Caen vs Pau - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

FRANCE - Ligue 2

2025-02-22
13:00:00

Caen⁴

Pau⁷

Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen)

2.553.533.08

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.3

Ligue 2 Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Lorient23154440211949WWWWW

2Metz23128337162144WWDWW

3Paris23134635211443LWWWL

4Dunkerque2313373325842WWLWL

5Annecy2311662926339WWLLW

6Guingamp23122938281038LWLWW

7Laval239773124734LLDWD

8Grenoble Foot 382310492927234WDWLW

9Bastia2361342721631DWDDL

10Pau237882531-629LLDDW

11Amiens SC2392122435-1129LLWLW

12Troyes2383122425-127LWWLL

13Ajaccio2383121928-927WLWWW

14Rodez2375113838026WLLLL

15Red Star2375112338-1526WDLLL

16Clermont2367102128-725DLLLD

17Martigues2353151540-2518LLWWL

18Caen2343161935-1615LLLLL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Caen's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-1.411.37-17.63%

Caen's home matches when WIN odds between 2.4 and 2.7

22-11-24

Caen⁵3 - 3⁽¹⁾Rodez⁶1.50.23W

23-04-24

Caen^2(A)2 - 1⁽¹⁾Annecy²1.50.29W

09-03-24

Caen⁶0 - 1⁽¹⁾Paris⁶1.5-1L

26-02-24

Caen⁸2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Angers SCO⁸1.50.43W

26-05-23

Caen⁵2 - 2⁽²⁾Saint-Étienne⁵1.50.16W

06-03-23

Caen⁸0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Sochaux⁸1.5-1L

10-01-23

Caen¹⁰2 - 2⁽¹⁾Bordeaux²1.50.48W

08-08-22

Caen⁸1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Metz⁸1.5-1L

Pau's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

20.741.3737%

Pau's away matches when WIN odds between 2.9 and 3.2

01-11-24

Annecy^2(A)2 - 0⁽¹⁾Pau^2(A)1.50.32W

15-10-22

Annecy⁶0 - 2⁽¹⁾Pau⁶1.50.42W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Caen's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-3.331.34-33.3%

Caen's last 10 home matches

10-02-25

Caen⁸0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Dunkerque⁵1.50.38W

24-01-25

Caen⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Guingamp⁶1.5-1L

11-01-25

Caen⁷0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Grenoble Foot 38⁷1.5-1L

03-01-25

Caen¹¹0 - 1⁽¹⁾Clermont¹¹1.5-1L

22-11-24

Caen⁵3 - 3⁽¹⁾Rodez⁶1.50.23W

02-11-24

Caen³2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Bastia³1.50.4W

26-10-24

Caen⁷0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Troyes⁴1.5-1L

05-10-24

Caen⁴1 - 2⁽¹⁾Lorient⁷1.50.28W

24-09-24

Caen³2 - 1⁽¹⁾Amiens SC³1.50.38W

20-09-24

Caen³1 - 0⁽¹⁾Ajaccio⁶1.5-1L

Pau's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-0.71.31-7%

Pau's last 10 away matches.

07-02-25

Paris⁵3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Pau⁶1.50.3W

24-01-25

Bastia⁶1 - 1⁽¹⁾Pau⁶1.50.3W

17-01-25

Red Star⁶1 - 3⁽⁰⁾Pau⁶1.50.3W

04-01-25

Metz¹⁴0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Pau²¹1.5-1L

06-12-24

Rodez¹³1 - 0⁽¹⁾Pau⁵1.5-1L

01-11-24

Annecy^2(A)2 - 0⁽¹⁾Pau^2(A)1.50.32W

29-10-24

Troyes^2(A)3 - 0⁽¹⁾Pau³1.50.31W

18-10-24

Guingamp¹²0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Pau²⁰1.5-1L

27-09-24

Laval^2(A)3 - 1⁽²⁾Pau²1.50.4W

20-09-24

Dunkerque⁶3 - 2⁽⁰⁾Pau⁶1.50.37W

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Caen's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-1.881.35-31.33%

Caen's all matches - last 6

17-02-25

Annecy⁹1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Caen⁶1.5-1L

10-02-25

Caen⁸0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Dunkerque⁵1.50.38W

01-02-25

Troyes⁷3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Caen⁷1.50.34W

24-01-25

Caen⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Guingamp⁶1.5-1L

17-01-25

Ajaccio⁵2 - 1⁽¹⁾Caen⁵1.50.4W

11-01-25

Caen⁷0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Grenoble Foot 38⁷1.5-1L

Pau's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61.771.329.5%

Pau's all matches - last 6

14-02-25

Pau⁶0 - 5⁽¹⁾Rodez⁶1.50.21W

07-02-25

Paris⁵3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Pau⁶1.50.3W

31-01-25

Pau⁶1 - 1⁽¹⁾Laval⁶1.50.34W

24-01-25

Bastia⁶1 - 1⁽¹⁾Pau⁶1.50.3W

17-01-25

Red Star⁶1 - 3⁽⁰⁾Pau⁶1.50.3W

10-01-25

Pau⁵1 - 1⁽¹⁾Dunkerque⁵1.50.32W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-21.34-33.33%

H2H matches - last 6

23-08-24

Pau⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Caen⁵1.5-1L

02-03-24

Pau⁶2 - 3⁽³⁾Caen⁴1.50.33W

12-08-23

Caen⁶2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Pau⁴1.50.31W

02-06-23

Pau⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Caen⁶1.5-1L

30-08-22

Caen^2(A)1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Pau^2(A)1.50.36W

19-02-22

Pau⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Caen⁶1.5-1L

Ligue 2 Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Lorient23154440211949WWWWW

2Metz23128337162144WWDWW

3Paris23134635211443LWWWL

4Dunkerque2313373325842WWLWL

5Annecy2311662926339WWLLW

6Guingamp23122938281038LWLWW

7Laval239773124734LLDWD

8Grenoble Foot 382310492927234WDWLW

9Bastia2361342721631DWDDL

10Pau237882531-629LLDDW

11Amiens SC2392122435-1129LLWLW

12Troyes2383122425-127LWWLL

13Ajaccio2383121928-927WLWWW

14Rodez2375113838026WLLLL

15Red Star2375112338-1526WDLLL

16Clermont2367102128-725DLLLD

17Martigues2353151540-2518LLWWL

18Caen2343161935-1615LLLLL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -19%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.59 (1.69)-0.19 (1.3)0.301.70

Ligue 2 Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

57-2.301.36-4.04%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Caen's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

41.201.3030.00%

01-02-25

^-0.18Troyes⁷3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Caen⁷1.50.34W

17-05-24

^-0.18Caen⁶3 - 0⁽¹⁾Valenciennes⁶1.50.17W

16-03-24

^-0.20Auxerre⁶2 - 1⁽²⁾Caen⁶1.50.21W

01-04-23

^-0.18Caen¹³2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Dijon¹³1.50.48W

Pau's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

4-1.391.28-34.75%

17-01-25

^-0.18Red Star⁶1 - 3⁽⁰⁾Pau⁶1.50.3W

29-10-24

^-0.17Troyes^2(A)3 - 0⁽¹⁾Pau³1.50.31W

24-09-24

^-0.19Pau³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Lorient^2(A)1.5-1L

27-01-24

^-0.20Annecy³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Pau³1.5-1L

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

131-8.441.4-6.44%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -44 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Caen (ELO: 1347) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

81.571.3619.63%

10-02-25

^-54Caen⁸0 - 2Dunkerque⁵1.50.38W

03-01-25

^-63Caen¹¹0 - 1Clermont¹¹1.5-1L

22-11-24

^-22Caen⁵3 - 3Rodez⁶1.50.23W

02-11-24

^-32Caen³2 - 0Bastia³1.50.4W

17-08-24

^-22Caen⁶0 - 2Paris⁶1.50.37W

26-02-24

^-42Caen⁸2 - 0Angers SCO⁸1.50.43W

26-05-23

^-20Caen⁵2 - 2Saint-Étienne⁵1.50.16W

29-04-23

^-63Caen⁶1 - 2Le Havre⁶1.50.6W

Pau (ELO 1391) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

81.351.3416.88%

17-01-25

^-40Red Star⁶1 - 3Pau⁶1.50.3W

29-10-24

^-61Troyes^2(A)3 - 0Pau³1.50.31W

27-09-24

^-28Laval^2(A)3 - 1Pau²1.50.4W

20-09-24

^-61Dunkerque⁶3 - 2Pau⁶1.50.37W

30-08-24

^-29Grenoble Foot 38⁵1 - 1Pau⁶1.50.3W

09-03-24

^-65Dunkerque⁶1 - 0Pau⁶1.5-1L

07-10-23

^-52Quevilly Rouen⁶2 - 2Pau⁶1.50.34W

29-04-23

^-40Nîmes⁶3 - 2Pau⁶1.50.33W

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Caen's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

7-0.031.42-0.43%

05-10-24

Caen⁴1 - 2Lorient⁷1.50.28W

02-03-24

Pau⁶2 - 3Caen⁴1.50.33W

02-12-23

Caen⁴1 - 0Bastia⁶1.5-1L

11-03-23

Rodez⁶3 - 2Caen⁴1.50.39W

18-02-23

Caen⁴2 - 1Grenoble Foot 38⁶1.50.56W

26-12-22

Bastia¹¹1 - 0Caen⁴1.5-1L

13-08-22

Dijon⁶2 - 2Caen⁴1.50.41W

Pau's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

40.121.353%

09-11-24

Pau⁷0 - 0Paris⁷1.5-1L

13-01-24

Rodez⁷2 - 1Pau⁷1.50.21W

11-02-23

Grenoble Foot 38^2(A)1 - 1Pau⁷1.50.5W

30-04-22

Quevilly Rouen⁷1 - 2Pau⁷1.50.41W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Caen's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.011.48-0.17%

26-02-24

Caen⁸2 - 0Angers SCO⁸1.50.43W

17-02-24

Guingamp⁶1 - 0Caen⁶1.5-1L

25-02-23

Guingamp⁶1 - 2Caen⁶1.50.46W

18-02-23

Caen⁴2 - 1Grenoble Foot 38⁶1.50.56W

26-02-22

Caen⁶2 - 1Bastia⁶1.50.54W

19-02-22

Pau⁶1 - 0Caen⁶1.5-1L

Pau's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-3.391.38-56.5%

24-02-24

Grenoble Foot 38⁶0 - 1Pau⁶1.5-1L

17-02-24

Pau⁶0 - 2Quevilly Rouen⁶1.50.34W

25-02-23

Saint-Étienne⁴2 - 0Pau⁶1.50.27W

18-02-23

Pau⁶0 - 1Laval⁶1.5-1L

26-02-22

Valenciennes⁶1 - 0Pau⁶1.5-1L

19-02-22

Pau⁶1 - 0Caen⁶1.5-1L

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Ligue 2 Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.382.432.212.27

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Ligue 22132.43

2023/2024

Ligue 23802.46

2022/2023

Ligue 23792.41

2021/2022

Ligue 23632.26

Ligue 2 Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

67.82%1.4767.61%1.4863%1.5963.33%1.58

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Ligue 221367.61% 1.48

2023/2024

Ligue 238068.68% 1.46

2022/2023

Ligue 237967.55% 1.48

2021/2022

Ligue 236367.22% 1.49

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Ligue 2 First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.051.081.10.96

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Ligue 22131.08

2023/2024

Ligue 23801.10

2022/2023

Ligue 23791.06

2021/2022

Ligue 23630.99

Ligue 2 Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.331.351.171.25

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Ligue 22131.35

2023/2024

Ligue 23801.36

2022/2023

Ligue 23791.36

2021/2022

Ligue 23631.27

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

23-6.871.36-29.87%

Last 2 seasons - 18 vs 11 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

2-0.621.41-31%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Caen matches against table positions: 10,11,12

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.661.34-11%

22-11-24

¹⁴Caen⁵3 - 3¹²Rodez⁶1.50.23W

02-11-24

¹⁵Caen³2 - 0¹⁰Bastia³1.50.4W

30-08-24

¹⁷Caen⁶1 - 1¹⁰Annecy⁶1.50.34W

17-08-24

⁹Caen⁶0 - 2¹¹Paris⁶1.50.37W

06-04-24

⁶Caen⁶0 - 1¹²Bordeaux⁶1.5-1L

09-03-24

⁵Caen⁶0 - 1¹²Paris⁶1.5-1L

Pau matches against table positions: 16,17,18

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

4-1.41.32-35%

29-10-24

¹⁸Troyes^2(A)3 - 0⁸Pau³1.50.31W

23-04-24

¹⁷Troyes^2(A)2 - 2⁶Pau²1.50.29W

09-03-24

¹⁷Dunkerque⁶1 - 0¹⁰Pau⁶1.5-1L

27-01-24

¹⁷Annecy³0 - 0¹¹Pau³1.5-1L

YOUR TEXT

Caen vs Pau - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

FRANCE - Ligue 2

Caen's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Caen's home matches when WIN odds between 2.4 and 2.7

Pau's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Pau's away matches when WIN odds between 2.9 and 3.2

Caen's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Caen's last 10 home matches

Pau's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Pau's last 10 away matches.

Caen's all matches (last 6 matches)

Caen's all matches - last 6

Pau's all matches (last 6 matches)

Pau's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Ligue 2 Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )

Caen's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )

Pau's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Caen (ELO: 1347) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Pau (ELO 1391) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Caen's all matches (last 8 matches)

Pau's all matches (last 8 matches)

Caen's all matches (last 8 matches)

Pau's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Ligue 2 Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Ligue 2 Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Ligue 2 First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Ligue 2 Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 18 vs 11 in the table

Caen matches against table positions: 10,11,12

Pau matches against table positions: 16,17,18

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