Northampton Town vs Bristol Rovers - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)
ENGLAND - League One
2025-02-22
15:00:00
Northampton Town6
Bristol Rovers3
Sixfields Stadium (Northampton)
M. Russell
2.143.504.07Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.37
League One Standings#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Birmingham City29216251193269WWWWD
2Wycombe Wanderers31189458312763WDDWD
3Wrexham31177746271958LWWLD
4Stockport County32169749301957WDWWW
5Huddersfield Town31167844271755WWDLL
6Leyton Orient311651048282053WWWLW
7Charlton Athletic31148940301050LWWDW
8Bolton Wanderers31155115048250WWLWW
9Reading31147104643349WDDWL
10Lincoln City321110114138343WLDDL
11Barnsley31127124343043LLDLL
12Blackpool3191484544141DDDDW
13Stevenage31118122932-341LDLLW
14Rotherham United31108133537-238LDLLW
15Mansfield Town31115153844-638LDLLL
16Wigan Athletic3098132831-335DLDLW
17Exeter City30105153446-1235WLLLD
18Bristol Rovers31105163248-1635LWDWL
19Northampton Town3189142947-1833LWWLD
20Peterborough United3187164758-1131DLLWL
21Burton Albion32611153348-1529WLDDW
22Crawley Town3178163555-2029DDWLL
23Shrewsbury Town3276193354-2127LLDWW
24Cambridge United3158183056-2623LLDDL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)
Northampton Town's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.291.4212.9%
Northampton Town's home matches when WIN odds between 2 and 2.3
26-10-24
Northampton Town33 - 0 (0)Crawley Town31.50.29W
Northampton Town33 - 0 (0)Crawley Town31.50.29W09-12-23Northampton Town63 - 0 (1)Fleetwood Town31.50.31W
Northampton Town63 - 0 (1)Fleetwood Town31.50.31W25-11-23Northampton Town32 - 1 (1)Cambridge United131.50.41W
Northampton Town32 - 1 (1)Cambridge United131.50.41W10-04-23
Northampton Town2(A)2 - 1 (1)Gillingham21.50.54W
Northampton Town2(A)2 - 1 (1)Gillingham21.50.54W18-02-23Northampton Town31 - 2 (1)Grimsby Town31.50.45W
Northampton Town31 - 2 (1)Grimsby Town31.50.45W04-02-23Northampton Town60 - 0 (0)Walsall31.5-1L
Northampton Town60 - 0 (0)Walsall31.5-1L29-12-22Northampton Town2(A)1 - 2 (1)Swindon Town21.50.37W
Northampton Town2(A)1 - 2 (1)Swindon Town21.50.37W20-12-22Northampton Town162 - 1 (0)Carlisle United161.50.43W
Northampton Town162 - 1 (0)Carlisle United161.50.43W03-12-22Northampton Town130 - 0 (0)Tranmere Rovers101.5-1L
Northampton Town130 - 0 (0)Tranmere Rovers101.5-1L25-10-22Northampton Town2(A)2 - 2 (0)Sutton United21.50.49W
Northampton Town2(A)2 - 2 (0)Sutton United21.50.49WBristol Rovers's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-4.831.29-48.3%
Bristol Rovers's away matches when WIN odds between 3.3 and 4.8
04-01-25Cambridge United20 - 1 (0)Bristol Rovers21.5-1L
Cambridge United20 - 1 (0)Bristol Rovers21.5-1L26-12-24Exeter City43 - 1 (2)Bristol Rovers41.50.31W
Exeter City43 - 1 (2)Bristol Rovers41.50.31W23-11-24Mansfield Town130 - 1 (0)Bristol Rovers61.5-1L
Mansfield Town130 - 1 (0)Bristol Rovers61.5-1L26-10-24Reading31 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers31.5-1L
Reading31 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers31.5-1L17-08-24Rotherham United30 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers31.5-1L
Rotherham United30 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers31.5-1L27-04-24Wigan Athletic62 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers61.50.25W
Wigan Athletic62 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers61.50.25W13-04-24Cheltenham Town31 - 3 (2)Bristol Rovers31.50.31W
Cheltenham Town31 - 3 (2)Bristol Rovers31.50.31W29-03-24Port Vale52 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers121.50.3W
Port Vale52 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers121.50.3W12-03-24Fleetwood Town2(A)0 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers21.5-1L
Fleetwood Town2(A)0 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers21.5-1L02-03-24Leyton Orient30 - 1 (0)Bristol Rovers61.5-1L
Leyton Orient30 - 1 (0)Bristol Rovers61.5-1L MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES
Northampton Town's home matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.031.37-20.3%
Northampton Town's last 10 home matches
15-02-25Northampton Town70 - 2 (0)Wrexham31.50.41W
Northampton Town70 - 2 (0)Wrexham31.50.41W01-02-25Northampton Town33 - 2 (1)Huddersfield Town31.50.39W
Northampton Town33 - 2 (1)Huddersfield Town31.50.39W18-01-25Northampton Town130 - 1 (0)Lincoln City31.5-1L
Northampton Town130 - 1 (0)Lincoln City31.5-1L01-01-25Northampton Town2(A)0 - 0 (0)Stevenage21.5-1L
Northampton Town2(A)0 - 0 (0)Stevenage21.5-1L21-12-24Northampton Town30 - 5 (1)Charlton Athletic61.50.36W
Northampton Town30 - 5 (1)Charlton Athletic61.50.36W09-12-24Northampton Town52 - 1 (1)Peterborough United41.50.19W
Northampton Town52 - 1 (1)Peterborough United41.50.19W23-11-24Northampton Town60 - 0 (0)Cambridge United61.5-1L
Northampton Town60 - 0 (0)Cambridge United61.5-1L26-10-24Northampton Town33 - 0 (0)Crawley Town31.50.29W
Northampton Town33 - 0 (0)Crawley Town31.50.29W19-10-24Northampton Town101 - 0 (0)Leyton Orient101.5-1L
Northampton Town101 - 0 (0)Leyton Orient101.5-1L01-10-24Northampton Town22 - 4 (3)Bolton Wanderers2(A)1.50.33W
Northampton Town22 - 4 (3)Bolton Wanderers2(A)1.50.33WBristol Rovers's away matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.811.3-8.1%
Bristol Rovers's last 10 away matches.
18-02-25Wycombe Wanderers2(A)2 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers21.50.26W
Wycombe Wanderers2(A)2 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers21.50.26W28-01-25Charlton Athletic22 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers2(A)1.50.28W
Charlton Athletic22 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers2(A)1.50.28W25-01-25Wigan Athletic32 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers61.50.39W
Wigan Athletic32 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers61.50.39W04-01-25Cambridge United20 - 1 (0)Bristol Rovers21.5-1L
Cambridge United20 - 1 (0)Bristol Rovers21.5-1L29-12-24Stevenage23 - 0 (1)Bristol Rovers2(A)1.50.41W
Stevenage23 - 0 (1)Bristol Rovers2(A)1.50.41W26-12-24Exeter City43 - 1 (2)Bristol Rovers41.50.31W
Exeter City43 - 1 (2)Bristol Rovers41.50.31W14-12-24Birmingham City32 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers101.50.17W
Birmingham City32 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers101.50.17W03-12-24Leyton Orient23 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers2(A)1.50.37W
Leyton Orient23 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers2(A)1.50.37W23-11-24Mansfield Town130 - 1 (0)Bristol Rovers61.5-1L
Mansfield Town130 - 1 (0)Bristol Rovers61.5-1L26-10-24Reading31 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers31.5-1L
Reading31 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers31.5-1L SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES
Northampton Town's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.941.35-32.33%
Northampton Town's all matches - last 6
15-02-25Northampton Town70 - 2 (0)Wrexham31.50.41W
Northampton Town70 - 2 (0)Wrexham31.50.41W07-02-25Mansfield Town50 - 1 (0)Northampton Town51.5-1L
Mansfield Town50 - 1 (0)Northampton Town51.5-1L01-02-25Northampton Town33 - 2 (1)Huddersfield Town31.50.39W
Northampton Town33 - 2 (1)Huddersfield Town31.50.39W28-01-25Bolton Wanderers2(A)3 - 1 (1)Northampton Town2(A)1.50.26W
Bolton Wanderers2(A)3 - 1 (1)Northampton Town2(A)1.50.26W25-01-25Wycombe Wanderers60 - 0 (0)Northampton Town61.5-1L
Wycombe Wanderers60 - 0 (0)Northampton Town61.5-1L18-01-25Northampton Town130 - 1 (0)Lincoln City31.5-1L
Northampton Town130 - 1 (0)Lincoln City31.5-1LBristol Rovers's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.831.3130.5%
Bristol Rovers's all matches - last 6
18-02-25Wycombe Wanderers2(A)2 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers21.50.26W
Wycombe Wanderers2(A)2 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers21.50.26W15-02-25Bristol Rovers33 - 1 (3)Burton Albion61.50.32W
Bristol Rovers33 - 1 (3)Burton Albion61.50.32W11-02-25Bristol Rovers81 - 1 (1)Stockport County21.50.32W
Bristol Rovers81 - 1 (1)Stockport County21.50.32W02-02-25Bristol Rovers43 - 1 (2)Peterborough United41.50.26W
Bristol Rovers43 - 1 (2)Peterborough United41.50.26W28-01-25Charlton Athletic22 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers2(A)1.50.28W
Charlton Athletic22 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers2(A)1.50.28W25-01-25Wigan Athletic32 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers61.50.39W
Wigan Athletic32 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers61.50.39W HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS
H2H Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-1.481.31-37%
H2H matches - last 6
10-08-24Bristol Rovers61 - 0 (1)Northampton Town61.5-1L
Bristol Rovers61 - 0 (1)Northampton Town61.5-1L17-02-24Northampton Town33 - 1 (2)Bristol Rovers31.50.24W
Northampton Town33 - 1 (2)Bristol Rovers31.50.24W28-10-23Bristol Rovers32 - 1 (0)Northampton Town31.50.28W
Bristol Rovers32 - 1 (0)Northampton Town31.50.28W19-03-22Northampton Town30 - 1 (0)Bristol Rovers31.5-1L
Northampton Town30 - 1 (0)Bristol Rovers31.5-1L League One Standings#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Birmingham City29216251193269WWWWD
2Wycombe Wanderers31189458312763WDDWD
3Wrexham31177746271958LWWLD
4Stockport County32169749301957WDWWW
5Huddersfield Town31167844271755WWDLL
6Leyton Orient311651048282053WWWLW
7Charlton Athletic31148940301050LWWDW
8Bolton Wanderers31155115048250WWLWW
9Reading31147104643349WDDWL
10Lincoln City321110114138343WLDDL
11Barnsley31127124343043LLDLL
12Blackpool3191484544141DDDDW
13Stevenage31118122932-341LDLLW
14Rotherham United31108133537-238LDLLW
15Mansfield Town31115153844-638LDLLL
16Wigan Athletic3098132831-335DLDLW
17Exeter City30105153446-1235WLLLD
18Bristol Rovers31105163248-1635LWDWL
19Northampton Town3189142947-1833LWWLD
20Peterborough United3187164758-1131DLLWL
21Burton Albion32611153348-1529WLDDW
22Crawley Town3178163555-2029DDWLL
23Shrewsbury Town3276193354-2127LLDWW
24Cambridge United3158183056-2623LLDDL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)
Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -12%
LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL
Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.61 (1.64)-0.12 (1.37)0.811.24
League One Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.15 - -0.1 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
714.111.325.79%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown
Northampton Town's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.15 - -0.1 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
31.041.3534.67%
15-02-25-0.10Northampton Town70 - 2 (0)Wrexham31.50.41W
-0.10Northampton Town70 - 2 (0)Wrexham31.50.41W13-01-24-0.14Northampton Town111 - 1 (0)Wigan Athletic41.50.32W
-0.14Northampton Town111 - 1 (0)Wigan Athletic41.50.32W31-10-23-0.10Derby County2(A)4 - 0 (0)Northampton Town2(A)1.50.31W
-0.10Derby County2(A)4 - 0 (0)Northampton Town2(A)1.50.31WBristol Rovers's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.15 - -0.1 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.711.2928.50%
02-02-25-0.12Bristol Rovers43 - 1 (2)Peterborough United41.50.26W
-0.12Bristol Rovers43 - 1 (2)Peterborough United41.50.26W01-10-24-0.12Bristol Rovers23 - 2 (2)Charlton Athletic2(A)1.50.38W
-0.12Bristol Rovers23 - 2 (2)Charlton Athletic2(A)1.50.38W20-04-24-0.14Bristol Rovers30 - 2 (1)Peterborough United31.50.18W
-0.14Bristol Rovers30 - 2 (1)Peterborough United31.50.18W23-12-23-0.14Blackpool33 - 1 (1)Bristol Rovers61.50.25W
-0.14Blackpool33 - 1 (1)Bristol Rovers61.50.25W28-11-23-0.13Bristol Rovers2(A)1 - 1 (1)Leyton Orient21.50.31W
-0.13Bristol Rovers2(A)1 - 1 (1)Leyton Orient21.50.31W22-04-23-0.11Port Vale32 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers31.50.33W
-0.11Port Vale32 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers31.50.33WELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS
Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00028.25%
ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)
ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)
Northampton Town (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00028.25%
Bristol Rovers (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00028.25%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES
Northampton Town's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-2.891.31-36.13%
25-01-25Wycombe Wanderers60 - 0Northampton Town61.5-1L
Wycombe Wanderers60 - 0Northampton Town61.5-1L03-12-24Stevenage22 - 0Northampton Town61.50.37W
Stevenage22 - 0Northampton Town61.50.37W23-11-24Northampton Town60 - 0Cambridge United61.5-1L
Northampton Town60 - 0Cambridge United61.5-1L28-09-24Northampton Town60 - 2Mansfield Town61.50.29W
Northampton Town60 - 2Mansfield Town61.50.29W21-09-24Huddersfield Town61 - 3Northampton Town61.50.2W
Huddersfield Town61 - 3Northampton Town61.50.2W31-08-24Northampton Town60 - 0Burton Albion61.5-1L
Northampton Town60 - 0Burton Albion61.5-1L24-08-24Barnsley32 - 2Northampton Town61.50.25W
Barnsley32 - 2Northampton Town61.50.25W10-08-24Bristol Rovers61 - 0Northampton Town61.5-1L
Bristol Rovers61 - 0Northampton Town61.5-1LBristol Rovers's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.291.28-3.63%
15-02-25Bristol Rovers33 - 1Burton Albion61.50.32W
Bristol Rovers33 - 1Burton Albion61.50.32W26-10-24Reading31 - 0Bristol Rovers31.5-1L
Reading31 - 0Bristol Rovers31.5-1L05-10-24Burton Albion31 - 3Bristol Rovers31.50.28W
Burton Albion31 - 3Bristol Rovers31.50.28W24-08-24Stockport County62 - 0Bristol Rovers31.50.29W
Stockport County62 - 0Bristol Rovers31.50.29W17-08-24Rotherham United30 - 0Bristol Rovers31.5-1L
Rotherham United30 - 0Bristol Rovers31.5-1L20-04-24Bristol Rovers30 - 2Peterborough United31.50.18W
Bristol Rovers30 - 2Peterborough United31.50.18W13-04-24Cheltenham Town31 - 3Bristol Rovers31.50.31W
Cheltenham Town31 - 3Bristol Rovers31.50.31W16-03-24Lincoln City35 - 0Bristol Rovers31.50.33W
Lincoln City35 - 0Bristol Rovers31.50.33WHOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)
Northampton Town's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
31.011.3433.67%
24-02-24Burton Albion60 - 2Northampton Town31.50.48W
Burton Albion60 - 2Northampton Town31.50.48W20-02-24Oxford United2(A)2 - 2Northampton Town21.50.29W
Oxford United2(A)2 - 2Northampton Town21.50.29W17-02-24Northampton Town33 - 1Bristol Rovers31.50.24W
Northampton Town33 - 1Bristol Rovers31.50.24WBristol Rovers's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.131.2828.25%
24-02-24Bristol Rovers62 - 1Carlisle United61.50.32W
Bristol Rovers62 - 1Carlisle United61.50.32W17-02-24Northampton Town33 - 1Bristol Rovers31.50.24W
Northampton Town33 - 1Bristol Rovers31.50.24W25-02-23Oxford United60 - 3Bristol Rovers61.50.28W
Oxford United60 - 3Bristol Rovers61.50.28W18-02-23Bristol Rovers31 - 2Burton Albion31.50.29W
Bristol Rovers31 - 2Burton Albion31.50.29WLeague Trends By Game Week
Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)
Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)
League One Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.612.592.582.67
Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025League One3722.59
League One3722.592023/2024League One5572.59
League One5572.592022/2023League One5552.56
League One5552.562021/2022League One5572.69
League One5572.69League One Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
74.29%1.3573.39%1.3671%1.4180%1.25
Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025League One37273.39% 1.36
League One37273.39% 1.362023/2024League One55773.97% 1.35
League One55773.97% 1.352022/2023League One55572.79% 1.37
League One55572.79% 1.372021/2022League One55776.12% 1.31
League One55776.12% 1.31 Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)
League One First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.181.191.071.13
First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025League One3721.19
League One3721.192023/2024League One5571.15
League One5571.152022/2023League One5551.19
League One5551.192021/2022League One5571.19
League One5571.19League One Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.431.401.61.45
Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025League One3721.40
League One3721.402023/2024League One5571.43
League One5571.432022/2023League One5551.37
League One5551.372021/2022League One5571.50
League One5571.50League Positions - Stats
Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
15-3.711.28-24.73%
Last 2 seasons - 19 vs 18 in the table
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.361.3636%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS
Northampton Town matches against table positions: 17,18,19
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.371.33-12.33%
19-10-2420Northampton Town101 - 019Leyton Orient101.5-1L
20Northampton Town101 - 019Leyton Orient101.5-1L02-03-2411Northampton Town61 - 119Charlton Athletic31.50.31W
11Northampton Town61 - 119Charlton Athletic31.50.31W13-01-249Northampton Town111 - 118Wigan Athletic41.50.32W
9Northampton Town111 - 118Wigan Athletic41.50.32WBristol Rovers matches against table positions: 18,19,20
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.091.31-2.25%
17-08-2419Rotherham United30 - 011Bristol Rovers31.5-1L
19Rotherham United30 - 011Bristol Rovers31.5-1L01-01-2419Wycombe Wanderers2(A)3 - 29Bristol Rovers21.50.31W
19Wycombe Wanderers2(A)3 - 29Bristol Rovers21.50.31W05-08-2318Portsmouth61 - 14Bristol Rovers61.50.27W
18Portsmouth61 - 14Bristol Rovers61.50.27W22-04-2318Port Vale32 - 015Bristol Rovers31.50.33W
18Port Vale32 - 015Bristol Rovers31.50.33W