Luton Town vs Preston North End - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - Championship

2025-01-18
15:00:00

Luton Town⁶

Preston North End³

Kenilworth Road Stadium (Luton)

T. Robinson

2.323.343.71

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.43

Injuries & Suspensions

Luton Town

Preston North End

R. Burke

Thigh Injury

App: 9 (9), G: 0

T. Lockyer

Heart Condition

App: 0 (0), G: 0

R. Brady

Rib Injury

App: 13 (8), G: 0

B. Potts

Knee Injury

App: 21 (17), G: 3

T. Chong

Hamstring

App: 23 (22), G: 2

S. Baptiste

Calf Injury

App: 11 (7), G: 0

A. Doughty

Ankle Injury

App: 13 (13), G: 0

T. Mengi

Knee Injury

App: 15 (14), G: 1

Championship Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Leeds United26158348192953DDWWW

2Burnley27141123192253DWDDW

3Sheffield United26166436171952WLDLW

4Sunderland27149439221751DWWLD

5Blackburn Rovers2612683123842WLDLD

6Middlesbrough26118743321141DWDDD

7West Bromwich Albion26913432211140DWDLW

8Watford26115103637-138DLLLW

9Bristol City2691073330337WDWWL

10Sheffield Wednesday2610793840-237DWLDW

11Norwich City269984337636WWDWL

12Swansea City2697103030034DLWWL

13Queens Park Rangers2671182934-532WWDLW

14Millwall257992423130DLDLW

15Preston North End2661282834-630DLWWL

16Coventry City2678113437-329LDDWL

17Oxford United2678112941-1229DDWWW

18Derby County2676133135-427LLLWL

19Stoke City2669112432-827DDWLL

20Luton Town2674152744-1725LLLLW

21Cardiff City2659122641-1524DDDWL

22Hull City2658132536-1123DLWLW

23Portsmouth2558123044-1423LLWLL

24Plymouth Argyle2649132554-2921DDDLL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Luton Town's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

101.141.411.4%

Luton Town's home matches when WIN odds between 2.2 and 2.5

20-12-24

Luton Town⁵2 - 1⁽²⁾Derby County⁶1.50.45W

07-12-24

Luton Town⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Swansea City⁶1.50.24W

23-11-24

Luton Town¹³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Hull City¹²1.5-1L

24-04-23

Luton Town⁴2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Middlesbrough⁴1.50.32W

01-04-23

Luton Town¹³2 - 0⁽¹⁾Watford¹³1.50.48W

28-02-23

Luton Town^2(A)2 - 2⁽¹⁾Millwall^2(A)1.50.44W

04-02-23

Luton Town³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Stoke City⁵1.5-1L

17-09-22

Luton Town²2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Blackburn Rovers³1.50.42W

14-09-22

Luton Town¹⁰2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Coventry City¹⁰1.50.32W

03-09-22

Luton Town³1 - 2⁽²⁾Wigan Athletic³1.50.47W

Preston North End's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

101.391.4213.9%

Preston North End's away matches when WIN odds between 3.5 and 4

11-12-24

Cardiff City¹⁰0 - 2⁽¹⁾Preston North End³1.50.48W

17-08-24

Swansea City³3 - 0⁽¹⁾Preston North End³1.50.31W

01-04-24

Birmingham City^2(A)1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Preston North End²1.5-1L

10-11-23

Blackburn Rovers⁴1 - 2⁽¹⁾Preston North End⁵1.50.25W

05-08-23

Bristol City⁶1 - 1⁽¹⁾Preston North End⁶1.50.39W

07-04-23

Queens Park Rangers⁵0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Preston North End⁵1.50.48W

21-01-23

Birmingham City³1 - 2⁽¹⁾Preston North End⁶1.50.51W

10-12-22

Blackburn Rovers⁶1 - 4⁽⁰⁾Preston North End²⁷1.50.45W

04-11-22

Reading^2(A)1 - 2⁽¹⁾Preston North End²1.50.52W

01-10-22

Sunderland¹³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Preston North End¹³1.5-1L

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Luton Town's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-0.941.3-9.4%

Luton Town's last 10 home matches

01-01-25

Luton Town^2(A)0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Norwich City²1.5-1L

20-12-24

Luton Town⁵2 - 1⁽²⁾Derby County⁶1.50.45W

10-12-24

Luton Town²2 - 1⁽¹⁾Stoke City^2(A)1.50.3W

07-12-24

Luton Town⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Swansea City⁶1.50.24W

23-11-24

Luton Town¹³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Hull City¹²1.5-1L

06-11-24

Luton Town⁴1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Cardiff City³1.5-1L

01-11-24

Luton Town⁵1 - 1⁽⁰⁾West Bromwich Albion⁵1.50.29W

23-10-24

Luton Town³1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Sunderland^2(A)1.50.27W

19-10-24

Luton Town¹³3 - 0⁽¹⁾Watford¹³1.50.25W

01-10-24

Luton Town³2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Oxford United²1.50.26W

Preston North End's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

101.351.4213.5%

Preston North End's last 10 away matches.

01-01-25

West Bromwich Albion^2(A)3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Preston North End²1.50.41W

21-12-24

Queens Park Rangers⁶2 - 1⁽¹⁾Preston North End⁶1.50.54W

11-12-24

Cardiff City¹⁰0 - 2⁽¹⁾Preston North End³1.50.48W

07-12-24

Sheffield Wednesday⁵1 - 1⁽¹⁾Preston North End⁶1.50.47W

26-11-24

Stoke City^2(A)0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Preston North End²1.5-1L

09-11-24

Portsmouth³3 - 1⁽¹⁾Preston North End²1.50.44W

26-10-24

Plymouth Argyle^2(A)3 - 3⁽²⁾Preston North End³1.50.24W

05-10-24

Burnley³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Preston North End²1.5-1L

28-09-24

Millwall⁶3 - 1⁽¹⁾Preston North End⁵1.50.54W

14-09-24

Middlesbrough¹³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Preston North End¹³1.50.23W

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Luton Town's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.471.37-7.83%

Luton Town's all matches - last 6

06-01-25

Queens Park Rangers⁴2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Luton Town⁴1.50.42W

01-01-25

Luton Town^2(A)0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Norwich City²1.5-1L

29-12-24

Swansea City²2 - 1⁽¹⁾Luton Town^2(A)1.50.32W

26-12-24

Bristol City³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Luton Town⁵1.5-1L

20-12-24

Luton Town⁵2 - 1⁽²⁾Derby County⁶1.50.45W

14-12-24

Blackburn Rovers³2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Luton Town³1.50.34W

Preston North End's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61.171.4319.5%

Preston North End's all matches - last 6

04-01-25

Preston North End^2(A)1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Oxford United^2(A)1.50.42W

01-01-25

West Bromwich Albion^2(A)3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Preston North End²1.50.41W

29-12-24

Preston North End²3 - 1⁽¹⁾Sheffield Wednesday^2(A)1.50.43W

26-12-24

Preston North End⁴1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Hull City⁴1.5-1L

21-12-24

Queens Park Rangers⁶2 - 1⁽¹⁾Preston North End⁶1.50.54W

14-12-24

Preston North End^2(A)1 - 1⁽¹⁾Leeds United³1.50.37W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

4-1.021.43-25.5%

H2H matches - last 6

24-08-24

Preston North End⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Luton Town⁶1.5-1L

15-02-23

Preston North End³1 - 1⁽¹⁾Luton Town³1.50.53W

13-08-22

Luton Town³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Preston North End³1.5-1L

16-03-22

Luton Town²4 - 0⁽⁰⁾Preston North End³1.50.45W

Championship Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Leeds United26158348192953DDWWW

2Burnley27141123192253DWDDW

3Sheffield United26166436171952WLDLW

4Sunderland27149439221751DWWLD

5Blackburn Rovers2612683123842WLDLD

6Middlesbrough26118743321141DWDDD

7West Bromwich Albion26913432211140DWDLW

8Watford26115103637-138DLLLW

9Bristol City2691073330337WDWWL

10Sheffield Wednesday2610793840-237DWLDW

11Norwich City269984337636WWDWL

12Swansea City2697103030034DLWWL

13Queens Park Rangers2671182934-532WWDLW

14Millwall257992423130DLDLW

15Preston North End2661282834-630DLWWL

16Coventry City2678113437-329LDDWL

17Oxford United2678112941-1229DDWWW

18Derby County2676133135-427LLLWL

19Stoke City2669112432-827DDWLL

20Luton Town2674152744-1725LLLLW

21Cardiff City2659122641-1524DDDWL

22Hull City2658132536-1123DLWLW

23Portsmouth2558123044-1423LLWLL

24Plymouth Argyle2649132554-2921DDDLL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 4%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.74 (1.35)0.04 (1.43)0.552.10

Championship Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.02 - 0.07 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

1504.301.302.87%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Luton Town's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.02 - 0.07 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-1.001.35-20.00%

26-12-24

^0.05Bristol City³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Luton Town⁵1.5-1L

27-11-24

^0.06Leeds United^2(A)3 - 0⁽¹⁾Luton Town³1.50.26W

19-10-24

^0.06Luton Town¹³3 - 0⁽¹⁾Watford¹³1.50.25W

18-03-23

^0.02Sunderland²1 - 1⁽¹⁾Luton Town²1.50.49W

04-03-23

^0.05Luton Town³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Swansea City⁴1.5-1L

Preston North End's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.02 - 0.07 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

142.071.3414.79%

01-01-25

^0.04West Bromwich Albion^2(A)3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Preston North End²1.50.41W

26-10-24

^0.05Plymouth Argyle^2(A)3 - 3⁽²⁾Preston North End³1.50.24W

28-09-24

^0.04Millwall⁶3 - 1⁽¹⁾Preston North End⁵1.50.54W

14-09-24

^0.02Middlesbrough¹³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Preston North End¹³1.50.23W

13-04-24

^0.02Preston North End³0 - 1⁽¹⁾Norwich City³1.5-1L

01-04-24

^0.06Birmingham City^2(A)1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Preston North End²1.5-1L

23-02-24

^0.06Coventry City⁵0 - 3⁽⁰⁾Preston North End⁵1.50.27W

01-12-23

^0.06Preston North End^2(A)0 - 2⁽¹⁾Queens Park Rangers²1.50.43W

10-11-23

^0.06Blackburn Rovers⁴1 - 2⁽¹⁾Preston North End⁵1.50.25W

25-10-23

^0.06Preston North End³2 - 2⁽¹⁾Southampton³1.50.31W

07-10-23

^0.05Ipswich Town³4 - 2⁽¹⁾Preston North End^2(A)1.50.25W

22-04-23

^0.06Preston North End^2(A)1 - 1⁽²⁾Blackburn Rovers²1.50.41W

01-04-23

^0.04Preston North End¹³3 - 1⁽¹⁾Blackpool¹³1.50.39W

11-02-23

^0.02Burnley³3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Preston North End⁶1.50.34W

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

2111.71.340.81%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 10 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Luton Town (ELO: 1474) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

81.431.3517.88%

10-12-24

³⁵Luton Town²2 - 1Stoke City^2(A)1.50.3W

07-12-24

¹¹Luton Town⁶1 - 1Swansea City⁶1.50.24W

23-11-24

³⁰Luton Town¹³1 - 0Hull City¹²1.5-1L

23-10-24

²⁶Luton Town³1 - 2Sunderland^2(A)1.50.27W

24-04-23

^-4Luton Town⁴2 - 1Middlesbrough⁴1.50.32W

28-02-23

^-6Luton Town^2(A)2 - 2Millwall^2(A)1.50.44W

14-01-23

³Luton Town⁶2 - 3West Bromwich Albion⁶1.50.48W

15-10-22

⁵Luton Town⁶3 - 1Queens Park Rangers⁷1.50.38W

Preston North End (ELO 1463) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

81.111.4713.88%

21-12-24

⁰Queens Park Rangers⁶2 - 1Preston North End⁶1.50.54W

07-12-24

³¹Sheffield Wednesday⁵1 - 1Preston North End⁶1.50.47W

26-11-24

³⁵Stoke City^2(A)0 - 0Preston North End²1.5-1L

28-09-24

²⁹Millwall⁶3 - 1Preston North End⁵1.50.54W

06-04-24

^-5Watford⁴0 - 0Preston North End⁴1.5-1L

10-02-24

^-2Cardiff City⁶0 - 2Preston North End⁶1.50.54W

27-01-24

¹⁴Millwall⁶1 - 1Preston North End⁵1.50.54W

12-12-23

¹Huddersfield Town²1 - 3Preston North End^2(A)1.50.48W

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Luton Town's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.641.248%

07-12-24

Luton Town⁶1 - 1Swansea City⁶1.50.24W

21-09-24

Luton Town⁶2 - 1Sheffield Wednesday³1.50.3W

24-08-24

Preston North End⁶1 - 0Luton Town⁶1.5-1L

27-04-24

Wolverhampton Wanderers²2 - 1Luton Town⁶1.50.23W

20-04-24

Luton Town⁶1 - 5Brentford⁶1.50.25W

13-04-24

Manchester City³5 - 1Luton Town⁶1.50.09W

09-03-24

Crystal Palace⁶1 - 1Luton Town⁶1.50.27W

10-02-24

Luton Town⁶1 - 3Sheffield United⁶1.50.26W

Preston North End's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.111.381.38%

11-12-24

Cardiff City¹⁰0 - 2Preston North End³1.50.48W

30-11-24

Preston North End³1 - 1West Bromwich Albion³1.50.46W

06-11-24

Preston North End³0 - 0Sunderland³1.5-1L

26-10-24

Plymouth Argyle^2(A)3 - 3Preston North End³1.50.24W

02-10-24

Preston North End³3 - 0Watford³1.50.29W

31-08-24

Oxford United³3 - 1Preston North End³1.50.33W

17-08-24

Swansea City³3 - 0Preston North End³1.50.31W

20-04-24

Queens Park Rangers⁶1 - 0Preston North End³1.5-1L

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Luton Town's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

52.051.4141%

21-01-23

Wigan Athletic³0 - 2Luton Town³1.50.43W

14-01-23

Luton Town⁶2 - 3West Bromwich Albion⁶1.50.48W

22-01-22

Sheffield United³2 - 0Luton Town^2(A)1.50.39W

19-01-22

Reading³0 - 2Luton Town³1.50.36W

15-01-22

Luton Town⁵3 - 2AFC Bournemouth⁶1.50.39W

Preston North End's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

71.51.4221.43%

21-01-24

Leeds United⁷2 - 1Preston North End⁷1.50.19W

13-01-24

Preston North End⁶2 - 0Bristol City⁵1.50.55W

21-01-23

Birmingham City³1 - 2Preston North End⁶1.50.51W

14-01-23

Preston North End⁶0 - 4Norwich City⁵1.50.39W

22-01-22

Swansea City⁶1 - 0Preston North End³1.5-1L

18-01-22

Preston North End²2 - 2Sheffield United^2(A)1.50.43W

15-01-22

Preston North End⁵1 - 1Birmingham City⁶1.50.43W

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Championship Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.532.472.52.43

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Championship3122.47

2023/2024

Championship5572.67

2022/2023

Championship5562.42

2021/2022

Championship5572.50

Championship Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

72.09%1.3971.79%1.3976%1.3270%1.43

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Championship31271.79% 1.39

2023/2024

Championship55774.51% 1.34

2022/2023

Championship55669.96% 1.43

2021/2022

Championship55771.81% 1.39

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Championship First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.121.110.931.11

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Championship3121.11

2023/2024

Championship5571.23

2022/2023

Championship5561.10

2021/2022

Championship5571.02

Championship Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.421.371.51.39

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Championship3121.37

2023/2024

Championship5571.44

2022/2023

Championship5561.33

2021/2022

Championship5571.49

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

201.491.357.45%

Last 2 seasons - 20 vs 15 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.221.2222%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Luton Town matches against table positions: 14,15,16

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-1.011.34-20.2%

20-12-24

¹⁹Luton Town⁵2 - 1¹⁴Derby County⁶1.50.45W

10-12-24

¹⁸Luton Town²2 - 1¹⁵Stoke City^2(A)1.50.3W

12-08-24

¹⁴Luton Town⁸1 - 4¹⁵Burnley⁷1.50.24W

08-05-23

³Luton Town⁶0 - 0¹⁴Hull City⁸1.5-1L

04-03-23

⁶Luton Town³1 - 0¹⁶Swansea City⁴1.5-1L

Preston North End matches against table positions: 19,20,21

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

70.271.433.86%

28-09-24

²⁰Millwall⁶3 - 1²²Preston North End⁵1.50.54W

17-08-24

¹⁹Swansea City³3 - 0²³Preston North End³1.50.31W

20-04-24

²⁰Queens Park Rangers⁶1 - 0¹⁰Preston North End³1.5-1L

01-04-24

²¹Birmingham City^2(A)1 - 0⁸Preston North End²1.5-1L

12-12-23

²¹Huddersfield Town²1 - 3⁹Preston North End^2(A)1.50.48W

23-09-23

²¹Rotherham United^2(A)1 - 1¹Preston North End³1.50.4W

14-03-23

²⁰Rotherham United^2(A)1 - 2¹²Preston North End²1.50.54W

YOUR TEXT

Luton Town vs Preston North End - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - Championship

Injuries & Suspensions

Luton Town's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Luton Town's home matches when WIN odds between 2.2 and 2.5

Preston North End's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Preston North End's away matches when WIN odds between 3.5 and 4

Luton Town's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Luton Town's last 10 home matches

Preston North End's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Preston North End's last 10 away matches.

Luton Town's all matches (last 6 matches)

Luton Town's all matches - last 6

Preston North End's all matches (last 6 matches)

Preston North End's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Championship Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.02 - 0.07 )

Luton Town's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.02 - 0.07 )

Preston North End's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.02 - 0.07 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Luton Town (ELO: 1474) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Preston North End (ELO 1463) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Luton Town's all matches (last 8 matches)

Preston North End's all matches (last 8 matches)

Luton Town's all matches (last 8 matches)

Preston North End's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Championship Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Championship Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Championship First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Championship Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 20 vs 15 in the table

Luton Town matches against table positions: 14,15,16

Preston North End matches against table positions: 19,20,21

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