Reading vs Birmingham City - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)
ENGLAND - League One
2025-02-22
12:30:00
Reading6
Birmingham City3
Madejski Stadium (Reading)
A. Chilowicz
8.205.041.47Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25
League One Standings#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Birmingham City29216251193269WWWWD
2Wycombe Wanderers31189458312763WDDWD
3Wrexham31177746271958LWWLD
4Stockport County32169749301957WDWWW
5Huddersfield Town31167844271755WWDLL
6Leyton Orient311651048282053WWWLW
7Charlton Athletic31148940301050LWWDW
8Bolton Wanderers31155115048250WWLWW
9Reading31147104643349WDDWL
10Lincoln City321110114138343WLDDL
11Barnsley31127124343043LLDLL
12Blackpool3191484544141DDDDW
13Stevenage31118122932-341LDLLW
14Rotherham United31108133537-238LDLLW
15Mansfield Town31115153844-638LDLLL
16Wigan Athletic3098132831-335DLDLW
17Exeter City30105153446-1235WLLLD
18Bristol Rovers31105163248-1635LWDWL
19Northampton Town3189142947-1833LWWLD
20Peterborough United3187164758-1131DLLWL
21Burton Albion32611153348-1529WLDDW
22Crawley Town3178163555-2029DDWLL
23Shrewsbury Town3276193354-2127LLDWW
24Cambridge United3158183056-2623LLDDL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)
Reading's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
1-11.34-100%
Reading's home matches when WIN odds between 7 and 9.5
15-04-23
Reading40 - 0 (0)Burnley41.5-1L
Reading40 - 0 (0)Burnley41.5-1LBirmingham City's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
0000%
Birmingham City's away matches when WIN odds between 1.4 and 1.6
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES
Reading's home matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.031.250.3%
Reading's last 10 home matches
15-02-25Reading32 - 1 (1)Rotherham United31.50.29W
Reading32 - 1 (1)Rotherham United31.50.29W11-02-25Reading2(A)1 - 1 (0)Shrewsbury Town2(A)1.50.34W
Reading2(A)1 - 1 (0)Shrewsbury Town2(A)1.50.34W01-02-25Reading31 - 0 (1)Bolton Wanderers31.5-1L
Reading31 - 0 (1)Bolton Wanderers31.5-1L18-01-25Reading61 - 3 (0)Stockport County51.50.33W
Reading61 - 3 (0)Stockport County51.50.33W29-12-24Reading22 - 1 (0)Mansfield Town2(A)1.50.23W
Reading22 - 1 (0)Mansfield Town2(A)1.50.23W26-12-24Reading44 - 1 (2)Northampton Town41.50.21W
Reading44 - 1 (2)Northampton Town41.50.21W14-12-24Reading30 - 3 (0)Blackpool91.50.19W
Reading30 - 3 (0)Blackpool91.50.19W03-12-24Reading13 - 0 (0)Cambridge United21.50.23W
Reading13 - 0 (0)Cambridge United21.50.23W26-10-24Reading31 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers31.5-1L
Reading31 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers31.5-1L19-10-24Reading134 - 1 (0)Crawley Town61.50.21W
Reading134 - 1 (0)Crawley Town61.50.21WBirmingham City's away matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.641.336.4%
Birmingham City's last 10 away matches.
28-01-25Huddersfield Town20 - 1 (0)Birmingham City41.5-1L
Huddersfield Town20 - 1 (0)Birmingham City41.5-1L23-01-25Wrexham61 - 1 (0)Birmingham City41.50.43W
Wrexham61 - 1 (0)Birmingham City41.50.43W04-01-25Wigan Athletic50 - 3 (0)Birmingham City2(A)1.50.48W
Wigan Athletic50 - 3 (0)Birmingham City2(A)1.50.48W01-01-25Stockport County2(A)1 - 1 (1)Birmingham City21.50.42W
Stockport County2(A)1 - 1 (1)Birmingham City21.50.42W23-12-24Crawley Town80 - 1 (1)Birmingham City81.5-1L
Crawley Town80 - 1 (1)Birmingham City81.5-1L07-12-24Barnsley31 - 2 (1)Birmingham City21.50.25W
Barnsley31 - 2 (1)Birmingham City21.50.25W26-11-24Exeter City2(A)0 - 2 (1)Birmingham City2(A)1.50.23W
Exeter City2(A)0 - 2 (1)Birmingham City2(A)1.50.23W23-11-24Shrewsbury Town103 - 2 (0)Birmingham City131.50.25W
Shrewsbury Town103 - 2 (0)Birmingham City131.50.25W26-10-24Mansfield Town31 - 1 (0)Birmingham City31.50.22W
Mansfield Town31 - 1 (0)Birmingham City31.50.22W19-10-24Lincoln City101 - 3 (1)Birmingham City101.50.36W
Lincoln City101 - 3 (1)Birmingham City101.50.36W SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES
Reading's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.711.3-11.83%
Reading's all matches - last 6
15-02-25Reading32 - 1 (1)Rotherham United31.50.29W
Reading32 - 1 (1)Rotherham United31.50.29W11-02-25Reading2(A)1 - 1 (0)Shrewsbury Town2(A)1.50.34W
Reading2(A)1 - 1 (0)Shrewsbury Town2(A)1.50.34W08-02-25Huddersfield Town60 - 0 (0)Reading61.5-1L
Huddersfield Town60 - 0 (0)Reading61.5-1L01-02-25Reading31 - 0 (1)Bolton Wanderers31.5-1L
Reading31 - 0 (1)Bolton Wanderers31.5-1L28-01-25Burton Albion23 - 2 (1)Reading2(A)1.50.33W
Burton Albion23 - 2 (1)Reading2(A)1.50.33W25-01-25Leyton Orient32 - 0 (0)Reading61.50.33W
Leyton Orient32 - 0 (0)Reading61.50.33WBirmingham City's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-2.011.34-33.5%
Birmingham City's all matches - last 6
15-02-25Birmingham City31 - 0 (0)Charlton Athletic31.5-1L
Birmingham City31 - 0 (0)Charlton Athletic31.5-1L11-02-25Birmingham City24 - 0 (1)Cambridge United2(A)1.50.2W
Birmingham City24 - 0 (1)Cambridge United2(A)1.50.2W01-02-25Birmingham City32 - 1 (1)Rotherham United31.50.36W
Birmingham City32 - 1 (1)Rotherham United31.50.36W28-01-25Huddersfield Town20 - 1 (0)Birmingham City41.5-1L
Huddersfield Town20 - 1 (0)Birmingham City41.5-1L23-01-25Wrexham61 - 1 (0)Birmingham City41.50.43W
Wrexham61 - 1 (0)Birmingham City41.50.43W18-01-25Birmingham City31 - 0 (0)Exeter City61.5-1L
Birmingham City31 - 0 (0)Exeter City61.5-1L HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS
H2H Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.61.440%
H2H matches - last 6
10-08-24Birmingham City61 - 1 (1)Reading61.50.19W
Birmingham City61 - 1 (1)Reading61.50.19W07-04-23Reading51 - 1 (0)Birmingham City51.50.57W
Reading51 - 1 (0)Birmingham City51.50.57W16-12-22Birmingham City53 - 2 (2)Reading51.50.51W
Birmingham City53 - 2 (2)Reading51.50.51W22-02-22Reading2(A)2 - 1 (1)Birmingham City11.50.33W
Reading2(A)2 - 1 (1)Birmingham City11.50.33W League One Standings#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Birmingham City29216251193269WWWWD
2Wycombe Wanderers31189458312763WDDWD
3Wrexham31177746271958LWWLD
4Stockport County32169749301957WDWWW
5Huddersfield Town31167844271755WWDLL
6Leyton Orient311651048282053WWWLW
7Charlton Athletic31148940301050LWWDW
8Bolton Wanderers31155115048250WWLWW
9Reading31147104643349WDDWL
10Lincoln City321110114138343WLDDL
11Barnsley31127124343043LLDLL
12Blackpool3191484544141DDDDW
13Stevenage31118122932-341LDLLW
14Rotherham United31108133537-238LDLLW
15Mansfield Town31115153844-638LDLLL
16Wigan Athletic3098132831-335DLDLW
17Exeter City30105153446-1235WLLLD
18Bristol Rovers31105163248-1635LWDWL
19Northampton Town3189142947-1833LWWLD
20Peterborough United3187164758-1131DLLWL
21Burton Albion32611153348-1529WLDDW
22Crawley Town3178163555-2029DDWLL
23Shrewsbury Town3276193354-2127LLDWW
24Cambridge United3158183056-2623LLDDL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)
Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -27%
LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL
Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.53 (1.89)-0.27 (1.25)0.221.56
League One Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.3 - -0.25 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
57-0.141.33-0.25%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown
Reading's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.3 - -0.25 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.671.3433.50%
28-11-23-0.25Reading2(A)5 - 1 (2)Carlisle United21.50.31W
-0.25Reading2(A)5 - 1 (2)Carlisle United21.50.31W26-08-23-0.29Exeter City62 - 1 (1)Reading61.50.36W
-0.29Exeter City62 - 1 (1)Reading61.50.36WBirmingham City's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.3 - -0.25 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.551.2827.50%
01-02-25-0.25Birmingham City32 - 1 (1)Rotherham United31.50.36W
-0.25Birmingham City32 - 1 (1)Rotherham United31.50.36W26-12-24-0.26Birmingham City2(A)2 - 0 (0)Burton Albion41.50.19W
-0.26Birmingham City2(A)2 - 0 (0)Burton Albion41.50.19WELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS
Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
0003.63%
ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)
ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)
Reading (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
52.111.4242.2%
29-04-2320Reading61 - 1Wigan Athletic61.50.39W
20Reading61 - 1Wigan Athletic61.50.39W07-04-23-20Reading51 - 1Birmingham City51.50.57W
-20Reading51 - 1Birmingham City51.50.57W25-02-2318Reading73 - 1Blackpool31.50.39W
18Reading73 - 1Blackpool31.50.39W14-02-233Reading2(A)2 - 1Rotherham United2(A)1.50.43W
3Reading2(A)2 - 1Rotherham United2(A)1.50.43W22-02-22-14Reading2(A)2 - 1Birmingham City11.50.33W
-14Reading2(A)2 - 1Birmingham City11.50.33WBirmingham City (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.291.43.63%
27-04-246Huddersfield Town61 - 1Birmingham City61.50.28W
6Huddersfield Town61 - 1Birmingham City61.50.28W29-03-2425Queens Park Rangers122 - 1Birmingham City121.50.34W
25Queens Park Rangers122 - 1Birmingham City121.50.34W09-03-2422Millwall31 - 0Birmingham City31.5-1L
22Millwall31 - 0Birmingham City31.5-1L23-12-2310Plymouth Argyle63 - 3Birmingham City41.50.2W
10Plymouth Argyle63 - 3Birmingham City41.50.2W07-04-23-20Reading51 - 1Birmingham City51.50.57W
-20Reading51 - 1Birmingham City51.50.57W18-03-23-6Queens Park Rangers30 - 1Birmingham City31.5-1L
-6Queens Park Rangers30 - 1Birmingham City31.5-1L18-02-2316Huddersfield Town2(A)2 - 1Birmingham City31.50.51W
16Huddersfield Town2(A)2 - 1Birmingham City31.50.51W14-01-238Bristol City54 - 2Birmingham City111.50.39W
8Bristol City54 - 2Birmingham City111.50.39WSAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES
Reading's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.951.2811.88%
08-02-25Huddersfield Town60 - 0Reading61.5-1L
Huddersfield Town60 - 0Reading61.5-1L25-01-25Leyton Orient32 - 0Reading61.50.33W
Leyton Orient32 - 0Reading61.50.33W18-01-25Reading61 - 3Stockport County51.50.33W
Reading61 - 3Stockport County51.50.33W21-12-24Lincoln City62 - 0Reading61.50.25W
Lincoln City62 - 0Reading61.50.25W28-09-24Reading62 - 1Huddersfield Town31.50.26W
Reading62 - 1Huddersfield Town31.50.26W21-09-24Bolton Wanderers65 - 2Reading61.50.26W
Bolton Wanderers65 - 2Reading61.50.26W31-08-24Reading62 - 0Charlton Athletic61.50.33W
Reading62 - 0Charlton Athletic61.50.33W10-08-24Birmingham City61 - 1Reading61.50.19W
Birmingham City61 - 1Reading61.50.19WBirmingham City's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.741.27-21.75%
15-02-25Birmingham City31 - 0Charlton Athletic31.5-1L
Birmingham City31 - 0Charlton Athletic31.5-1L01-02-25Birmingham City32 - 1Rotherham United31.50.36W
Birmingham City32 - 1Rotherham United31.50.36W18-01-25Birmingham City31 - 0Exeter City61.5-1L
Birmingham City31 - 0Exeter City61.5-1L14-12-24Birmingham City32 - 0Bristol Rovers101.50.17W
Birmingham City32 - 0Bristol Rovers101.50.17W26-10-24Mansfield Town31 - 1Birmingham City31.50.22W
Mansfield Town31 - 1Birmingham City31.50.22W05-10-24Charlton Athletic31 - 0Birmingham City31.5-1L
Charlton Athletic31 - 0Birmingham City31.5-1L31-08-24Birmingham City32 - 1Wigan Athletic61.50.2W
Birmingham City32 - 1Wigan Athletic61.50.2W17-08-24Wycombe Wanderers32 - 3Birmingham City31.50.31W
Wycombe Wanderers32 - 3Birmingham City31.50.31WHOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)
Reading's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
30.771.2625.67%
24-02-24Reading32 - 3Shrewsbury Town61.50.32W
Reading32 - 3Shrewsbury Town61.50.32W20-02-24Reading32 - 0Port Vale61.50.23W
Reading32 - 0Port Vale61.50.23W17-02-24Portsmouth34 - 1Reading31.50.22W
Portsmouth34 - 1Reading31.50.22WBirmingham City's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00025.67%
League Trends By Game Week
Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)
Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)
League One Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.612.592.582.67
Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025League One3722.59
League One3722.592023/2024League One5572.59
League One5572.592022/2023League One5552.56
League One5552.562021/2022League One5572.69
League One5572.69League One Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
74.29%1.3573.39%1.3671%1.4180%1.25
Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025League One37273.39% 1.36
League One37273.39% 1.362023/2024League One55773.97% 1.35
League One55773.97% 1.352022/2023League One55572.79% 1.37
League One55572.79% 1.372021/2022League One55776.12% 1.31
League One55776.12% 1.31 Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)
League One First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.181.191.071.13
First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025League One3721.19
League One3721.192023/2024League One5571.15
League One5571.152022/2023League One5551.19
League One5551.192021/2022League One5571.19
League One5571.19League One Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.431.401.61.45
Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025League One3721.40
League One3721.402023/2024League One5571.43
League One5571.432022/2023League One5551.37
League One5551.372021/2022League One5571.50
League One5571.50League Positions - Stats
Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.761.34-7.6%
Last 2 seasons - 9 vs 1 in the table
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-7.6%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS
Reading matches against table positions: 1,2,3
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.261.35.2%
31-08-2413Reading62 - 02Charlton Athletic61.50.33W
13Reading62 - 02Charlton Athletic61.50.33W23-01-2421Reading2(A)1 - 03Derby County2(A)1.5-1L
21Reading2(A)1 - 03Derby County2(A)1.5-1L28-10-2323Reading32 - 31Portsmouth31.50.27W
23Reading32 - 31Portsmouth31.50.27W16-09-2320Reading112 - 12Bolton Wanderers101.50.29W
20Reading112 - 12Bolton Wanderers101.50.29W19-08-2319Reading32 - 03Stevenage31.50.37W
19Reading32 - 03Stevenage31.50.37WBirmingham City matches against table positions: 8,9,10
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.251.2525%
07-12-248Barnsley31 - 23Birmingham City21.50.25W
8Barnsley31 - 23Birmingham City21.50.25W