Rennes vs Brest - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

FRANCE - Ligue 1

Rennes Logo

2025-01-18
18:00:00
Brest Logo
Rennes2(A)
Brest2

Roazhon Park (Rennes)
T. LĂ©onard
2.133.434.19
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.39

Injuries & Suspensions

Rennes
Brest
J. Neves Filipe
Groin Injury
App: 9 (3), G: 1
J. Amavi
Thigh Injury
App: 11 (8), G: 0
M. HaĂŻdara
Muscle Injury
App: 0 (0), G: 0
J. Martin
Muscle Injury
App: 12 (5), G: 1
D. Alemdar
ACL Knee Injury
App: 0 (0), G: 0
A. Muinga
Head Injury
App: 16 (15), G: 8
A. Seidu
ACL Knee Injury
App: 11 (10), G: 0
Ligue 1 Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint Germain17134046153143WWWDD
2Olympique Marseille17113339201936WWDWW
3LOSC Lille1888228171132WDDWD
4Monaco189452920931LDLDW
5Nice1886436251130LWWDW
6Olympique Lyonnais178452922728LWLWW
7Lens177642116527WLDWW
8Toulouse177371919024LWWLW
9Strasbourg176563029123WWWDL
10Auxerre176472426-222LDDDL
11Brest177192630-422WLWLW
12Reims175572325-220LLDDL
13Angers SCO175481927-819WWLLW
14Rennes1752102325-217LLWLW
15Nantes173772027-716DDLWD
16Saint-Étienne1751111637-2116LWLLL
17Le Havre1740131336-2312LLLLL
18Montpellier1833121843-2512WLLDL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Rennes's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
82.191.2727.38%

Rennes's home matches when WIN odds between 2 and 2.3

28-04-24Rennes74 - 5 (2)Brest61.50.38W
26-11-23Rennes133 - 1 (0)Reims141.50.29W
16-09-23Rennes132 - 2 (1)LOSC Lille121.50.31W
27-05-23Rennes52 - 0 (0)Monaco71.50.21W
15-04-23Rennes53 - 0 (0)Reims51.50.29W
16-10-22Rennes2(A)3 - 2 (1)Olympique Lyonnais81.50.22W
14-05-22Rennes2(A)2 - 0 (0)Olympique Marseille51.50.29W
15-04-22Rennes52 - 3 (2)Monaco41.50.2W

Brest's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.141.33-21.4%

Brest's away matches when WIN odds between 3.4 and 4.9

26-10-24Reims51 - 2 (0)Brest21.50.33W
25-08-24Lens22 - 0 (0)Brest71.50.35W
28-04-24Rennes74 - 5 (2)Brest61.50.38W
14-04-24Olympique Lyonnais64 - 3 (2)Brest61.50.32W
09-03-24Lens51 - 0 (0)Brest51.5-1L
05-11-23Monaco62 - 0 (0)Brest61.50.22W
22-10-23LOSC Lille131 - 0 (0)Brest131.5-1L
01-10-23Nice80 - 0 (0)Brest71.5-1L
17-09-23Reims131 - 2 (0)Brest141.50.26W
05-03-23Strasbourg60 - 1 (0)Brest81.5-1L
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Rennes's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.561.2815.6%

Rennes's last 10 home matches

11-01-25Rennes71 - 2 (0)Olympique Marseille51.50.34W
15-12-24Rennes62 - 0 (1)Angers SCO71.50.35W
30-11-24Rennes55 - 0 (0)Saint-Étienne61.50.32W
10-11-24Rennes60 - 2 (0)Toulouse61.50.33W
25-10-24Rennes51 - 0 (0)Le Havre41.5-1L
05-10-24Rennes71 - 2 (0)Monaco2(A)1.50.25W
21-09-24Rennes51 - 1 (1)Lens51.50.29W
15-09-24Rennes133 - 0 (0)Montpellier141.50.17W
18-08-24Rennes73 - 0 (1)Olympique Lyonnais61.50.3W
12-05-24Rennes71 - 1 (1)Lens81.50.21W

Brest's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
103.131.3131.3%

Brest's last 10 away matches.

05-01-25Angers SCO132 - 0 (1)Brest141.50.44W
06-12-24LOSC Lille43 - 1 (0)Brest51.50.32W
22-11-24Monaco123 - 2 (2)Brest111.50.26W
10-11-24Montpellier63 - 1 (1)Brest31.50.37W
26-10-24Reims51 - 2 (0)Brest21.50.33W
27-09-24Auxerre43 - 0 (0)Brest41.50.29W
14-09-24Paris Saint Germain123 - 1 (0)Brest81.50.17W
25-08-24Lens22 - 0 (0)Brest71.50.35W
19-05-24Toulouse60 - 3 (1)Brest81.50.22W
28-04-24Rennes74 - 5 (2)Brest61.50.38W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Rennes's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.631.38-10.5%

Rennes's all matches - last 6

11-01-25Rennes71 - 2 (0)Olympique Marseille51.50.34W
03-01-25Nice123 - 2 (0)Rennes111.50.36W
15-12-24Rennes62 - 0 (1)Angers SCO71.50.35W
08-12-24Nantes71 - 0 (1)Rennes71.5-1L
30-11-24Rennes55 - 0 (0)Saint-Étienne61.50.32W
24-11-24LOSC Lille131 - 0 (0)Rennes131.5-1L

Brest's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
62.111.3535.17%

Brest's all matches - last 6

11-01-25Brest52 - 1 (0)Olympique Lyonnais61.50.28W
05-01-25Angers SCO132 - 0 (1)Brest141.50.44W
15-12-24Brest44 - 1 (2)Nantes61.50.5W
06-12-24LOSC Lille43 - 1 (0)Brest51.50.32W
30-11-24Brest33 - 1 (2)Strasbourg51.50.31W
22-11-24Monaco123 - 2 (2)Brest111.50.26W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.451.297.5%

H2H matches - last 6

19-10-24Brest121 - 1 (1)Rennes131.50.36W
28-04-24Rennes74 - 5 (2)Brest61.50.38W
02-09-23Brest60 - 0 (0)Rennes51.5-1L
03-06-23Brest61 - 2 (0)Rennes61.50.23W
31-08-22Rennes33 - 1 (2)Brest21.50.25W
06-02-22Rennes132 - 0 (1)Brest81.50.23W
Ligue 1 Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint Germain17134046153143WWWDD
2Olympique Marseille17113339201936WWDWW
3LOSC Lille1888228171132WDDWD
4Monaco189452920931LDLDW
5Nice1886436251130LWWDW
6Olympique Lyonnais178452922728LWLWW
7Lens177642116527WLDWW
8Toulouse177371919024LWWLW
9Strasbourg176563029123WWWDL
10Auxerre176472426-222LDDDL
11Brest177192630-422WLWLW
12Reims175572325-220LLDDL
13Angers SCO175481927-819WWLLW
14Rennes1752102325-217LLWLW
15Nantes173772027-716DDLWD
16Saint-Étienne1751111637-2116LWLLL
17Le Havre1740131336-2312LLLLL
18Montpellier1833121843-2512WLLDL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 17%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.89 (1.12)0.17 (1.39)1.891.87

Ligue 1 Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.15 - 0.2 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
23-4.381.32-19.04%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Rennes's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.15 - 0.2 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
30.901.3030.00%
18-08-240.19Rennes73 - 0 (1)Olympique Lyonnais61.50.3W
22-10-230.19Lorient132 - 1 (0)Rennes131.50.3W
21-05-230.17Ajaccio70 - 5 (0)Rennes61.50.3W

Brest's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.15 - 0.2 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.111.44-3.67%
15-12-240.17Brest44 - 1 (2)Nantes61.50.5W
17-12-230.17Nantes70 - 2 (0)Brest61.50.39W
10-12-230.18Metz60 - 1 (0)Brest21.5-1L
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
906.881.327.64%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -53 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Rennes (ELO: 1649) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.331.33-11%
17-03-24-38Rennes62 - 0Olympique Marseille2(A)1.50.26W
13-01-24-28Rennes52 - 0Nice61.50.41W
05-03-23-37Rennes60 - 1Olympique Marseille31.5-1L

Brest (ELO 1701) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
81.361.3517%
26-10-24-52Reims51 - 2Brest21.50.33W
19-05-24-32Toulouse60 - 3Brest81.50.22W
14-04-24-28Olympique Lyonnais64 - 3Brest61.50.32W
24-02-24-72Strasbourg50 - 3Brest51.50.38W
17-12-23-74Nantes70 - 2Brest61.50.39W
10-12-23-67Metz60 - 1Brest21.5-1L
19-03-23-42Troyes62 - 2Brest71.50.39W
16-04-22-54Saint-Étienne72 - 1Brest51.50.33W
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Rennes's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.311.29-3.88%
03-03-24Rennes2(A)1 - 2Lorient71.50.26W
25-02-24Paris Saint Germain71 - 1Rennes21.50.15W
18-02-24Rennes2(A)3 - 1Clermont61.50.27W
20-12-23Clermont2(A)1 - 3Rennes2(A)1.50.44W
17-12-23Toulouse2(A)0 - 0Rennes21.5-1L
03-12-23Olympique Marseille22 - 0Rennes2(A)1.50.29W
12-11-23Rennes20 - 1Olympique Lyonnais61.5-1L
29-10-23Rennes2(A)1 - 1Strasbourg71.50.28W

Brest's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.771.31-12.83%
26-10-24Reims51 - 2Brest21.50.33W
22-09-24Brest22 - 0Toulouse61.50.32W
20-12-23Brest2(A)4 - 0Lorient21.50.33W
10-12-23Metz60 - 1Brest21.5-1L
01-02-23Olympique Lyonnais2(A)0 - 0Brest21.5-1L
31-08-22Rennes33 - 1Brest21.50.25W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Rennes's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.11.28-2.5%
13-01-24Rennes52 - 0Nice61.50.41W
15-01-23Rennes31 - 0Paris Saint Germain31.5-1L
23-01-22Clermont32 - 1Rennes61.50.32W
16-01-22Rennes76 - 0Bordeaux81.50.17W

Brest's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.091.2727.25%
14-01-24Brest72 - 0Montpellier71.50.34W
15-01-23Toulouse31 - 1Brest31.50.25W
22-01-22Brest62 - 0LOSC Lille21.50.32W
15-01-22Paris Saint Germain52 - 0Brest51.50.18W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Ligue 1 Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.772.962.93.17

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Ligue 11552.96
2023/2024Ligue 13062.70
2022/2023Ligue 13802.81
2021/2022Ligue 13802.81

Ligue 1 Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
76.92%1.383.23%1.281%1.2386.67%1.15

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Ligue 115583.23% 1.2
2023/2024Ligue 130675.49% 1.32
2022/2023Ligue 138078.16% 1.28
2021/2022Ligue 138077.11% 1.3
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Ligue 1 First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.271.411.61.39

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Ligue 11551.41
2023/2024Ligue 13061.21
2022/2023Ligue 13801.31
2021/2022Ligue 13801.28

Ligue 1 Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.511.551.571.51

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Ligue 11551.55
2023/2024Ligue 13061.49
2022/2023Ligue 13801.50
2021/2022Ligue 13801.53
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
193.731.3419.63%

Last 2 seasons - 14 vs 11 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.211.2121%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Rennes matches against table positions: 10,11,12

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
51.471.2929.4%
10-11-2413Rennes60 - 212Toulouse61.50.33W
18-08-2411Rennes73 - 012Olympique Lyonnais61.50.3W
13-04-249Rennes51 - 212Toulouse51.50.21W
03-02-249Rennes72 - 112Montpellier51.50.3W
19-02-236Rennes2(A)2 - 012Clermont71.50.33W

Brest matches against table positions: 13,14,15

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-1.361.38-34%
31-03-2415Lorient130 - 13Brest131.5-1L
26-11-2313Montpellier151 - 38Brest201.50.31W
05-03-2315Strasbourg60 - 118Brest81.5-1L
12-02-2315Montpellier63 - 014Brest61.50.33W
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