Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - Championship

2025-01-18
15:00:00

Portsmouth^2(A)

Middlesbrough⁶

Fratton Park (Portsmouth)

G. Ward

4.384.061.90

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25

Injuries & Suspensions

Portsmouth

Middlesbrough

R. Poole

Calf Injury

App: 14 (13), G: 0

K. Yengi

PCL Knee Injury

App: 8 (3), G: 0

J. Howson

Knock

App: 9 (5), G: 1

T. Smith

Achilles Tendon Rupture

App: 0 (0), G: 0

D. Lenihan

Ankle Injury

App: 0 (0), G: 0

L. Ayling

Knee Injury

App: 18 (17), G: 0

J. Archer

Thigh Injury

App: 2 (1), G: 0

S. Dieng

Hamstring

App: 17 (17), G: 0

S. Brynn

Shoulder Injury

App: 6 (6), G: 0

A. Bangura

Achilles Tendon Rupture

App: 0 (0), G: 0

A. Morris

Knee Injury

App: 15 (14), G: 0

Championship Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Leeds United26158348192953DDWWW

2Burnley27141123192253DWDDW

3Sheffield United26166436171952WLDLW

4Sunderland27149439221751DWWLD

5Blackburn Rovers2612683123842WLDLD

6Middlesbrough26118743321141DWDDD

7West Bromwich Albion26913432211140DWDLW

8Watford26115103637-138DLLLW

9Bristol City2691073330337WDWWL

10Sheffield Wednesday2610793840-237DWLDW

11Norwich City269984337636WWDWL

12Swansea City2697103030034DLWWL

13Queens Park Rangers2671182934-532WWDLW

14Millwall257992423130DLDLW

15Preston North End2661282834-630DLWWL

16Coventry City2678113437-329LDDWL

17Oxford United2678112941-1229DDWWW

18Derby County2676133135-427LLLWL

19Stoke City2669112432-827DDWLL

20Luton Town2674152744-1725LLLLW

21Cardiff City2659122641-1524DDDWL

22Hull City2658132536-1123DLWLW

23Portsmouth2558123044-1423LLWLL

24Plymouth Argyle2649132554-2921DDDLL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Portsmouth's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

9-11.33-11.11%

Portsmouth's home matches when WIN odds between 3.6 and 5.1

21-12-24

Portsmouth⁷4 - 1⁽⁰⁾Coventry City⁶1.50.26W

07-12-24

Portsmouth⁶3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Bristol City⁶1.50.36W

25-10-24

Portsmouth^2(A)1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Sheffield Wednesday²1.50.31W

28-09-24

Portsmouth⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Sheffield United⁶1.5-1L

15-09-24

Portsmouth¹⁴0 - 3⁽¹⁾West Bromwich Albion¹⁴1.50.31W

31-08-24

Portsmouth⁶1 - 3⁽¹⁾Sunderland⁶1.50.33W

17-08-24

Portsmouth³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Luton Town⁴1.5-1L

11-03-23

Portsmouth³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Sheffield Wednesday⁶1.5-1L

29-12-22

Portsmouth^2(A)2 - 2⁽¹⁾Ipswich Town²1.50.43W

Middlesbrough's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

100.041.260.4%

Middlesbrough's away matches when WIN odds between 1.8 and 2.1

23-11-24

Oxford United¹⁴2 - 6⁽²⁾Middlesbrough¹³1.50.28W

05-11-24

Queens Park Rangers²1 - 4⁽²⁾Middlesbrough²1.50.25W

05-10-24

Watford^2(A)2 - 1⁽²⁾Middlesbrough³1.50.22W

31-08-24

Cardiff City²0 - 2⁽¹⁾Middlesbrough³1.50.29W

17-08-24

Derby County³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Middlesbrough^2(A)1.5-1L

27-04-24

Cardiff City⁶1 - 4⁽¹⁾Middlesbrough⁴1.50.25W

29-12-23

Huddersfield Town²1 - 2⁽¹⁾Middlesbrough^2(A)1.50.27W

04-11-23

Plymouth Argyle⁶3 - 3⁽¹⁾Middlesbrough³1.50.21W

01-05-23

Rotherham United³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Middlesbrough⁶1.5-1L

10-04-23

Bristol City^2(A)2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Middlesbrough²1.50.27W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Portsmouth's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

100.561.315.6%

Portsmouth's last 10 home matches

01-01-25

Portsmouth^2(A)4 - 0⁽¹⁾Swansea City²1.50.31W

21-12-24

Portsmouth⁷4 - 1⁽⁰⁾Coventry City⁶1.50.26W

10-12-24

Portsmouth²0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Norwich City^2(A)1.5-1L

07-12-24

Portsmouth⁶3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Bristol City⁶1.50.36W

09-11-24

Portsmouth³3 - 1⁽¹⁾Preston North End²1.50.44W

25-10-24

Portsmouth^2(A)1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Sheffield Wednesday²1.50.31W

05-10-24

Portsmouth^2(A)1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Oxford United³1.50.24W

28-09-24

Portsmouth⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Sheffield United⁶1.5-1L

15-09-24

Portsmouth¹⁴0 - 3⁽¹⁾West Bromwich Albion¹⁴1.50.31W

31-08-24

Portsmouth⁶1 - 3⁽¹⁾Sunderland⁶1.50.33W

Middlesbrough's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-1.261.26-12.6%

Middlesbrough's last 10 away matches.

01-01-25

Hull City^2(A)0 - 1⁽¹⁾Middlesbrough²1.5-1L

21-12-24

Plymouth Argyle⁶3 - 3⁽³⁾Middlesbrough⁶1.50.18W

10-12-24

Leeds United²3 - 1⁽¹⁾Middlesbrough³1.50.27W

06-12-24

Burnley⁵1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Middlesbrough⁵1.50.34W

23-11-24

Oxford United¹⁴2 - 6⁽²⁾Middlesbrough¹³1.50.28W

05-11-24

Queens Park Rangers²1 - 4⁽²⁾Middlesbrough²1.50.25W

27-10-24

Norwich City⁴3 - 3⁽¹⁾Middlesbrough³1.50.2W

05-10-24

Watford^2(A)2 - 1⁽²⁾Middlesbrough³1.50.22W

01-10-24

West Bromwich Albion^2(A)0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Middlesbrough²1.5-1L

21-09-24

Sunderland⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Middlesbrough⁶1.5-1L

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Portsmouth's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.411.276.83%

Portsmouth's all matches - last 6

15-01-25

Blackburn Rovers³3 - 0⁽¹⁾Portsmouth⁴1.50.26W

05-01-25

Sunderland³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Portsmouth³1.5-1L

01-01-25

Portsmouth^2(A)4 - 0⁽¹⁾Swansea City²1.50.31W

29-12-24

Bristol City²3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Portsmouth^2(A)1.50.31W

26-12-24

Watford⁴2 - 1⁽¹⁾Portsmouth⁴1.50.27W

21-12-24

Portsmouth⁷4 - 1⁽⁰⁾Coventry City⁶1.50.26W

Middlesbrough's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-2.341.27-39%

Middlesbrough's all matches - last 6

04-01-25

Middlesbrough^2(A)1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Cardiff City²1.50.24W

01-01-25

Hull City^2(A)0 - 1⁽¹⁾Middlesbrough²1.5-1L

29-12-24

Middlesbrough²0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Burnley^2(A)1.5-1L

26-12-24

Middlesbrough⁴3 - 3⁽⁰⁾Sheffield Wednesday⁴1.50.24W

21-12-24

Plymouth Argyle⁶3 - 3⁽³⁾Middlesbrough⁶1.50.18W

14-12-24

Middlesbrough³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Millwall²1.5-1L

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.181.1818%

H2H matches - last 6

24-08-24

Middlesbrough⁶2 - 2⁽¹⁾Portsmouth⁶1.50.18W

Championship Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Leeds United26158348192953DDWWW

2Burnley27141123192253DWDDW

3Sheffield United26166436171952WLDLW

4Sunderland27149439221751DWWLD

5Blackburn Rovers2612683123842WLDLD

6Middlesbrough26118743321141DWDDD

7West Bromwich Albion26913432211140DWDLW

8Watford26115103637-138DLLLW

9Bristol City2691073330337WDWWL

10Sheffield Wednesday2610793840-237DWLDW

11Norwich City269984337636WWDWL

12Swansea City2697103030034DLWWL

13Queens Park Rangers2671182934-532WWDLW

14Millwall257992423130DLDLW

15Preston North End2661282834-630DLWWL

16Coventry City2678113437-329LDDWL

17Oxford United2678112941-1229DDWWW

18Derby County2676133135-427LLLWL

19Stoke City2669112432-827DDWLL

20Luton Town2674152744-1725LLLLW

21Cardiff City2659122641-1524DDDWL

22Hull City2658132536-1123DLWLW

23Portsmouth2558123044-1423LLWLL

24Plymouth Argyle2649132554-2921DDDLL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 9%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.89 (1.12)0.09 (1.25)1.082.64

Championship Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.07 - 0.12 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

115-10.901.30-9.48%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Portsmouth's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.07 - 0.12 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-2.211.26-36.83%

05-01-25

^0.08Sunderland³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Portsmouth³1.5-1L

05-11-24

^0.09Plymouth Argyle^2(A)1 - 0⁽¹⁾Portsmouth^2(A)1.5-1L

02-11-24

^0.08Hull City⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Portsmouth⁷1.50.23W

25-10-24

^0.08Portsmouth^2(A)1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Sheffield Wednesday²1.50.31W

28-09-24

^0.11Portsmouth⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Sheffield United⁶1.5-1L

21-09-24

^0.11Burnley⁶2 - 1⁽¹⁾Portsmouth⁵1.50.25W

Middlesbrough's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.07 - 0.12 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

13-2.941.28-22.62%

04-01-25

^0.07Middlesbrough^2(A)1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Cardiff City²1.50.24W

29-12-24

^0.10Middlesbrough²0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Burnley^2(A)1.5-1L

09-11-24

^0.11Middlesbrough³5 - 1⁽²⁾Luton Town²1.50.23W

10-08-24

^0.08Middlesbrough⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Swansea City⁶1.5-1L

06-03-24

^0.07Middlesbrough³3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Norwich City³1.50.28W

26-12-23

^0.11Rotherham United^2(A)1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Middlesbrough²1.5-1L

23-12-23

^0.07Middlesbrough³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾West Bromwich Albion⁵1.5-1L

28-11-23

^0.10Middlesbrough^2(A)4 - 0⁽¹⁾Preston North End²1.50.31W

24-10-23

^0.11Norwich City²1 - 2⁽²⁾Middlesbrough²1.50.21W

23-09-23

^0.09Middlesbrough³2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Southampton³1.50.2W

14-05-23

^0.10Coventry City⁵0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Middlesbrough⁵1.5-1L

24-04-23

^0.07Luton Town⁴2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Middlesbrough⁴1.50.32W

18-02-23

^0.08Middlesbrough^2(A)3 - 1⁽³⁾Queens Park Rangers³1.50.27W

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

78-3.551.34-4.55%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -143 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Portsmouth (ELO: 1411) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

2-0.691.3-34.5%

10-12-24

^-135Portsmouth²0 - 0Norwich City^2(A)1.5-1L

15-09-24

^-160Portsmouth¹⁴0 - 3West Bromwich Albion¹⁴1.50.31W

Middlesbrough (ELO 1555) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-0.351.28-4.38%

21-12-24

^-165Plymouth Argyle⁶3 - 3Middlesbrough⁶1.50.18W

23-11-24

^-127Oxford United¹⁴2 - 6Middlesbrough¹³1.50.28W

31-08-24

^-132Cardiff City²0 - 2Middlesbrough³1.50.29W

26-12-23

^-166Rotherham United^2(A)1 - 0Middlesbrough²1.5-1L

01-05-23

^-161Rotherham United³1 - 0Middlesbrough⁶1.5-1L

10-04-23

^-119Bristol City^2(A)2 - 2Middlesbrough²1.50.27W

01-04-23

^-149Huddersfield Town¹³4 - 2Middlesbrough¹³1.50.24W

11-02-23

^-133Cardiff City⁶1 - 3Middlesbrough⁶1.50.39W

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Portsmouth's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-0.141.3-1.75%

01-01-25

Portsmouth^2(A)4 - 0Swansea City²1.50.31W

29-12-24

Bristol City²3 - 0Portsmouth^2(A)1.50.31W

13-12-24

Derby County^2(A)4 - 0Portsmouth²1.50.43W

10-12-24

Portsmouth²0 - 0Norwich City^2(A)1.5-1L

05-11-24

Plymouth Argyle^2(A)1 - 0Portsmouth^2(A)1.5-1L

25-10-24

Portsmouth^2(A)1 - 2Sheffield Wednesday²1.50.31W

22-10-24

Cardiff City²2 - 0Portsmouth^2(A)1.50.26W

05-10-24

Portsmouth^2(A)1 - 1Oxford United³1.50.24W

Middlesbrough's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-0.861.21-10.75%

21-12-24

Plymouth Argyle⁶3 - 3Middlesbrough⁶1.50.18W

28-09-24

Middlesbrough⁶2 - 0Stoke City⁷1.50.19W

21-09-24

Sunderland⁶1 - 0Middlesbrough⁶1.5-1L

24-08-24

Middlesbrough⁶2 - 2Portsmouth⁶1.50.18W

10-08-24

Middlesbrough⁶1 - 0Swansea City⁶1.5-1L

04-05-24

Middlesbrough⁶3 - 1Watford⁶1.50.15W

02-03-24

Stoke City⁶2 - 0Middlesbrough⁶1.50.27W

24-02-24

Middlesbrough⁶0 - 2Plymouth Argyle³1.50.17W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Portsmouth's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-10.75%

Middlesbrough's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

50.11.312%

20-01-24

Middlesbrough⁶1 - 1Rotherham United⁶1.50.22W

13-01-24

Millwall⁶1 - 3Middlesbrough³1.50.31W

22-01-23

Sunderland⁷2 - 0Middlesbrough⁷1.50.32W

14-01-23

Middlesbrough⁶1 - 0Millwall⁶1.5-1L

15-01-22

Middlesbrough⁶2 - 1Reading³1.50.25W

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Championship Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.532.472.52.43

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Championship3122.47

2023/2024

Championship5572.67

2022/2023

Championship5562.42

2021/2022

Championship5572.50

Championship Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

72.09%1.3971.79%1.3976%1.3270%1.43

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Championship31271.79% 1.39

2023/2024

Championship55774.51% 1.34

2022/2023

Championship55669.96% 1.43

2021/2022

Championship55771.81% 1.39

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Championship First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.121.110.931.11

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Championship3121.11

2023/2024

Championship5571.23

2022/2023

Championship5561.10

2021/2022

Championship5571.02

Championship Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.421.371.51.39

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Championship3121.37

2023/2024

Championship5571.44

2022/2023

Championship5561.33

2021/2022

Championship5571.49

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

211.381.316.57%

Last 2 seasons - 23 vs 6 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.321.3232%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Portsmouth matches against table positions: 5,6,7

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

2-0.691.29-34.5%

28-09-24

²³Portsmouth⁶0 - 0⁵Sheffield United⁶1.5-1L

15-09-24

²²Portsmouth¹⁴0 - 3⁵West Bromwich Albion¹⁴1.50.31W

Middlesbrough matches against table positions: 22,23,24

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-0.481.25-6%

01-01-25

²²Hull City^2(A)0 - 1⁷Middlesbrough²1.5-1L

21-12-24

²⁴Plymouth Argyle⁶3 - 3⁶Middlesbrough⁶1.50.18W

05-11-24

²³Queens Park Rangers²1 - 4¹¹Middlesbrough²1.50.25W

31-08-24

²⁴Cardiff City²0 - 2¹¹Middlesbrough³1.50.29W

02-03-24

²²Stoke City⁶2 - 0¹⁴Middlesbrough⁶1.50.27W

26-12-23

²⁴Rotherham United^2(A)1 - 0¹²Middlesbrough²1.5-1L

19-09-23

²³Sheffield Wednesday²1 - 1²⁴Middlesbrough^2(A)1.50.29W

01-04-23

²²Huddersfield Town¹³4 - 2³Middlesbrough¹³1.50.24W

YOUR TEXT

Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - Championship

Injuries & Suspensions

Portsmouth's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Portsmouth's home matches when WIN odds between 3.6 and 5.1

Middlesbrough's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Middlesbrough's away matches when WIN odds between 1.8 and 2.1

Portsmouth's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Portsmouth's last 10 home matches

Middlesbrough's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Middlesbrough's last 10 away matches.

Portsmouth's all matches (last 6 matches)

Portsmouth's all matches - last 6

Middlesbrough's all matches (last 6 matches)

Middlesbrough's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Championship Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.07 - 0.12 )

Portsmouth's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.07 - 0.12 )

Middlesbrough's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.07 - 0.12 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Portsmouth (ELO: 1411) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Middlesbrough (ELO 1555) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Portsmouth's all matches (last 8 matches)

Middlesbrough's all matches (last 8 matches)

Portsmouth's all matches (last 8 matches)

Middlesbrough's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Championship Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Championship Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Championship First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Championship Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 23 vs 6 in the table

Portsmouth matches against table positions: 5,6,7

Middlesbrough matches against table positions: 22,23,24

About #BetTheBuilder