PEC Zwolle vs PSV - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

NETHERLANDS - Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle Logo

2025-01-18
15:30:00
PSV Logo
PEC Zwolle6
PSV3

MACÂłPARK Stadion (Zwolle)
J. Manschot
12.978.511.24
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.11

Injuries & Suspensions

PEC Zwolle
PSV
Y. Namli
Unknown
App: 9 (7), G: 0
S. Floranus
Unknown
App: 2 (2), G: 0
O. Velanas
Illness
App: 16 (8), G: 0
J. Schendelaar
Illness
App: 17 (17), G: 0
S. Dest
ACL Knee Injury
App: 2 (0), G: 0
C. Driouech
Ankle Injury
App: 9 (0), G: 2
Eredivisie Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1PSV18151261154646DWLWW
2Ajax18133239172242WWWLD
3FC Utrecht1812333629739WLDWD
4Feyenoord18105341231835LLWWD
5FC Twente18104438231534WLWLW
6AZ18103533191433DWWWW
7Go Ahead Eagles188463327628WWDWL
8Fortuna Sittard187472528-325LWWDD
9SC Heerenveen187382133-1224WLWWD
10Willem II186482325-222LWWLL
11NAC Breda1871102131-1022LLLWW
12NEC Nijmegen1862102424020WLDLL
13PEC Zwolle184591627-1117LDLDW
14FC Groningen174581426-1217DLDWL
15Heracles Almelo173681934-1515DLDLD
16Sparta Rotterdam182791527-1213DLDLL
17Almere City1824121037-2710DWLLL
18RKC Waalwijk1814131943-247LDLLD
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

PEC Zwolle's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.221.1111%

PEC Zwolle's home matches when WIN odds between 11.5 and 14.5

18-08-24PEC Zwolle61 - 5 (1)Feyenoord71.50.11W
08-10-23PEC Zwolle60 - 2 (0)Feyenoord31.50.11W

PSV's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.131.121.3%

PSV's away matches when WIN odds between 1.2 and 1.3

14-12-24SC Heerenveen51 - 0 (0)PSV31.5-1L
22-09-24Fortuna Sittard31 - 3 (0)PSV41.50.15W
24-08-24Almere City71 - 7 (3)PSV51.50.12W
12-05-24Fortuna Sittard81 - 1 (0)PSV61.50.12W
24-02-24PEC Zwolle61 - 7 (1)PSV31.50.14W
04-11-23Heracles Almelo2(A)0 - 6 (2)PSV51.50.12W
23-09-23Almere City50 - 4 (1)PSV2(A)1.50.11W
02-09-23RKC Waalwijk60 - 4 (1)PSV21.50.09W
16-04-23FC Volendam72 - 3 (0)PSV71.50.13W
23-10-22FC Groningen34 - 2 (2)PSV2(A)1.50.15W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

PEC Zwolle's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.751.25-27.5%

PEC Zwolle's last 10 home matches

11-01-25PEC Zwolle210 - 1 (0)NEC Nijmegen51.5-1L
13-12-24PEC Zwolle40 - 1 (0)Willem II41.5-1L
30-11-24PEC Zwolle51 - 0 (0)Sparta Rotterdam51.5-1L
09-11-24PEC Zwolle53 - 1 (0)Fortuna Sittard61.50.33W
20-10-24PEC Zwolle131 - 2 (2)NAC Breda141.50.29W
29-09-24PEC Zwolle81 - 0 (1)Almere City61.5-1L
20-09-24PEC Zwolle51 - 2 (0)AZ51.50.17W
01-09-24PEC Zwolle73 - 0 (2)Heracles Almelo61.50.25W
18-08-24PEC Zwolle61 - 5 (1)Feyenoord71.50.11W
19-05-24PEC Zwolle61 - 2 (1)FC Twente61.50.1W

PSV's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.421.154.2%

PSV's last 10 away matches.

14-12-24SC Heerenveen51 - 0 (0)PSV31.5-1L
01-12-24FC Utrecht62 - 5 (2)PSV31.50.15W
09-11-24NAC Breda60 - 3 (0)PSV31.50.22W
02-11-24Ajax2(A)3 - 2 (0)PSV61.50.2W
19-10-24AZ121 - 2 (1)PSV131.50.19W
28-09-24Willem II60 - 2 (0)PSV51.50.17W
22-09-24Fortuna Sittard31 - 3 (0)PSV41.50.15W
24-08-24Almere City71 - 7 (3)PSV51.50.12W
18-08-24Heracles Almelo61 - 3 (1)PSV71.50.1W
12-05-24Fortuna Sittard81 - 1 (0)PSV61.50.12W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

PEC Zwolle's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-3.691.27-61.5%

PEC Zwolle's all matches - last 6

11-01-25PEC Zwolle210 - 1 (0)NEC Nijmegen51.5-1L
20-12-24RKC Waalwijk21 - 1 (0)PEC Zwolle61.50.22W
13-12-24PEC Zwolle40 - 1 (0)Willem II41.5-1L
08-12-24FC Groningen70 - 0 (0)PEC Zwolle71.5-1L
30-11-24PEC Zwolle51 - 0 (0)Sparta Rotterdam51.5-1L
24-11-24Ajax132 - 0 (0)PEC Zwolle141.50.09W

PSV's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.261.14-4.33%

PSV's all matches - last 6

11-01-25PSV192 - 2 (1)AZ201.50.17W
22-12-24PSV43 - 0 (0)Feyenoord41.50.14W
14-12-24SC Heerenveen51 - 0 (0)PSV31.5-1L
06-12-24PSV46 - 1 (1)FC Twente41.50.13W
01-12-24FC Utrecht62 - 5 (2)PSV31.50.15W
23-11-24PSV135 - 0 (1)FC Groningen131.50.15W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
40.411.110.25%

H2H matches - last 6

26-10-24PSV36 - 0 (1)PEC Zwolle51.50.09W
24-02-24PEC Zwolle61 - 7 (1)PSV31.50.14W
12-11-23PSV34 - 0 (1)PEC Zwolle61.50.08W
15-05-22PEC Zwolle31 - 2 (0)PSV31.50.1W
Eredivisie Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1PSV18151261154646DWLWW
2Ajax18133239172242WWWLD
3FC Utrecht1812333629739WLDWD
4Feyenoord18105341231835LLWWD
5FC Twente18104438231534WLWLW
6AZ18103533191433DWWWW
7Go Ahead Eagles188463327628WWDWL
8Fortuna Sittard187472528-325LWWDD
9SC Heerenveen187382133-1224WLWWD
10Willem II186482325-222LWWLL
11NAC Breda1871102131-1022LLLWW
12NEC Nijmegen1862102424020WLDLL
13PEC Zwolle184591627-1117LDLDW
14FC Groningen174581426-1217DLDWL
15Heracles Almelo173681934-1515DLDLD
16Sparta Rotterdam182791527-1213DLDLL
17Almere City1824121037-2710DWLLL
18RKC Waalwijk1814131943-247LDLLD
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -25%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.65 (1.54)-0.25 (1.11)0.182.05

Eredivisie Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.28 - -0.23 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
28-2.231.24-7.96%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

PEC Zwolle's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.28 - -0.23 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.771.26-38.50%
11-01-25-0.27PEC Zwolle210 - 1 (0)NEC Nijmegen51.5-1L
25-11-23-0.27PEC Zwolle121 - 2 (0)RKC Waalwijk131.50.23W

PSV's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.28 - -0.23 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.381.1919.00%
28-05-23-0.23AZ61 - 2 (2)PSV61.50.23W
11-02-23-0.26PSV26 - 0 (2)FC Groningen51.50.15W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
161.091.146.81%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -414 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

PEC Zwolle (ELO: 1396) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-22.83%

PSV (ELO 1810) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-0.281.12-4%
14-12-24-404SC Heerenveen51 - 0PSV31.5-1L
22-09-24-403Fortuna Sittard31 - 3PSV41.50.15W
24-08-24-433Almere City71 - 7PSV51.50.12W
18-08-24-435Heracles Almelo61 - 3PSV71.50.1W
12-05-24-414Fortuna Sittard81 - 1PSV61.50.12W
04-11-23-389Heracles Almelo2(A)0 - 6PSV51.50.12W
23-09-23-398Almere City50 - 4PSV2(A)1.50.11W
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

PEC Zwolle's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.011.150.13%
20-12-24RKC Waalwijk21 - 1PEC Zwolle61.50.22W
06-10-24SC Heerenveen81 - 1PEC Zwolle61.50.2W
18-08-24PEC Zwolle61 - 5Feyenoord71.50.11W
11-08-24FC Utrecht91 - 0PEC Zwolle61.5-1L
19-05-24PEC Zwolle61 - 2FC Twente61.50.1W
12-05-24RKC Waalwijk61 - 1PEC Zwolle61.50.15W
05-05-24Feyenoord95 - 0PEC Zwolle61.50.04W
10-03-24PEC Zwolle61 - 1FC Volendam81.50.19W

PSV's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.091.14-13.63%
14-12-24SC Heerenveen51 - 0PSV31.5-1L
01-12-24FC Utrecht62 - 5PSV31.50.15W
09-11-24NAC Breda60 - 3PSV31.50.22W
26-10-24PSV36 - 0PEC Zwolle51.50.09W
05-10-24PSV32 - 1Sparta Rotterdam61.50.13W
06-04-24PSV35 - 1AZ2(A)1.50.18W
17-03-24PSV31 - 0FC Twente71.5-1L
24-02-24PEC Zwolle61 - 7PSV31.50.14W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

PEC Zwolle's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.161.27-4%
20-01-24AZ32 - 2PEC Zwolle61.50.17W
13-01-24PEC Zwolle262 - 2SC Heerenveen61.50.28W
22-01-22SC Heerenveen30 - 1PEC Zwolle2(A)1.5-1L
14-01-22PEC Zwolle232 - 0Willem II221.50.39W

PSV's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.371.17-22.83%
21-01-24FC Utrecht61 - 1PSV31.50.17W
13-01-24PSV53 - 1Excelsior241.50.07W
21-01-23PSV51 - 0Vitesse51.5-1L
15-01-23Fortuna Sittard72 - 2PSV41.50.15W
23-01-22PSV21 - 2Ajax21.50.24W
16-01-22FC Groningen250 - 1PSV231.5-1L
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Eredivisie Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
3.063.033.23.2

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Eredivisie1613.03
2023/2024Eredivisie3073.24
2022/2023Eredivisie3113.05
2021/2022Eredivisie3122.88

Eredivisie Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
80.24%1.2579.5%1.2679%1.2780%1.25

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Eredivisie16179.5% 1.26
2023/2024Eredivisie30785.34% 1.17
2022/2023Eredivisie31178.78% 1.27
2021/2022Eredivisie31276.6% 1.31
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Eredivisie First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.351.341.31.42

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Eredivisie1611.34
2023/2024Eredivisie3071.31
2022/2023Eredivisie3111.36
2021/2022Eredivisie3121.37

Eredivisie Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.711.701.91.78

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Eredivisie1611.70
2023/2024Eredivisie3071.94
2022/2023Eredivisie3111.68
2021/2022Eredivisie3121.51
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.031.19-12.88%

Last 2 seasons - 13 vs 1 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-12.88%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

PEC Zwolle matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
40.641.1616%
20-09-2414PEC Zwolle51 - 22AZ51.50.17W
19-05-2412PEC Zwolle61 - 23FC Twente61.50.1W
24-02-2410PEC Zwolle61 - 71PSV31.50.14W
24-09-2310PEC Zwolle60 - 32AZ2(A)1.50.23W

PSV matches against table positions: 12,13,14

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
30.481.1616%
22-09-2413Fortuna Sittard31 - 32PSV41.50.15W
16-04-2314FC Volendam72 - 33PSV71.50.13W
19-03-2314Vitesse71 - 14PSV61.50.2W
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