Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

SPAIN - La Liga

Rayo Vallecano Logo

2025-02-22
15:15:00
Villarreal Logo
Rayo Vallecano4
Villarreal6

3.053.342.69
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.29

Injuries & Suspensions

Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
U. LĂłpez Cabrera
Hamstring
App: 20 (16), G: 3
R. de Tomás Gómez
Virus
App: 0 (0), G: 0
A. Pedraza Sag
Ankle Injury
App: 0 (0), G: 0
F. FemenĂ­a Far
Back Injury
App: 21 (21), G: 0
G. Moreno Balaguero
Calf Injury
App: 12 (6), G: 3
J. Montiel Caballero
Ankle Injury
App: 0 (0), G: 0
S. Camello PĂ©rez
Foot Injury
App: 23 (14), G: 3
La Liga Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Barcelona24163565254051WWWWD
2Real Madrid24156352232951DDLWW
3Atlético Madrid24148239162350DDWDL
4Athletic Club24129337211645DWDDW
5Villarreal24118547351241DWWDW
6Rayo Vallecano249872725235LWWWD
7Mallorca24104102330-734WDLLL
8Real Betis248883031-132WLDWL
9Celta de Vigo2595113638-232WDWLD
10Osasuna2571172934-532LDDWD
11Girona2494113235-331LLWLL
12Real Sociedad2494112023-331LWLLL
13Sevilla248792934-531WLDDW
14Getafe247982018230WWDWD
15Espanyol2466122336-1324DLWDW
16Leganés2459102235-1324DLLDW
17Las Palmas2465132941-1223LLLDL
18Valencia2458112538-1323DWWLW
19Deportivo Alavés2457122838-1022DLLDW
20Real Valladolid2443171552-3715LLLLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Rayo Vallecano's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.321.43-5.33%

Rayo Vallecano's home matches when WIN odds between 2.9 and 3.2

10-01-25Rayo Vallecano62 - 1 (0)Celta de Vigo41.50.39W
25-05-24Rayo Vallecano50 - 1 (0)Athletic Club51.5-1L
11-11-23Rayo Vallecano51 - 2 (0)Girona61.50.29W
05-03-23Rayo Vallecano70 - 0 (0)Athletic Club31.5-1L
21-01-23Rayo Vallecano60 - 2 (0)Real Sociedad31.50.58W
10-09-22Rayo Vallecano52 - 1 (1)Valencia51.50.42W

Villarreal's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.581.325.8%

Villarreal's away matches when WIN odds between 2.5 and 2.8

25-05-24Osasuna51 - 1 (0)Villarreal51.50.18W
05-05-24Celta de Vigo73 - 2 (1)Villarreal61.50.22W
13-01-24Las Palmas53 - 0 (0)Villarreal41.50.26W
20-05-23Girona61 - 2 (1)Villarreal61.50.16W
23-04-23Sevilla22 - 1 (1)Villarreal71.50.31W
19-03-23Osasuna70 - 3 (2)Villarreal21.50.44W
18-02-23Mallorca64 - 2 (0)Villarreal51.50.61W
13-01-23Celta de Vigo61 - 1 (0)Villarreal51.50.4W
09-11-22Espanyol2(A)0 - 1 (0)Villarreal21.5-1L
11-09-22Real Betis2(A)1 - 0 (0)Villarreal21.5-1L
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Rayo Vallecano's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.571.4415.7%

Rayo Vallecano's last 10 home matches

07-02-25Rayo Vallecano61 - 0 (0)Real Valladolid51.5-1L
26-01-25Rayo Vallecano62 - 1 (2)Girona31.50.41W
10-01-25Rayo Vallecano62 - 1 (0)Celta de Vigo41.50.39W
14-12-24Rayo Vallecano63 - 3 (0)Real Madrid31.50.26W
01-12-24Rayo Vallecano61 - 2 (1)Athletic Club21.50.53W
08-11-24Rayo Vallecano91 - 3 (1)Las Palmas41.50.42W
26-10-24Rayo Vallecano51 - 0 (1)Deportivo Alavés71.5-1L
28-09-24Rayo Vallecano2(A)1 - 1 (0)Leganés51.50.62W
22-09-24Rayo Vallecano51 - 1 (0)Atlético Madrid21.50.4W
16-09-24Rayo Vallecano153 - 1 (1)Osasuna141.50.54W

Villarreal's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.271.2914.11%

Villarreal's last 10 away matches.

08-02-25Las Palmas41 - 2 (1)Villarreal61.5W
25-01-25Atlético Madrid31 - 1 (0)Villarreal41.50.28W
13-01-25Real Sociedad71 - 0 (0)Villarreal211.5-1L
22-12-24Leganés62 - 5 (2)Villarreal31.50.32W
08-12-24Athletic Club32 - 0 (0)Villarreal31.50.31W
24-11-24Osasuna142 - 2 (1)Villarreal141.50.28W
26-10-24Real Valladolid71 - 2 (1)Villarreal51.50.31W
05-10-24Real Madrid2(A)2 - 0 (0)Villarreal41.50.13W
26-09-24Espanyol41 - 2 (0)Villarreal31.50.26W
14-09-24Mallorca131 - 2 (1)Villarreal131.50.38W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Rayo Vallecano's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.741.37-29%

Rayo Vallecano's all matches - last 6

17-02-25FC Barcelona71 - 0 (0)Rayo Vallecano91.5-1L
07-02-25Rayo Vallecano61 - 0 (0)Real Valladolid51.5-1L
31-01-25Leganés40 - 1 (1)Rayo Vallecano41.5-1L
26-01-25Rayo Vallecano62 - 1 (2)Girona31.50.41W
19-01-25Osasuna2(A)1 - 1 (0)Rayo Vallecano2(A)1.50.46W
10-01-25Rayo Vallecano62 - 1 (0)Celta de Vigo41.50.39W

Villarreal's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.021.26-0.4%

Villarreal's all matches - last 6

15-02-25Villarreal61 - 1 (1)Valencia51.50.27W
08-02-25Las Palmas41 - 2 (1)Villarreal61.5W
01-02-25Villarreal65 - 1 (3)Real Valladolid61.50.15W
25-01-25Atlético Madrid31 - 1 (0)Villarreal41.50.28W
20-01-25Villarreal64 - 0 (0)Mallorca101.50.28W
13-01-25Real Sociedad71 - 0 (0)Villarreal211.5-1L
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.341.285.67%

H2H matches - last 6

18-12-24Villarreal21 - 1 (0)Rayo Vallecano31.50.26W
28-04-24Villarreal63 - 0 (0)Rayo Vallecano71.50.32W
24-09-23Rayo Vallecano81 - 1 (0)Villarreal2(A)1.50.26W
28-05-23Rayo Vallecano32 - 1 (1)Villarreal31.50.2W
30-01-23Villarreal70 - 1 (0)Rayo Vallecano81.5-1L
12-05-22Rayo Vallecano31 - 5 (1)Villarreal31.50.3W
La Liga Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Barcelona24163565254051WWWWD
2Real Madrid24156352232951DDLWW
3Atlético Madrid24148239162350DDWDL
4Athletic Club24129337211645DWDDW
5Villarreal24118547351241DWWDW
6Rayo Vallecano249872725235LWWWD
7Mallorca24104102330-734WDLLL
8Real Betis248883031-132WLDWL
9Celta de Vigo2595113638-232WDWLD
10Osasuna2571172934-532LDDWD
11Girona2494113235-331LLWLL
12Real Sociedad2494112023-331LWLLL
13Sevilla248792934-531WLDDW
14Getafe247982018230WWDWD
15Espanyol2466122336-1324DLWDW
16Leganés2459102235-1324DLLDW
17Las Palmas2465132941-1223LLLDL
18Valencia2458112538-1323DWWLW
19Deportivo Alavés2457122838-1022DLLDW
20Real Valladolid2443171552-3715LLLLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -21%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.58 (1.72)-0.21 (1.29)0.651.30

La Liga Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.24 - -0.19 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
53-2.971.44-5.60%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Rayo Vallecano's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.24 - -0.19 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-0.131.39-1.86%
19-05-24-0.19FC Barcelona2(A)3 - 0 (0)Rayo Vallecano31.50.17W
05-05-24-0.20Rayo Vallecano60 - 1 (0)AlmerĂ­a71.5-1L
20-04-24-0.21Rayo Vallecano62 - 1 (2)Osasuna41.50.58W
25-11-23-0.19Rayo Vallecano131 - 1 (1)FC Barcelona121.50.23W
22-10-23-0.23Las Palmas130 - 1 (1)Rayo Vallecano141.5-1L
22-04-23-0.21Real Sociedad62 - 1 (1)Rayo Vallecano71.50.41W
14-04-23-0.19Rayo Vallecano42 - 1 (0)Osasuna51.50.48W

Villarreal's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.24 - -0.19 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.311.3131.00%
08-12-24-0.22Athletic Club32 - 0 (0)Villarreal31.50.31W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
94-2.661.42-2.83%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -92 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Rayo Vallecano (ELO: 1669) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
83.151.3939.38%
26-01-25-69Rayo Vallecano62 - 1Girona31.50.41W
17-03-24-91Rayo Vallecano62 - 0Real Betis61.50.46W
11-11-23-79Rayo Vallecano51 - 2Girona61.50.29W
24-09-23-92Rayo Vallecano81 - 1Villarreal2(A)1.50.26W
19-02-23-67Rayo Vallecano61 - 1Sevilla21.50.48W
10-09-22-85Rayo Vallecano52 - 1Valencia51.50.42W
01-05-22-111Rayo Vallecano61 - 1Real Sociedad91.50.43W
11-04-22-95Rayo Vallecano71 - 1Valencia71.50.4W

Villarreal (ELO 1760) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
82.161.2727%
24-11-24-85Osasuna142 - 2Villarreal141.50.28W
14-09-24-104Mallorca131 - 2Villarreal131.50.38W
31-08-24-105Valencia2(A)1 - 1Villarreal41.50.27W
23-08-24-67Sevilla61 - 2Villarreal31.50.24W
25-05-24-92Osasuna51 - 1Villarreal51.50.18W
05-05-24-97Celta de Vigo73 - 2Villarreal61.50.22W
10-02-24-80Deportivo Alavés61 - 1Villarreal51.50.33W
13-01-24-82Las Palmas53 - 0Villarreal41.50.26W
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Rayo Vallecano's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.861.43-10.75%
31-01-25Leganés40 - 1Rayo Vallecano41.5-1L
02-03-24Rayo Vallecano41 - 1Cádiz51.50.48W
05-02-24Rayo Vallecano41 - 2Sevilla71.50.45W
11-12-23Rayo Vallecano40 - 0Celta de Vigo31.5-1L
02-09-23Real Betis51 - 0Rayo Vallecano41.5-1L
11-08-23AlmerĂ­a50 - 2Rayo Vallecano41.50.42W
04-05-23Rayo Vallecano42 - 1Real Valladolid31.50.31W
14-04-23Rayo Vallecano42 - 1Osasuna51.50.48W

Villarreal's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
81.661.2423.71%
15-02-25Villarreal61 - 1Valencia51.50.27W
08-02-25Las Palmas41 - 2Villarreal61.5W
01-02-25Villarreal65 - 1Real Valladolid61.50.15W
20-01-25Villarreal64 - 0Mallorca101.50.28W
15-12-24Villarreal61 - 2Real Betis2(A)1.50.2W
01-12-24Villarreal62 - 2Girona31.50.22W
05-05-24Celta de Vigo73 - 2Villarreal61.50.22W
28-04-24Villarreal63 - 0Rayo Vallecano71.50.32W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Rayo Vallecano's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.471.39-7.83%
26-02-24Girona63 - 0Rayo Vallecano71.50.25W
18-02-24Rayo Vallecano61 - 1Real Madrid41.50.26W
25-02-23Cádiz51 - 0Rayo Vallecano51.5-1L
19-02-23Rayo Vallecano61 - 1Sevilla21.50.48W
26-02-22Rayo Vallecano70 - 1Real Madrid61.5-1L
18-02-22Elche62 - 1Rayo Vallecano51.50.54W

Villarreal's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
51.891.3837.8%
23-02-24Real Sociedad41 - 3Villarreal61.50.27W
27-02-23Villarreal82 - 1Getafe61.50.43W
18-02-23Mallorca64 - 2Villarreal51.50.61W
27-02-22Villarreal45 - 1Espanyol61.50.25W
19-02-22Granada51 - 4Villarreal61.50.33W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

La Liga Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.552.612.612.67

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025La Liga2412.61
2023/2024La Liga3802.64
2022/2023La Liga3802.51
2021/2022La Liga3802.50

La Liga Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
70.53%1.4273.44%1.3674%1.3576.67%1.3

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025La Liga24173.44% 1.36
2023/2024La Liga38071.58% 1.4
2022/2023La Liga38070.79% 1.41
2021/2022La Liga38069.21% 1.44
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

La Liga First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.141.111.031.12

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025La Liga2411.11
2023/2024La Liga3801.20
2022/2023La Liga3801.12
2021/2022La Liga3801.09

La Liga Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.421.491.631.49

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025La Liga2411.49
2023/2024La Liga3801.45
2022/2023La Liga3801.39
2021/2022La Liga3801.41
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
150.031.370.2%

Last 2 seasons - 6 vs 5 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.251.2525%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Rayo Vallecano matches against table positions: 4,5,6

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.611.3912.2%
01-12-2413Rayo Vallecano61 - 26Athletic Club21.50.53W
22-09-2411Rayo Vallecano51 - 14Atlético Madrid21.50.4W
25-05-2416Rayo Vallecano50 - 15Athletic Club51.5-1L
29-10-238Rayo Vallecano62 - 25Real Sociedad41.50.48W
28-05-2312Rayo Vallecano32 - 15Villarreal31.50.2W

Villarreal matches against table positions: 5,6,7

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.71.258.75%
13-01-257Real Sociedad71 - 05Villarreal211.5-1L
24-11-247Osasuna142 - 24Villarreal141.50.28W
23-08-245Sevilla61 - 28Villarreal31.50.24W
14-04-245Athletic Club71 - 111Villarreal121.50.23W
10-03-247Real Betis62 - 312Villarreal2(A)1.50.26W
23-02-246Real Sociedad41 - 313Villarreal61.50.27W
24-09-236Rayo Vallecano81 - 113Villarreal2(A)1.50.26W
20-05-237Girona61 - 25Villarreal61.50.16W
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