Auxerre vs Olympique Marseille - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

FRANCE - Ligue 1

Auxerre Logo

2025-02-22
20:05:00
Olympique Marseille Logo
Auxerre7
Olympique Marseille6

Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps (Auxerre)
J. Stinat
6.344.671.59
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.23

Injuries & Suspensions

Auxerre
Olympique Marseille
No absences...
H. Traorè
Thigh Injury
App: 19 (19), G: 9
L. Balerdi Rossa
Suspended
App: 19 (19), G: 0
K. Hoever
Back Injury
App: 19 (16), G: 0
S. Diomande
Unknown
App: 15 (14), G: 3
Ligue 1 Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint Germain22175059203956WWWDW
2Olympique Marseille22144450262446WWWLD
3Nice22117444271740WWDWL
4Monaco22124644291540WLWWL
5LOSC Lille22108436221438WLWLW
6Olympique Lyonnais22106640271336WWLDD
7Strasbourg229673732533WWLWD
8Lens229672522333LLWWL
9Brest22102103538-332DWLWW
10Toulouse227692325-227LDDLD
11Rennes2382133032-226WLWWL
12Angers SCO2275102331-826WLDLW
13Auxerre226793137-625DDLDL
14Reims2357112635-922LLLLD
15Nantes224992539-1421LLWDD
16Saint-Étienne2253142050-3018LLLDD
17Le Havre2252151843-2517LWDLD
18Montpellier2243152152-3115LLLWW
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Auxerre's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.71.28-35%

Auxerre's home matches when WIN odds between 5.3 and 7.3

10-01-25Auxerre40 - 0 (0)LOSC Lille51.5-1L
22-04-23Auxerre51 - 1 (0)LOSC Lille51.50.3W

Olympique Marseille's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.821.2610.25%

Olympique Marseille's away matches when WIN odds between 1.5 and 1.7

09-02-25Angers SCO30 - 2 (0)Olympique Marseille61.50.25W
08-12-24Saint-Étienne70 - 2 (0)Olympique Marseille61.50.23W
02-03-24Clermont51 - 5 (2)Olympique Marseille51.50.27W
01-09-23Nantes61 - 1 (0)Olympique Marseille51.50.23W
09-04-23Lorient60 - 0 (0)Olympique Marseille81.5-1L
11-02-23Clermont50 - 2 (1)Olympique Marseille21.50.34W
11-01-23Troyes2(A)0 - 2 (0)Olympique Marseille31.50.25W
02-01-23Montpellier31 - 2 (1)Olympique Marseille31.50.25W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Auxerre's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-1.111.26-11.1%

Auxerre's last 10 home matches

09-02-25Auxerre72 - 2 (1)Toulouse31.50.33W
24-01-25Auxerre41 - 1 (0)Saint-Étienne41.50.31W
10-01-25Auxerre40 - 0 (0)LOSC Lille51.5-1L
14-12-24Auxerre72 - 2 (0)Lens51.50.25W
06-12-24Auxerre40 - 0 (0)Paris Saint Germain51.5-1L
24-11-24Auxerre151 - 0 (1)Angers SCO141.5-1L
03-11-24Auxerre64 - 0 (1)Rennes81.50.25W
20-10-24Auxerre142 - 1 (1)Reims131.50.25W
27-09-24Auxerre43 - 0 (0)Brest41.50.29W
14-09-24Auxerre120 - 3 (1)Monaco2(A)1.50.21W

Olympique Marseille's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.331.2613.3%

Olympique Marseille's last 10 away matches.

09-02-25Angers SCO30 - 2 (0)Olympique Marseille61.50.25W
26-01-25Nice2(A)2 - 0 (0)Olympique Marseille61.50.27W
11-01-25Rennes71 - 2 (0)Olympique Marseille51.50.34W
08-12-24Saint-Étienne70 - 2 (0)Olympique Marseille61.50.23W
23-11-24Lens131 - 3 (2)Olympique Marseille141.50.29W
03-11-24Nantes61 - 2 (0)Olympique Marseille61.50.29W
20-10-24Montpellier130 - 5 (0)Olympique Marseille151.50.2W
29-09-24Strasbourg71 - 0 (0)Olympique Marseille61.5-1L
22-09-24Olympique Lyonnais62 - 3 (3)Olympique Marseille71.50.22W
31-08-24Toulouse51 - 3 (1)Olympique Marseille51.50.24W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Auxerre's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.421.287%

Auxerre's all matches - last 6

14-02-25Brest22 - 2 (1)Auxerre41.50.31W
09-02-25Auxerre72 - 2 (1)Toulouse31.50.33W
01-02-25Monaco2(A)4 - 2 (0)Auxerre71.50.17W
24-01-25Auxerre41 - 1 (0)Saint-Étienne41.50.31W
19-01-25Angers SCO32 - 0 (0)Auxerre81.50.3W
10-01-25Auxerre40 - 0 (0)LOSC Lille51.5-1L

Olympique Marseille's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.471.2524.5%

Olympique Marseille's all matches - last 6

15-02-25Olympique Marseille55 - 1 (2)Saint-Étienne61.50.14W
09-02-25Angers SCO30 - 2 (0)Olympique Marseille61.50.25W
02-02-25Olympique Marseille63 - 2 (1)Olympique Lyonnais21.50.25W
26-01-25Nice2(A)2 - 0 (0)Olympique Marseille61.50.27W
19-01-25Olympique Marseille41 - 1 (0)Strasbourg31.50.22W
11-01-25Rennes71 - 2 (0)Olympique Marseille51.50.34W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
30.691.2323%

H2H matches - last 6

08-11-24Olympique Marseille41 - 3 (0)Auxerre41.50.2W
30-04-23Olympique Marseille62 - 1 (1)Auxerre71.50.23W
03-09-22Auxerre2(A)0 - 2 (1)Olympique Marseille21.50.26W
Ligue 1 Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint Germain22175059203956WWWDW
2Olympique Marseille22144450262446WWWLD
3Nice22117444271740WWDWL
4Monaco22124644291540WLWWL
5LOSC Lille22108436221438WLWLW
6Olympique Lyonnais22106640271336WWLDD
7Strasbourg229673732533WWLWD
8Lens229672522333LLWWL
9Brest22102103538-332DWLWW
10Toulouse227692325-227LDDLD
11Rennes2382133032-226WLWWL
12Angers SCO2275102331-826WLDLW
13Auxerre226793137-625DDLDL
14Reims2357112635-922LLLLD
15Nantes224992539-1421LLWDD
16Saint-Étienne2253142050-3018LLLDD
17Le Havre2252151843-2517LWDLD
18Montpellier2243152152-3115LLLWW
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 5%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.88 (1.14)0.05 (1.23)0.852.84

Ligue 1 Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.03 - 0.08 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
729.841.2813.67%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Auxerre's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.03 - 0.08 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.051.2626.25%
14-02-250.05Brest22 - 2 (1)Auxerre41.50.31W
27-10-240.04Olympique Lyonnais22 - 2 (0)Auxerre61.50.15W
05-10-240.07Saint-Étienne53 - 1 (1)Auxerre71.50.28W
18-08-240.04Auxerre72 - 1 (1)Nice71.50.31W

Olympique Marseille's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.03 - 0.08 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.281.274.67%
04-10-240.03Olympique Marseille41 - 1 (0)Angers SCO41.50.21W
22-09-240.03Olympique Lyonnais62 - 3 (3)Olympique Marseille71.50.22W
14-09-240.03Olympique Marseille132 - 0 (0)Nice121.50.21W
21-04-240.05Toulouse72 - 2 (2)Olympique Marseille21.50.32W
05-04-240.04LOSC Lille63 - 1 (2)Olympique Marseille41.50.32W
05-03-230.07Rennes60 - 1 (0)Olympique Marseille31.5-1L
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
46-2.31.29-5%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -183 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Auxerre (ELO: 1583) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-2.411.32-48.2%
10-01-25-208Auxerre40 - 0LOSC Lille51.5-1L
27-09-24-158Auxerre43 - 0Brest41.50.29W
22-04-23-192Auxerre51 - 1LOSC Lille51.50.3W
11-03-23-206Auxerre70 - 0Rennes51.5-1L
05-02-23-173Auxerre30 - 0Reims31.5-1L

Olympique Marseille (ELO 1766) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.931.2711.63%
03-11-24-196Nantes61 - 2Olympique Marseille61.50.29W
19-05-24-173Le Havre81 - 2Olympique Marseille31.50.23W
02-03-24-165Clermont51 - 5Olympique Marseille51.50.27W
10-12-23-160Lorient62 - 4Olympique Marseille31.50.32W
01-09-23-188Nantes61 - 1Olympique Marseille51.50.23W
18-08-23-172Metz42 - 2Olympique Marseille21.50.25W
09-04-23-176Lorient60 - 0Olympique Marseille81.5-1L
11-02-23-193Clermont50 - 2Olympique Marseille21.50.34W
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Auxerre's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
82.071.2625.88%
09-02-25Auxerre72 - 2Toulouse31.50.33W
01-02-25Monaco2(A)4 - 2Auxerre71.50.17W
14-12-24Auxerre72 - 2Lens51.50.25W
05-10-24Saint-Étienne53 - 1Auxerre71.50.28W
22-09-24Montpellier63 - 2Auxerre71.50.22W
18-08-24Auxerre72 - 1Nice71.50.31W
23-01-24Grenoble Foot 3891 - 1Auxerre71.50.3W
16-09-23Auxerre72 - 2Pau131.50.21W

Olympique Marseille's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.841.2610.5%
09-02-25Angers SCO30 - 2Olympique Marseille61.50.25W
02-02-25Olympique Marseille63 - 2Olympique Lyonnais21.50.25W
26-01-25Nice2(A)2 - 0Olympique Marseille61.50.27W
08-12-24Saint-Étienne70 - 2Olympique Marseille61.50.23W
03-11-24Nantes61 - 2Olympique Marseille61.50.29W
27-10-24Olympique Marseille60 - 3Paris Saint Germain41.50.2W
29-09-24Strasbourg71 - 0Olympique Marseille61.5-1L
17-08-24Brest61 - 5Olympique Marseille61.50.35W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Auxerre's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.71.34-35%
26-02-23Lorient60 - 1Auxerre81.5-1L
17-02-23Auxerre42 - 1Olympique Lyonnais41.50.3W

Olympique Marseille's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.31.275%
25-02-24Olympique Marseille24 - 1Montpellier61.50.25W
18-02-24Brest61 - 0Olympique Marseille2(A)1.5-1L
26-02-23Olympique Marseille60 - 3Paris Saint Germain61.50.23W
19-02-23Toulouse62 - 3Olympique Marseille71.50.25W
27-02-22Troyes61 - 1Olympique Marseille61.50.32W
20-02-22Olympique Marseille60 - 2Clermont61.50.25W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Ligue 1 Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.772.952.883.2

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Ligue 11992.95
2023/2024Ligue 13062.70
2022/2023Ligue 13802.81
2021/2022Ligue 13802.81

Ligue 1 Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
76.92%1.383.42%1.282%1.2283.33%1.2

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Ligue 119983.42% 1.2
2023/2024Ligue 130675.49% 1.32
2022/2023Ligue 138078.16% 1.28
2021/2022Ligue 138077.11% 1.3
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Ligue 1 First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.271.321.071.19

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Ligue 11991.32
2023/2024Ligue 13061.21
2022/2023Ligue 13801.31
2021/2022Ligue 13801.28

Ligue 1 Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.511.632.131.69

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Ligue 11991.63
2023/2024Ligue 13061.49
2022/2023Ligue 13801.50
2021/2022Ligue 13801.53
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
11-2.311.26-21%

Last 2 seasons - 13 vs 2 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.411.33-13.67%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Auxerre matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.551.2-18.33%
06-12-248Auxerre40 - 01Paris Saint Germain51.5-1L
03-06-2316Auxerre61 - 32Lens61.50.25W
21-05-2316Auxerre61 - 21Paris Saint Germain71.50.2W

Olympique Marseille matches against table positions: 12,13,14

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.631.2727.17%
09-02-2513Angers SCO30 - 22Olympique Marseille61.50.25W
11-01-2513Rennes71 - 22Olympique Marseille51.50.34W
03-11-2414Nantes61 - 24Olympique Marseille61.50.29W
22-09-2414Olympique Lyonnais62 - 33Olympique Marseille71.50.22W
31-08-2413Toulouse51 - 35Olympique Marseille51.50.24W
20-12-2312Montpellier2(A)1 - 16Olympique Marseille21.50.29W
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