Plymouth Argyle vs Cardiff City - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)
ENGLAND - Championship



2025-02-22
12:30:00

Plymouth Argyle2(A)
Cardiff City6



Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33
Injuries & Suspensions
Plymouth Argyle
Cardiff City

B. Zibusiso Galloway
Hip Injury


App: 13 (11), G: 0

R. Hardie
Back Injury


App: 26 (18), G: 5

J. Pleguezuelo Selva
Groin Injury


App: 14 (13), G: 1

J. Ralls
Groin Injury


App: 18 (13), G: 0

D. Turnbull
Hamstring


App: 12 (8), G: 1

J. Daland
Calf/Shin Injury


App: 16 (14), G: 0

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Leeds United33219368204872WWWWD
2Sheffield United33226547232470WWWWL
3Burnley34181424393468WDWWD
4Sunderland331711550302062LWDWD
5Blackburn Rovers33156123931851WWLWL
6Bristol City34121394338549WDWLD
7West Bromwich Albion331115742311148DLWLW
8Coventry City33138124441347WWLWW
9Watford33136144348-545WLDLL
10Sheffield Wednesday34129134654-845LLWLD
11Norwich City331111115145644DLDWW
12Middlesbrough33128135145644LLLLL
13Queens Park Rangers331111113941-244WLWLL
14Millwall331012113334-142DDLWW
15Preston North End3391593539-442DDWLW
16Oxford United33911133447-1338LDLDD
17Swansea City33107163446-1237LLWLL
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436WWLDL
19Stoke City32811133140-935WLWDL
20Cardiff City32711143554-1932DLLWD
21Hull City3279163243-1130DLLWL
22Derby County3378183346-1329LDDLL
23Plymouth Argyle33611163567-3229DLWWD
24Luton Town3377193153-2228DLLDL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)
Plymouth Argyle's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.831.27-22.88%
Plymouth Argyle's home matches when WIN odds between 2.6 and 2.9
18-01-25
Plymouth Argyle30 - 1 (0)Queens Park Rangers61.5-1L


01-01-24
Plymouth Argyle2(A)3 - 3 (0)Watford21.50.19W


02-12-23
Plymouth Argyle32 - 1 (1)Stoke City31.50.23W


07-10-23
Plymouth Argyle31 - 3 (1)Swansea City21.50.21W


03-10-23
Plymouth Argyle2(A)0 - 2 (1)Millwall21.50.25W


07-03-23
Plymouth Argyle22 - 1 (0)Derby County21.50.29W


18-04-22
Plymouth Argyle2(A)0 - 0 (0)Sunderland21.5-1L


15-03-22
Plymouth Argyle2(A)1 - 0 (0)Portsmouth2(A)1.5-1L


Cardiff City's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
40.351.458.75%
Cardiff City's away matches when WIN odds between 2.7 and 3
26-12-24
Oxford United43 - 2 (2)Cardiff City41.50.41W


27-04-23
Rotherham United41 - 2 (1)Cardiff City41.50.5W


07-04-23
Blackpool51 - 3 (0)Cardiff City51.50.44W


17-09-22
Huddersfield Town31 - 0 (0)Cardiff City31.5-1L


MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES
Plymouth Argyle's home matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.451.294.5%
Plymouth Argyle's last 10 home matches
12-02-25
Plymouth Argyle25 - 1 (2)Millwall31.50.59W


01-02-25
Plymouth Argyle62 - 1 (2)West Bromwich Albion61.50.24W


22-01-25
Plymouth Argyle30 - 5 (0)Burnley41.50.32W


18-01-25
Plymouth Argyle30 - 1 (0)Queens Park Rangers61.5-1L


14-01-25
Plymouth Argyle2(A)1 - 1 (0)Oxford United2(A)1.50.36W


01-01-25
Plymouth Argyle2(A)2 - 2 (1)Bristol City21.50.27W


21-12-24
Plymouth Argyle63 - 3 (3)Middlesbrough61.50.18W


10-12-24
Plymouth Argyle91 - 2 (1)Swansea City2(A)1.50.28W


22-11-24
Plymouth Argyle122 - 2 (1)Watford131.50.21W


05-11-24
Plymouth Argyle2(A)1 - 0 (1)Portsmouth2(A)1.5-1L


Cardiff City's away matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
102.051.3320.5%
Cardiff City's last 10 away matches.
11-02-25
Portsmouth2(A)2 - 1 (0)Cardiff City2(A)1.50.33W


01-02-25
Leeds United47 - 0 (2)Cardiff City61.50.28W


21-01-25
Millwall22 - 2 (1)Cardiff City21.50.77W


04-01-25
Middlesbrough2(A)1 - 1 (0)Cardiff City21.50.24W


29-12-24
Watford21 - 2 (0)Cardiff City2(A)1.50.21W


26-12-24
Oxford United43 - 2 (2)Cardiff City41.50.41W


14-12-24
Stoke City32 - 2 (1)Cardiff City21.50.31W


30-11-24
Coventry City32 - 2 (1)Cardiff City21.50.26W


23-11-24
Sheffield Wednesday121 - 1 (0)Cardiff City131.50.24W


06-11-24
Luton Town41 - 0 (0)Cardiff City31.5-1L


SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES
Plymouth Argyle's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
62.021.3433.67%
Plymouth Argyle's all matches - last 6
19-02-25
Luton Town31 - 1 (0)Plymouth Argyle31.50.37W


15-02-25
Blackburn Rovers2(A)2 - 0 (1)Plymouth Argyle21.50.28W


12-02-25
Plymouth Argyle25 - 1 (2)Millwall31.50.59W


01-02-25
Plymouth Argyle62 - 1 (2)West Bromwich Albion61.50.24W


25-01-25
Sunderland32 - 2 (1)Plymouth Argyle21.50.22W


22-01-25
Plymouth Argyle30 - 5 (0)Burnley41.50.32W


Cardiff City's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
62.781.4646.33%
Cardiff City's all matches - last 6
15-02-25
Cardiff City31 - 1 (1)Bristol City21.50.32W


11-02-25
Portsmouth2(A)2 - 1 (0)Cardiff City2(A)1.50.33W


01-02-25
Leeds United47 - 0 (2)Cardiff City61.50.28W


25-01-25
Cardiff City32 - 1 (0)Derby County31.50.54W


21-01-25
Millwall22 - 2 (1)Cardiff City21.50.77W


18-01-25
Cardiff City33 - 0 (0)Swansea City51.50.54W


HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS
H2H Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
30.751.2525%
H2H matches - last 6
19-10-24
Cardiff City125 - 0 (1)Plymouth Argyle131.50.22W


20-01-24
Plymouth Argyle63 - 1 (1)Cardiff City61.50.27W


26-12-23
Cardiff City2(A)2 - 2 (0)Plymouth Argyle21.50.26W



#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Leeds United33219368204872WWWWD
2Sheffield United33226547232470WWWWL
3Burnley34181424393468WDWWD
4Sunderland331711550302062LWDWD
5Blackburn Rovers33156123931851WWLWL
6Bristol City34121394338549WDWLD
7West Bromwich Albion331115742311148DLWLW
8Coventry City33138124441347WWLWW
9Watford33136144348-545WLDLL
10Sheffield Wednesday34129134654-845LLWLD
11Norwich City331111115145644DLDWW
12Middlesbrough33128135145644LLLLL
13Queens Park Rangers331111113941-244WLWLL
14Millwall331012113334-142DDLWW
15Preston North End3391593539-442DDWLW
16Oxford United33911133447-1338LDLDD
17Swansea City33107163446-1237LLWLL
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436WWLDL
19Stoke City32811133140-935WLWDL
20Cardiff City32711143554-1932DLLWD
21Hull City3279163243-1130DLLWL
22Derby County3378183346-1329LDDLL
23Plymouth Argyle33611163567-3229DLWWD
24Luton Town3377193153-2228DLLDL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)
Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 22%
LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL
Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.97 (1.03)0.22 (1.33)2.592.80
Championship Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.2 - 0.25 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
120.631.425.25%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown
Plymouth Argyle's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.2 - 0.25 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
%
Cardiff City's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.2 - 0.25 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
71.441.4120.57%
11-02-25
0.20Portsmouth2(A)2 - 1 (0)Cardiff City2(A)1.50.33W


18-01-25
0.20Cardiff City33 - 0 (0)Swansea City51.50.54W


21-12-24
0.20Cardiff City60 - 2 (0)Sheffield United61.50.39W


31-08-24
0.21Cardiff City20 - 2 (1)Middlesbrough31.50.29W


07-10-23
0.21Cardiff City31 - 1 (0)Watford2(A)1.50.45W


10-04-23
0.20Cardiff City2(A)0 - 1 (0)Sunderland21.5-1L


07-04-23
0.20Blackpool51 - 3 (0)Cardiff City51.50.44W


ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS
Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
200-7.781.35-3.89%
ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)
ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -20 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)
Plymouth Argyle (ELO: 1398) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.241.3131%
14-01-25
-1Plymouth Argyle2(A)1 - 1Oxford United2(A)1.50.36W


09-04-24
-26Plymouth Argyle31 - 1Queens Park Rangers21.50.38W


20-01-24
-17Plymouth Argyle63 - 1Cardiff City61.50.27W


02-12-23
-25Plymouth Argyle32 - 1Stoke City31.50.23W


Cardiff City (ELO 1418) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.511.416.38%
11-02-25
-7Portsmouth2(A)2 - 1Cardiff City2(A)1.50.33W


26-12-24
-16Oxford United43 - 2Cardiff City41.50.41W


13-04-24
-6Millwall33 - 1Cardiff City2(A)1.50.56W


10-04-24
-40Birmingham City30 - 1Cardiff City31.5-1L


20-01-24
-17Plymouth Argyle63 - 1Cardiff City61.50.27W


04-11-23
0Stoke City60 - 0Cardiff City61.5-1L


27-04-23
-13Rotherham United41 - 2Cardiff City41.50.5W


07-04-23
-24Blackpool51 - 3Cardiff City51.50.44W


SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES
Plymouth Argyle's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.021.310.25%
15-02-25
Blackburn Rovers2(A)2 - 0Plymouth Argyle21.50.28W


12-02-25
Plymouth Argyle25 - 1Millwall31.50.59W


25-01-25
Sunderland32 - 2Plymouth Argyle21.50.22W


14-01-25
Plymouth Argyle2(A)1 - 1Oxford United2(A)1.50.36W


04-01-25
Stoke City2(A)0 - 0Plymouth Argyle21.5-1L


01-01-25
Plymouth Argyle2(A)2 - 2Bristol City21.50.27W


29-12-24
Oxford United22 - 0Plymouth Argyle2(A)1.50.3W


05-11-24
Plymouth Argyle2(A)1 - 0Portsmouth2(A)1.5-1L


Cardiff City's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
82.381.329.75%
01-02-25
Leeds United47 - 0Cardiff City61.50.28W


21-12-24
Cardiff City60 - 2Sheffield United61.50.39W


02-11-24
Cardiff City62 - 1Norwich City51.50.25W


28-09-24
Hull City74 - 1Cardiff City61.50.24W


21-09-24
Cardiff City60 - 2Leeds United61.50.24W


10-08-24
Cardiff City60 - 2Sunderland61.50.4W


04-05-24
Rotherham United65 - 2Cardiff City61.50.33W


27-04-24
Cardiff City61 - 4Middlesbrough41.50.25W


HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)
Plymouth Argyle's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
30.61.220%
24-02-24
Middlesbrough60 - 2Plymouth Argyle31.50.17W


20-02-24
Plymouth Argyle20 - 3West Bromwich Albion31.50.29W


17-02-24
Plymouth Argyle20 - 2Leeds United31.50.14W


Cardiff City's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.931.39-11.63%
24-02-24
Cardiff City32 - 1Stoke City61.50.48W


20-02-24
Cardiff City2(A)0 - 0Blackburn Rovers2(A)1.5-1L


17-02-24
Norwich City34 - 1Cardiff City31.50.33W


25-02-23
Norwich City32 - 0Cardiff City71.50.33W


17-02-23
Cardiff City2(A)1 - 0Reading21.5-1L


26-02-22
Cardiff City2(A)0 - 1Fulham21.5-1L


23-02-22
Huddersfield Town32 - 1Cardiff City31.50.54W


19-02-22
Cardiff City31 - 1Blackpool61.50.39W


League Trends By Game Week
Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)
Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)
Championship Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.532.472.432.33
Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
Championship3962.47


2023/2024
Championship5572.67


2022/2023
Championship5562.42


2021/2022
Championship5572.50


Championship Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
72.09%1.3972.22%1.3873%1.3773.33%1.36
Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
Championship39672.22% 1.38


2023/2024
Championship55774.51% 1.34


2022/2023
Championship55669.96% 1.43


2021/2022
Championship55771.81% 1.39


Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)
Championship First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.121.090.930.98
First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
Championship3961.09


2023/2024
Championship5571.23


2022/2023
Championship5561.10


2021/2022
Championship5571.02


Championship Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.421.391.41.45
Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
Championship3961.39


2023/2024
Championship5571.44


2022/2023
Championship5561.33


2021/2022
Championship5571.49


League Positions - Stats
Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20-5.231.35-26.15%
Last 2 seasons - 23 vs 20 in the table
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-26.15%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS
Plymouth Argyle matches against table positions: 19,20,21
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
1-11.22-100%
31-08-24
21Plymouth Argyle30 - 119Stoke City31.5-1L


Cardiff City matches against table positions: 22,23,24
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
70.21.412.86%
26-12-24
23Oxford United43 - 222Cardiff City41.50.41W


06-11-24
22Luton Town41 - 019Cardiff City31.5-1L


04-05-24
24Rotherham United65 - 212Cardiff City61.50.33W


10-04-24
23Birmingham City30 - 111Cardiff City31.5-1L


01-01-24
22Queens Park Rangers2(A)1 - 214Cardiff City21.50.55W


23-12-23
23Sheffield Wednesday61 - 213Cardiff City61.50.47W


07-04-23
23Blackpool51 - 321Cardiff City51.50.44W

