Colchester United vs AFC Wimbledon - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - League Two

Colchester United Logo

2025-02-22
15:00:00
AFC Wimbledon Logo
Colchester United3
AFC Wimbledon3

JobServe Community Stadium (Colchester, Essex)
R. Eley
2.713.053.30
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.58
League Two Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Walsall31196659342563WDLDL
2AFC Wimbledon31168743202356DWWDW
3Doncaster Rovers3216794639755WLLWW
4Notts County31159748301854DLWWW
5Bradford City31159740281254DWWLW
6Port Vale30141063932752WDWDW
7Crewe Alexandra32121373631549DLLDD
8Salford City3113993830848LWDDD
9Grimsby Town31153134447-348WWWDL
10Chesterfield301191049371242LWLWD
11Colchester United3191573631542DDWWW
12Bromley31101294140142WWDLL
13Fleetwood Town311011103936341DLDWL
14Cheltenham Town30118114043-341WLWDW
15Newport County31117134147-640DWWWW
16Milton Keynes Dons31116144444039DLLLW
17Swindon Town32911124648-238LDWWW
18Barrow31107143436-237LWWLL
19Gillingham3097142633-734DDLLD
20Harrogate Town3296172642-1633WLDLL
21Accrington Stanley3079143448-1430LLDLD
22Tranmere Rovers31610152249-2728DDLLL
23Morecambe3275202949-2026LWLLW
24Carlisle United3157192349-2622DLLLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Colchester United's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.621.376.2%

Colchester United's home matches when WIN odds between 2.6 and 2.9

29-12-24Colchester United21 - 1 (0)Doncaster Rovers2(A)1.50.34W
16-11-24Colchester United31 - 1 (1)Bradford City61.50.34W
27-04-24Colchester United31 - 1 (1)Crewe Alexandra61.50.36W
16-03-24Colchester United61 - 1 (0)Walsall31.50.29W
03-02-24Colchester United63 - 3 (0)Forest Green Rovers61.50.25W
25-11-23Colchester United31 - 4 (3)Barrow61.50.31W
19-08-23Colchester United32 - 3 (2)Milton Keynes Dons31.50.34W
01-04-23Colchester United60 - 0 (0)Newport County131.5-1L
14-02-23Colchester United2(A)0 - 0 (0)Walsall21.5-1L
19-11-22Colchester United63 - 0 (1)Doncaster Rovers61.50.39W

AFC Wimbledon's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.391.36-3.9%

AFC Wimbledon's away matches when WIN odds between 3.1 and 3.6

21-12-24Chesterfield61 - 0 (0)AFC Wimbledon61.5-1L
26-10-24Port Vale33 - 2 (1)AFC Wimbledon31.50.45W
19-10-24Notts County61 - 0 (0)AFC Wimbledon61.5-1L
21-09-24Bradford City30 - 0 (0)AFC Wimbledon61.5-1L
23-03-24Crewe Alexandra61 - 1 (0)AFC Wimbledon61.50.35W
09-03-24Notts County100 - 2 (2)AFC Wimbledon31.50.19W
23-01-24Milton Keynes Dons23 - 1 (0)AFC Wimbledon91.50.29W
19-08-23Sutton United30 - 3 (2)AFC Wimbledon31.50.39W
15-08-23Colchester United2(A)0 - 2 (1)AFC Wimbledon21.50.4W
11-03-23Doncaster Rovers32 - 1 (0)AFC Wimbledon61.50.54W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Colchester United's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.941.359.4%

Colchester United's last 10 home matches

08-02-25Colchester United62 - 1 (0)Walsall61.50.48W
25-01-25Colchester United31 - 0 (0)Morecambe61.5-1L
04-01-25Colchester United2(A)0 - 2 (0)Accrington Stanley21.50.36W
29-12-24Colchester United21 - 1 (0)Doncaster Rovers2(A)1.50.34W
26-12-24Colchester United52 - 0 (1)Gillingham51.50.47W
14-12-24Colchester United30 - 0 (0)Newport County101.5-1L
03-12-24Colchester United2(A)4 - 0 (0)Swindon Town2(A)1.50.27W
16-11-24Colchester United31 - 1 (1)Bradford City61.50.34W
26-10-24Colchester United31 - 2 (0)Salford City31.50.32W
19-10-24Colchester United101 - 2 (0)Cheltenham Town61.50.36W

AFC Wimbledon's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-1.261.44-12.6%

AFC Wimbledon's last 10 away matches.

18-02-25Fleetwood Town2(A)0 - 0 (0)AFC Wimbledon21.5-1L
08-02-25Accrington Stanley60 - 0 (0)AFC Wimbledon61.5-1L
28-01-25Crewe Alexandra21 - 1 (0)AFC Wimbledon2(A)1.50.57W
25-01-25Milton Keynes Dons30 - 0 (0)AFC Wimbledon61.5-1L
02-01-25Newport County31 - 2 (2)AFC Wimbledon21.50.31W
21-12-24Chesterfield61 - 0 (0)AFC Wimbledon61.5-1L
07-12-24Harrogate Town30 - 3 (0)AFC Wimbledon31.50.39W
26-11-24Tranmere Rovers30 - 2 (0)AFC Wimbledon21.50.49W
16-11-24Barrow31 - 3 (2)AFC Wimbledon61.50.53W
26-10-24Port Vale33 - 2 (1)AFC Wimbledon31.50.45W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Colchester United's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.731.42-28.83%

Colchester United's all matches - last 6

18-02-25Notts County41 - 1 (0)Colchester United2(A)1.50.31W
15-02-25Carlisle United30 - 0 (0)Colchester United61.5-1L
08-02-25Colchester United62 - 1 (0)Walsall61.50.48W
01-02-25Tranmere Rovers31 - 3 (0)Colchester United61.50.48W
25-01-25Colchester United31 - 0 (0)Morecambe61.5-1L
21-01-25Harrogate Town30 - 0 (0)Colchester United2(A)1.5-1L

AFC Wimbledon's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-2.961.5-49.33%

AFC Wimbledon's all matches - last 6

18-02-25Fleetwood Town2(A)0 - 0 (0)AFC Wimbledon21.5-1L
15-02-25AFC Wimbledon31 - 0 (0)Salford City61.5-1L
11-02-25AFC Wimbledon2(A)3 - 0 (0)Crewe Alexandra21.50.47W
08-02-25Accrington Stanley60 - 0 (0)AFC Wimbledon61.5-1L
01-02-25AFC Wimbledon31 - 0 (0)Bradford City31.5-1L
28-01-25Crewe Alexandra21 - 1 (0)AFC Wimbledon2(A)1.50.57W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
51.81.3636%

H2H matches - last 6

10-08-24AFC Wimbledon64 - 2 (0)Colchester United61.50.31W
29-12-23AFC Wimbledon25 - 3 (2)Colchester United2(A)1.50.2W
15-08-23Colchester United2(A)0 - 2 (1)AFC Wimbledon21.50.4W
29-12-22Colchester United2(A)1 - 2 (1)AFC Wimbledon21.50.48W
01-10-22AFC Wimbledon62 - 1 (0)Colchester United61.50.41W
League Two Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Walsall31196659342563WDLDL
2AFC Wimbledon31168743202356DWWDW
3Doncaster Rovers3216794639755WLLWW
4Notts County31159748301854DLWWW
5Bradford City31159740281254DWWLW
6Port Vale30141063932752WDWDW
7Crewe Alexandra32121373631549DLLDD
8Salford City3113993830848LWDDD
9Grimsby Town31153134447-348WWWDL
10Chesterfield301191049371242LWLWD
11Colchester United3191573631542DDWWW
12Bromley31101294140142WWDLL
13Fleetwood Town311011103936341DLDWL
14Cheltenham Town30118114043-341WLWDW
15Newport County31117134147-640DWWWW
16Milton Keynes Dons31116144444039DLLLW
17Swindon Town32911124648-238LDWWW
18Barrow31107143436-237LWWLL
19Gillingham3097142633-734DDLLD
20Harrogate Town3296172642-1633WLDLL
21Accrington Stanley3079143448-1430LLDLD
22Tranmere Rovers31610152249-2728DDLLL
23Morecambe3275202949-2026LWLLW
24Carlisle United3157192349-2622DLLLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -48%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.15 (6.67)-0.48 (1.58)0.140.54

League Two Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.51 - -0.46 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
15-0.251.33-1.67%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Colchester United's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.51 - -0.46 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.661.28-33.00%
29-12-24-0.49Colchester United21 - 1 (0)Doncaster Rovers2(A)1.50.34W
14-12-24-0.49Colchester United30 - 0 (0)Newport County101.5-1L

AFC Wimbledon's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.51 - -0.46 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.191.1919.00%
09-03-24-0.46Notts County100 - 2 (2)AFC Wimbledon31.50.19W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-14.4%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Colchester United (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-14.4%

AFC Wimbledon (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-14.4%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Colchester United's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-2.781.32-34.75%
25-01-25Colchester United31 - 0Morecambe61.5-1L
18-01-25Bromley50 - 1Colchester United31.5-1L
14-12-24Colchester United30 - 0Newport County101.5-1L
16-11-24Colchester United31 - 1Bradford City61.50.34W
26-10-24Colchester United31 - 2Salford City31.50.32W
05-10-24Colchester United30 - 0Carlisle United31.5-1L
21-09-24Colchester United33 - 0Tranmere Rovers61.50.33W
17-08-24Colchester United32 - 0Milton Keynes Dons31.50.23W

AFC Wimbledon's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-3.871.43-48.38%
15-02-25AFC Wimbledon31 - 0Salford City61.5-1L
01-02-25AFC Wimbledon31 - 0Bradford City31.5-1L
30-12-24AFC Wimbledon31 - 0Gillingham31.5-1L
14-12-24AFC Wimbledon31 - 0Doncaster Rovers31.5-1L
07-12-24Harrogate Town30 - 3AFC Wimbledon31.50.39W
23-11-24AFC Wimbledon30 - 1Walsall101.5-1L
26-10-24Port Vale33 - 2AFC Wimbledon31.50.45W
12-10-24AFC Wimbledon34 - 0Carlisle United31.50.29W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Colchester United's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.021.370.25%
27-02-24Salford City2(A)1 - 1Colchester United2(A)1.50.19W
24-02-24Sutton United61 - 1Colchester United61.50.28W
17-02-24Colchester United61 - 1Accrington Stanley31.50.22W
25-02-23Colchester United60 - 1Northampton Town61.5-1L
18-02-23Carlisle United31 - 0Colchester United31.5-1L
26-02-22Colchester United31 - 1Oldham Athletic61.50.36W
22-02-22Colchester United2(A)1 - 2Hartlepool United21.50.43W
19-02-22Northampton Town63 - 0Colchester United61.50.54W

AFC Wimbledon's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-0.721.37-14.4%
24-02-24Doncaster Rovers61 - 0AFC Wimbledon31.5-1L
20-02-24AFC Wimbledon20 - 1Crawley Town21.5-1L
17-02-24AFC Wimbledon31 - 1Morecambe31.50.25W
25-02-23Gillingham62 - 1AFC Wimbledon61.50.59W
18-02-23AFC Wimbledon32 - 2Hartlepool United31.50.44W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

League Two Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.592.482.391.83

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025League Two3722.48
2023/2024League Two5562.98
2022/2023League Two5542.34
2021/2022League Two5572.46

League Two Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
73.54%1.3670.43%1.4267%1.4950%2

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025League Two37270.43% 1.42
2023/2024League Two55679.86% 1.25
2022/2023League Two55468.59% 1.46
2021/2022League Two55772.17% 1.39
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

League Two First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.181.120.671.05

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025League Two3721.12
2023/2024League Two5561.37
2022/2023League Two5541.08
2021/2022League Two5571.09

League Two Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.411.371.171.34

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025League Two3721.37
2023/2024League Two5561.61
2022/2023League Two5541.26
2021/2022League Two5571.37
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
22-2.481.31-11.27%

Last 2 seasons - 11 vs 2 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.431.31-14.33%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Colchester United matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.871.3131.17%
08-02-2514Colchester United62 - 11Walsall61.50.48W
29-12-2415Colchester United21 - 13Doncaster Rovers2(A)1.50.34W
09-04-2423Colchester United21 - 21Stockport County2(A)1.50.31W
06-04-2423Colchester United41 - 23Wrexham31.50.26W
30-09-2320Colchester United65 - 41Notts County61.50.22W
16-09-2320Colchester United61 - 13Mansfield Town61.50.26W

AFC Wimbledon matches against table positions: 10,11,12

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-2.931.4-48.83%
25-01-2512Milton Keynes Dons30 - 04AFC Wimbledon61.5-1L
16-11-2411Barrow31 - 314AFC Wimbledon61.50.53W
24-08-2412Cheltenham Town60 - 114AFC Wimbledon31.5-1L
05-08-2311Grimsby Town60 - 02AFC Wimbledon101.5-1L
08-05-2312Grimsby Town81 - 021AFC Wimbledon81.5-1L
25-03-2310Barrow62 - 117AFC Wimbledon61.50.54W
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