Port Vale vs Newport County - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - League Two

2025-01-18
15:00:00

Port Vale¹³

Newport County¹⁵

Vale Park (Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire)

S. Parkinson

1.564.696.85

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28

League Two Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Walsall24174348212755WWWWW

2Crewe Alexandra251110433221143DWWDL

3Salford City24126629191042WWWWW

4Port Vale2511862925441WDLLD

5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640WWDLW

6Notts County24117638261240WLWWW

7Doncaster Rovers2511773530540LWDLW

8Bradford City2410863327638WDWWL

9Grimsby Town25121123640-437LLWWL

10Chesterfield249783829934LLLWW

11Milton Keynes Dons2310493631534LWDLL

12Bromley2481063530534LWDWW

13Cheltenham Town248793436-231DLWDW

14Gillingham2393112224-230LLLDW

15Barrow2477102326-328LDDLW

16Fleetwood Town226972828027LDWLD

17Colchester United2451272828027LLDWD

18Newport County2375113040-1026LLLWD

19Accrington Stanley2367103240-825WWLLD

20Swindon Town26510113141-1025DLWDD

21Harrogate Town2574142137-1625WLDLL

22Tranmere Rovers2467111837-1925LWLDL

23Morecambe2455142239-1720WLWLL

24Carlisle United2446141938-1918LLWLD

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Port Vale's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

4-1.421.34-35.5%

Port Vale's home matches when WIN odds between 1.5 and 1.7

26-12-22

Port Vale⁵1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Morecambe⁸1.5-1L

02-05-22

Port Vale⁸1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Newport County⁹1.50.21W

09-04-22

Port Vale³3 - 2⁽⁰⁾Oldham Athletic⁶1.50.37W

29-01-22

Port Vale⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Scunthorpe United³1.5-1L

Newport County's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

82.111.2626.38%

Newport County's away matches when WIN odds between 5.9 and 7.9

26-12-24

Bromley⁴5 - 2⁽²⁾Newport County⁴1.50.19W

07-10-24

Bradford City⁵3 - 1⁽¹⁾Newport County⁵1.50.21W

14-09-24

Swindon Town⁶4 - 0⁽⁰⁾Newport County⁶1.50.2W

16-03-24

AFC Wimbledon³0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Newport County³1.50.29W

23-12-23

Wrexham⁶2 - 0⁽¹⁾Newport County⁶1.50.17W

10-04-23

Stockport County^2(A)4 - 0⁽¹⁾Newport County²1.50.43W

01-10-22

Leyton Orient⁶1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Newport County⁶1.50.41W

02-05-22

Port Vale⁸1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Newport County⁹1.50.21W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Port Vale's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-1.811.36-18.1%

Port Vale's last 10 home matches

01-01-25

Port Vale^2(A)0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Cheltenham Town²1.5-1L

21-12-24

Port Vale⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Carlisle United⁶1.5-1L

07-12-24

Port Vale³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Walsall³1.5-1L

25-11-24

Port Vale⁸1 - 1⁽¹⁾Crewe Alexandra⁸1.50.39W

26-10-24

Port Vale³3 - 2⁽¹⁾AFC Wimbledon³1.50.45W

19-10-24

Port Vale⁶3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Fleetwood Town¹⁰1.50.33W

01-10-24

Port Vale²1 - 1⁽¹⁾Colchester United^2(A)1.50.36W

28-09-24

Port Vale⁶2 - 1⁽²⁾Swindon Town⁶1.50.33W

14-09-24

Port Vale⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Chesterfield⁶1.5-1L

31-08-24

Port Vale⁶2 - 3⁽¹⁾Doncaster Rovers³1.50.33W

Newport County's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-1.371.23-13.7%

Newport County's last 10 away matches.

29-12-24

Walsall²2 - 0⁽¹⁾Newport County^2(A)1.50.19W

26-12-24

Bromley⁴5 - 2⁽²⁾Newport County⁴1.50.19W

14-12-24

Colchester United³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Newport County¹⁰1.5-1L

03-12-24

AFC Wimbledon²2 - 2⁽¹⁾Newport County⁹1.50.23W

23-11-24

Notts County⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Newport County⁶1.5-1L

09-11-24

Tranmere Rovers⁶2 - 1⁽¹⁾Newport County⁶1.50.29W

22-10-24

Gillingham^2(A)0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Newport County³1.50.28W

12-10-24

Harrogate Town³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Newport County⁴1.5-1L

07-10-24

Bradford City⁵3 - 1⁽¹⁾Newport County⁵1.50.21W

21-09-24

Barrow⁶2 - 0⁽¹⁾Newport County³1.50.24W

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Port Vale's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-2.031.34-33.83%

Port Vale's all matches - last 6

04-01-25

Doncaster Rovers²1 - 2⁽¹⁾Port Vale²1.50.21W

01-01-25

Port Vale^2(A)0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Cheltenham Town²1.5-1L

29-12-24

Grimsby Town²3 - 0⁽²⁾Port Vale^2(A)1.50.36W

26-12-24

Bradford City⁴2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Port Vale⁴1.50.4W

21-12-24

Port Vale⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Carlisle United⁶1.5-1L

14-12-24

Bromley⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Port Vale³1.5-1L

Newport County's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.151.232.5%

Newport County's all matches - last 6

02-01-25

Newport County³1 - 2⁽²⁾AFC Wimbledon²1.50.31W

29-12-24

Walsall²2 - 0⁽¹⁾Newport County^2(A)1.50.19W

26-12-24

Bromley⁴5 - 2⁽²⁾Newport County⁴1.50.19W

21-12-24

Newport County⁶6 - 3⁽¹⁾Milton Keynes Dons⁶1.50.23W

14-12-24

Colchester United³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Newport County¹⁰1.5-1L

03-12-24

AFC Wimbledon²2 - 2⁽¹⁾Newport County⁹1.50.23W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

20.471.2423.5%

H2H matches - last 6

07-09-24

Newport County³1 - 4⁽⁰⁾Port Vale³1.50.26W

02-05-22

Port Vale⁸1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Newport County⁹1.50.21W

League Two Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Walsall24174348212755WWWWW

2Crewe Alexandra251110433221143DWWDL

3Salford City24126629191042WWWWW

4Port Vale2511862925441WDLLD

5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640WWDLW

6Notts County24117638261240WLWWW

7Doncaster Rovers2511773530540LWDLW

8Bradford City2410863327638WDWWL

9Grimsby Town25121123640-437LLWWL

10Chesterfield249783829934LLLWW

11Milton Keynes Dons2310493631534LWDLL

12Bromley2481063530534LWDWW

13Cheltenham Town248793436-231DLWDW

14Gillingham2393112224-230LLLDW

15Barrow2477102326-328LDDLW

16Fleetwood Town226972828027LDWLD

17Colchester United2451272828027LLDWD

18Newport County2375113040-1026LLLWD

19Accrington Stanley2367103240-825WWLLD

20Swindon Town26510113141-1025DLWDD

21Harrogate Town2574142137-1625WLDLL

22Tranmere Rovers2467111837-1925LWLDL

23Morecambe2455142239-1720WLWLL

24Carlisle United2446141938-1918LLWLD

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -10%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.68 (1.47)-0.10 (1.28)0.701.66

League Two Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.13 - -0.08 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

1041.071.301.03%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Port Vale's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.13 - -0.08 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

2-2.001.36-100.00%

14-12-24

^-0.11Bromley⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Port Vale³1.5-1L

07-12-24

^-0.11Port Vale³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Walsall³1.5-1L

Newport County's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.13 - -0.08 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

110.611.285.55%

26-12-24

^-0.11Bromley⁴5 - 2⁽²⁾Newport County⁴1.50.19W

07-10-24

^-0.08Bradford City⁵3 - 1⁽¹⁾Newport County⁵1.50.21W

27-04-24

^-0.09Bradford City³4 - 1⁽¹⁾Newport County⁶1.50.21W

20-04-24

^-0.11Newport County⁶0 - 1⁽¹⁾Salford City⁶1.5-1L

01-04-24

^-0.10Newport County^2(A)0 - 4⁽¹⁾Crawley Town²1.50.25W

29-03-24

^-0.09Colchester United⁵2 - 1⁽¹⁾Newport County⁵1.50.23W

17-02-24

^-0.10Newport County³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Gillingham³1.5-1L

03-02-24

^-0.10Newport County⁵2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Swindon Town⁶1.50.33W

23-09-23

^-0.11Newport County⁶1 - 4⁽¹⁾Bradford City⁶1.50.33W

02-09-23

^-0.12Newport County³2 - 2⁽⁰⁾AFC Wimbledon^2(A)1.50.32W

07-04-23

^-0.11Newport County⁵3 - 0⁽²⁾Northampton Town⁵1.50.54W

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-45.2%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Port Vale (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-45.2%

Newport County (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-45.2%

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Port Vale's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

1-11.28-100%

27-01-24

Port Vale¹³0 - 1Portsmouth⁶1.5-1L

Newport County's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.431.4343%

26-12-22

AFC Wimbledon⁴1 - 1Newport County¹⁵1.50.43W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Port Vale's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

3-1.671.43-55.67%

22-01-22

Leyton Orient¹²0 - 0Port Vale³1.5-1L

18-01-22

Port Vale²0 - 1Salford City^2(A)1.5-1L

15-01-22

Port Vale⁶1 - 3Swindon Town³1.50.33W

Newport County's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-2.261.32-45.2%

20-01-24

Newport County³1 - 0Wrexham⁶1.5-1L

13-01-24

Doncaster Rovers⁶0 - 1Newport County⁶1.5-1L

14-01-23

Carlisle United¹²2 - 0Newport County⁶1.50.43W

22-01-22

Scunthorpe United⁶0 - 1Newport County⁶1.5-1L

15-01-22

Newport County⁶4 - 0Harrogate Town⁵1.50.31W

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

League Two Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.592.542.572.9

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

League Two2892.54

2023/2024

League Two5562.98

2022/2023

League Two5542.34

2021/2022

League Two5572.46

League Two Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

73.54%1.3672.32%1.3876%1.3283.33%1.2

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

League Two28972.32% 1.38

2023/2024

League Two55679.86% 1.25

2022/2023

League Two55468.59% 1.46

2021/2022

League Two55772.17% 1.39

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

League Two First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.181.161.331.15

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

League Two2891.16

2023/2024

League Two5561.37

2022/2023

League Two5541.08

2021/2022

League Two5571.09

League Two Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.411.381.571.42

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

League Two2891.38

2023/2024

League Two5561.61

2022/2023

League Two5541.26

2021/2022

League Two5571.37

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

18-0.491.27-2.72%

Last 2 seasons - 4 vs 19 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.451.4545%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Port Vale matches against table positions: 18,19,20

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

00045%

Newport County matches against table positions: 3,4,5

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

51.271.2525.4%

21-09-24

³Barrow⁶2 - 0¹¹Newport County³1.50.24W

24-02-24

⁵Milton Keynes Dons³3 - 0¹⁵Newport County⁶1.50.25W

23-12-23

³Wrexham⁶2 - 0¹⁷Newport County⁶1.50.17W

18-11-23

⁴Mansfield Town⁶2 - 0²⁰Newport County³1.50.18W

10-04-23

⁵Stockport County^2(A)4 - 0¹⁷Newport County²1.50.43W

YOUR TEXT

Port Vale vs Newport County - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - League Two

Port Vale's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Port Vale's home matches when WIN odds between 1.5 and 1.7

Newport County's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Newport County's away matches when WIN odds between 5.9 and 7.9

Port Vale's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Port Vale's last 10 home matches

Newport County's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Newport County's last 10 away matches.

Port Vale's all matches (last 6 matches)

Port Vale's all matches - last 6

Newport County's all matches (last 6 matches)

Newport County's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

League Two Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.13 - -0.08 )

Port Vale's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.13 - -0.08 )

Newport County's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.13 - -0.08 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Port Vale (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Newport County (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Port Vale's all matches (last 8 matches)

Newport County's all matches (last 8 matches)

Port Vale's all matches (last 8 matches)

Newport County's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

League Two Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

League Two Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

League Two First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

League Two Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 4 vs 19 in the table

Port Vale matches against table positions: 18,19,20

Newport County matches against table positions: 3,4,5

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