Metz vs Ajaccio - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

FRANCE - Ligue 2

2025-02-22
19:00:00

Metz⁶

Ajaccio⁷

Stade Saint-Symphorien (Longeville-lès-Metz)

1.514.528.67

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36

Injuries & Suspensions

Metz

Ajaccio

No absences...

J. Deminguet

Unknown

App: 22 (21), G: 0

Ligue 2 Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Lorient23154440211949WWWWW

2Metz23128337162144WWDWW

3Paris23134635211443LWWWL

4Dunkerque2313373325842WWLWL

5Annecy2311662926339WWLLW

6Guingamp23122938281038LWLWW

7Laval239773124734LLDWD

8Grenoble Foot 382310492927234WDWLW

9Bastia2361342721631DWDDL

10Pau237882531-629LLDDW

11Amiens SC2392122435-1129LLWLW

12Troyes2383122425-127LWWLL

13Ajaccio2383121928-927WLWWW

14Rodez2375113838026WLLLL

15Red Star2375112338-1526WDLLL

16Clermont2367102128-725DLLLD

17Martigues2353151540-2518LLWWL

18Caen2343161935-1615LLLLL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Metz's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

4-0.241.29-6%

Metz's home matches when WIN odds between 1.4 and 1.6

24-01-25

Metz⁵3 - 0⁽¹⁾Grenoble Foot 38⁶1.50.3W

24-09-24

Metz²6 - 0⁽¹⁾Martigues³1.50.28W

02-06-23

Metz⁶3 - 2⁽¹⁾Bastia⁶1.50.18W

01-04-23

Metz¹³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Laval¹³1.5-1L

Ajaccio's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-0.091.33-1.13%

Ajaccio's away matches when WIN odds between 7.4 and 9.9

13-12-24

Pau⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Ajaccio⁵1.5-1L

27-09-24

Lorient^2(A)3 - 0⁽²⁾Ajaccio²1.50.33W

17-05-24

Rodez⁶2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Ajaccio⁶1.50.22W

16-12-23

Auxerre⁶2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Ajaccio⁶1.50.38W

05-03-23

Reims⁶1 - 0⁽¹⁾Ajaccio⁶1.5-1L

08-10-22

Olympique Marseille³1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Ajaccio⁵1.50.38W

21-08-22

Rennes⁷2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Ajaccio⁶1.50.37W

05-08-22

Olympique Lyonnais⁵2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Ajaccio⁵1.50.23W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Metz's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-0.681.33-6.8%

Metz's last 10 home matches

08-02-25

Metz⁷3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Clermont⁷1.50.33W

24-01-25

Metz⁵3 - 0⁽¹⁾Grenoble Foot 38⁶1.50.3W

18-01-25

Metz⁶3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Paris⁶1.50.35W

04-01-25

Metz¹⁴0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Pau²¹1.5-1L

09-12-24

Metz⁹2 - 0⁽²⁾Dunkerque⁸1.50.31W

09-11-24

Metz⁴1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Caen⁶1.5-1L

25-10-24

Metz⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Guingamp⁶1.5-1L

05-10-24

Metz⁶3 - 2⁽¹⁾Amiens SC⁷1.50.43W

24-09-24

Metz²6 - 0⁽¹⁾Martigues³1.50.28W

21-09-24

Metz⁶1 - 1⁽¹⁾Lorient⁷1.50.32W

Ajaccio's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-2.61.46-26%

Ajaccio's last 10 away matches.

31-01-25

Clermont⁵0 - 1⁽¹⁾Ajaccio⁶1.5-1L

24-01-25

Rodez⁶1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Ajaccio⁶1.50.31W

11-01-25

Bastia⁶4 - 0⁽⁾Ajaccio⁶1.50.56W

13-12-24

Pau⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Ajaccio⁵1.5-1L

25-11-24

Dunkerque⁸1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Ajaccio⁹1.5-1L

29-10-24

Guingamp³1 - 0⁽¹⁾Ajaccio²1.5-1L

19-10-24

Amiens SC¹³3 - 1⁽¹⁾Ajaccio¹³1.50.54W

27-09-24

Lorient^2(A)3 - 0⁽²⁾Ajaccio²1.50.33W

20-09-24

Caen³1 - 0⁽¹⁾Ajaccio⁶1.5-1L

13-09-24

Laval¹²1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Ajaccio¹³1.50.66W

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Metz's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.871.3714.5%

Metz's all matches - last 6

15-02-25

Guingamp⁶0 - 3⁽²⁾Metz⁶1.50.43W

08-02-25

Metz⁷3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Clermont⁷1.50.33W

31-01-25

Bastia⁶1 - 1⁽¹⁾Metz⁶1.50.46W

24-01-25

Metz⁵3 - 0⁽¹⁾Grenoble Foot 38⁶1.50.3W

18-01-25

Metz⁶3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Paris⁶1.50.35W

11-01-25

Lorient⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Metz⁶1.5-1L

Ajaccio's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61.431.4923.83%

Ajaccio's all matches - last 6

14-02-25

Ajaccio⁵3 - 0⁽¹⁾Laval⁶1.50.62W

08-02-25

Ajaccio⁷0 - 3⁽⁰⁾Guingamp^2(A)1.50.54W

31-01-25

Clermont⁵0 - 1⁽¹⁾Ajaccio⁶1.5-1L

24-01-25

Rodez⁶1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Ajaccio⁶1.50.31W

17-01-25

Ajaccio⁵2 - 1⁽¹⁾Caen⁵1.50.4W

11-01-25

Bastia⁶4 - 0⁽⁾Ajaccio⁶1.50.56W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

1-11.47-100%

H2H matches - last 6

04-11-24

Ajaccio⁵0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Metz⁵1.5-1L

Ligue 2 Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Lorient23154440211949WWWWW

2Metz23128337162144WWDWW

3Paris23134635211443LWWWL

4Dunkerque2313373325842WWLWL

5Annecy2311662926339WWLLW

6Guingamp23122938281038LWLWW

7Laval239773124734LLDWD

8Grenoble Foot 382310492927234WDWLW

9Bastia2361342721631DWDDL

10Pau237882531-629LLDDW

11Amiens SC2392122435-1129LLWLW

12Troyes2383122425-127LWWLL

13Ajaccio2383121928-927WLWWW

14Rodez2375113838026WLLLL

15Red Star2375112338-1526WDLLL

16Clermont2367102128-725DLLLD

17Martigues2353151540-2518LLWWL

18Caen2343161935-1615LLLLL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 10%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.85 (1.18)0.10 (1.36)2.830.58

Ligue 2 Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.08 - 0.13 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

78-0.451.37-0.58%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Metz's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.08 - 0.13 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

Ajaccio's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.08 - 0.13 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

81.791.6522.38%

25-11-24

^0.08Dunkerque⁸1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Ajaccio⁹1.5-1L

23-04-24

^0.12Valenciennes^2(A)1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Ajaccio²1.5-1L

06-04-24

^0.12Pau⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Ajaccio⁴1.50.66W

10-02-24

^0.09Ajaccio⁴3 - 0⁽¹⁾Guingamp⁶1.50.78W

25-11-23

^0.09Annecy⁶2 - 0⁽¹⁾Ajaccio⁵1.50.57W

04-11-23

^0.09Grenoble Foot 38⁶0 - 3⁽⁰⁾Ajaccio⁶1.50.6W

21-10-23

^0.10Ajaccio¹³2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Pau¹³1.50.54W

02-10-23

^0.08Ajaccio⁵2 - 0⁽¹⁾Bastia⁵1.50.64W

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

14-1.391.28-9.93%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 190 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Metz (ELO: 1567) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

4-2.621.36-65.5%

31-08-24

¹⁷⁹Metz⁷1 - 1Laval⁷1.50.38W

01-04-23

¹⁹⁹Metz¹³1 - 0Laval¹³1.5-1L

26-12-22

¹⁷⁶Metz⁴0 - 0Niort¹¹1.5-1L

02-09-22

¹⁹³Metz^2(A)0 - 0Annecy^2(A)1.5-1L

Ajaccio (ELO 1377) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

2-0.631.35-31.5%

05-03-23

¹⁸⁴Reims⁶1 - 0Ajaccio⁶1.5-1L

21-08-22

²⁰⁹Rennes⁷2 - 1Ajaccio⁶1.50.37W

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Metz's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.171.362.13%

15-02-25

Guingamp⁶0 - 3Metz⁶1.50.43W

31-01-25

Bastia⁶1 - 1Metz⁶1.50.46W

18-01-25

Metz⁶3 - 1Paris⁶1.50.35W

11-01-25

Lorient⁶0 - 0Metz⁶1.5-1L

25-10-24

Metz⁶1 - 0Guingamp⁶1.5-1L

05-10-24

Metz⁶3 - 2Amiens SC⁷1.50.43W

21-09-24

Metz⁶1 - 1Lorient⁷1.50.32W

19-05-24

Metz⁶0 - 2Paris Saint Germain³1.50.18W

Ajaccio's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

71.441.420.57%

08-02-25

Ajaccio⁷0 - 3Guingamp^2(A)1.50.54W

21-05-23

Ajaccio⁷0 - 5Rennes⁶1.50.3W

07-05-23

Ajaccio⁷0 - 0Toulouse⁴1.5-1L

29-01-23

Ajaccio⁷0 - 2Olympique Lyonnais⁷1.50.37W

13-11-22

Nantes⁶2 - 2Ajaccio⁷1.50.48W

16-10-22

Troyes⁶1 - 1Ajaccio⁷1.50.45W

30-04-22

Ajaccio⁷2 - 1Le Havre⁷1.50.3W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Metz's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

2-0.621.44-31%

25-02-23

Metz⁶2 - 0Nîmes⁴1.50.38W

18-02-23

Dijon⁶0 - 0Metz⁴1.5-1L

Ajaccio's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

4-0.261.82-6.5%

24-02-24

Ajaccio⁶0 - 0Amiens SC⁴1.5-1L

17-02-24

Laval⁶1 - 1Ajaccio⁶1.50.93W

26-02-22

Ajaccio⁶2 - 1Rodez⁶1.50.81W

19-02-22

Sochaux⁶0 - 1Ajaccio⁶1.5-1L

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Ligue 2 Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.382.432.212.27

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Ligue 22132.43

2023/2024

Ligue 23802.46

2022/2023

Ligue 23792.41

2021/2022

Ligue 23632.26

Ligue 2 Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

67.82%1.4767.61%1.4863%1.5963.33%1.58

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Ligue 221367.61% 1.48

2023/2024

Ligue 238068.68% 1.46

2022/2023

Ligue 237967.55% 1.48

2021/2022

Ligue 236367.22% 1.49

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Ligue 2 First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.051.081.10.96

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Ligue 22131.08

2023/2024

Ligue 23801.10

2022/2023

Ligue 23791.06

2021/2022

Ligue 23630.99

Ligue 2 Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.331.351.171.25

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Ligue 22131.35

2023/2024

Ligue 23801.36

2022/2023

Ligue 23791.36

2021/2022

Ligue 23631.27

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

162.61.3316.25%

Last 2 seasons - 4 vs 14 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.261.2626%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Metz matches against table positions: 13,14,15

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

2-0.671.3-33.5%

08-02-25

³Metz⁷3 - 1¹³Clermont⁷1.50.33W

09-11-24

⁵Metz⁴1 - 0¹⁴Caen⁶1.5-1L

Ajaccio matches against table positions: 3,4,5

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

7-0.871.52-12.43%

25-11-24

⁴Dunkerque⁸1 - 0¹⁶Ajaccio⁹1.5-1L

17-05-24

⁵Rodez⁶2 - 0¹⁴Ajaccio⁶1.50.22W

17-02-24

⁴Laval⁶1 - 1⁷Ajaccio⁶1.50.93W

16-12-23

³Auxerre⁶2 - 0⁷Ajaccio⁶1.50.38W

04-11-23

⁵Grenoble Foot 38⁶0 - 3⁹Ajaccio⁶1.50.6W

07-10-23

⁵Saint-Étienne²0 - 0¹¹Ajaccio⁴1.5-1L

26-09-23

³Amiens SC²0 - 0¹²Ajaccio²1.5-1L

YOUR TEXT

Metz vs Ajaccio - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

FRANCE - Ligue 2

Injuries & Suspensions

Metz's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Metz's home matches when WIN odds between 1.4 and 1.6

Ajaccio's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Ajaccio's away matches when WIN odds between 7.4 and 9.9

Metz's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Metz's last 10 home matches

Ajaccio's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Ajaccio's last 10 away matches.

Metz's all matches (last 6 matches)

Metz's all matches - last 6

Ajaccio's all matches (last 6 matches)

Ajaccio's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Ligue 2 Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.08 - 0.13 )

Metz's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.08 - 0.13 )

Ajaccio's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.08 - 0.13 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Metz (ELO: 1567) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Ajaccio (ELO 1377) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Metz's all matches (last 8 matches)

Ajaccio's all matches (last 8 matches)

Metz's all matches (last 8 matches)

Ajaccio's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Ligue 2 Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Ligue 2 Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Ligue 2 First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Ligue 2 Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 4 vs 14 in the table

Metz matches against table positions: 13,14,15

Ajaccio matches against table positions: 3,4,5

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