Valencia vs Atlético Madrid - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

SPAIN - La Liga

Valencia Logo

2025-02-22
17:30:00
Atlético Madrid Logo
Valencia6
Atlético Madrid6

Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia)
4.623.502.01
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.42

Injuries & Suspensions

Valencia
Atlético Madrid
R. Mir Vicente
Suspended
App: 7 (3), G: 0
T. Rendall Correia
ACL Knee Injury
App: 11 (9), G: 0
J. ResurrecciĂłn Merodio
Muscle Injury
App: 23 (14), G: 1
La Liga Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Barcelona24163565254051WWWWD
2Real Madrid24156352232951DDLWW
3Atlético Madrid24148239162350DDWDL
4Athletic Club24129337211645DWDDW
5Villarreal24118547351241DWWDW
6Rayo Vallecano249872725235LWWWD
7Mallorca24104102330-734WDLLL
8Real Betis248883031-132WLDWL
9Celta de Vigo2595113638-232WDWLD
10Osasuna2571172934-532LDDWD
11Girona2494113235-331LLWLL
12Real Sociedad2494112023-331LWLLL
13Sevilla248792934-531WLDDW
14Getafe247982018230WWDWD
15Espanyol2466122336-1324DLWDW
16Leganés2459102235-1324DLLDW
17Las Palmas2465132941-1223LLLDL
18Valencia2458112538-1323DWWLW
19Deportivo Alavés2457122838-1022DLLDW
20Real Valladolid2443171552-3715LLLLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Valencia's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.221.29-5.5%

Valencia's home matches when WIN odds between 3.9 and 5.4

17-08-24Valencia61 - 2 (0)FC Barcelona41.50.28W
19-05-24Valencia2(A)1 - 3 (1)Girona41.50.25W
29-08-22Valencia70 - 1 (0)Atlético Madrid71.5-1L
20-02-22Valencia61 - 4 (0)FC Barcelona21.50.25W

Atlético Madrid's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-4.471.37-44.7%

Atlético Madrid's away matches when WIN odds between 1.9 and 2.2

26-09-24Celta de Vigo30 - 1 (1)Atlético Madrid31.5-1L
19-08-24Villarreal82 - 2 (0)Atlético Madrid71.50.26W
11-02-24Sevilla51 - 0 (0)Atlético Madrid31.5-1L
28-09-23Osasuna40 - 2 (1)Atlético Madrid31.50.41W
28-08-23Rayo Vallecano60 - 7 (3)Atlético Madrid31.50.43W
20-08-23Real Betis60 - 0 (0)Atlético Madrid51.5-1L
09-04-23Rayo Vallecano51 - 2 (1)Atlético Madrid61.50.43W
13-03-23Girona80 - 1 (1)Atlético Madrid81.5-1L
29-01-23Osasuna30 - 1 (0)Atlético Madrid2(A)1.5-1L
29-08-22Valencia70 - 1 (0)Atlético Madrid71.5-1L
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Valencia's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.081.48-0.8%

Valencia's last 10 home matches

09-02-25Valencia22 - 0 (0)Leganés31.50.48W
02-02-25Valencia62 - 1 (0)Celta de Vigo51.50.43W
19-01-25Valencia41 - 0 (0)Real Sociedad21.5-1L
03-01-25Valencia111 - 2 (2)Real Madrid111.50.2W
22-12-24Valencia32 - 2 (2)Deportivo Alavés61.50.46W
07-12-24Valencia2(A)0 - 1 (0)Rayo Vallecano2(A)1.5-1L
23-11-24Valencia264 - 2 (0)Real Betis121.50.49W
21-10-24Valencia162 - 3 (2)Las Palmas151.50.43W
24-09-24Valencia20 - 0 (0)Osasuna21.5-1L
21-09-24Valencia52 - 0 (0)Girona2(A)1.50.43W

Atlético Madrid's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-3.381.36-33.8%

Atlético Madrid's last 10 away matches.

08-02-25Real Madrid2(A)1 - 1 (0)Atlético Madrid31.50.22W
18-01-25Leganés2(A)1 - 0 (0)Atlético Madrid2(A)1.5-1L
21-12-24FC Barcelona51 - 2 (1)Atlético Madrid51.50.21W
30-11-24Real Valladolid70 - 5 (1)Atlético Madrid31.50.3W
10-11-24Mallorca80 - 1 (0)Atlético Madrid31.5-1L
27-10-24Real Betis21 - 0 (0)Atlético Madrid31.5-1L
06-10-24Real Sociedad21 - 1 (1)Atlético Madrid31.50.49W
26-09-24Celta de Vigo30 - 1 (1)Atlético Madrid31.5-1L
22-09-24Rayo Vallecano51 - 1 (0)Atlético Madrid21.50.4W
31-08-24Athletic Club20 - 1 (1)Atlético Madrid21.5-1L
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Valencia's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.791.4213.17%

Valencia's all matches - last 6

15-02-25Villarreal61 - 1 (1)Valencia51.50.27W
09-02-25Valencia22 - 0 (0)Leganés31.50.48W
02-02-25Valencia62 - 1 (0)Celta de Vigo51.50.43W
26-01-25FC Barcelona47 - 1 (0)Valencia61.50.15W
19-01-25Valencia41 - 0 (0)Real Sociedad21.5-1L
11-01-25Sevilla61 - 1 (1)Valencia31.50.46W

Atlético Madrid's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.81.31-13.33%

Atlético Madrid's all matches - last 6

15-02-25Atlético Madrid61 - 1 (1)Celta de Vigo61.50.25W
08-02-25Real Madrid2(A)1 - 1 (0)Atlético Madrid31.50.22W
01-02-25Atlético Madrid2(A)2 - 0 (1)Mallorca61.50.45W
25-01-25Atlético Madrid31 - 1 (0)Villarreal41.50.28W
18-01-25Leganés2(A)1 - 0 (0)Atlético Madrid2(A)1.5-1L
12-01-25Atlético Madrid71 - 0 (0)Osasuna71.5-1L
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.371.357.4%

H2H matches - last 6

15-09-24Atlético Madrid143 - 0 (1)Valencia141.50.28W
28-01-24Atlético Madrid22 - 0 (0)Valencia71.50.32W
16-09-23Valencia133 - 0 (0)Atlético Madrid181.50.42W
18-03-23Atlético Madrid43 - 0 (0)Valencia61.50.35W
29-08-22Valencia70 - 1 (0)Atlético Madrid71.5-1L
La Liga Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Barcelona24163565254051WWWWD
2Real Madrid24156352232951DDLWW
3Atlético Madrid24148239162350DDWDL
4Athletic Club24129337211645DWDDW
5Villarreal24118547351241DWWDW
6Rayo Vallecano249872725235LWWWD
7Mallorca24104102330-734WDLLL
8Real Betis248883031-132WLDWL
9Celta de Vigo2595113638-232WDWLD
10Osasuna2571172934-532LDDWD
11Girona2494113235-331LLWLL
12Real Sociedad2494112023-331LWLLL
13Sevilla248792934-531WLDDW
14Getafe247982018230WWDWD
15Espanyol2466122336-1324DLWDW
16Leganés2459102235-1324DLLDW
17Las Palmas2465132941-1223LLLDL
18Valencia2458112538-1323DWWLW
19Deportivo Alavés2457122838-1022DLLDW
20Real Valladolid2443171552-3715LLLLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -8%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.62 (1.61)-0.08 (1.42)0.591.49

La Liga Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.11 - -0.06 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
88-8.771.39-9.97%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Valencia's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.11 - -0.06 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
9-0.451.43-5.00%
29-11-24-0.06Mallorca52 - 1 (1)Valencia2(A)1.50.77W
04-04-24-0.08Granada50 - 1 (1)Valencia41.5-1L
17-03-24-0.07Villarreal21 - 0 (0)Valencia71.5-1L
16-12-23-0.06Valencia71 - 1 (0)FC Barcelona2(A)1.50.19W
08-12-23-0.09Getafe2(A)1 - 0 (1)Valencia2(A)1.5-1L
29-10-23-0.08Athletic Club62 - 2 (1)Valencia51.50.36W
23-10-23-0.10Valencia152 - 0 (0)Cádiz151.50.43W
01-10-23-0.07Real Betis2(A)3 - 0 (1)Valencia31.50.44W
14-05-23-0.10Celta de Vigo101 - 2 (1)Valencia101.50.36W

Atlético Madrid's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.11 - -0.06 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
12-0.581.27-4.83%
08-12-24-0.07Atlético Madrid2(A)4 - 3 (2)Sevilla2(A)1.50.28W
31-08-24-0.10Athletic Club20 - 1 (1)Atlético Madrid21.5-1L
19-05-24-0.09Atlético Madrid31 - 4 (1)Osasuna41.50.23W
27-04-24-0.10Atlético Madrid53 - 1 (1)Athletic Club71.50.35W
21-04-24-0.06Deportivo Alavés62 - 0 (1)Atlético Madrid41.50.44W
03-03-24-0.09Atlético Madrid2(A)2 - 1 (0)Real Betis61.50.26W
24-02-24-0.06Almería52 - 2 (0)Atlético Madrid31.50.26W
22-01-24-0.10Granada80 - 1 (0)Atlético Madrid31.5-1L
10-12-23-0.06Atlético Madrid62 - 1 (0)Almería31.50.14W
03-12-23-0.10FC Barcelona41 - 0 (0)Atlético Madrid41.5-1L
01-10-23-0.09Atlético Madrid2(A)3 - 2 (0)Cádiz31.50.25W
16-04-23-0.09Atlético Madrid32 - 1 (0)Almería61.50.21W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
35-1.331.31-3.8%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -225 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Valencia (ELO: 1648) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.71.3535%
17-08-24-219Valencia61 - 2FC Barcelona41.50.28W
16-09-23-201Valencia133 - 0Atlético Madrid181.50.42W

Atlético Madrid (ELO 1872) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
81.481.3418.5%
22-09-24-221Rayo Vallecano51 - 1Atlético Madrid21.50.4W
21-04-24-237Deportivo Alavés62 - 0Atlético Madrid41.50.44W
11-02-24-206Sevilla51 - 0Atlético Madrid31.5-1L
21-10-23-241Celta de Vigo120 - 3Atlético Madrid121.50.3W
16-09-23-201Valencia133 - 0Atlético Madrid181.50.42W
24-05-23-237Espanyol2(A)3 - 3Atlético Madrid21.50.24W
30-04-23-221Real Valladolid2(A)2 - 5Atlético Madrid31.50.25W
29-10-22-240Cádiz63 - 2Atlético Madrid21.50.43W
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Valencia's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.321.41-16.5%
02-02-25Valencia62 - 1Celta de Vigo51.50.43W
26-01-25FC Barcelona47 - 1Valencia61.50.15W
17-08-24Valencia61 - 2FC Barcelona41.50.28W
26-05-24Celta de Vigo62 - 2Valencia61.50.25W
12-05-24Valencia60 - 0Rayo Vallecano61.5-1L
09-03-24Valencia61 - 0Getafe61.5-1L
17-02-24Valencia60 - 0Sevilla51.5-1L
10-02-24Las Palmas62 - 0Valencia61.50.57W

Atlético Madrid's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.411.32-5.13%
15-02-25Atlético Madrid61 - 1Celta de Vigo61.50.25W
04-05-24Mallorca50 - 1Atlético Madrid61.5-1L
10-12-23Atlético Madrid62 - 1Almería31.50.14W
04-06-23Villarreal62 - 2Atlético Madrid61.50.17W
21-05-23Atlético Madrid63 - 0Osasuna71.50.2W
23-04-23FC Barcelona61 - 0Atlético Madrid61.5-1L
09-04-23Rayo Vallecano51 - 2Atlético Madrid61.50.43W
04-03-23Atlético Madrid66 - 1Sevilla51.50.4W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Valencia's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-3.751.47-75%
17-02-24Valencia60 - 0Sevilla51.5-1L
25-02-23Valencia41 - 0Real Sociedad61.5-1L
20-02-23Getafe71 - 0Valencia81.5-1L
26-02-22Mallorca50 - 1Valencia51.5-1L
20-02-22Valencia61 - 4FC Barcelona21.50.25W

Atlético Madrid's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.891.414.83%
24-02-24Almería52 - 2Atlético Madrid31.50.26W
17-02-24Atlético Madrid55 - 0Las Palmas61.50.31W
25-02-23Real Madrid31 - 1Atlético Madrid51.50.38W
19-02-23Atlético Madrid61 - 0Athletic Club71.5-1L
26-02-22Atlético Madrid22 - 0Celta de Vigo41.50.4W
19-02-22Osasuna60 - 3Atlético Madrid21.50.54W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

La Liga Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.552.612.612.67

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025La Liga2412.61
2023/2024La Liga3802.64
2022/2023La Liga3802.51
2021/2022La Liga3802.50

La Liga Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
70.53%1.4273.44%1.3674%1.3576.67%1.3

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025La Liga24173.44% 1.36
2023/2024La Liga38071.58% 1.4
2022/2023La Liga38070.79% 1.41
2021/2022La Liga38069.21% 1.44
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

La Liga First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.141.111.031.12

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025La Liga2411.11
2023/2024La Liga3801.20
2022/2023La Liga3801.12
2021/2022La Liga3801.09

La Liga Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.421.491.631.49

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025La Liga2411.49
2023/2024La Liga3801.45
2022/2023La Liga3801.39
2021/2022La Liga3801.41
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
15-1.281.25-8.53%

Last 2 seasons - 18 vs 3 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-8.53%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Valencia matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.971.28-16.17%
03-01-2519Valencia111 - 22Real Madrid111.50.2W
31-08-2420Valencia2(A)1 - 13Villarreal41.50.27W
19-05-249Valencia2(A)1 - 33Girona41.50.25W
02-03-249Valencia132 - 21Real Madrid51.50.31W
20-01-249Valencia21 - 03Athletic Club31.5-1L
21-05-2316Valencia61 - 03Real Madrid31.5-1L

Atlético Madrid matches against table positions: 18,19,20

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-0.551.27-7.86%
30-11-2420Real Valladolid70 - 53Atlético Madrid31.50.3W
09-03-2418Cádiz62 - 04Atlético Madrid51.50.35W
24-02-2420Almería52 - 24Atlético Madrid31.50.26W
22-01-2419Granada80 - 15Atlético Madrid31.5-1L
21-10-2318Celta de Vigo120 - 34Atlético Madrid121.50.3W
24-05-2319Espanyol2(A)3 - 33Atlético Madrid21.50.24W
14-05-2320Elche111 - 03Atlético Madrid101.5-1L
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