Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - Premier League

2025-01-18
12:30:00

Newcastle United²

AFC Bournemouth³

St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)

S. Attwell

1.654.685.51

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.2

Injuries & Suspensions

Newcastle United

AFC Bournemouth

C. Wilson

Hamstring

App: 3 (0), G: 0

N. Pope

Knee Injury

App: 15 (15), G: 0

J. Lascelles

ACL Knee Injury

App: 15 (15), G: 0

A. Smith

Muscle Injury

App: 17 (12), G: 0

H. Barnes

Thigh Injury

App: 20 (6), G: 5

E. Ünal

ACL Knee Injury

App: 17 (2), G: 2

L. Sinisterra Lucumí

Hamstring

App: 8 (1), G: 1

M. Senesi

Thigh Injury

App: 11 (11), G: 0

M. Tavernier

Hamstring

App: 15 (13), G: 1

J. Lewis

Ankle Injury

App: 0 (0), G: 0

F. de Lima Barbosa

Foot Injury

App: 19 (17), G: 5

J. Hill

Knock

App: 5 (3), G: 0

J. Araujo

Hamstring

App: 8 (5), G: 0

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Liverpool20145148202847DDWWW

2Arsenal21127241192243WDWWW

3Nottingham Forest21125430201041DWWWW

4Newcastle United21115537221538WWWWW

5Chelsea21107441261537DDLLD

6Manchester City2110563829935DWWDL

7Aston Villa2110563132-135WWDLW

8AFC Bournemouth219753225734DWDDW

9Brighton & Hove Albion2171043229331WDDDD

10Fulham217953230230LDDWD

11Brentford218494037328DWLDL

12Manchester United217592629-326WDLLL

13West Ham United217592741-1426WLLWD

14Tottenham Hotspur21731143321124LLDLL

15Crystal Palace215972328-524WDWDL

16Everton203891526-1117LLLDD

17Wolverhampton Wanderers2144133148-1716LLDWW

18Ipswich Town2137112037-1716LDWLL

19Leicester City2135132346-2314LLLLL

20Southampton2113171347-346LLLLD

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Newcastle United's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-1.221.26-12.2%

Newcastle United's home matches when WIN odds between 1.6 and 1.8

19-10-24

Newcastle United¹³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Brighton & Hove Albion¹²1.5-1L

11-05-24

Newcastle United⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Brighton & Hove Albion⁵1.50.14W

02-03-24

Newcastle United³3 - 0⁽¹⁾Wolverhampton Wanderers²1.50.2W

16-09-23

Newcastle United¹³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Brentford¹³1.5-1L

12-08-23

Newcastle United⁵5 - 1⁽²⁾Aston Villa⁶1.50.23W

12-03-23

Newcastle United⁷2 - 1⁽¹⁾Wolverhampton Wanderers⁷1.50.36W

04-02-23

Newcastle United³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾West Ham United⁴1.50.31W

29-10-22

Newcastle United⁵4 - 0⁽⁾Aston Villa⁵1.50.29W

19-10-22

Newcastle United^2(A)1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Everton³1.5-1L

08-10-22

Newcastle United⁶5 - 1⁽²⁾Brentford⁶1.50.25W

AFC Bournemouth's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-0.191.24-1.9%

AFC Bournemouth's away matches when WIN odds between 4.5 and 6.5

14-01-25

Chelsea²2 - 2⁽¹⁾AFC Bournemouth²1.50.15W

22-12-24

Manchester United^2(A)0 - 3⁽⁰⁾AFC Bournemouth⁵1.50.23W

26-10-24

Aston Villa³1 - 1⁽²⁾AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.22W

09-12-23

Manchester United²0 - 3⁽⁰⁾AFC Bournemouth^2(A)1.50.18W

24-09-23

Brighton & Hove Albion²3 - 1⁽¹⁾AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.17W

02-09-23

Brentford³2 - 2⁽²⁾AFC Bournemouth³1.50.28W

28-05-23

Everton⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾AFC Bournemouth⁷1.5-1L

13-05-23

Crystal Palace⁶2 - 0⁽⁰⁾AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.29W

18-03-23

Aston Villa⁵3 - 0⁽²⁾AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.29W

18-02-23

Wolverhampton Wanderers⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾AFC Bournemouth⁶1.5-1L

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Newcastle United's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-1.71.2-17%

Newcastle United's last 10 home matches

15-01-25

Newcastle United²3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Wolverhampton Wanderers³1.50.18W

26-12-24

Newcastle United⁴3 - 0⁽¹⁾Aston Villa⁴1.50.22W

14-12-24

Newcastle United⁶4 - 0⁽⁰⁾Leicester City⁵1.50.14W

04-12-24

Newcastle United³3 - 3⁽²⁾Liverpool²1.50.22W

25-11-24

Newcastle United¹⁴0 - 2⁽⁰⁾West Ham United¹⁵1.50.18W

02-11-24

Newcastle United²1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Arsenal^2(A)1.5-1L

19-10-24

Newcastle United¹³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Brighton & Hove Albion¹²1.5-1L

28-09-24

Newcastle United⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Manchester City³1.50.21W

01-09-24

Newcastle United³2 - 1⁽¹⁾Tottenham Hotspur⁷1.50.15W

17-08-24

Newcastle United⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Southampton⁶1.5-1L

AFC Bournemouth's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

100.931.229.3%

AFC Bournemouth's last 10 away matches.

14-01-25

Chelsea²2 - 2⁽¹⁾AFC Bournemouth²1.50.15W

29-12-24

Fulham^2(A)2 - 2⁽¹⁾AFC Bournemouth²1.50.26W

22-12-24

Manchester United^2(A)0 - 3⁽⁰⁾AFC Bournemouth⁵1.50.23W

08-12-24

Ipswich Town⁴1 - 2⁽²⁾AFC Bournemouth²1.50.23W

30-11-24

Wolverhampton Wanderers⁶2 - 4⁽⁰⁾AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.23W

09-11-24

Brentford⁴3 - 2⁽⁰⁾AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.22W

26-10-24

Aston Villa³1 - 1⁽²⁾AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.22W

05-10-24

Leicester City⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾AFC Bournemouth⁴1.5-1L

21-09-24

Liverpool³3 - 0⁽⁰⁾AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.12W

31-08-24

Everton³2 - 3⁽³⁾AFC Bournemouth^2(A)1.50.27W

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Newcastle United's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61.081.1818%

Newcastle United's all matches - last 6

15-01-25

Newcastle United²3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Wolverhampton Wanderers³1.50.18W

04-01-25

Tottenham Hotspur⁵1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Newcastle United⁴1.50.1W

30-12-24

Manchester United³0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Newcastle United³1.50.23W

26-12-24

Newcastle United⁴3 - 0⁽¹⁾Aston Villa⁴1.50.22W

21-12-24

Ipswich Town⁶0 - 4⁽⁰⁾Newcastle United²1.50.21W

14-12-24

Newcastle United⁶4 - 0⁽⁰⁾Leicester City⁵1.50.14W

AFC Bournemouth's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-1.181.22-19.67%

AFC Bournemouth's all matches - last 6

14-01-25

Chelsea²2 - 2⁽¹⁾AFC Bournemouth²1.50.15W

04-01-25

AFC Bournemouth⁵1 - 0⁽¹⁾Everton⁵1.5-1L

29-12-24

Fulham^2(A)2 - 2⁽¹⁾AFC Bournemouth²1.50.26W

26-12-24

AFC Bournemouth³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Crystal Palace⁴1.5-1L

22-12-24

Manchester United^2(A)0 - 3⁽⁰⁾AFC Bournemouth⁵1.50.23W

16-12-24

AFC Bournemouth⁷1 - 1⁽²⁾West Ham United⁶1.50.18W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

51.211.2424.2%

H2H matches - last 6

25-08-24

AFC Bournemouth⁷1 - 1⁽¹⁾Newcastle United⁷1.50.21W

17-02-24

Newcastle United⁶2 - 2⁽¹⁾AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.2W

11-11-23

AFC Bournemouth⁶2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Newcastle United³1.50.26W

11-02-23

AFC Bournemouth⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Newcastle United⁶1.50.31W

17-09-22

Newcastle United¹³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾AFC Bournemouth¹³1.50.23W

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Liverpool20145148202847DDWWW

2Arsenal21127241192243WDWWW

3Nottingham Forest21125430201041DWWWW

4Newcastle United21115537221538WWWWW

5Chelsea21107441261537DDLLD

6Manchester City2110563829935DWWDL

7Aston Villa2110563132-135WWDLW

8AFC Bournemouth219753225734DWDDW

9Brighton & Hove Albion2171043229331WDDDD

10Fulham217953230230LDDWD

11Brentford218494037328DWLDL

12Manchester United217592629-326WDLLL

13West Ham United217592741-1426WLLWD

14Tottenham Hotspur21731143321124LLDLL

15Crystal Palace215972328-524WDWDL

16Everton203891526-1117LLLDD

17Wolverhampton Wanderers2144133148-1716LLDWW

18Ipswich Town2137112037-1716LDWLL

19Leicester City2135132346-2314LLLLL

20Southampton2113171347-346LLLLD

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -19%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.64 (1.56)-0.19 (1.2)2.020.15

Premier League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

302.661.268.87%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Newcastle United's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.141.1414.00%

11-05-24

^-0.19Newcastle United⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Brighton & Hove Albion⁵1.50.14W

AFC Bournemouth's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

4-0.281.24-7.00%

10-02-24

^-0.18Fulham⁶3 - 1⁽⁰⁾AFC Bournemouth⁵1.50.26W

09-12-23

^-0.20Manchester United²0 - 3⁽⁰⁾AFC Bournemouth^2(A)1.50.18W

28-10-23

^-0.20AFC Bournemouth⁶2 - 1⁽¹⁾Burnley⁶1.50.28W

17-09-23

^-0.20AFC Bournemouth¹⁴0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Chelsea¹⁴1.5-1L

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

912.431.272.67%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 71 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Newcastle United (ELO: 1854) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.591.227.38%

19-10-24

⁶⁸Newcastle United¹³0 - 1Brighton & Hove Albion¹²1.5-1L

11-05-24

⁷³Newcastle United⁶1 - 1Brighton & Hove Albion⁵1.50.14W

02-04-24

⁹³Newcastle United²1 - 1Everton^2(A)1.50.23W

02-03-24

⁴⁸Newcastle United³3 - 0Wolverhampton Wanderers²1.50.2W

16-12-23

⁸⁵Newcastle United²3 - 0Fulham⁵1.50.26W

25-11-23

⁶²Newcastle United¹³4 - 1Chelsea¹²1.50.24W

12-08-23

⁴⁸Newcastle United⁵5 - 1Aston Villa⁶1.50.23W

29-10-22

⁸⁷Newcastle United⁵4 - 0Aston Villa⁵1.50.29W

AFC Bournemouth (ELO 1783) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-1.011.27-16.83%

14-01-25

⁸⁴Chelsea²2 - 2AFC Bournemouth²1.50.15W

06-12-23

⁷⁰Crystal Palace^2(A)0 - 2AFC Bournemouth²1.50.33W

13-05-23

⁷⁵Crystal Palace⁶2 - 0AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.29W

08-04-23

⁷⁹Leicester City³0 - 1AFC Bournemouth³1.5-1L

18-02-23

⁸⁹Wolverhampton Wanderers⁶0 - 1AFC Bournemouth⁶1.5-1L

05-11-22

⁵⁸Leeds United⁶4 - 3AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.22W

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Newcastle United's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.351.214.38%

15-01-25

Newcastle United²3 - 0Wolverhampton Wanderers³1.50.18W

21-12-24

Ipswich Town⁶0 - 4Newcastle United²1.50.21W

07-12-24

Brentford^2(A)4 - 2Newcastle United²1.50.21W

02-11-24

Newcastle United²1 - 0Arsenal^2(A)1.5-1L

27-04-24

Newcastle United^2(A)5 - 1Sheffield United^2(A)1.50.12W

02-04-24

Newcastle United²1 - 1Everton^2(A)1.50.23W

30-01-24

Aston Villa³1 - 3Newcastle United^2(A)1.50.2W

26-12-23

Newcastle United^2(A)1 - 3Nottingham Forest²1.50.2W

AFC Bournemouth's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-1.781.26-22.25%

26-12-24

AFC Bournemouth³0 - 0Crystal Palace⁴1.5-1L

28-04-24

AFC Bournemouth³3 - 0Brighton & Hove Albion²1.50.15W

06-04-24

Luton Town^2(A)2 - 1AFC Bournemouth³1.50.2W

13-03-24

AFC Bournemouth³4 - 3Luton Town³1.50.15W

02-09-23

Brentford³2 - 2AFC Bournemouth³1.50.28W

27-04-23

Southampton⁵0 - 1AFC Bournemouth³1.5-1L

08-04-23

Leicester City³0 - 1AFC Bournemouth³1.5-1L

31-12-22

AFC Bournemouth³0 - 2Crystal Palace⁴1.50.44W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Newcastle United's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-2.481.26-49.6%

13-01-24

Newcastle United⁶2 - 3Manchester City⁵1.50.24W

21-01-23

Crystal Palace²0 - 0Newcastle United⁵1.5-1L

15-01-23

Newcastle United⁴1 - 0Fulham²1.5-1L

22-01-22

Leeds United⁵0 - 1Newcastle United⁶1.5-1L

15-01-22

Newcastle United⁶1 - 1Watford⁶1.50.28W

AFC Bournemouth's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

30.91.330%

21-01-24

AFC Bournemouth¹⁴0 - 4Liverpool¹⁰1.50.15W

21-01-23

AFC Bournemouth⁶1 - 1Nottingham Forest⁶1.50.47W

14-01-23

Brentford⁶2 - 0AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.28W

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Premier League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.982.983.123.13

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Premier League2092.98

2023/2024

Premier League3803.28

2022/2023

Premier League3802.85

2021/2022

Premier League3802.82

Premier League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

79.56%1.2683.25%1.285%1.1893.33%1.07

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Premier League20983.25% 1.2

2023/2024

Premier League38086.05% 1.16

2022/2023

Premier League38075.53% 1.32

2021/2022

Premier League38077.11% 1.3

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Premier League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.321.371.271.43

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Premier League2091.37

2023/2024

Premier League3801.36

2022/2023

Premier League3801.32

2021/2022

Premier League3801.27

Premier League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.661.611.871.69

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Premier League2091.61

2023/2024

Premier League3801.92

2022/2023

Premier League3801.53

2021/2022

Premier League3801.54

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

17-0.191.2-1.12%

Last 2 seasons - 4 vs 8 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-1.12%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Newcastle United matches against table positions: 7,8,9

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.521.226.5%

26-12-24

⁸Newcastle United⁴3 - 0⁷Aston Villa⁴1.50.22W

19-10-24

⁸Newcastle United¹³0 - 1⁷Brighton & Hove Albion¹²1.5-1L

01-09-24

¹⁰Newcastle United³2 - 1⁹Tottenham Hotspur⁷1.50.15W

30-03-24

¹⁰Newcastle United¹³4 - 3⁷West Ham United¹²1.50.18W

02-03-24

¹⁰Newcastle United³3 - 0⁹Wolverhampton Wanderers²1.50.2W

21-10-23

⁸Newcastle United¹²4 - 0⁹Crystal Palace¹³1.50.32W

27-08-23

¹³Newcastle United⁷1 - 2⁹Liverpool⁷1.50.18W

18-02-23

⁴Newcastle United⁶0 - 2⁹Liverpool⁴1.50.27W

AFC Bournemouth matches against table positions: 3,4,5

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

81.311.1616.38%

14-01-25

⁴Chelsea²2 - 2⁷AFC Bournemouth²1.50.15W

26-10-24

⁴Aston Villa³1 - 1¹¹AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.22W

21-09-24

⁵Liverpool³3 - 0¹¹AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.12W

21-04-24

⁴Aston Villa^2(A)3 - 1¹³AFC Bournemouth⁷1.50.18W

31-12-23

⁵Tottenham Hotspur^2(A)3 - 1¹²AFC Bournemouth⁴1.50.12W

04-11-23

³Manchester City⁵6 - 1¹⁷AFC Bournemouth²1.50.12W

24-09-23

⁵Brighton & Hove Albion²3 - 1¹⁷AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.17W

15-04-23

⁵Tottenham Hotspur⁶2 - 3¹⁵AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.23W

YOUR TEXT

Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - Premier League

Injuries & Suspensions

Newcastle United's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Newcastle United's home matches when WIN odds between 1.6 and 1.8

AFC Bournemouth's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

AFC Bournemouth's away matches when WIN odds between 4.5 and 6.5

Newcastle United's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Newcastle United's last 10 home matches

AFC Bournemouth's away matches (last 10 all matches)

AFC Bournemouth's last 10 away matches.

Newcastle United's all matches (last 6 matches)

Newcastle United's all matches - last 6

AFC Bournemouth's all matches (last 6 matches)

AFC Bournemouth's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Premier League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )

Newcastle United's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )

AFC Bournemouth's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Newcastle United (ELO: 1854) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

AFC Bournemouth (ELO 1783) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Newcastle United's all matches (last 8 matches)

AFC Bournemouth's all matches (last 8 matches)

Newcastle United's all matches (last 8 matches)

AFC Bournemouth's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Premier League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Premier League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Premier League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Premier League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 4 vs 8 in the table

Newcastle United matches against table positions: 7,8,9

AFC Bournemouth matches against table positions: 3,4,5

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