Carlisle United vs Gillingham - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - League Two

2025-02-22
15:00:00

Carlisle United⁶

Gillingham⁶

Brunton Park (Carlisle, Cumbria)

S. Jackson

2.373.533.40

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.45

League Two Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Walsall31196659342563WDLDL

2AFC Wimbledon31168743202356DWWDW

3Doncaster Rovers3216794639755WLLWW

4Notts County31159748301854DLWWW

5Bradford City31159740281254DWWLW

6Port Vale30141063932752WDWDW

7Crewe Alexandra32121373631549DLLDD

8Salford City3113993830848LWDDD

9Grimsby Town31153134447-348WWWDL

10Chesterfield301191049371242LWLWD

11Colchester United3191573631542DDWWW

12Bromley31101294140142WWDLL

13Fleetwood Town311011103936341DLDWL

14Cheltenham Town30118114043-341WLWDW

15Newport County31117134147-640DWWWW

16Milton Keynes Dons31116144444039DLLLW

17Swindon Town32911124648-238LDWWW

18Barrow31107143436-237LWWLL

19Gillingham3097142633-734DDLLD

20Harrogate Town3296172642-1633WLDLL

21Accrington Stanley3079143448-1430LLDLD

22Tranmere Rovers31610152249-2728DDLLL

23Morecambe3275202949-2026LWLLW

24Carlisle United3157192349-2622DLLLL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Carlisle United's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

101.261.4312.6%

Carlisle United's home matches when WIN odds between 2.2 and 2.5

31-08-24

Carlisle United⁶1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Tranmere Rovers³1.50.33W

02-09-23

Carlisle United⁶2 - 0⁽¹⁾Shrewsbury Town⁶1.50.38W

05-08-23

Carlisle United⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Fleetwood Town⁶1.50.42W

15-04-23

Carlisle United⁴0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Northampton Town⁴1.5-1L

14-02-23

Carlisle United^2(A)0 - 4⁽⁰⁾Mansfield Town²1.50.47W

14-01-23

Carlisle United¹²2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Newport County⁶1.50.43W

03-12-22

Carlisle United⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Sutton United¹⁰1.50.36W

12-11-22

Carlisle United³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Walsall⁶1.5-1L

15-10-22

Carlisle United⁶3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Doncaster Rovers³1.50.4W

17-09-22

Carlisle United³2 - 1⁽¹⁾AFC Wimbledon³1.50.47W

Gillingham's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-1.21.43-12%

Gillingham's away matches when WIN odds between 3.2 and 3.7

28-01-25

Grimsby Town^2(A)1 - 1⁽¹⁾Gillingham^2(A)1.50.43W

04-12-24

Bromley^2(A)2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Gillingham¹⁰1.50.36W

24-08-24

Fleetwood Town⁵0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Gillingham⁶1.5-1L

06-04-24

Bradford City⁴1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Gillingham⁴1.5-1L

12-03-24

AFC Wimbledon^2(A)2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Gillingham²1.50.43W

02-09-23

Grimsby Town³2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Gillingham³1.50.43W

15-08-23

Sutton United^2(A)0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Gillingham²1.5-1L

21-01-23

Colchester United⁶0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Gillingham⁶1.50.59W

22-11-22

Crawley Town^2(A)0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Gillingham^2(A)1.5-1L

13-08-22

Tranmere Rovers³3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Gillingham³1.50.56W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Carlisle United's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-3.391.32-33.9%

Carlisle United's last 10 home matches

15-02-25

Carlisle United³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Colchester United⁶1.5-1L

01-02-25

Carlisle United³1 - 5⁽⁴⁾Swindon Town³1.50.36W

18-01-25

Carlisle United¹³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Bradford City³1.5-1L

29-12-24

Carlisle United²2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Accrington Stanley⁷1.50.28W

26-12-24

Carlisle United⁴0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Morecambe⁴1.5-1L

14-12-24

Carlisle United¹³0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Chesterfield³1.50.33W

30-11-24

Carlisle United⁶1 - 1⁽¹⁾Crewe Alexandra⁴1.50.35W

23-11-24

Carlisle United⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Doncaster Rovers⁶1.5-1L

26-10-24

Carlisle United³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Cheltenham Town³1.5-1L

19-10-24

Carlisle United⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Harrogate Town⁶1.50.29W

Gillingham's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

101.311.4113.1%

Gillingham's last 10 away matches.

11-02-25

Walsall^2(A)1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Gillingham^2(A)1.50.35W

08-02-25

Barrow⁶3 - 0⁽²⁾Gillingham⁶1.50.57W

28-01-25

Grimsby Town^2(A)1 - 1⁽¹⁾Gillingham^2(A)1.50.43W

25-01-25

Tranmere Rovers⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Gillingham⁶1.50.43W

30-12-24

AFC Wimbledon³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Gillingham³1.5-1L

26-12-24

Colchester United⁵2 - 0⁽¹⁾Gillingham⁵1.50.47W

14-12-24

Milton Keynes Dons¹⁰0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Gillingham⁶1.5-1L

04-12-24

Bromley^2(A)2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Gillingham¹⁰1.50.36W

26-10-24

Swindon Town³1 - 1⁽¹⁾Gillingham³1.50.34W

19-10-24

Bradford City⁶2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Gillingham⁶1.50.36W

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Carlisle United's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-1.961.33-32.67%

Carlisle United's all matches - last 6

15-02-25

Carlisle United³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Colchester United⁶1.5-1L

11-02-25

Newport County^2(A)1 - 0⁽¹⁾Carlisle United^2(A)1.5-1L

08-02-25

Grimsby Town⁶2 - 1⁽¹⁾Carlisle United⁶1.50.29W

01-02-25

Carlisle United³1 - 5⁽⁴⁾Swindon Town³1.50.36W

28-01-25

Notts County²1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Carlisle United^2(A)1.5-1L

25-01-25

Fleetwood Town³1 - 2⁽¹⁾Carlisle United⁶1.50.39W

Gillingham's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61.141.4419%

Gillingham's all matches - last 6

15-02-25

Gillingham³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Crewe Alexandra³1.5-1L

11-02-25

Walsall^2(A)1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Gillingham^2(A)1.50.35W

08-02-25

Barrow⁶3 - 0⁽²⁾Gillingham⁶1.50.57W

01-02-25

Gillingham³1 - 2⁽¹⁾Notts County³1.50.36W

28-01-25

Grimsby Town^2(A)1 - 1⁽¹⁾Gillingham^2(A)1.50.43W

25-01-25

Tranmere Rovers⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Gillingham⁶1.50.43W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

3-1.71.41-56.67%

H2H matches - last 6

10-08-24

Gillingham⁶4 - 1⁽²⁾Carlisle United⁶1.50.3W

25-03-23

Gillingham³1 - 0⁽¹⁾Carlisle United³1.5-1L

27-08-22

Carlisle United⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Gillingham³1.5-1L

League Two Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Walsall31196659342563WDLDL

2AFC Wimbledon31168743202356DWWDW

3Doncaster Rovers3216794639755WLLWW

4Notts County31159748301854DLWWW

5Bradford City31159740281254DWWLW

6Port Vale30141063932752WDWDW

7Crewe Alexandra32121373631549DLLDD

8Salford City3113993830848LWDDD

9Grimsby Town31153134447-348WWWDL

10Chesterfield301191049371242LWLWD

11Colchester United3191573631542DDWWW

12Bromley31101294140142WWDLL

13Fleetwood Town311011103936341DLDWL

14Cheltenham Town30118114043-341WLWDW

15Newport County31117134147-640DWWWW

16Milton Keynes Dons31116144444039DLLLW

17Swindon Town32911124648-238LDWWW

18Barrow31107143436-237LWWLL

19Gillingham3097142633-734DDLLD

20Harrogate Town3296172642-1633WLDLL

21Accrington Stanley3079143448-1430LLDLD

22Tranmere Rovers31610152249-2728DDLLL

23Morecambe3275202949-2026LWLLW

24Carlisle United3157192349-2622DLLLL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -14%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.55 (1.82)-0.14 (1.45)0.631.22

League Two Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.17 - -0.12 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

890.901.311.01%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Carlisle United's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.17 - -0.12 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

2-2.001.45-100.00%

25-03-23

^-0.13Gillingham³1 - 0⁽¹⁾Carlisle United³1.5-1L

21-03-23

^-0.13Bradford City²0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Carlisle United²1.5-1L

Gillingham's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.17 - -0.12 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-2.901.42-29.00%

08-02-25

^-0.13Barrow⁶3 - 0⁽²⁾Gillingham⁶1.50.57W

18-01-25

^-0.15Gillingham¹⁵0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Doncaster Rovers⁵1.5-1L

30-12-24

^-0.13AFC Wimbledon³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Gillingham³1.5-1L

31-08-24

^-0.16Gillingham⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Chesterfield⁶1.5-1L

13-04-24

^-0.14Gillingham⁶3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Barrow⁶1.50.39W

09-03-24

^-0.16Gillingham³1 - 1⁽¹⁾Tranmere Rovers⁶1.50.39W

25-11-23

^-0.16Tranmere Rovers⁶3 - 1⁽¹⁾Gillingham⁶1.50.36W

30-09-23

^-0.16Gillingham⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Mansfield Town³1.50.39W

12-08-23

^-0.14Gillingham³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Accrington Stanley³1.5-1L

25-03-23

^-0.13Gillingham³1 - 0⁽¹⁾Carlisle United³1.5-1L

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-39%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Carlisle United (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-39%

Gillingham (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-39%

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Carlisle United's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-1.371.32-17.13%

08-02-25

Grimsby Town⁶2 - 1Carlisle United⁶1.50.29W

25-01-25

Fleetwood Town³1 - 2Carlisle United⁶1.50.39W

21-12-24

Port Vale⁶0 - 0Carlisle United⁶1.5-1L

30-11-24

Carlisle United⁶1 - 1Crewe Alexandra⁴1.50.35W

23-11-24

Carlisle United⁶0 - 0Doncaster Rovers⁶1.5-1L

09-11-24

Salford City⁶0 - 1Carlisle United⁶1.5-1L

19-10-24

Carlisle United⁶1 - 1Harrogate Town⁶1.50.29W

28-09-24

Carlisle United⁶2 - 3Grimsby Town⁶1.50.31W

Gillingham's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-0.991.36-12.38%

08-02-25

Barrow⁶3 - 0Gillingham⁶1.50.57W

25-01-25

Tranmere Rovers⁶1 - 1Gillingham⁶1.50.43W

14-12-24

Milton Keynes Dons¹⁰0 - 1Gillingham⁶1.5-1L

09-11-24

Gillingham⁶1 - 0Port Vale⁶1.5-1L

19-10-24

Bradford City⁶2 - 1Gillingham⁶1.50.36W

12-10-24

Gillingham⁶1 - 2Accrington Stanley³1.50.3W

21-09-24

Notts County⁶0 - 1Gillingham⁶1.5-1L

14-09-24

Gillingham⁶3 - 0Tranmere Rovers¹³1.50.35W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Carlisle United's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

4-1.211.41-30.25%

25-02-23

Crawley Town⁶2 - 5Carlisle United⁶1.50.4W

18-02-23

Carlisle United³1 - 0Colchester United³1.5-1L

26-02-22

Leyton Orient³0 - 1Carlisle United⁶1.5-1L

19-02-22

Carlisle United⁶0 - 3Swindon Town⁶1.50.39W

Gillingham's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-1.951.4-39%

24-02-24

Gillingham³1 - 0Wrexham³1.5-1L

20-02-24

Gillingham^2(A)0 - 0Stockport County^2(A)1.5-1L

17-02-24

Newport County³1 - 0Gillingham³1.5-1L

25-02-23

Gillingham⁶2 - 1AFC Wimbledon⁶1.50.59W

18-02-23

Rochdale³0 - 2Gillingham³1.50.46W

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

League Two Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.592.482.391.83

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

League Two3722.48

2023/2024

League Two5562.98

2022/2023

League Two5542.34

2021/2022

League Two5572.46

League Two Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

73.54%1.3670.43%1.4267%1.4950%2

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

League Two37270.43% 1.42

2023/2024

League Two55679.86% 1.25

2022/2023

League Two55468.59% 1.46

2021/2022

League Two55772.17% 1.39

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

League Two First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.181.120.671.05

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

League Two3721.12

2023/2024

League Two5561.37

2022/2023

League Two5541.08

2021/2022

League Two5571.09

League Two Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.411.371.171.34

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

League Two3721.37

2023/2024

League Two5561.61

2022/2023

League Two5541.26

2021/2022

League Two5571.37

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

131.21.39.23%

Last 2 seasons - 24 vs 19 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.311.3131%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Carlisle United matches against table positions: 18,19,20

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.281.2828%

14-09-24

²²Carlisle United⁶2 - 3¹⁹Fleetwood Town¹⁰1.50.28W

Gillingham matches against table positions: 22,23,24

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.461.36-7.67%

25-01-25

²²Tranmere Rovers⁶1 - 1¹⁷Gillingham⁶1.50.43W

26-10-24

²²Swindon Town³1 - 1¹¹Gillingham³1.50.34W

01-01-24

²²Colchester United^2(A)0 - 1¹⁰Gillingham²1.5-1L

22-12-23

²³Forest Green Rovers^2(A)0 - 0¹⁰Gillingham⁵1.5-1L

25-11-23

²²Tranmere Rovers⁶3 - 1⁸Gillingham⁶1.50.36W

23-09-23

²²Doncaster Rovers³2 - 1¹Gillingham⁶1.50.41W

YOUR TEXT

Carlisle United vs Gillingham - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - League Two

Carlisle United's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Carlisle United's home matches when WIN odds between 2.2 and 2.5

Gillingham's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Gillingham's away matches when WIN odds between 3.2 and 3.7

Carlisle United's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Carlisle United's last 10 home matches

Gillingham's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Gillingham's last 10 away matches.

Carlisle United's all matches (last 6 matches)

Carlisle United's all matches - last 6

Gillingham's all matches (last 6 matches)

Gillingham's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

League Two Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.17 - -0.12 )

Carlisle United's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.17 - -0.12 )

Gillingham's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.17 - -0.12 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Carlisle United (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Gillingham (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Carlisle United's all matches (last 8 matches)

Gillingham's all matches (last 8 matches)

Carlisle United's all matches (last 8 matches)

Gillingham's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

League Two Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

League Two Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

League Two First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

League Two Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 24 vs 19 in the table

Carlisle United matches against table positions: 18,19,20

Gillingham matches against table positions: 22,23,24

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