Lincoln City vs Burton Albion - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - League One

2025-02-22
15:00:00

Lincoln City³

Burton Albion³

Sincil Bank Stadium (Lincoln)

R. Ricardo

1.933.794.58

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.38

League One Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Birmingham City29216251193269WWWWD

2Wycombe Wanderers31189458312763WDDWD

3Wrexham31177746271958LWWLD

4Stockport County32169749301957WDWWW

5Huddersfield Town31167844271755WWDLL

6Leyton Orient311651048282053WWWLW

7Charlton Athletic31148940301050LWWDW

8Bolton Wanderers31155115048250WWLWW

9Reading31147104643349WDDWL

10Lincoln City321110114138343WLDDL

11Barnsley31127124343043LLDLL

12Blackpool3191484544141DDDDW

13Stevenage31118122932-341LDLLW

14Rotherham United31108133537-238LDLLW

15Mansfield Town31115153844-638LDLLL

16Wigan Athletic3098132831-335DLDLW

17Exeter City30105153446-1235WLLLD

18Bristol Rovers31105163248-1635LWDWL

19Northampton Town3189142947-1833LWWLD

20Peterborough United3187164758-1131DLLWL

21Burton Albion32611153348-1529WLDDW

22Crawley Town3178163555-2029DDWLL

23Shrewsbury Town3276193354-2127LLDWW

24Cambridge United3158183056-2623LLDDL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Lincoln City's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

101.071.3810.7%

Lincoln City's home matches when WIN odds between 1.8 and 2.1

08-02-25

Lincoln City⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Cambridge United⁶1.50.39W

27-04-24

Lincoln City⁶0 - 2⁽²⁾Portsmouth⁶1.50.28W

16-03-24

Lincoln City³5 - 0⁽¹⁾Bristol Rovers³1.50.33W

12-03-24

Lincoln City^2(A)6 - 0⁽²⁾Cambridge United²1.50.44W

27-02-24

Lincoln City^2(A)3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Shrewsbury Town^2(A)1.50.49W

14-10-23

Lincoln City³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Burton Albion⁴1.5-1L

30-09-23

Lincoln City²2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Cheltenham Town⁶1.50.39W

16-09-23

Lincoln City¹³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Carlisle United⁶1.50.43W

07-05-23

Lincoln City⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Shrewsbury Town⁴1.5-1L

19-11-22

Lincoln City⁶2 - 1⁽¹⁾Morecambe⁶1.50.32W

Burton Albion's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-4.771.33-47.7%

Burton Albion's away matches when WIN odds between 3.8 and 5.3

18-02-25

Stevenage²0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Burton Albion^2(A)1.5-1L

01-02-25

Barnsley³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Burton Albion³1.5-1L

01-10-24

Reading²3 - 1⁽²⁾Burton Albion^2(A)1.50.21W

29-03-24

Wigan Athletic¹²1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Burton Albion⁵1.50.42W

02-03-24

Cheltenham Town³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Burton Albion³1.5-1L

27-01-24

Cambridge United⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Burton Albion⁶1.5-1L

14-10-23

Lincoln City³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Burton Albion⁴1.5-1L

30-09-23

Reading⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Burton Albion³1.5-1L

19-09-23

Port Vale²2 - 3⁽¹⁾Burton Albion^2(A)1.50.36W

16-09-23

Barnsley¹⁰2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Burton Albion¹³1.50.24W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Lincoln City's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-0.651.38-6.5%

Lincoln City's last 10 home matches

08-02-25

Lincoln City⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Cambridge United⁶1.50.39W

28-01-25

Lincoln City²0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Blackpool^2(A)1.50.39W

25-01-25

Lincoln City⁶5 - 1⁽¹⁾Peterborough United³1.50.33W

04-01-25

Lincoln City²0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Stevenage^2(A)1.5-1L

01-01-25

Lincoln City^2(A)0 - 1⁽¹⁾Rotherham United²1.5-1L

21-12-24

Lincoln City⁶2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Reading⁶1.50.25W

07-12-24

Lincoln City³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Charlton Athletic³1.5-1L

23-11-24

Lincoln City⁶2 - 3⁽¹⁾Wycombe Wanderers¹⁰1.50.39W

29-10-24

Lincoln City²2 - 1⁽¹⁾Northampton Town²1.50.21W

26-10-24

Lincoln City³2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Stockport County³1.50.39W

Burton Albion's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-3.621.28-36.2%

Burton Albion's last 10 away matches.

18-02-25

Stevenage²0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Burton Albion^2(A)1.5-1L

15-02-25

Bristol Rovers³3 - 1⁽³⁾Burton Albion⁶1.50.32W

01-02-25

Barnsley³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Burton Albion³1.5-1L

21-01-25

Wigan Athletic^2(A)1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Burton Albion^2(A)1.50.27W

18-01-25

Crawley Town¹³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Burton Albion¹³1.50.33W

29-12-24

Huddersfield Town²1 - 1⁽¹⁾Burton Albion^2(A)1.50.27W

26-12-24

Birmingham City^2(A)2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Burton Albion⁴1.50.19W

14-12-24

Leyton Orient³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Burton Albion³1.5-1L

04-12-24

Peterborough United³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Burton Albion²1.5-1L

26-10-24

Cambridge United³1 - 0⁽¹⁾Burton Albion³1.5-1L

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Lincoln City's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

62.541.4242.33%

Lincoln City's all matches - last 6

18-02-25

Mansfield Town^2(A)0 - 3⁽²⁾Lincoln City^2(A)1.50.35W

15-02-25

Leyton Orient³3 - 2⁽¹⁾Lincoln City⁶1.50.42W

08-02-25

Lincoln City⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Cambridge United⁶1.50.39W

01-02-25

Wigan Athletic³1 - 1⁽¹⁾Lincoln City³1.50.66W

28-01-25

Lincoln City²0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Blackpool^2(A)1.50.39W

25-01-25

Lincoln City⁶5 - 1⁽¹⁾Peterborough United³1.50.33W

Burton Albion's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.631.32-10.5%

Burton Albion's all matches - last 6

18-02-25

Stevenage²0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Burton Albion^2(A)1.5-1L

15-02-25

Bristol Rovers³3 - 1⁽³⁾Burton Albion⁶1.50.32W

08-02-25

Burton Albion⁶1 - 1⁽¹⁾Blackpool⁶1.50.29W

01-02-25

Barnsley³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Burton Albion³1.5-1L

28-01-25

Burton Albion²3 - 2⁽¹⁾Reading^2(A)1.50.33W

25-01-25

Burton Albion³4 - 2⁽⁰⁾Rotherham United⁶1.50.43W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-2.311.36-46.2%

H2H matches - last 6

10-08-24

Burton Albion⁶2 - 3⁽¹⁾Lincoln City¹³1.50.37W

03-02-24

Burton Albion⁶0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Lincoln City⁶1.5-1L

14-10-23

Lincoln City³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Burton Albion⁴1.5-1L

25-04-23

Lincoln City^2(A)0 - 1⁽¹⁾Burton Albion^2(A)1.5-1L

26-12-22

Burton Albion⁸3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Lincoln City⁵1.50.32W

League One Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Birmingham City29216251193269WWWWD

2Wycombe Wanderers31189458312763WDDWD

3Wrexham31177746271958LWWLD

4Stockport County32169749301957WDWWW

5Huddersfield Town31167844271755WWDLL

6Leyton Orient311651048282053WWWLW

7Charlton Athletic31148940301050LWWDW

8Bolton Wanderers31155115048250WWLWW

9Reading31147104643349WDDWL

10Lincoln City321110114138343WLDDL

11Barnsley31127124343043LLDLL

12Blackpool3191484544141DDDDW

13Stevenage31118122932-341LDLLW

14Rotherham United31108133537-238LDLLW

15Mansfield Town31115153844-638LDLLL

16Wigan Athletic3098132831-335DLDLW

17Exeter City30105153446-1235WLLLD

18Bristol Rovers31105163248-1635LWDWL

19Northampton Town3189142947-1833LWWLD

20Peterborough United3187164758-1131DLLWL

21Burton Albion32611153348-1529WLDDW

22Crawley Town3178163555-2029DDWLL

23Shrewsbury Town3276193354-2127LLDWW

24Cambridge United3158183056-2623LLDDL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 15%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.87 (1.15)0.15 (1.38)1.741.78

League One Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.13 - 0.18 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

84-0.911.31-1.08%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Lincoln City's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.13 - 0.18 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

91.771.3419.67%

18-02-25

^0.16Mansfield Town^2(A)0 - 3⁽²⁾Lincoln City^2(A)1.50.35W

28-09-24

^0.14Cambridge United⁶0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Lincoln City⁶1.50.33W

24-08-24

^0.17Lincoln City⁶4 - 1⁽⁰⁾Mansfield Town³1.50.29W

17-08-24

^0.14Lincoln City³1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Barnsley³1.50.29W

20-04-24

^0.15Cheltenham Town³1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Lincoln City³1.50.39W

01-04-24

^0.16Carlisle United^2(A)1 - 3⁽²⁾Lincoln City²1.50.21W

20-01-24

^0.15Lincoln City⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Derby County⁴1.5-1L

29-12-23

^0.16Lincoln City²1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Northampton Town^2(A)1.50.53W

02-09-23

^0.13Bristol Rovers⁶1 - 1⁽¹⁾Lincoln City^2(A)1.50.38W

Burton Albion's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.13 - 0.18 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

91.471.3116.33%

23-11-24

^0.17Burton Albion¹⁰0 - 3⁽⁰⁾Stockport County⁶1.50.33W

22-10-24

^0.13Burton Albion^2(A)2 - 3⁽¹⁾Wycombe Wanderers²1.50.25W

24-08-24

^0.14Burton Albion³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Stevenage³1.5-1L

17-08-24

^0.16Mansfield Town³3 - 3⁽²⁾Burton Albion³1.50.18W

20-04-24

^0.16Burton Albion³3 - 2⁽⁰⁾Reading⁶1.50.31W

24-02-24

^0.17Burton Albion⁶0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Northampton Town³1.50.48W

11-11-23

^0.13Northampton Town⁶2 - 0⁽¹⁾Burton Albion³1.50.35W

15-04-23

^0.15Burton Albion⁴3 - 2⁽¹⁾Sheffield Wednesday⁴1.50.29W

10-04-23

^0.15Charlton Athletic^2(A)3 - 2⁽¹⁾Burton Albion²1.50.28W

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

0002.63%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Lincoln City (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

0002.63%

Burton Albion (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

0002.63%

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Lincoln City's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-0.821.42-10.25%

01-02-25

Wigan Athletic³1 - 1Lincoln City³1.50.66W

18-01-25

Northampton Town¹³0 - 1Lincoln City³1.5-1L

14-12-24

Huddersfield Town³2 - 2Lincoln City³1.50.41W

07-12-24

Lincoln City³0 - 0Charlton Athletic³1.5-1L

16-11-24

Exeter City⁶0 - 0Lincoln City³1.5-1L

26-10-24

Lincoln City³2 - 1Stockport County³1.50.39W

05-10-24

Lincoln City³2 - 1Leyton Orient³1.50.43W

17-08-24

Lincoln City³1 - 2Barnsley³1.50.29W

Burton Albion's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-2.751.31-34.38%

01-02-25

Barnsley³0 - 0Burton Albion³1.5-1L

25-01-25

Burton Albion³4 - 2Rotherham United⁶1.50.43W

14-12-24

Leyton Orient³0 - 0Burton Albion³1.5-1L

09-11-24

Burton Albion³2 - 0Shrewsbury Town⁶1.50.32W

26-10-24

Cambridge United³1 - 0Burton Albion³1.5-1L

05-10-24

Burton Albion³1 - 3Bristol Rovers³1.50.28W

28-09-24

Blackpool³3 - 0Burton Albion³1.50.22W

24-08-24

Burton Albion³0 - 0Stevenage³1.5-1L

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Lincoln City's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

7-0.051.4-0.71%

27-02-24

Lincoln City^2(A)3 - 0Shrewsbury Town^2(A)1.50.49W

24-02-24

Port Vale³0 - 2Lincoln City⁶1.50.42W

17-02-24

Lincoln City³1 - 0Exeter City³1.5-1L

25-02-23

Forest Green Rovers⁶1 - 1Lincoln City⁶1.50.43W

18-02-23

Lincoln City³0 - 0Portsmouth³1.5-1L

26-02-22

Lincoln City³0 - 2Gillingham³1.50.32W

22-02-22

Bolton Wanderers²3 - 1Lincoln City⁶1.50.29W

Burton Albion's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.211.382.63%

27-02-24

Burton Albion²0 - 1Carlisle United^2(A)1.5-1L

24-02-24

Burton Albion⁶0 - 2Northampton Town³1.50.48W

17-02-24

Leyton Orient³1 - 2Burton Albion⁶1.50.32W

25-02-23

Burton Albion⁶0 - 0Accrington Stanley²1.5-1L

18-02-23

Bristol Rovers³1 - 2Burton Albion³1.50.29W

26-02-22

Burton Albion³0 - 2Shrewsbury Town³1.50.43W

22-02-22

Sunderland²1 - 1Burton Albion^2(A)1.50.26W

19-02-22

Ipswich Town⁶3 - 0Burton Albion³1.50.43W

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

League One Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.612.592.582.67

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

League One3722.59

2023/2024

League One5572.59

2022/2023

League One5552.56

2021/2022

League One5572.69

League One Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

74.29%1.3573.39%1.3671%1.4180%1.25

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

League One37273.39% 1.36

2023/2024

League One55773.97% 1.35

2022/2023

League One55572.79% 1.37

2021/2022

League One55776.12% 1.31

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

League One First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.181.191.071.13

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

League One3721.19

2023/2024

League One5571.15

2022/2023

League One5551.19

2021/2022

League One5571.19

League One Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.431.401.61.45

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

League One3721.40

2023/2024

League One5571.43

2022/2023

League One5551.37

2021/2022

League One5571.50

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

19-0.391.32-2.05%

Last 2 seasons - 10 vs 21 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-2.05%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Lincoln City matches against table positions: 20,21,22

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

31.191.439.67%

05-10-24

⁵Lincoln City³2 - 1²⁰Leyton Orient³1.50.43W

10-02-24

¹²Lincoln City⁶2 - 1²²Fleetwood Town³1.50.39W

12-08-23

²²Lincoln City³3 - 0²¹Wycombe Wanderers³1.50.37W

Burton Albion matches against table positions: 9,10,11

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-0.491.25-6.13%

01-02-25

⁹Barnsley³0 - 0²¹Burton Albion³1.5-1L

28-09-24

⁹Blackpool³3 - 0²²Burton Albion³1.50.22W

31-08-24

¹¹Northampton Town⁶0 - 0²⁰Burton Albion⁶1.5-1L

17-08-24

⁹Mansfield Town³3 - 3¹⁵Burton Albion³1.50.18W

13-04-24

⁹Stevenage³1 - 2²⁰Burton Albion⁶1.50.38W

10-02-24

¹⁰Bristol Rovers³1 - 2¹⁸Burton Albion⁶1.50.29W

23-12-23

¹⁰Charlton Athletic⁶1 - 1¹⁹Burton Albion⁶1.50.2W

16-09-23

⁹Barnsley¹⁰2 - 0²²Burton Albion¹³1.50.24W

YOUR TEXT

Lincoln City vs Burton Albion - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - League One

Lincoln City's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Lincoln City's home matches when WIN odds between 1.8 and 2.1

Burton Albion's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Burton Albion's away matches when WIN odds between 3.8 and 5.3

Lincoln City's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Lincoln City's last 10 home matches

Burton Albion's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Burton Albion's last 10 away matches.

Lincoln City's all matches (last 6 matches)

Lincoln City's all matches - last 6

Burton Albion's all matches (last 6 matches)

Burton Albion's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

League One Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.13 - 0.18 )

Lincoln City's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.13 - 0.18 )

Burton Albion's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.13 - 0.18 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Lincoln City (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Burton Albion (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Lincoln City's all matches (last 8 matches)

Burton Albion's all matches (last 8 matches)

Lincoln City's all matches (last 8 matches)

Burton Albion's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

League One Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

League One Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

League One First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

League One Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 10 vs 21 in the table

Lincoln City matches against table positions: 20,21,22

Burton Albion matches against table positions: 9,10,11

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