Morecambe vs Walsall - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - League Two

Morecambe Logo

2025-02-22
12:30:00
Walsall Logo
Morecambe3
Walsall6

Globe Arena (Morecambe, Lancashire)
B. Speedie
4.873.951.85
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.3
League Two Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Walsall31196659342563WDLDL
2AFC Wimbledon31168743202356DWWDW
3Doncaster Rovers3216794639755WLLWW
4Notts County31159748301854DLWWW
5Bradford City31159740281254DWWLW
6Port Vale30141063932752WDWDW
7Crewe Alexandra32121373631549DLLDD
8Salford City3113993830848LWDDD
9Grimsby Town31153134447-348WWWDL
10Chesterfield301191049371242LWLWD
11Colchester United3191573631542DDWWW
12Bromley31101294140142WWDLL
13Fleetwood Town311011103936341DLDWL
14Cheltenham Town30118114043-341WLWDW
15Newport County31117134147-640DWWWW
16Milton Keynes Dons31116144444039DLLLW
17Swindon Town32911124648-238LDWWW
18Barrow31107143436-237LWWLL
19Gillingham3097142633-734DDLLD
20Harrogate Town3296172642-1633WLDLL
21Accrington Stanley3079143448-1430LLDLD
22Tranmere Rovers31610152249-2728DDLLL
23Morecambe3275202949-2026LWLLW
24Carlisle United3157192349-2622DLLLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Morecambe's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-3.711.26-37.1%

Morecambe's home matches when WIN odds between 4.1 and 5.6

18-02-25Morecambe20 - 1 (0)Doncaster Rovers21.5-1L
16-11-24Morecambe30 - 1 (1)Port Vale31.5-1L
28-09-24Morecambe41 - 1 (1)Notts County31.50.21W
09-03-24Morecambe31 - 3 (1)Wrexham61.50.24W
09-12-23Morecambe61 - 1 (1)Stockport County2(A)1.50.26W
15-08-23Morecambe2(A)0 - 0 (0)Notts County21.5-1L
15-04-23Morecambe41 - 0 (1)Wycombe Wanderers41.5-1L
07-04-23Morecambe51 - 3 (2)Plymouth Argyle41.50.29W
04-03-23Morecambe60 - 0 (0)Bolton Wanderers31.5-1L
18-02-23Morecambe30 - 3 (0)Peterborough United31.50.29W

Walsall's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
1-11.23-100%

Walsall's away matches when WIN odds between 1.8 and 2

26-10-24Accrington Stanley30 - 0 (0)Walsall31.5-1L
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Morecambe's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.891.3-8.9%

Morecambe's last 10 home matches

18-02-25Morecambe20 - 1 (0)Doncaster Rovers21.5-1L
15-02-25Morecambe62 - 0 (1)Accrington Stanley31.50.28W
01-02-25Morecambe34 - 2 (1)Fleetwood Town31.50.43W
18-01-25Morecambe60 - 1 (0)Crewe Alexandra61.5-1L
01-01-25Morecambe2(A)2 - 0 (1)Tranmere Rovers21.50.31W
21-12-24Morecambe60 - 2 (1)Bromley61.50.29W
07-12-24Morecambe30 - 3 (1)Grimsby Town31.50.29W
16-11-24Morecambe30 - 1 (1)Port Vale31.5-1L
26-10-24Morecambe32 - 5 (2)Chesterfield31.50.23W
19-10-24Morecambe61 - 3 (0)Milton Keynes Dons61.50.28W

Walsall's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.421.36-4.2%

Walsall's last 10 away matches.

08-02-25Colchester United62 - 1 (0)Walsall61.50.48W
28-01-25Fleetwood Town22 - 0 (0)Walsall2(A)1.50.43W
25-01-25Bradford City63 - 0 (0)Walsall61.50.48W
01-01-25Notts County2(A)1 - 2 (1)Walsall21.50.24W
21-12-24Harrogate Town60 - 2 (0)Walsall61.50.29W
07-12-24Port Vale30 - 1 (0)Walsall31.5-1L
23-11-24AFC Wimbledon30 - 1 (0)Walsall101.5-1L
26-10-24Accrington Stanley30 - 0 (0)Walsall31.5-1L
19-10-24Grimsby Town61 - 4 (2)Walsall131.50.33W
05-10-24Chesterfield32 - 2 (0)Walsall31.50.33W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Morecambe's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.771.3-12.83%

Morecambe's all matches - last 6

18-02-25Morecambe20 - 1 (0)Doncaster Rovers21.5-1L
15-02-25Morecambe62 - 0 (1)Accrington Stanley31.50.28W
08-02-25Notts County62 - 0 (0)Morecambe31.50.22W
04-02-25Newport County22 - 1 (2)Morecambe21.50.3W
01-02-25Morecambe34 - 2 (1)Fleetwood Town31.50.43W
28-01-25Bradford City21 - 0 (0)Morecambe2(A)1.5-1L

Walsall's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
62.411.440.17%

Walsall's all matches - last 6

15-02-25Walsall33 - 1 (1)Chesterfield81.50.31W
11-02-25Walsall2(A)1 - 1 (0)Gillingham2(A)1.50.35W
08-02-25Colchester United62 - 1 (0)Walsall61.50.48W
01-02-25Walsall32 - 2 (2)Salford City31.50.36W
28-01-25Fleetwood Town22 - 0 (0)Walsall2(A)1.50.43W
25-01-25Bradford City63 - 0 (0)Walsall61.50.48W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.341.3-11.33%

H2H matches - last 6

10-08-24Walsall61 - 0 (0)Morecambe61.5-1L
20-02-24Walsall23 - 0 (0)Morecambe2(A)1.50.28W
05-08-23Morecambe62 - 1 (1)Walsall61.50.38W
League Two Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Walsall31196659342563WDLDL
2AFC Wimbledon31168743202356DWWDW
3Doncaster Rovers3216794639755WLLWW
4Notts County31159748301854DLWWW
5Bradford City31159740281254DWWLW
6Port Vale30141063932752WDWDW
7Crewe Alexandra32121373631549DLLDD
8Salford City3113993830848LWDDD
9Grimsby Town31153134447-348WWWDL
10Chesterfield301191049371242LWLWD
11Colchester United3191573631542DDWWW
12Bromley31101294140142WWDLL
13Fleetwood Town311011103936341DLDWL
14Cheltenham Town30118114043-341WLWDW
15Newport County31117134147-640DWWWW
16Milton Keynes Dons31116144444039DLLLW
17Swindon Town32911124648-238LDWWW
18Barrow31107143436-237LWWLL
19Gillingham3097142633-734DDLLD
20Harrogate Town3296172642-1633WLDLL
21Accrington Stanley3079143448-1430LLDLD
22Tranmere Rovers31610152249-2728DDLLL
23Morecambe3275202949-2026LWLLW
24Carlisle United3157192349-2622DLLLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 6%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.83 (1.2)0.06 (1.3)1.511.69

League Two Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.04 - 0.09 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
142-1.861.27-1.31%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Morecambe's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.04 - 0.09 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
11-3.391.26-30.82%
21-12-240.04Morecambe60 - 2 (1)Bromley61.50.29W
16-11-240.08Morecambe30 - 1 (1)Port Vale31.5-1L
26-10-240.06Morecambe32 - 5 (2)Chesterfield31.50.23W
10-08-240.05Walsall61 - 0 (0)Morecambe61.5-1L
13-04-240.06Stockport County32 - 0 (0)Morecambe31.50.19W
23-03-240.06Morecambe52 - 3 (1)Gillingham61.50.4W
27-01-240.08Morecambe60 - 1 (0)Colchester United131.5-1L
24-10-230.08Morecambe2(A)1 - 0 (0)Tranmere Rovers31.5-1L
21-10-230.08Sutton United62 - 3 (1)Morecambe101.50.27W
23-09-230.06Morecambe32 - 2 (1)Swindon Town61.50.23W
15-08-230.05Morecambe2(A)0 - 0 (0)Notts County21.5-1L

Walsall's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.04 - 0.09 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
140.261.301.86%
21-12-240.06Harrogate Town60 - 2 (0)Walsall61.50.29W
05-10-240.04Chesterfield32 - 2 (0)Walsall31.50.33W
31-08-240.08Walsall32 - 1 (1)Cheltenham Town61.50.29W
24-08-240.08Tranmere Rovers31 - 0 (0)Walsall61.5-1L
10-08-240.05Walsall61 - 0 (0)Morecambe61.5-1L
16-04-240.06Walsall22 - 1 (1)Swindon Town21.50.18W
01-04-240.06Walsall2(A)2 - 1 (1)Salford City21.50.24W
16-03-240.07Colchester United61 - 1 (0)Walsall31.50.29W
09-03-240.07Forest Green Rovers62 - 0 (1)Walsall61.50.33W
02-03-240.07Walsall33 - 1 (1)Doncaster Rovers61.50.27W
23-09-230.08Walsall61 - 3 (1)AFC Wimbledon61.50.36W
09-09-230.05Salford City31 - 2 (1)Walsall61.50.28W
02-09-230.08Walsall61 - 0 (0)Colchester United61.5-1L
18-04-230.07Harrogate Town23 - 0 (1)Walsall2(A)1.50.4W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00019.38%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Morecambe (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00019.38%

Walsall (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00019.38%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Morecambe's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.241.29-3%
08-02-25Notts County62 - 0Morecambe31.50.22W
01-02-25Morecambe34 - 2Fleetwood Town31.50.43W
14-12-24Cheltenham Town32 - 0Morecambe31.50.31W
07-12-24Morecambe30 - 3Grimsby Town31.50.29W
16-11-24Morecambe30 - 1Port Vale31.5-1L
26-10-24Morecambe32 - 5Chesterfield31.50.23W
12-10-24Barrow30 - 1Morecambe31.5-1L
05-10-24Accrington Stanley32 - 1Morecambe31.50.28W

Walsall's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.091.341.13%
08-02-25Colchester United62 - 1Walsall61.50.48W
25-01-25Bradford City63 - 0Walsall61.50.48W
21-12-24Harrogate Town60 - 2Walsall61.50.29W
09-11-24Walsall61 - 1Crewe Alexandra61.50.33W
14-09-24Walsall62 - 1Bradford City61.50.31W
24-08-24Tranmere Rovers31 - 0Walsall61.5-1L
10-08-24Walsall61 - 0Morecambe61.5-1L
27-04-24AFC Wimbledon65 - 1Walsall61.50.2W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Morecambe's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
30.811.2727%
24-02-24Morecambe31 - 1Grimsby Town61.50.28W
20-02-24Walsall23 - 0Morecambe2(A)1.50.28W
17-02-24AFC Wimbledon31 - 1Morecambe31.50.25W

Walsall's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
81.551.3719.38%
27-02-24Walsall2(A)2 - 1Accrington Stanley21.50.27W
24-02-24Harrogate Town60 - 2Walsall31.50.29W
20-02-24Walsall23 - 0Morecambe2(A)1.50.28W
17-02-24Walsall32 - 1Mansfield Town31.50.28W
25-02-23Hartlepool United33 - 3Walsall31.50.43W
21-02-23Walsall20 - 0Crewe Alexandra2(A)1.5-1L
18-02-23Walsall31 - 1Newport County31.50.57W
26-02-22Walsall33 - 1Hartlepool United31.50.43W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

League Two Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.592.482.391.83

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025League Two3722.48
2023/2024League Two5562.98
2022/2023League Two5542.34
2021/2022League Two5572.46

League Two Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
73.54%1.3670.43%1.4267%1.4950%2

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025League Two37270.43% 1.42
2023/2024League Two55679.86% 1.25
2022/2023League Two55468.59% 1.46
2021/2022League Two55772.17% 1.39
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

League Two First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.181.120.671.05

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025League Two3721.12
2023/2024League Two5561.37
2022/2023League Two5541.08
2021/2022League Two5571.09

League Two Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.411.371.171.34

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025League Two3721.37
2023/2024League Two5561.61
2022/2023League Two5541.26
2021/2022League Two5571.37
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
13-0.821.35-6.31%

Last 2 seasons - 23 vs 1 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.751.3837.5%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Morecambe matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-2.011.28-28.71%
18-01-2523Morecambe60 - 12Crewe Alexandra61.5-1L
16-11-2424Morecambe30 - 11Port Vale31.5-1L
17-08-2420Morecambe30 - 13Gillingham31.5-1L
09-03-248Morecambe31 - 33Wrexham61.50.24W
13-01-2417Morecambe61 - 12Mansfield Town61.50.26W
09-12-2312Morecambe61 - 11Stockport County2(A)1.50.26W
23-09-2316Morecambe32 - 23Swindon Town61.50.23W

Walsall matches against table positions: 22,23,24

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.361.357.2%
16-03-2423Colchester United61 - 18Walsall31.50.29W
09-03-2423Forest Green Rovers62 - 07Walsall61.50.33W
07-10-2324Sutton United34 - 013Walsall31.50.31W
29-04-2322Crawley Town60 - 017Walsall61.5-1L
07-04-2324Rochdale54 - 213Walsall51.50.43W
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