Plymouth Argyle vs Cardiff City - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - Championship

Plymouth Argyle Logo

2025-02-22
12:30:00
Cardiff City Logo
Plymouth Argyle2(A)
Cardiff City6

Home Park (Plymouth)
J. Bell
2.723.582.84
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33

Injuries & Suspensions

Plymouth Argyle
Cardiff City
B. Zibusiso Galloway
Hip Injury
App: 13 (11), G: 0
R. Hardie
Back Injury
App: 26 (18), G: 5
J. Pleguezuelo Selva
Groin Injury
App: 14 (13), G: 1
J. Ralls
Groin Injury
App: 18 (13), G: 0
D. Turnbull
Hamstring
App: 12 (8), G: 1
J. Daland
Calf/Shin Injury
App: 16 (14), G: 0
Championship Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Leeds United33219368204872WWWWD
2Sheffield United33226547232470WWWWL
3Burnley34181424393468WDWWD
4Sunderland331711550302062LWDWD
5Blackburn Rovers33156123931851WWLWL
6Bristol City34121394338549WDWLD
7West Bromwich Albion331115742311148DLWLW
8Coventry City33138124441347WWLWW
9Watford33136144348-545WLDLL
10Sheffield Wednesday34129134654-845LLWLD
11Norwich City331111115145644DLDWW
12Middlesbrough33128135145644LLLLL
13Queens Park Rangers331111113941-244WLWLL
14Millwall331012113334-142DDLWW
15Preston North End3391593539-442DDWLW
16Oxford United33911133447-1338LDLDD
17Swansea City33107163446-1237LLWLL
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436WWLDL
19Stoke City32811133140-935WLWDL
20Cardiff City32711143554-1932DLLWD
21Hull City3279163243-1130DLLWL
22Derby County3378183346-1329LDDLL
23Plymouth Argyle33611163567-3229DLWWD
24Luton Town3377193153-2228DLLDL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Plymouth Argyle's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.831.27-22.88%

Plymouth Argyle's home matches when WIN odds between 2.6 and 2.9

18-01-25Plymouth Argyle30 - 1 (0)Queens Park Rangers61.5-1L
01-01-24Plymouth Argyle2(A)3 - 3 (0)Watford21.50.19W
02-12-23Plymouth Argyle32 - 1 (1)Stoke City31.50.23W
07-10-23Plymouth Argyle31 - 3 (1)Swansea City21.50.21W
03-10-23Plymouth Argyle2(A)0 - 2 (1)Millwall21.50.25W
07-03-23Plymouth Argyle22 - 1 (0)Derby County21.50.29W
18-04-22Plymouth Argyle2(A)0 - 0 (0)Sunderland21.5-1L
15-03-22Plymouth Argyle2(A)1 - 0 (0)Portsmouth2(A)1.5-1L

Cardiff City's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
40.351.458.75%

Cardiff City's away matches when WIN odds between 2.7 and 3

26-12-24Oxford United43 - 2 (2)Cardiff City41.50.41W
27-04-23Rotherham United41 - 2 (1)Cardiff City41.50.5W
07-04-23Blackpool51 - 3 (0)Cardiff City51.50.44W
17-09-22Huddersfield Town31 - 0 (0)Cardiff City31.5-1L
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Plymouth Argyle's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.451.294.5%

Plymouth Argyle's last 10 home matches

12-02-25Plymouth Argyle25 - 1 (2)Millwall31.50.59W
01-02-25Plymouth Argyle62 - 1 (2)West Bromwich Albion61.50.24W
22-01-25Plymouth Argyle30 - 5 (0)Burnley41.50.32W
18-01-25Plymouth Argyle30 - 1 (0)Queens Park Rangers61.5-1L
14-01-25Plymouth Argyle2(A)1 - 1 (0)Oxford United2(A)1.50.36W
01-01-25Plymouth Argyle2(A)2 - 2 (1)Bristol City21.50.27W
21-12-24Plymouth Argyle63 - 3 (3)Middlesbrough61.50.18W
10-12-24Plymouth Argyle91 - 2 (1)Swansea City2(A)1.50.28W
22-11-24Plymouth Argyle122 - 2 (1)Watford131.50.21W
05-11-24Plymouth Argyle2(A)1 - 0 (1)Portsmouth2(A)1.5-1L

Cardiff City's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
102.051.3320.5%

Cardiff City's last 10 away matches.

11-02-25Portsmouth2(A)2 - 1 (0)Cardiff City2(A)1.50.33W
01-02-25Leeds United47 - 0 (2)Cardiff City61.50.28W
21-01-25Millwall22 - 2 (1)Cardiff City21.50.77W
04-01-25Middlesbrough2(A)1 - 1 (0)Cardiff City21.50.24W
29-12-24Watford21 - 2 (0)Cardiff City2(A)1.50.21W
26-12-24Oxford United43 - 2 (2)Cardiff City41.50.41W
14-12-24Stoke City32 - 2 (1)Cardiff City21.50.31W
30-11-24Coventry City32 - 2 (1)Cardiff City21.50.26W
23-11-24Sheffield Wednesday121 - 1 (0)Cardiff City131.50.24W
06-11-24Luton Town41 - 0 (0)Cardiff City31.5-1L
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Plymouth Argyle's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
62.021.3433.67%

Plymouth Argyle's all matches - last 6

19-02-25Luton Town31 - 1 (0)Plymouth Argyle31.50.37W
15-02-25Blackburn Rovers2(A)2 - 0 (1)Plymouth Argyle21.50.28W
12-02-25Plymouth Argyle25 - 1 (2)Millwall31.50.59W
01-02-25Plymouth Argyle62 - 1 (2)West Bromwich Albion61.50.24W
25-01-25Sunderland32 - 2 (1)Plymouth Argyle21.50.22W
22-01-25Plymouth Argyle30 - 5 (0)Burnley41.50.32W

Cardiff City's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
62.781.4646.33%

Cardiff City's all matches - last 6

15-02-25Cardiff City31 - 1 (1)Bristol City21.50.32W
11-02-25Portsmouth2(A)2 - 1 (0)Cardiff City2(A)1.50.33W
01-02-25Leeds United47 - 0 (2)Cardiff City61.50.28W
25-01-25Cardiff City32 - 1 (0)Derby County31.50.54W
21-01-25Millwall22 - 2 (1)Cardiff City21.50.77W
18-01-25Cardiff City33 - 0 (0)Swansea City51.50.54W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
30.751.2525%

H2H matches - last 6

19-10-24Cardiff City125 - 0 (1)Plymouth Argyle131.50.22W
20-01-24Plymouth Argyle63 - 1 (1)Cardiff City61.50.27W
26-12-23Cardiff City2(A)2 - 2 (0)Plymouth Argyle21.50.26W
Championship Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Leeds United33219368204872WWWWD
2Sheffield United33226547232470WWWWL
3Burnley34181424393468WDWWD
4Sunderland331711550302062LWDWD
5Blackburn Rovers33156123931851WWLWL
6Bristol City34121394338549WDWLD
7West Bromwich Albion331115742311148DLWLW
8Coventry City33138124441347WWLWW
9Watford33136144348-545WLDLL
10Sheffield Wednesday34129134654-845LLWLD
11Norwich City331111115145644DLDWW
12Middlesbrough33128135145644LLLLL
13Queens Park Rangers331111113941-244WLWLL
14Millwall331012113334-142DDLWW
15Preston North End3391593539-442DDWLW
16Oxford United33911133447-1338LDLDD
17Swansea City33107163446-1237LLWLL
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436WWLDL
19Stoke City32811133140-935WLWDL
20Cardiff City32711143554-1932DLLWD
21Hull City3279163243-1130DLLWL
22Derby County3378183346-1329LDDLL
23Plymouth Argyle33611163567-3229DLWWD
24Luton Town3377193153-2228DLLDL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 22%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.97 (1.03)0.22 (1.33)2.592.80

Championship Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.2 - 0.25 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
120.631.425.25%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Plymouth Argyle's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.2 - 0.25 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
%

Cardiff City's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.2 - 0.25 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
71.441.4120.57%
11-02-250.20Portsmouth2(A)2 - 1 (0)Cardiff City2(A)1.50.33W
18-01-250.20Cardiff City33 - 0 (0)Swansea City51.50.54W
21-12-240.20Cardiff City60 - 2 (0)Sheffield United61.50.39W
31-08-240.21Cardiff City20 - 2 (1)Middlesbrough31.50.29W
07-10-230.21Cardiff City31 - 1 (0)Watford2(A)1.50.45W
10-04-230.20Cardiff City2(A)0 - 1 (0)Sunderland21.5-1L
07-04-230.20Blackpool51 - 3 (0)Cardiff City51.50.44W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
200-7.781.35-3.89%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -20 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Plymouth Argyle (ELO: 1398) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.241.3131%
14-01-25-1Plymouth Argyle2(A)1 - 1Oxford United2(A)1.50.36W
09-04-24-26Plymouth Argyle31 - 1Queens Park Rangers21.50.38W
20-01-24-17Plymouth Argyle63 - 1Cardiff City61.50.27W
02-12-23-25Plymouth Argyle32 - 1Stoke City31.50.23W

Cardiff City (ELO 1418) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.511.416.38%
11-02-25-7Portsmouth2(A)2 - 1Cardiff City2(A)1.50.33W
26-12-24-16Oxford United43 - 2Cardiff City41.50.41W
13-04-24-6Millwall33 - 1Cardiff City2(A)1.50.56W
10-04-24-40Birmingham City30 - 1Cardiff City31.5-1L
20-01-24-17Plymouth Argyle63 - 1Cardiff City61.50.27W
04-11-230Stoke City60 - 0Cardiff City61.5-1L
27-04-23-13Rotherham United41 - 2Cardiff City41.50.5W
07-04-23-24Blackpool51 - 3Cardiff City51.50.44W
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Plymouth Argyle's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.021.310.25%
15-02-25Blackburn Rovers2(A)2 - 0Plymouth Argyle21.50.28W
12-02-25Plymouth Argyle25 - 1Millwall31.50.59W
25-01-25Sunderland32 - 2Plymouth Argyle21.50.22W
14-01-25Plymouth Argyle2(A)1 - 1Oxford United2(A)1.50.36W
04-01-25Stoke City2(A)0 - 0Plymouth Argyle21.5-1L
01-01-25Plymouth Argyle2(A)2 - 2Bristol City21.50.27W
29-12-24Oxford United22 - 0Plymouth Argyle2(A)1.50.3W
05-11-24Plymouth Argyle2(A)1 - 0Portsmouth2(A)1.5-1L

Cardiff City's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
82.381.329.75%
01-02-25Leeds United47 - 0Cardiff City61.50.28W
21-12-24Cardiff City60 - 2Sheffield United61.50.39W
02-11-24Cardiff City62 - 1Norwich City51.50.25W
28-09-24Hull City74 - 1Cardiff City61.50.24W
21-09-24Cardiff City60 - 2Leeds United61.50.24W
10-08-24Cardiff City60 - 2Sunderland61.50.4W
04-05-24Rotherham United65 - 2Cardiff City61.50.33W
27-04-24Cardiff City61 - 4Middlesbrough41.50.25W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Plymouth Argyle's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
30.61.220%
24-02-24Middlesbrough60 - 2Plymouth Argyle31.50.17W
20-02-24Plymouth Argyle20 - 3West Bromwich Albion31.50.29W
17-02-24Plymouth Argyle20 - 2Leeds United31.50.14W

Cardiff City's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.931.39-11.63%
24-02-24Cardiff City32 - 1Stoke City61.50.48W
20-02-24Cardiff City2(A)0 - 0Blackburn Rovers2(A)1.5-1L
17-02-24Norwich City34 - 1Cardiff City31.50.33W
25-02-23Norwich City32 - 0Cardiff City71.50.33W
17-02-23Cardiff City2(A)1 - 0Reading21.5-1L
26-02-22Cardiff City2(A)0 - 1Fulham21.5-1L
23-02-22Huddersfield Town32 - 1Cardiff City31.50.54W
19-02-22Cardiff City31 - 1Blackpool61.50.39W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Championship Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.532.472.432.33

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Championship3962.47
2023/2024Championship5572.67
2022/2023Championship5562.42
2021/2022Championship5572.50

Championship Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
72.09%1.3972.22%1.3873%1.3773.33%1.36

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Championship39672.22% 1.38
2023/2024Championship55774.51% 1.34
2022/2023Championship55669.96% 1.43
2021/2022Championship55771.81% 1.39
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Championship First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.121.090.930.98

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Championship3961.09
2023/2024Championship5571.23
2022/2023Championship5561.10
2021/2022Championship5571.02

Championship Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.421.391.41.45

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Championship3961.39
2023/2024Championship5571.44
2022/2023Championship5561.33
2021/2022Championship5571.49
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20-5.231.35-26.15%

Last 2 seasons - 23 vs 20 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-26.15%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Plymouth Argyle matches against table positions: 19,20,21

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
1-11.22-100%
31-08-2421Plymouth Argyle30 - 119Stoke City31.5-1L

Cardiff City matches against table positions: 22,23,24

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
70.21.412.86%
26-12-2423Oxford United43 - 222Cardiff City41.50.41W
06-11-2422Luton Town41 - 019Cardiff City31.5-1L
04-05-2424Rotherham United65 - 212Cardiff City61.50.33W
10-04-2423Birmingham City30 - 111Cardiff City31.5-1L
01-01-2422Queens Park Rangers2(A)1 - 214Cardiff City21.50.55W
23-12-2323Sheffield Wednesday61 - 213Cardiff City61.50.47W
07-04-2323Blackpool51 - 321Cardiff City51.50.44W
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