Metz vs Paris - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

FRANCE - Ligue 2

Metz Logo

2025-01-18
13:00:00
Paris Logo
Metz6
Paris6

Stade Saint-Symphorien (Longeville-lès-Metz)
2.543.123.49
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.43
Ligue 2 Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Lorient18104430171334DLWWD
2Paris18104426151134WLLWD
3Dunkerque1810352823533DDWLW
4Guingamp19102734241032WWDLW
5Metz1887324131131DDDWD
6Annecy188642623330LWDWD
7Laval1885528181029DWWWW
8Grenoble Foot 38198382322127WWWLL
9Pau197662221127WDDWL
10Amiens SC198292125-426WLLLW
11Bastia1951042218425LWLWD
12Rodez196583132-123LWLDW
13Clermont186571619-323WWLDD
14Red Star196492032-1222LDWWD
15Troyes186391921-221LWWLD
16Ajaccio1953111324-1118WLLLL
17Caen1943121928-915LLLLL
18Martigues1933131037-2712LLWLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Metz's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.991.39-24.75%

Metz's home matches when WIN odds between 2.4 and 2.7

15-04-23Metz63 - 0 (0)Bordeaux61.50.38W
13-03-23Metz81 - 1 (0)Le Havre81.50.63W
15-10-22Metz60 - 0 (0)Sochaux41.5-1L
14-05-22Metz51 - 0 (0)Angers SCO51.5-1L

Paris's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.341.37-11.33%

Paris's away matches when WIN odds between 3.2 and 3.7

30-03-24Bordeaux133 - 3 (1)Paris131.50.31W
09-03-24Caen60 - 1 (1)Paris61.5-1L
12-08-23Grenoble Foot 3862 - 0 (1)Paris61.50.35W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Metz's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.621.33-6.2%

Metz's last 10 home matches

04-01-25Metz140 - 0 (0)Pau211.5-1L
09-12-24Metz92 - 0 (2)Dunkerque81.50.31W
09-11-24Metz41 - 0 (0)Caen61.5-1L
25-10-24Metz61 - 0 (0)Guingamp61.5-1L
05-10-24Metz63 - 2 (1)Amiens SC71.50.43W
24-09-24Metz26 - 0 (1)Martigues31.50.28W
21-09-24Metz61 - 1 (1)Lorient71.50.32W
31-08-24Metz71 - 1 (1)Laval71.50.38W
19-08-24Metz81 - 1 (1)Bastia151.50.48W
19-05-24Metz60 - 2 (0)Paris Saint Germain31.50.18W

Paris's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.581.34-5.8%

Paris's last 10 away matches.

14-12-24Lorient72 - 0 (1)Paris61.50.31W
07-12-24Ajaccio30 - 2 (1)Paris131.50.43W
09-11-24Pau70 - 0 (0)Paris71.5-1L
29-10-24Amiens SC30 - 0 (0)Paris21.5-1L
21-10-24Troyes160 - 3 (0)Paris161.50.29W
28-09-24Red Star31 - 3 (0)Paris31.50.33W
20-09-24Bastia62 - 1 (0)Paris51.50.42W
30-08-24Clermont60 - 1 (0)Paris61.5-1L
17-08-24Caen60 - 2 (2)Paris61.50.37W
17-05-24Bastia61 - 1 (0)Paris61.50.27W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Metz's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-3.31.33-55%

Metz's all matches - last 6

11-01-25Lorient60 - 0 (0)Metz61.5-1L
04-01-25Metz140 - 0 (0)Pau211.5-1L
14-12-24Annecy70 - 0 (0)Metz41.5-1L
09-12-24Metz92 - 0 (2)Dunkerque81.50.31W
22-11-24Clermont51 - 1 (0)Metz51.50.39W
09-11-24Metz41 - 0 (0)Caen61.5-1L

Paris's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-2.091.3-34.83%

Paris's all matches - last 6

11-01-25Paris71 - 0 (0)Amiens SC71.5-1L
03-01-25Paris191 - 2 (1)Martigues121.50.17W
14-12-24Lorient72 - 0 (1)Paris61.50.31W
07-12-24Ajaccio30 - 2 (1)Paris131.50.43W
23-11-24Paris70 - 0 (0)Annecy61.5-1L
09-11-24Pau70 - 0 (0)Paris71.5-1L
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
30.981.3332.67%

H2H matches - last 6

14-09-24Paris141 - 2 (0)Metz71.50.36W
29-04-23Metz61 - 1 (0)Paris61.50.3W
12-11-22Paris61 - 4 (1)Metz41.50.32W
Ligue 2 Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Lorient18104430171334DLWWD
2Paris18104426151134WLLWD
3Dunkerque1810352823533DDWLW
4Guingamp19102734241032WWDLW
5Metz1887324131131DDDWD
6Annecy188642623330LWDWD
7Laval1885528181029DWWWW
8Grenoble Foot 38198382322127WWWLL
9Pau197662221127WDDWL
10Amiens SC198292125-426WLLLW
11Bastia1951042218425LWLWD
12Rodez196583132-123LWLDW
13Clermont186571619-323WWLDD
14Red Star196492032-1222LDWWD
15Troyes186391921-221LWWLD
16Ajaccio1953111324-1118WLLLL
17Caen1943121928-915LLLLL
18Martigues1933131037-2712LLWLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -62%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.08 (12.5)-0.62 (1.43)0.340.12

Ligue 2 Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.65 - -0.6 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.171.31-4.25%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Metz's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.65 - -0.6 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
%

Paris's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.65 - -0.6 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.381.3838.00%
26-08-23-0.63Paris63 - 0 (1)Concarneau61.50.38W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
158-4.421.4-2.8%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 33 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Metz (ELO: 1541) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.021.48-0.67%
29-10-2327Metz60 - 0Le Havre81.5-1L
13-03-239Metz81 - 1Le Havre81.50.63W
12-09-2247Metz93 - 6Guingamp121.50.35W

Paris (ELO 1508) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-2.961.4-42.29%
14-12-2449Lorient72 - 0Paris61.50.31W
30-08-2450Clermont60 - 1Paris61.5-1L
09-03-2421Caen60 - 1Paris61.5-1L
02-12-2347Guingamp60 - 1Paris61.5-1L
02-09-2319Angers SCO62 - 0Paris61.50.42W
03-02-2353Le Havre2(A)0 - 0Paris21.5-1L
15-10-2211Saint-Étienne40 - 2Paris61.50.31W
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Metz's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.471.33-18.38%
11-01-25Lorient60 - 0Metz61.5-1L
25-10-24Metz61 - 0Guingamp61.5-1L
05-10-24Metz63 - 2Amiens SC71.50.43W
21-09-24Metz61 - 1Lorient71.50.32W
19-05-24Metz60 - 2Paris Saint Germain31.50.18W
28-04-24Metz61 - 2LOSC Lille31.50.3W
17-03-24Reims62 - 1Metz61.50.3W
10-03-24Metz61 - 0Clermont71.5-1L

Paris's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
81.291.3316.13%
14-12-24Lorient72 - 0Paris61.50.31W
30-08-24Clermont60 - 1Paris61.5-1L
17-08-24Caen60 - 2Paris61.50.37W
17-05-24Bastia61 - 1Paris61.50.27W
04-05-24Auxerre42 - 0Paris61.50.22W
20-04-24Paris62 - 1Valenciennes61.50.32W
13-04-24Troyes41 - 2Paris61.50.39W
06-04-24Paris62 - 1Grenoble Foot 3861.50.41W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Metz's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.371.3737%
13-01-23Metz2(A)2 - 0Quevilly Rouen21.50.37W

Paris's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.921.4848%
23-01-24Laval2(A)1 - 1Paris2(A)1.50.57W
13-01-24Paris62 - 1Annecy61.50.37W
13-01-23Annecy2(A)2 - 0Paris21.50.5W
17-01-22Paris262 - 2Le Havre81.50.48W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Ligue 2 Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.382.472.382.4

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Ligue 21672.47
2023/2024Ligue 23802.46
2022/2023Ligue 23792.41
2021/2022Ligue 23632.26

Ligue 2 Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
67.82%1.4768.26%1.4666%1.5270%1.43

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Ligue 216768.26% 1.46
2023/2024Ligue 238068.68% 1.46
2022/2023Ligue 237967.55% 1.48
2021/2022Ligue 236367.22% 1.49
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Ligue 2 First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.051.080.91.03

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Ligue 21671.08
2023/2024Ligue 23801.10
2022/2023Ligue 23791.06
2021/2022Ligue 23630.99

Ligue 2 Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.331.391.51.35

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Ligue 21671.39
2023/2024Ligue 23801.36
2022/2023Ligue 23791.36
2021/2022Ligue 23631.27
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
22-2.321.4-10.55%

Last 2 seasons - 5 vs 2 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.341.3434%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Metz matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
31.321.4444%
09-12-245Metz92 - 03Dunkerque81.50.31W
15-04-234Metz63 - 02Bordeaux61.50.38W
13-03-234Metz81 - 11Le Havre81.50.63W

Paris matches against table positions: 4,5,6

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-3.431.44-42.88%
29-10-246Amiens SC30 - 01Paris21.5-1L
20-09-246Bastia62 - 12Paris51.50.42W
30-08-246Clermont60 - 12Paris61.5-1L
23-04-245Rodez21 - 04Paris21.5-1L
09-03-245Caen60 - 112Paris61.5-1L
03-02-245Amiens SC61 - 112Paris61.50.58W
23-01-244Laval2(A)1 - 18Paris2(A)1.50.57W
02-12-236Guingamp60 - 114Paris61.5-1L
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