MVV Maastricht vs FC Den Bosch - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

NETHERLANDS - Eerste Divisie

MVV Maastricht Logo

2025-01-18
15:30:00
FC Den Bosch Logo
MVV Maastricht7
FC Den Bosch11

De Geusselt (Maastricht)
M. Simonini
2.343.943.13
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.2
Eerste Divisie Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Volendam22144451262546WWWDW
2Excelsior22126440211942LDWDW
3FC Dordrecht2210753831737DDLWW
4SC Cambuur21112829191035WLWWD
5ADO Den Haag2197536261034WWWLW
6FC Den Bosch2096534221233WDDLW
7Roda JC Kerkrade219662827133WLLWD
8De Graafschap209564132932LLLWL
9FC Emmen209563224832LDDLW
10Helmond Sport219483033-331LLLDL
11Telstar227873230229LWLWL
12Jong AZ2275103640-426DWWDL
13FC Eindhoven217592936-726LDLWW
14TOP Oss226791735-1825LWLWD
15MVV Maastricht215883033-323LWLDW
16VVV-Venlo2264122337-1422WWDWD
17Jong Ajax2156102427-321LWLWL
18Jong PSV2163123340-721LWDLL
19Jong Utrecht2027111939-2013WLLDD
20Vitesse2247112953-24-8LLLWD
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

MVV Maastricht's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.521.17-13%

MVV Maastricht's home matches when WIN odds between 2.2 and 2.5

23-03-24MVV Maastricht51 - 0 (0)FC Den Bosch71.5-1L
19-02-24MVV Maastricht63 - 3 (2)Jong PSV91.50.13W
04-11-22MVV Maastricht64 - 0 (1)Helmond Sport61.50.19W
22-10-22MVV Maastricht2(A)3 - 1 (1)FC Den Bosch31.50.16W

FC Den Bosch's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.041.23-17.33%

FC Den Bosch's away matches when WIN odds between 3 and 3.3

23-03-24MVV Maastricht51 - 0 (0)FC Den Bosch71.5-1L
08-03-24TOP Oss61 - 2 (2)FC Den Bosch31.50.3W
15-01-24Jong PSV2 - 2 (1)FC Den Bosch1.50.21W
03-02-23TOP Oss63 - 0 (2)FC Den Bosch61.50.29W
16-12-22Helmond Sport31 - 0 (0)FC Den Bosch41.5-1L
22-10-22MVV Maastricht2(A)3 - 1 (1)FC Den Bosch31.50.16W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

MVV Maastricht's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.591.17-5.9%

MVV Maastricht's last 10 home matches

22-12-24MVV Maastricht45 - 1 (2)Telstar2(A)1.50.2W
06-12-24MVV Maastricht32 - 2 (2)Vitesse61.50.21W
22-11-24MVV Maastricht42 - 1 (0)FC Dordrecht111.50.15W
08-11-24MVV Maastricht30 - 0 (0)De Graafschap61.5-1L
27-10-24MVV Maastricht81 - 2 (1)Helmond Sport51.50.19W
13-10-24MVV Maastricht82 - 0 (1)VVV-Venlo81.50.17W
27-09-24MVV Maastricht52 - 2 (3)TOP Oss41.50.2W
13-09-24MVV Maastricht42 - 2 (1)FC Volendam121.50.15W
30-08-24MVV Maastricht63 - 2 (2)Jong PSV31.50.14W
09-08-24MVV Maastricht50 - 1 (0)SC Cambuur61.5-1L

FC Den Bosch's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-1.691.2-16.9%

FC Den Bosch's last 10 away matches.

20-12-24FC Emmen60 - 3 (0)FC Den Bosch61.50.18W
06-12-24Helmond Sport60 - 0 (0)FC Den Bosch41.5-1L
26-11-24SC Cambuur31 - 2 (1)FC Den Bosch31.50.17W
08-11-24TOP Oss51 - 0 (0)FC Den Bosch51.5-1L
25-10-24VVV-Venlo61 - 2 (1)FC Den Bosch2(A)1.50.2W
22-10-24FC Volendam33 - 2 (1)FC Den Bosch31.50.12W
28-09-24Telstar70 - 0 (0)FC Den Bosch71.5-1L
16-09-24Jong Utrecht2(A)0 - 3 (0)FC Den Bosch21.50.27W
30-08-24Jong Ajax51 - 2 (1)FC Den Bosch61.50.17W
09-08-24FC Eindhoven52 - 0 (0)FC Den Bosch61.50.2W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

MVV Maastricht's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.091.2-1.5%

MVV Maastricht's all matches - last 6

10-01-25TOP Oss41 - 0 (0)MVV Maastricht181.5-1L
22-12-24MVV Maastricht45 - 1 (2)Telstar2(A)1.50.2W
13-12-24ADO Den Haag52 - 0 (0)MVV Maastricht61.50.18W
06-12-24MVV Maastricht32 - 2 (2)Vitesse61.50.21W
02-12-24Jong AZ62 - 3 (1)MVV Maastricht91.50.17W
22-11-24MVV Maastricht42 - 1 (0)FC Dordrecht111.50.15W

FC Den Bosch's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.091.19-1.5%

FC Den Bosch's all matches - last 6

20-12-24FC Emmen60 - 3 (0)FC Den Bosch61.50.18W
13-12-24FC Den Bosch61 - 1 (0)Jong PSV31.50.18W
06-12-24Helmond Sport60 - 0 (0)FC Den Bosch41.5-1L
01-12-24FC Den Bosch42 - 3 (2)FC Dordrecht51.50.17W
26-11-24SC Cambuur31 - 2 (1)FC Den Bosch31.50.17W
22-11-24FC Den Bosch130 - 3 (0)Excelsior131.50.21W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.111.18-1.83%

H2H matches - last 6

23-08-24FC Den Bosch61 - 1 (0)MVV Maastricht31.50.22W
23-03-24MVV Maastricht51 - 0 (0)FC Den Bosch71.5-1L
15-09-23FC Den Bosch53 - 2 (2)MVV Maastricht61.50.18W
27-01-23FC Den Bosch63 - 3 (2)MVV Maastricht2(A)1.50.15W
22-10-22MVV Maastricht2(A)3 - 1 (1)FC Den Bosch31.50.16W
11-03-22FC Den Bosch63 - 1 (1)MVV Maastricht61.50.18W
Eerste Divisie Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Volendam22144451262546WWWDW
2Excelsior22126440211942LDWDW
3FC Dordrecht2210753831737DDLWW
4SC Cambuur21112829191035WLWWD
5ADO Den Haag2197536261034WWWLW
6FC Den Bosch2096534221233WDDLW
7Roda JC Kerkrade219662827133WLLWD
8De Graafschap209564132932LLLWL
9FC Emmen209563224832LDDLW
10Helmond Sport219483033-331LLLDL
11Telstar227873230229LWLWL
12Jong AZ2275103640-426DWWDL
13FC Eindhoven217592936-726LDLWW
14TOP Oss226791735-1825LWLWD
15MVV Maastricht215883033-323LWLDW
16VVV-Venlo2264122337-1422WWDWD
17Jong Ajax2156102427-321LWLWL
18Jong PSV2163123340-721LWDLL
19Jong Utrecht2027111939-2013WLLDD
20Vitesse2247112953-24-8LLLWD
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -3%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.80 (1.25)-0.03 (1.2)1.561.45

Eerste Divisie Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.06 - -0 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
114-3.571.19-3.13%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

MVV Maastricht's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.06 - -0 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
13-1.401.16-10.77%
06-12-24-0.02MVV Maastricht32 - 2 (2)Vitesse61.50.21W
13-09-24-0.04MVV Maastricht42 - 2 (1)FC Volendam121.50.15W
19-08-24-0.03Jong Ajax60 - 0 (0)MVV Maastricht91.5-1L
09-08-24-0.03MVV Maastricht50 - 1 (0)SC Cambuur61.5-1L
29-03-24-0.03NAC Breda51 - 2 (1)MVV Maastricht51.50.14W
10-11-23-0.01TOP Oss30 - 1 (0)MVV Maastricht31.5-1L
30-10-23-0.03Jong Utrecht61 - 1 (0)MVV Maastricht91.50.2W
06-10-23-0.03Jong PSV62 - 3 (2)MVV Maastricht31.50.15W
25-08-23-0.01FC Dordrecht62 - 2 (1)MVV Maastricht111.50.13W
05-05-23-0.01De Graafschap52 - 1 (1)MVV Maastricht61.50.09W
31-03-23-0.03MVV Maastricht43 - 2 (1)FC Eindhoven131.50.2W
26-03-23-0.03Willem II82 - 0 (1)MVV Maastricht81.50.15W
05-02-23-0.01Roda JC Kerkrade52 - 1 (0)MVV Maastricht81.50.18W

FC Den Bosch's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.06 - -0 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
11-0.251.20-2.27%
06-12-24-0.01Helmond Sport60 - 0 (0)FC Den Bosch41.5-1L
26-11-24-0.03SC Cambuur31 - 2 (1)FC Den Bosch31.50.17W
22-10-24-0.05FC Volendam33 - 2 (1)FC Den Bosch31.50.12W
20-09-24-0.05FC Den Bosch31 - 0 (0)FC Emmen31.5-1L
30-08-24-0.02Jong Ajax51 - 2 (1)FC Den Bosch61.50.17W
09-08-24-0.02FC Eindhoven52 - 0 (0)FC Den Bosch61.50.2W
15-04-24-0.01Jong Utrecht60 - 2 (1)FC Den Bosch61.50.28W
04-11-23-0.01FC Den Bosch21 - 1 (0)Jong Utrecht41.50.23W
27-10-23-0.01FC Dordrecht35 - 1 (1)FC Den Bosch61.50.21W
20-10-23-0.02FC Den Bosch41 - 2 (0)VVV-Venlo51.50.24W
09-09-23-0.02SC Cambuur73 - 1 (0)FC Den Bosch71.50.13W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-19.83%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

MVV Maastricht (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-19.83%

FC Den Bosch (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-19.83%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

MVV Maastricht's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-1.491.18-29.8%
21-09-24Roda JC Kerkrade41 - 0MVV Maastricht71.5-1L
20-04-24MVV Maastricht71 - 1Willem II71.50.18W
14-10-23Telstar72 - 1MVV Maastricht71.50.18W
13-08-23VVV-Venlo71 - 3MVV Maastricht71.50.15W
29-01-22FC Eindhoven71 - 0MVV Maastricht71.5-1L

FC Den Bosch's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
1-11.18-100%
25-02-22De Graafschap130 - 0FC Den Bosch111.5-1L
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

MVV Maastricht's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.331.21-8.25%
19-01-24MVV Maastricht63 - 0Jong Utrecht31.50.24W
13-01-23ADO Den Haag2(A)2 - 1MVV Maastricht61.50.18W
21-01-22MVV Maastricht60 - 1FC Volendam61.5-1L
14-01-22Telstar42 - 1MVV Maastricht61.50.25W

FC Den Bosch's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.191.21-19.83%
19-01-24FC Den Bosch30 - 0Roda JC Kerkrade261.5-1L
15-01-24Jong PSV2 - 2FC Den Bosch1.50.21W
20-01-23FC Den Bosch31 - 0Jong PSV131.5-1L
16-01-23FC Eindhoven54 - 1FC Den Bosch41.50.23W
21-01-22FC Den Bosch30 - 2FC Eindhoven61.50.25W
17-01-22Jong Ajax62 - 1FC Den Bosch81.50.12W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Eerste Divisie Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
3.062.982.982.87

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Eerste Divisie2122.98
2023/2024Eerste Divisie3793.05
2022/2023Eerste Divisie3803.07
2021/2022Eerste Divisie3803.07

Eerste Divisie Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
80.34%1.2478.77%1.2778%1.2873.33%1.36

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Eerste Divisie21278.77% 1.27
2023/2024Eerste Divisie37982.32% 1.21
2022/2023Eerste Divisie38079.74% 1.25
2021/2022Eerste Divisie38078.95% 1.27
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Eerste Divisie First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.391.361.41.45

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Eerste Divisie2121.36
2023/2024Eerste Divisie3791.39
2022/2023Eerste Divisie3801.40
2021/2022Eerste Divisie3801.38

Eerste Divisie Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.671.631.471.55

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Eerste Divisie2121.63
2023/2024Eerste Divisie3791.66
2022/2023Eerste Divisie3801.67
2021/2022Eerste Divisie3801.68
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
190.261.191.37%

Last 2 seasons - 15 vs 6 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.371.1918.5%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

MVV Maastricht matches against table positions: 5,6,7

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.321.17-22%
22-11-2416MVV Maastricht42 - 16FC Dordrecht111.50.15W
09-08-249MVV Maastricht50 - 16SC Cambuur61.5-1L
06-11-2316MVV Maastricht31 - 16FC Emmen51.50.16W
29-09-2314MVV Maastricht40 - 37ADO Den Haag61.50.17W
31-03-237MVV Maastricht43 - 26FC Eindhoven131.50.2W
03-03-236MVV Maastricht30 - 15VVV-Venlo61.5-1L

FC Den Bosch matches against table positions: 14,15,16

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-1.391.21-27.8%
08-11-2415TOP Oss51 - 03FC Den Bosch51.5-1L
10-05-2415FC Eindhoven62 - 018FC Den Bosch61.50.22W
08-04-2415Jong Ajax90 - 219FC Den Bosch91.50.18W
23-03-2414MVV Maastricht51 - 019FC Den Bosch71.5-1L
15-01-2416Jong PSV2 - 218FC Den Bosch1.50.21W
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