.50.21W

03-09-22

Everton³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Liverpool²1.5-1L

17-05-22

Southampton⁹1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Liverpool^2(A)1.50.17W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Brentford's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

102.231.2222.3%

Brentford's last 10 home matches

14-01-25

Brentford²2 - 2⁽³⁾Manchester City²1.50.17W

01-01-25

Brentford⁴1 - 3⁽⁰⁾Arsenal⁴1.50.23W

21-12-24

Brentford^2(A)0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Nottingham Forest⁶1.50.21W

07-12-24

Brentford^2(A)4 - 2⁽¹⁾Newcastle United²1.50.21W

30-11-24

Brentford⁶4 - 1⁽⁰⁾Leicester City⁶1.50.21W

09-11-24

Brentford⁴3 - 2⁽⁰⁾AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.22W

26-10-24

Brentford⁶4 - 3⁽²⁾Ipswich Town⁶1.50.23W

05-10-24

Brentford⁶5 - 3⁽²⁾Wolverhampton Wanderers⁶1.50.25W

28-09-24

Brentford⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾West Ham United^2(A)1.50.22W

31-08-24

Brentford^2(A)3 - 1⁽¹⁾Southampton^2(A)1.50.28W

Liverpool's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

100.591.185.9%

Liverpool's last 10 away matches.

14-01-25

Nottingham Forest²1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Liverpool²1.50.21W

29-12-24

West Ham United^2(A)0 - 5⁽¹⁾Liverpool²1.50.17W

22-12-24

Tottenham Hotspur²3 - 6⁽²⁾Liverpool³1.50.1W

04-12-24

Newcastle United³3 - 3⁽²⁾Liverpool²1.50.22W

24-11-24

Southampton¹⁴2 - 3⁽¹⁾Liverpool¹⁴1.50.15W

27-10-24

Arsenal⁴2 - 2⁽¹⁾Liverpool³1.50.28W

05-10-24

Crystal Palace⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Liverpool²1.5-1L

28-09-24

Wolverhampton Wanderers⁶1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Liverpool²1.50.15W

01-09-24

Manchester United⁷0 - 3⁽⁰⁾Liverpool⁶1.50.17W

17-08-24

Ipswich Town⁶0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Liverpool⁵1.50.14W

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Brentford's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

601.20%

Brentford's all matches - last 6

14-01-25

Brentford²2 - 2⁽³⁾Manchester City²1.50.17W

04-01-25

Southampton⁵0 - 5⁽²⁾Brentford²1.50.25W

01-01-25

Brentford⁴1 - 3⁽⁰⁾Arsenal⁴1.50.23W

27-12-24

Brighton & Hove Albion⁵0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Brentford⁵1.5-1L

21-12-24

Brentford^2(A)0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Nottingham Forest⁶1.50.21W

15-12-24

Chelsea^2(A)2 - 1⁽²⁾Brentford⁷1.50.14W

Liverpool's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.911.1515.17%

Liverpool's all matches - last 6

14-01-25

Nottingham Forest²1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Liverpool²1.50.21W

05-01-25

Liverpool⁶2 - 2⁽¹⁾Manchester United⁵1.50.2W

29-12-24

West Ham United^2(A)0 - 5⁽¹⁾Liverpool²1.50.17W

26-12-24

Liverpool³3 - 1⁽¹⁾Leicester City³1.50.09W

22-12-24

Tottenham Hotspur²3 - 6⁽²⁾Liverpool³1.50.1W

14-12-24

Liverpool³2 - 2⁽²⁾Fulham⁵1.50.14W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.11.18-1.67%

H2H matches - last 6

25-08-24

Liverpool⁷2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Brentford⁶1.50.13W

17-02-24

Brentford⁶1 - 4⁽¹⁾Liverpool⁶1.50.18W

12-11-23

Liverpool^2(A)3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Brentford⁷1.50.17W

06-05-23

Liverpool²1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Brentford⁶1.5-1L

02-01-23

Brentford^2(A)3 - 1⁽¹⁾Liverpool²1.50.21W

16-01-22

Liverpool²3 - 0⁽¹⁾Brentford⁴1.50.21W

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Liverpool20145148202847DDWWW

2Arsenal21127241192243WDWWW

3Nottingham Forest21125430201041DWWWW

4Newcastle United21115537221538WWWWW

5Chelsea21107441261537DDLLD

6Manchester City2110563829935DWWDL

7Aston Villa2110563132-135WWDLW

8AFC Bournemouth219753225734DWDDW

9Brighton & Hove Albion2171043229331WDDDD

10Fulham217953230230LDDWD

11Brentford218494037328DWLDL

12Manchester United217592629-326WDLLL

13West Ham United217592741-1426WLLWD

14Tottenham Hotspur21731143321124LLDLL

15Crystal Palace215972328-524WDWDL

16Everton203891526-1117LLLDD

17Wolverhampton Wanderers2144133148-1716LLDWW

18Ipswich Town2137112037-1716LDWLL

19Leicester City2135132346-2314LLLLL

20Southampton2113171347-346LLLLD

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 6%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.95 (1.05)0.06 (1.13)1.832.88

Premier League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.04 - 0.09 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

12110.421.228.61%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Brentford's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.04 - 0.09 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

131.871.2414.38%

21-12-24

^0.08Brentford^2(A)0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Nottingham Forest⁶1.50.21W

15-12-24

^0.04Chelsea^2(A)2 - 1⁽²⁾Brentford⁷1.50.14W

07-12-24

^0.08Brentford^2(A)4 - 2⁽¹⁾Newcastle United²1.50.21W

09-11-24

^0.07Brentford⁴3 - 2⁽⁰⁾AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.22W

26-10-24

^0.04Brentford⁶4 - 3⁽²⁾Ipswich Town⁶1.50.23W

05-10-24

^0.08Brentford⁶5 - 3⁽²⁾Wolverhampton Wanderers⁶1.50.25W

28-09-24

^0.04Brentford⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾West Ham United^2(A)1.50.22W

20-04-24

^0.04Luton Town⁶1 - 5⁽²⁾Brentford⁶1.50.25W

06-04-24

^0.05Aston Villa^2(A)3 - 3⁽¹⁾Brentford²1.50.21W

25-11-23

^0.07Brentford¹²0 - 1⁽¹⁾Arsenal¹³1.5-1L

08-04-23

^0.06Brentford^2(A)1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Newcastle United^2(A)1.50.32W

18-03-23

^0.06Brentford^2(A)1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Leicester City⁶1.50.27W

04-02-23

^0.07Brentford¹²3 - 0⁽¹⁾Southampton³1.50.34W

Liverpool's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.04 - 0.09 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

91.351.1515.00%

29-12-24

^0.08West Ham United^2(A)0 - 5⁽¹⁾Liverpool²1.50.17W

26-12-24

^0.05Liverpool³3 - 1⁽¹⁾Leicester City³1.50.09W

06-12-23

^0.06Sheffield United³0 - 2⁽¹⁾Liverpool²1.50.12W

08-10-23

^0.08Brighton & Hove Albion^2(A)2 - 2⁽¹⁾Liverpool²1.50.13W

24-09-23

^0.06Liverpool^2(A)3 - 1⁽¹⁾West Ham United²1.50.15W

03-09-23

^0.05Liverpool⁶3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Aston Villa²1.50.15W

28-05-23

^0.07Southampton⁶4 - 4⁽⁰⁾Liverpool⁷1.50.14W

26-04-23

^0.06West Ham United^2(A)1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Liverpool³1.50.23W

22-04-23

^0.04Liverpool⁴3 - 2⁽⁰⁾Nottingham Forest⁵1.50.17W

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

361.321.213.67%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -252 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Brentford (ELO: 1746) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

3-0.561.24-18.67%

01-01-25

^-251Brentford⁴1 - 3Arsenal⁴1.50.23W

28-05-23

^-277Brentford⁷1 - 0Manchester City³1.5-1L

02-01-23

^-251Brentford^2(A)3 - 1Liverpool²1.50.21W

Liverpool (ELO 1998) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

81.411.1817.63%

29-12-24

^-263West Ham United^2(A)0 - 5Liverpool²1.50.17W

28-09-24

^-265Wolverhampton Wanderers⁶1 - 2Liverpool²1.50.15W

24-04-24

^-267Everton²2 - 0Liverpool^2(A)1.50.18W

21-01-24

^-232AFC Bournemouth¹⁴0 - 4Liverpool¹⁰1.50.15W

26-12-23

^-277Burnley^2(A)0 - 2Liverpool²1.50.17W

09-12-23

^-238Crystal Palace²1 - 2Liverpool^2(A)1.50.23W

16-09-23

^-253Wolverhampton Wanderers¹²1 - 3Liverpool¹²1.50.18W

15-05-23

^-235Leicester City⁶0 - 3Liverpool⁸1.50.18W

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Brentford's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.821.2510.25%

04-12-24

Aston Villa^2(A)3 - 1Brentford³1.50.2W

21-09-24

Tottenham Hotspur^2(A)3 - 1Brentford³1.50.15W

03-04-24

Brentford³0 - 0Brighton & Hove Albion^2(A)1.5-1L

20-01-24

Brentford³3 - 2Nottingham Forest^2(A)1.50.28W

06-12-23

Brighton & Hove Albion^2(A)2 - 1Brentford³1.50.22W

01-10-23

Nottingham Forest⁷1 - 1Brentford³1.50.37W

02-09-23

Brentford³2 - 2AFC Bournemouth³1.50.28W

26-04-23

Chelsea⁷0 - 2Brentford³1.50.32W

Liverpool's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

81.191.1514.88%

26-12-24

Liverpool³3 - 1Leicester City³1.50.09W

22-12-24

Tottenham Hotspur²3 - 6Liverpool³1.50.1W

14-12-24

Liverpool³2 - 2Fulham⁵1.50.14W

01-12-24

Liverpool³2 - 0Manchester City⁴1.50.18W

09-11-24

Liverpool³2 - 0Aston Villa^2(A)1.50.21W

27-10-24

Arsenal⁴2 - 2Liverpool³1.50.28W

21-09-24

Liverpool³3 - 0AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.12W

04-04-24

Liverpool³3 - 1Sheffield United⁴1.50.07W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Brentford's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.581.39.67%

20-01-24

Brentford³3 - 2Nottingham Forest^2(A)1.50.28W

22-01-23

Leeds United³0 - 0Brentford⁷1.5-1L

14-01-23

Brentford⁶2 - 0AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.28W

22-01-22

Brentford²1 - 2Wolverhampton Wanderers⁶1.50.48W

19-01-22

Brentford^2(A)1 - 3Manchester United³1.50.33W

16-01-22

Liverpool²3 - 0Brentford⁴1.50.21W

Liverpool's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-0.181.21-3.6%

21-01-24

AFC Bournemouth¹⁴0 - 4Liverpool¹⁰1.50.15W

21-01-23

Liverpool³0 - 0Chelsea⁵1.5-1L

14-01-23

Brighton & Hove Albion⁶3 - 0Liverpool⁶1.50.21W

23-01-22

Crystal Palace⁸1 - 3Liverpool^2(A)1.50.25W

16-01-22

Liverpool²3 - 0Brentford⁴1.50.21W

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Premier League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.982.983.123.13

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Premier League2092.98

2023/2024

Premier League3803.28

2022/2023

Premier League3802.85

2021/2022

Premier League3802.82

Premier League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

79.56%1.2683.25%1.285%1.1893.33%1.07

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Premier League20983.25% 1.2

2023/2024

Premier League38086.05% 1.16

2022/2023

Premier League38075.53% 1.32

2021/2022

Premier League38077.11% 1.3

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Premier League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.321.371.271.43

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Premier League2091.37

2023/2024

Premier League3801.36

2022/2023

Premier League3801.32

2021/2022

Premier League3801.27

Premier League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.661.611.871.69

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Premier League2091.61

2023/2024

Premier League3801.92

2022/2023

Premier League3801.53

2021/2022

Premier League3801.54

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

190.471.232.47%

Last 2 seasons - 11 vs 1 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

40.861.2221.5%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Brentford matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-1.111.25-18.5%

01-01-25

¹²Brentford⁴1 - 3³Arsenal⁴1.50.23W

17-02-24

¹⁴Brentford⁶1 - 4¹Liverpool⁶1.50.18W

05-02-24

¹⁵Brentford⁴1 - 3³Manchester City⁴1.50.18W

17-12-23

¹²Brentford⁷1 - 2³Aston Villa^2(A)1.50.3W

25-11-23

¹¹Brentford¹²0 - 1³Arsenal¹³1.5-1L

28-05-23

⁹Brentford⁷1 - 0¹Manchester City³1.5-1L

Liverpool matches against table positions: 10,11,12

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

7-1.151.2-16.43%

22-12-24

¹¹Tottenham Hotspur²3 - 6¹Liverpool³1.50.1W

04-12-24

¹¹Newcastle United³3 - 3¹Liverpool²1.50.22W

21-04-24

¹²Fulham⁶1 - 3³Liverpool^2(A)1.50.17W

21-01-24

¹²AFC Bournemouth¹⁴0 - 4¹Liverpool¹⁰1.50.15W

13-08-23

¹¹Chelsea⁹1 - 1¹⁴Liverpool⁵1.50.21W

04-04-23

¹¹Chelsea²0 - 0⁸Liverpool^2(A)1.5-1L

25-02-23

¹²Crystal Palace⁶0 - 0⁸Liverpool³1.5-1L

YOUR TEXT

Brentford vs Liverpool - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - Premier League

Injuries & Suspensions

Brentford's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Brentford's home matches when WIN odds between 6 and 8

Liverpool's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Liverpool's away matches when WIN odds between 1.4 and 1.6

Brentford's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Brentford's last 10 home matches

Liverpool's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Liverpool's last 10 away matches.

Brentford's all matches (last 6 matches)

Brentford's all matches - last 6

Liverpool's all matches (last 6 matches)

Liverpool's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Premier League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.04 - 0.09 )

Brentford's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.04 - 0.09 )

Liverpool's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.04 - 0.09 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Brentford (ELO: 1746) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Liverpool (ELO 1998) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Brentford's all matches (last 8 matches)

Liverpool's all matches (last 8 matches)

Brentford's all matches (last 8 matches)

Liverpool's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Premier League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Premier League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Premier League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Premier League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 11 vs 1 in the table

Brentford matches against table positions: 1,2,3

Liverpool matches against table positions: 10,11,12

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