Valencia vs Atlético Madrid - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)
SPAIN - La Liga
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2025-02-22
17:30:00
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Valencia6
Atlético Madrid6
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Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.42
Injuries & Suspensions
Valencia
Atlético Madrid
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R. Mir Vicente
Suspended
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App: 7 (3), G: 0
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T. Rendall Correia
ACL Knee Injury
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App: 11 (9), G: 0
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J. ResurrecciĂłn Merodio
Muscle Injury
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App: 23 (14), G: 1
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#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Barcelona24163565254051WWWWD
2Real Madrid24156352232951DDLWW
3Atlético Madrid24148239162350DDWDL
4Athletic Club24129337211645DWDDW
5Villarreal24118547351241DWWDW
6Rayo Vallecano249872725235LWWWD
7Mallorca24104102330-734WDLLL
8Real Betis248883031-132WLDWL
9Celta de Vigo2595113638-232WDWLD
10Osasuna2571172934-532LDDWD
11Girona2494113235-331LLWLL
12Real Sociedad2494112023-331LWLLL
13Sevilla248792934-531WLDDW
14Getafe247982018230WWDWD
15Espanyol2466122336-1324DLWDW
16Leganés2459102235-1324DLLDW
17Las Palmas2465132941-1223LLLDL
18Valencia2458112538-1323DWWLW
19Deportivo Alavés2457122838-1022DLLDW
20Real Valladolid2443171552-3715LLLLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)
Valencia's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.221.29-5.5%
Valencia's home matches when WIN odds between 3.9 and 5.4
17-08-24
Valencia61 - 2 (0)FC Barcelona41.50.28W
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19-05-24
Valencia2(A)1 - 3 (1)Girona41.50.25W
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29-08-22
Valencia70 - 1 (0)Atlético Madrid71.5-1L
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20-02-22
Valencia61 - 4 (0)FC Barcelona21.50.25W
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Atlético Madrid's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-4.471.37-44.7%
Atlético Madrid's away matches when WIN odds between 1.9 and 2.2
26-09-24
Celta de Vigo30 - 1 (1)Atlético Madrid31.5-1L
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19-08-24
Villarreal82 - 2 (0)Atlético Madrid71.50.26W
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11-02-24
Sevilla51 - 0 (0)Atlético Madrid31.5-1L
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28-09-23
Osasuna40 - 2 (1)Atlético Madrid31.50.41W
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28-08-23
Rayo Vallecano60 - 7 (3)Atlético Madrid31.50.43W
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20-08-23
Real Betis60 - 0 (0)Atlético Madrid51.5-1L
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09-04-23
Rayo Vallecano51 - 2 (1)Atlético Madrid61.50.43W
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13-03-23
Girona80 - 1 (1)Atlético Madrid81.5-1L
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29-01-23
Osasuna30 - 1 (0)Atlético Madrid2(A)1.5-1L
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29-08-22
Valencia70 - 1 (0)Atlético Madrid71.5-1L
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MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES
Valencia's home matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.081.48-0.8%
Valencia's last 10 home matches
09-02-25
Valencia22 - 0 (0)Leganés31.50.48W
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02-02-25
Valencia62 - 1 (0)Celta de Vigo51.50.43W
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19-01-25
Valencia41 - 0 (0)Real Sociedad21.5-1L
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03-01-25
Valencia111 - 2 (2)Real Madrid111.50.2W
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22-12-24
Valencia32 - 2 (2)Deportivo Alavés61.50.46W
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07-12-24
Valencia2(A)0 - 1 (0)Rayo Vallecano2(A)1.5-1L
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23-11-24
Valencia264 - 2 (0)Real Betis121.50.49W
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21-10-24
Valencia162 - 3 (2)Las Palmas151.50.43W
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24-09-24
Valencia20 - 0 (0)Osasuna21.5-1L
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21-09-24
Valencia52 - 0 (0)Girona2(A)1.50.43W
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Atlético Madrid's away matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-3.381.36-33.8%
Atlético Madrid's last 10 away matches.
08-02-25
Real Madrid2(A)1 - 1 (0)Atlético Madrid31.50.22W
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18-01-25
Leganés2(A)1 - 0 (0)Atlético Madrid2(A)1.5-1L
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21-12-24
FC Barcelona51 - 2 (1)Atlético Madrid51.50.21W
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30-11-24
Real Valladolid70 - 5 (1)Atlético Madrid31.50.3W
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10-11-24
Mallorca80 - 1 (0)Atlético Madrid31.5-1L
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27-10-24
Real Betis21 - 0 (0)Atlético Madrid31.5-1L
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06-10-24
Real Sociedad21 - 1 (1)Atlético Madrid31.50.49W
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26-09-24
Celta de Vigo30 - 1 (1)Atlético Madrid31.5-1L
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22-09-24
Rayo Vallecano51 - 1 (0)Atlético Madrid21.50.4W
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31-08-24
Athletic Club20 - 1 (1)Atlético Madrid21.5-1L
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SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES
Valencia's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.791.4213.17%
Valencia's all matches - last 6
15-02-25
Villarreal61 - 1 (1)Valencia51.50.27W
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09-02-25
Valencia22 - 0 (0)Leganés31.50.48W
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02-02-25
Valencia62 - 1 (0)Celta de Vigo51.50.43W
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26-01-25
FC Barcelona47 - 1 (0)Valencia61.50.15W
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19-01-25
Valencia41 - 0 (0)Real Sociedad21.5-1L
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11-01-25
Sevilla61 - 1 (1)Valencia31.50.46W
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Atlético Madrid's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.81.31-13.33%
Atlético Madrid's all matches - last 6
15-02-25
Atlético Madrid61 - 1 (1)Celta de Vigo61.50.25W
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08-02-25
Real Madrid2(A)1 - 1 (0)Atlético Madrid31.50.22W
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01-02-25
Atlético Madrid2(A)2 - 0 (1)Mallorca61.50.45W
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25-01-25
Atlético Madrid31 - 1 (0)Villarreal41.50.28W
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18-01-25
Leganés2(A)1 - 0 (0)Atlético Madrid2(A)1.5-1L
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12-01-25
Atlético Madrid71 - 0 (0)Osasuna71.5-1L
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HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS
H2H Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.371.357.4%
H2H matches - last 6
15-09-24
Atlético Madrid143 - 0 (1)Valencia141.50.28W
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28-01-24
Atlético Madrid22 - 0 (0)Valencia71.50.32W
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16-09-23
Valencia133 - 0 (0)Atlético Madrid181.50.42W
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18-03-23
Atlético Madrid43 - 0 (0)Valencia61.50.35W
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29-08-22
Valencia70 - 1 (0)Atlético Madrid71.5-1L
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#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Barcelona24163565254051WWWWD
2Real Madrid24156352232951DDLWW
3Atlético Madrid24148239162350DDWDL
4Athletic Club24129337211645DWDDW
5Villarreal24118547351241DWWDW
6Rayo Vallecano249872725235LWWWD
7Mallorca24104102330-734WDLLL
8Real Betis248883031-132WLDWL
9Celta de Vigo2595113638-232WDWLD
10Osasuna2571172934-532LDDWD
11Girona2494113235-331LLWLL
12Real Sociedad2494112023-331LWLLL
13Sevilla248792934-531WLDDW
14Getafe247982018230WWDWD
15Espanyol2466122336-1324DLWDW
16Leganés2459102235-1324DLLDW
17Las Palmas2465132941-1223LLLDL
18Valencia2458112538-1323DWWLW
19Deportivo Alavés2457122838-1022DLLDW
20Real Valladolid2443171552-3715LLLLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)
Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -8%
LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL
Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.62 (1.61)-0.08 (1.42)0.591.49
La Liga Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.11 - -0.06 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
88-8.771.39-9.97%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown
Valencia's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.11 - -0.06 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
9-0.451.43-5.00%
29-11-24
-0.06Mallorca52 - 1 (1)Valencia2(A)1.50.77W
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04-04-24
-0.08Granada50 - 1 (1)Valencia41.5-1L
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17-03-24
-0.07Villarreal21 - 0 (0)Valencia71.5-1L
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16-12-23
-0.06Valencia71 - 1 (0)FC Barcelona2(A)1.50.19W
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08-12-23
-0.09Getafe2(A)1 - 0 (1)Valencia2(A)1.5-1L
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29-10-23
-0.08Athletic Club62 - 2 (1)Valencia51.50.36W
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23-10-23
-0.10Valencia152 - 0 (0)Cádiz151.50.43W
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01-10-23
-0.07Real Betis2(A)3 - 0 (1)Valencia31.50.44W
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14-05-23
-0.10Celta de Vigo101 - 2 (1)Valencia101.50.36W
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Atlético Madrid's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.11 - -0.06 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
12-0.581.27-4.83%
08-12-24
-0.07Atlético Madrid2(A)4 - 3 (2)Sevilla2(A)1.50.28W
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31-08-24
-0.10Athletic Club20 - 1 (1)Atlético Madrid21.5-1L
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19-05-24
-0.09Atlético Madrid31 - 4 (1)Osasuna41.50.23W
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27-04-24
-0.10Atlético Madrid53 - 1 (1)Athletic Club71.50.35W
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21-04-24
-0.06Deportivo Alavés62 - 0 (1)Atlético Madrid41.50.44W
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03-03-24
-0.09Atlético Madrid2(A)2 - 1 (0)Real Betis61.50.26W
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24-02-24
-0.06AlmerĂa52 - 2 (0)AtlĂ©tico Madrid31.50.26W
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22-01-24
-0.10Granada80 - 1 (0)Atlético Madrid31.5-1L
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10-12-23
-0.06AtlĂ©tico Madrid62 - 1 (0)AlmerĂa31.50.14W
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03-12-23
-0.10FC Barcelona41 - 0 (0)Atlético Madrid41.5-1L
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01-10-23
-0.09Atlético Madrid2(A)3 - 2 (0)Cádiz31.50.25W
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16-04-23
-0.09AtlĂ©tico Madrid32 - 1 (0)AlmerĂa61.50.21W
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ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS
Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
35-1.331.31-3.8%
ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)
ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -225 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)
Valencia (ELO: 1648) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.71.3535%
17-08-24
-219Valencia61 - 2FC Barcelona41.50.28W
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16-09-23
-201Valencia133 - 0Atlético Madrid181.50.42W
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Atlético Madrid (ELO 1872) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
81.481.3418.5%
22-09-24
-221Rayo Vallecano51 - 1Atlético Madrid21.50.4W
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21-04-24
-237Deportivo Alavés62 - 0Atlético Madrid41.50.44W
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11-02-24
-206Sevilla51 - 0Atlético Madrid31.5-1L
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21-10-23
-241Celta de Vigo120 - 3Atlético Madrid121.50.3W
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16-09-23
-201Valencia133 - 0Atlético Madrid181.50.42W
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24-05-23
-237Espanyol2(A)3 - 3Atlético Madrid21.50.24W
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30-04-23
-221Real Valladolid2(A)2 - 5Atlético Madrid31.50.25W
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29-10-22
-240Cádiz63 - 2Atlético Madrid21.50.43W
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SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES
Valencia's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.321.41-16.5%
02-02-25
Valencia62 - 1Celta de Vigo51.50.43W
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26-01-25
FC Barcelona47 - 1Valencia61.50.15W
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17-08-24
Valencia61 - 2FC Barcelona41.50.28W
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26-05-24
Celta de Vigo62 - 2Valencia61.50.25W
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12-05-24
Valencia60 - 0Rayo Vallecano61.5-1L
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09-03-24
Valencia61 - 0Getafe61.5-1L
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17-02-24
Valencia60 - 0Sevilla51.5-1L
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10-02-24
Las Palmas62 - 0Valencia61.50.57W
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Atlético Madrid's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.411.32-5.13%
15-02-25
Atlético Madrid61 - 1Celta de Vigo61.50.25W
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04-05-24
Mallorca50 - 1Atlético Madrid61.5-1L
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10-12-23
AtlĂ©tico Madrid62 - 1AlmerĂa31.50.14W
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04-06-23
Villarreal62 - 2Atlético Madrid61.50.17W
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21-05-23
Atlético Madrid63 - 0Osasuna71.50.2W
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23-04-23
FC Barcelona61 - 0Atlético Madrid61.5-1L
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09-04-23
Rayo Vallecano51 - 2Atlético Madrid61.50.43W
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04-03-23
Atlético Madrid66 - 1Sevilla51.50.4W
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HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)
Valencia's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-3.751.47-75%
17-02-24
Valencia60 - 0Sevilla51.5-1L
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25-02-23
Valencia41 - 0Real Sociedad61.5-1L
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20-02-23
Getafe71 - 0Valencia81.5-1L
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26-02-22
Mallorca50 - 1Valencia51.5-1L
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20-02-22
Valencia61 - 4FC Barcelona21.50.25W
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Atlético Madrid's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.891.414.83%
24-02-24
AlmerĂa52 - 2AtlĂ©tico Madrid31.50.26W
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17-02-24
Atlético Madrid55 - 0Las Palmas61.50.31W
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25-02-23
Real Madrid31 - 1Atlético Madrid51.50.38W
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19-02-23
Atlético Madrid61 - 0Athletic Club71.5-1L
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26-02-22
Atlético Madrid22 - 0Celta de Vigo41.50.4W
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19-02-22
Osasuna60 - 3Atlético Madrid21.50.54W
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League Trends By Game Week
Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)
Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)
La Liga Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.552.612.612.67
Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
La Liga2412.61
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2023/2024
La Liga3802.64
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2022/2023
La Liga3802.51
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2021/2022
La Liga3802.50
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La Liga Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
70.53%1.4273.44%1.3674%1.3576.67%1.3
Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
La Liga24173.44% 1.36
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2023/2024
La Liga38071.58% 1.4
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2022/2023
La Liga38070.79% 1.41
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2021/2022
La Liga38069.21% 1.44
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Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)
La Liga First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.141.111.031.12
First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
La Liga2411.11
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2023/2024
La Liga3801.20
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2022/2023
La Liga3801.12
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2021/2022
La Liga3801.09
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La Liga Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.421.491.631.49
Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
La Liga2411.49
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2023/2024
La Liga3801.45
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2022/2023
La Liga3801.39
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2021/2022
La Liga3801.41
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League Positions - Stats
Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
15-1.281.25-8.53%
Last 2 seasons - 18 vs 3 in the table
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-8.53%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS
Valencia matches against table positions: 1,2,3
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.971.28-16.17%
03-01-25
19Valencia111 - 22Real Madrid111.50.2W
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31-08-24
20Valencia2(A)1 - 13Villarreal41.50.27W
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19-05-24
9Valencia2(A)1 - 33Girona41.50.25W
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02-03-24
9Valencia132 - 21Real Madrid51.50.31W
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20-01-24
9Valencia21 - 03Athletic Club31.5-1L
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21-05-23
16Valencia61 - 03Real Madrid31.5-1L
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Atlético Madrid matches against table positions: 18,19,20
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-0.551.27-7.86%
30-11-24
20Real Valladolid70 - 53Atlético Madrid31.50.3W
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09-03-24
18Cádiz62 - 04Atlético Madrid51.50.35W
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24-02-24
20AlmerĂa52 - 24AtlĂ©tico Madrid31.50.26W
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22-01-24
19Granada80 - 15Atlético Madrid31.5-1L
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21-10-23
18Celta de Vigo120 - 34Atlético Madrid121.50.3W
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24-05-23
19Espanyol2(A)3 - 33Atlético Madrid21.50.24W
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14-05-23
20Elche111 - 03Atlético Madrid101.5-1L
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