Norwich City vs Stoke City - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - Championship

2025-02-22
15:00:00

Norwich City⁶

Stoke City⁶

Carrow Road (Norwich)

J. Busby

1.774.055.34

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.3

Injuries & Suspensions

Norwich City

Stoke City

K. McLean

Illness

App: 23 (23), G: 0

L. Gooch

Calf Injury

App: 14 (10), G: 0

E. Stevens

Muscle Injury

App: 13 (9), G: 0

B. Wilmot

Leg Injury

App: 26 (23), G: 2

E. Marcondes Camargo Hansen

Hip Injury

App: 23 (20), G: 4

E. Bocat

Calf Injury

App: 21 (16), G: 0

L. Gibbs

Hamstring

App: 7 (1), G: 0

Championship Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Leeds United33219368204872WWWWD

2Sheffield United33226547232470WWWWL

3Burnley34181424393468WDWWD

4Sunderland331711550302062LWDWD

5Blackburn Rovers33156123931851WWLWL

6Bristol City34121394338549WDWLD

7West Bromwich Albion331115742311148DLWLW

8Coventry City33138124441347WWLWW

9Watford33136144348-545WLDLL

10Sheffield Wednesday34129134654-845LLWLD

11Norwich City331111115145644DLDWW

12Middlesbrough33128135145644LLLLL

13Queens Park Rangers331111113941-244WLWLL

14Millwall331012113334-142DDLWW

15Preston North End3391593539-442DDWLW

16Oxford United33911133447-1338LDLDD

17Swansea City33107163446-1237LLWLL

18Portsmouth3399154155-1436WWLDL

19Stoke City32811133140-935WLWDL

20Cardiff City32711143554-1932DLLWD

21Hull City3279163243-1130DLLWL

22Derby County3378183346-1329LDDLL

23Plymouth Argyle33611163567-3229DLWWD

24Luton Town3377193153-2228DLLDL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Norwich City's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-1.061.28-10.6%

Norwich City's home matches when WIN odds between 1.7 and 1.9

11-02-25

Norwich City²0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Preston North End²1.5-1L

08-02-25

Norwich City⁶1 - 1⁽¹⁾Derby County⁶1.50.24W

29-12-24

Norwich City²1 - 1⁽¹⁾Queens Park Rangers^2(A)1.50.26W

27-04-24

Norwich City⁶2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Swansea City⁶1.50.23W

20-04-24

Norwich City⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Bristol City⁶1.50.31W

02-03-24

Norwich City⁶1 - 0⁽¹⁾Sunderland⁶1.5-1L

17-02-24

Norwich City³4 - 1⁽¹⁾Cardiff City³1.50.33W

13-12-23

Norwich City³3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Sheffield Wednesday³1.50.28W

25-11-23

Norwich City¹³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Queens Park Rangers¹³1.5-1L

05-08-23

Norwich City⁶2 - 1⁽¹⁾Hull City⁶1.50.29W

Stoke City's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

101.751.2917.5%

Stoke City's away matches when WIN odds between 4.3 and 6.3

12-02-25

Bristol City²2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Stoke City³1.50.33W

18-01-25

West Bromwich Albion⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Stoke City⁶1.50.39W

21-12-24

Sheffield Wednesday⁶2 - 0⁽¹⁾Stoke City⁶1.50.3W

10-12-24

Luton Town²2 - 1⁽¹⁾Stoke City^2(A)1.50.3W

07-12-24

Sunderland⁷2 - 1⁽¹⁾Stoke City⁶1.50.25W

26-10-24

Sheffield United^2(A)2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Stoke City³1.50.31W

28-09-24

Middlesbrough⁶2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Stoke City⁷1.50.19W

27-04-24

Southampton³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Stoke City⁶1.5-1L

17-12-23

West Bromwich Albion⁴1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Stoke City⁴1.50.42W

28-10-23

Middlesbrough³0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Stoke City²1.50.26W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Norwich City's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

101.71.317%

Norwich City's last 10 home matches

11-02-25

Norwich City²0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Preston North End²1.5-1L

08-02-25

Norwich City⁶1 - 1⁽¹⁾Derby County⁶1.50.24W

25-01-25

Norwich City^2(A)5 - 1⁽³⁾Swansea City³1.50.31W

04-01-25

Norwich City^2(A)2 - 1⁽²⁾Coventry City^2(A)1.50.3W

29-12-24

Norwich City²1 - 1⁽¹⁾Queens Park Rangers^2(A)1.50.26W

26-12-24

Norwich City⁴2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Millwall⁴1.50.42W

15-12-24

Norwich City⁴1 - 2⁽¹⁾Burnley⁴1.50.44W

30-11-24

Norwich City³4 - 2⁽²⁾Luton Town^2(A)1.50.26W

26-11-24

Norwich City^2(A)6 - 1⁽²⁾Plymouth Argyle³1.50.19W

09-11-24

Norwich City³0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Bristol City³1.50.28W

Stoke City's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

101.711.317.1%

Stoke City's last 10 away matches.

12-02-25

Bristol City²2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Stoke City³1.50.33W

01-02-25

Hull City⁷1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Stoke City⁶1.50.24W

22-01-25

Portsmouth³3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Stoke City³1.50.28W

18-01-25

West Bromwich Albion⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Stoke City⁶1.50.39W

01-01-25

Burnley^2(A)0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Stoke City²1.5-1L

21-12-24

Sheffield Wednesday⁶2 - 0⁽¹⁾Stoke City⁶1.50.3W

10-12-24

Luton Town²2 - 1⁽¹⁾Stoke City^2(A)1.50.3W

07-12-24

Sunderland⁷2 - 1⁽¹⁾Stoke City⁶1.50.25W

23-11-24

Queens Park Rangers¹³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Stoke City¹³1.50.31W

06-11-24

Blackburn Rovers³0 - 2⁽¹⁾Stoke City³1.50.31W

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Norwich City's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.91.29-15%

Norwich City's all matches - last 6

15-02-25

Hull City^2(A)1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Norwich City³1.50.29W

11-02-25

Norwich City²0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Preston North End²1.5-1L

08-02-25

Norwich City⁶1 - 1⁽¹⁾Derby County⁶1.50.24W

01-02-25

Watford⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Norwich City⁶1.5-1L

25-01-25

Norwich City^2(A)5 - 1⁽³⁾Swansea City³1.50.31W

22-01-25

Leeds United²2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Norwich City³1.50.26W

Stoke City's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.541.329%

Stoke City's all matches - last 6

15-02-25

Stoke City^2(A)3 - 1⁽¹⁾Swansea City²1.50.3W

12-02-25

Bristol City²2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Stoke City³1.50.33W

01-02-25

Hull City⁷1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Stoke City⁶1.50.24W

25-01-25

Stoke City^2(A)0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Oxford United³1.5-1L

22-01-25

Portsmouth³3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Stoke City³1.50.28W

18-01-25

West Bromwich Albion⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Stoke City⁶1.50.39W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-1.141.3-22.8%

H2H matches - last 6

19-10-24

Stoke City¹³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Norwich City¹³1.50.25W

16-03-24

Stoke City⁶0 - 3⁽⁰⁾Norwich City⁶1.50.3W

16-09-23

Norwich City¹³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Stoke City¹³1.5-1L

18-03-23

Stoke City³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Norwich City^2(A)1.5-1L

29-10-22

Norwich City³3 - 1⁽⁾Stoke City⁶1.50.31W

Championship Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Leeds United33219368204872WWWWD

2Sheffield United33226547232470WWWWL

3Burnley34181424393468WDWWD

4Sunderland331711550302062LWDWD

5Blackburn Rovers33156123931851WWLWL

6Bristol City34121394338549WDWLD

7West Bromwich Albion331115742311148DLWLW

8Coventry City33138124441347WWLWW

9Watford33136144348-545WLDLL

10Sheffield Wednesday34129134654-845LLWLD

11Norwich City331111115145644DLDWW

12Middlesbrough33128135145644LLLLL

13Queens Park Rangers331111113941-244WLWLL

14Millwall331012113334-142DDLWW

15Preston North End3391593539-442DDWLW

16Oxford United33911133447-1338LDLDD

17Swansea City33107163446-1237LLWLL

18Portsmouth3399154155-1436WWLDL

19Stoke City32811133140-935WLWDL

20Cardiff City32711143554-1932DLLWD

21Hull City3279163243-1130DLLWL

22Derby County3378183346-1329LDDLL

23Plymouth Argyle33611163567-3229DLWWD

24Luton Town3377193153-2228DLLDL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -9%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.68 (1.47)-0.09 (1.3)1.261.09

Championship Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.12 - -0.07 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

107-3.591.31-3.36%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Norwich City's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.12 - -0.07 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

12-0.491.28-4.08%

08-02-25

^-0.07Norwich City⁶1 - 1⁽¹⁾Derby County⁶1.50.24W

15-12-24

^-0.08Norwich City⁴1 - 2⁽¹⁾Burnley⁴1.50.44W

27-10-24

^-0.08Norwich City⁴3 - 3⁽¹⁾Middlesbrough³1.50.2W

22-10-24

^-0.07Preston North End²2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Norwich City^2(A)1.50.34W

17-08-24

^-0.09Norwich City³2 - 2⁽¹⁾Blackburn Rovers³1.50.28W

12-05-24

^-0.07Norwich City⁷0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Leeds United⁷1.5-1L

27-04-24

^-0.10Norwich City⁶2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Swansea City⁶1.50.23W

29-03-24

^-0.09Norwich City¹²2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Plymouth Argyle¹²1.50.18W

26-12-23

^-0.09West Bromwich Albion^2(A)1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Norwich City²1.5-1L

03-12-23

^-0.11Bristol City³1 - 2⁽¹⁾Norwich City⁴1.50.33W

08-05-23

^-0.09Norwich City⁸0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Blackpool⁹1.5-1L

22-04-23

^-0.11Norwich City^2(A)0 - 3⁽⁰⁾Swansea City²1.50.27W

Stoke City's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.12 - -0.07 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.681.3311.33%

10-12-24

^-0.08Luton Town²2 - 1⁽¹⁾Stoke City^2(A)1.50.3W

23-11-24

^-0.07Queens Park Rangers¹³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Stoke City¹³1.50.31W

09-03-24

^-0.07Preston North End⁶1 - 2⁽¹⁾Stoke City³1.50.36W

17-12-23

^-0.08West Bromwich Albion⁴1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Stoke City⁴1.50.42W

12-12-23

^-0.07Stoke City²1 - 1⁽¹⁾Swansea City^2(A)1.50.29W

19-08-23

^-0.10Stoke City⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Watford⁶1.5-1L

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

179-5.251.32-2.93%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 59 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Norwich City (ELO: 1510) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-0.281.29-3.5%

11-02-25

⁵¹Norwich City²0 - 1Preston North End²1.5-1L

25-01-25

⁴⁶Norwich City^2(A)5 - 1Swansea City³1.50.31W

29-12-24

⁵⁰Norwich City²1 - 1Queens Park Rangers^2(A)1.50.26W

17-08-24

⁴⁴Norwich City³2 - 2Blackburn Rovers³1.50.28W

27-04-24

⁵¹Norwich City⁶2 - 2Swansea City⁶1.50.23W

20-04-24

⁵⁹Norwich City⁶1 - 1Bristol City⁶1.50.31W

02-03-24

³⁸Norwich City⁶1 - 0Sunderland⁶1.5-1L

17-02-24

⁷⁰Norwich City³4 - 1Cardiff City³1.50.33W

Stoke City (ELO 1451) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.951.2811.88%

12-02-25

⁵⁰Bristol City²2 - 0Stoke City³1.50.33W

01-02-25

³⁴Hull City⁷1 - 2Stoke City⁶1.50.24W

10-12-24

³⁵Luton Town²2 - 1Stoke City^2(A)1.50.3W

07-12-24

⁵⁴Sunderland⁷2 - 1Stoke City⁶1.50.25W

05-10-24

³⁹Swansea City^2(A)0 - 0Stoke City²1.5-1L

28-09-24

⁸³Middlesbrough⁶2 - 0Stoke City⁷1.50.19W

29-03-24

⁸²Hull City¹⁹0 - 2Stoke City¹²1.50.28W

09-03-24

⁶⁵Preston North End⁶1 - 2Stoke City³1.50.36W

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Norwich City's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.81.2610%

08-02-25

Norwich City⁶1 - 1Derby County⁶1.50.24W

01-02-25

Watford⁶0 - 1Norwich City⁶1.5-1L

18-01-25

Sheffield United⁸2 - 0Norwich City⁶1.50.24W

07-12-24

Queens Park Rangers⁶3 - 0Norwich City⁶1.50.28W

28-09-24

Derby County⁶2 - 3Norwich City⁶1.50.24W

21-09-24

Norwich City⁶4 - 1Watford⁶1.50.25W

24-08-24

Norwich City⁶1 - 1Sheffield United⁶1.50.25W

10-08-24

Oxford United⁶2 - 0Norwich City⁶1.50.3W

Stoke City's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-0.261.27-3.25%

01-02-25

Hull City⁷1 - 2Stoke City⁶1.50.24W

18-01-25

West Bromwich Albion⁶1 - 1Stoke City⁶1.50.39W

21-12-24

Sheffield Wednesday⁶2 - 0Stoke City⁶1.50.3W

07-12-24

Sunderland⁷2 - 1Stoke City⁶1.50.25W

24-08-24

Stoke City⁶1 - 2West Bromwich Albion⁶1.50.36W

10-08-24

Stoke City⁶1 - 0Coventry City⁶1.5-1L

04-05-24

Stoke City⁶4 - 0Bristol City⁶1.50.2W

27-04-24

Southampton³0 - 1Stoke City⁶1.5-1L

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Norwich City's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

50.191.323.8%

24-02-24

Blackburn Rovers³1 - 1Norwich City⁶1.50.21W

17-02-24

Norwich City³4 - 1Cardiff City³1.50.33W

25-02-23

Norwich City³2 - 0Cardiff City⁷1.50.33W

21-02-23

Norwich City^2(A)3 - 1Birmingham City^2(A)1.50.32W

18-02-23

Wigan Athletic^2(A)0 - 0Norwich City³1.5-1L

Stoke City's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-1.061.39-13.25%

24-02-24

Cardiff City³2 - 1Stoke City⁶1.50.48W

17-02-24

Stoke City²0 - 1Coventry City^2(A)1.5-1L

25-02-23

Stoke City³0 - 1Millwall³1.5-1L

21-02-23

Swansea City^2(A)1 - 3Stoke City^2(A)1.50.37W

18-02-23

Blackpool^2(A)1 - 0Stoke City²1.5-1L

26-02-22

AFC Bournemouth¹³2 - 1Stoke City²1.50.3W

23-02-22

Stoke City³1 - 2Luton Town³1.50.43W

19-02-22

Stoke City⁶2 - 2Birmingham City⁶1.50.36W

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Championship Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.532.472.432.33

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Championship3962.47

2023/2024

Championship5572.67

2022/2023

Championship5562.42

2021/2022

Championship5572.50

Championship Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

72.09%1.3972.22%1.3873%1.3773.33%1.36

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Championship39672.22% 1.38

2023/2024

Championship55774.51% 1.34

2022/2023

Championship55669.96% 1.43

2021/2022

Championship55771.81% 1.39

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Championship First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.121.090.930.98

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Championship3961.09

2023/2024

Championship5571.23

2022/2023

Championship5561.10

2021/2022

Championship5571.02

Championship Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.421.391.41.45

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Championship3961.39

2023/2024

Championship5571.44

2022/2023

Championship5561.33

2021/2022

Championship5571.49

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

23-0.251.33-1.09%

Last 2 seasons - 11 vs 19 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

3-1.611.34-53.67%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Norwich City matches against table positions: 18,19,20

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

3-0.631.22-21%

26-11-24

¹³Norwich City^2(A)6 - 1¹⁹Plymouth Argyle³1.50.19W

29-03-24

⁶Norwich City¹²2 - 1¹⁸Plymouth Argyle¹²1.50.18W

10-04-23

⁷Norwich City^2(A)0 - 0¹⁸Rotherham United²1.5-1L

Stoke City matches against table positions: 10,11,12

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.431.297.17%

12-02-25

¹⁰Bristol City²2 - 0¹⁹Stoke City³1.50.33W

05-10-24

¹²Swansea City^2(A)0 - 0¹⁵Stoke City²1.5-1L

28-09-24

¹²Middlesbrough⁶2 - 0¹⁹Stoke City⁷1.50.19W

27-01-24

¹⁰Sunderland⁷3 - 1¹⁹Stoke City⁶1.50.24W

29-12-23

¹⁰Watford²1 - 1¹⁸Stoke City^2(A)1.50.31W

30-09-23

¹⁰Bristol City⁶2 - 3²⁰Stoke City^2(A)1.50.36W

YOUR TEXT

Norwich City vs Stoke City - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - Championship

Injuries & Suspensions

Norwich City's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Norwich City's home matches when WIN odds between 1.7 and 1.9

Stoke City's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Stoke City's away matches when WIN odds between 4.3 and 6.3

Norwich City's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Norwich City's last 10 home matches

Stoke City's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Stoke City's last 10 away matches.

Norwich City's all matches (last 6 matches)

Norwich City's all matches - last 6

Stoke City's all matches (last 6 matches)

Stoke City's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Championship Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.12 - -0.07 )

Norwich City's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.12 - -0.07 )

Stoke City's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.12 - -0.07 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Norwich City (ELO: 1510) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Stoke City (ELO 1451) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Norwich City's all matches (last 8 matches)

Stoke City's all matches (last 8 matches)

Norwich City's all matches (last 8 matches)

Stoke City's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Championship Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Championship Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Championship First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Championship Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 11 vs 19 in the table

Norwich City matches against table positions: 18,19,20

Stoke City matches against table positions: 10,11,12

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