Newport County vs Cheltenham Town - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)
ENGLAND - League Two
2025-02-22
15:00:00
Newport County6
Cheltenham Town6
Rodney Parade (Casnewyd)
J. Simpson
3.283.622.39Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.29
League Two Standings#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Walsall31196659342563WDLDL
2AFC Wimbledon31168743202356DWWDW
3Doncaster Rovers3216794639755WLLWW
4Notts County31159748301854DLWWW
5Bradford City31159740281254DWWLW
6Port Vale30141063932752WDWDW
7Crewe Alexandra32121373631549DLLDD
8Salford City3113993830848LWDDD
9Grimsby Town31153134447-348WWWDL
10Chesterfield301191049371242LWLWD
11Colchester United3191573631542DDWWW
12Bromley31101294140142WWDLL
13Fleetwood Town311011103936341DLDWL
14Cheltenham Town30118114043-341WLWDW
15Newport County31117134147-640DWWWW
16Milton Keynes Dons31116144444039DLLLW
17Swindon Town32911124648-238LDWWW
18Barrow31107143436-237LWWLL
19Gillingham3097142633-734DDLLD
20Harrogate Town3296172642-1633WLDLL
21Accrington Stanley3079143448-1430LLDLD
22Tranmere Rovers31610152249-2728DDLLL
23Morecambe3275202949-2026LWLLW
24Carlisle United3157192349-2622DLLLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)
Newport County's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.311.33-16.38%
Newport County's home matches when WIN odds between 3 and 3.5
16-11-24
Newport County30 - 0 (0)Grimsby Town31.5-1L
Newport County30 - 0 (0)Grimsby Town31.5-1L01-10-24Newport County23 - 1 (1)Salford City31.50.29W
Newport County23 - 1 (1)Salford City31.50.29W07-09-24Newport County31 - 4 (0)Port Vale31.50.26W
Newport County31 - 4 (0)Port Vale31.50.26W09-04-24Newport County2(A)1 - 3 (0)Accrington Stanley21.50.24W
Newport County2(A)1 - 3 (0)Accrington Stanley21.50.24W11-11-23Newport County60 - 0 (0)Milton Keynes Dons61.5-1L
Newport County60 - 0 (0)Milton Keynes Dons61.5-1L18-04-23Newport County21 - 2 (1)Mansfield Town2(A)1.50.36W
Newport County21 - 2 (1)Mansfield Town2(A)1.50.36W07-04-23Newport County53 - 0 (2)Northampton Town51.50.54W
Newport County53 - 0 (2)Northampton Town51.50.54W30-12-22Newport County30 - 0 (0)Leyton Orient21.5-1L
Newport County30 - 0 (0)Leyton Orient21.5-1LCheltenham Town's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
0000%
Cheltenham Town's away matches when WIN odds between 2.2 and 2.5
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES
Newport County's home matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-3.661.27-36.6%
Newport County's last 10 home matches
15-02-25Newport County30 - 0 (0)Bradford City31.5-1L
Newport County30 - 0 (0)Bradford City31.5-1L11-02-25Newport County2(A)1 - 0 (1)Carlisle United2(A)1.5-1L
Newport County2(A)1 - 0 (1)Carlisle United2(A)1.5-1L04-02-25Newport County22 - 1 (2)Morecambe21.50.3W
Newport County22 - 1 (2)Morecambe21.50.3W01-02-25Newport County31 - 0 (0)Barrow21.5-1L
Newport County31 - 0 (0)Barrow21.5-1L24-01-25Newport County51 - 2 (0)Swindon Town51.50.29W
Newport County51 - 2 (0)Swindon Town51.50.29W02-01-25Newport County31 - 2 (2)AFC Wimbledon21.50.31W
Newport County31 - 2 (2)AFC Wimbledon21.50.31W21-12-24Newport County66 - 3 (1)Milton Keynes Dons61.50.23W
Newport County66 - 3 (1)Milton Keynes Dons61.50.23W16-11-24Newport County30 - 0 (0)Grimsby Town31.5-1L
Newport County30 - 0 (0)Grimsby Town31.5-1L26-10-24Newport County30 - 0 (0)Fleetwood Town31.5-1L
Newport County30 - 0 (0)Fleetwood Town31.5-1L18-10-24Newport County50 - 3 (2)Chesterfield51.50.21W
Newport County50 - 3 (2)Chesterfield51.50.21WCheltenham Town's away matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.551.35-5.5%
Cheltenham Town's last 10 away matches.
08-02-25Fleetwood Town62 - 0 (1)Cheltenham Town2(A)1.50.39W
Fleetwood Town62 - 0 (1)Cheltenham Town2(A)1.50.39W28-01-25Accrington Stanley2(A)0 - 0 (0)Cheltenham Town21.5-1L
Accrington Stanley2(A)0 - 0 (0)Cheltenham Town21.5-1L17-01-25Harrogate Town52 - 0 (0)Cheltenham Town21.50.36W
Harrogate Town52 - 0 (0)Cheltenham Town21.50.36W01-01-25Port Vale2(A)0 - 0 (0)Cheltenham Town21.5-1L
Port Vale2(A)0 - 0 (0)Cheltenham Town21.5-1L20-12-24Gillingham52 - 2 (0)Cheltenham Town51.50.43W
Gillingham52 - 2 (0)Cheltenham Town51.50.43W07-12-24Doncaster Rovers2(A)2 - 2 (0)Cheltenham Town31.50.25W
Doncaster Rovers2(A)2 - 2 (0)Cheltenham Town31.50.25W16-11-24Milton Keynes Dons33 - 2 (1)Cheltenham Town61.50.27W
Milton Keynes Dons33 - 2 (1)Cheltenham Town61.50.27W26-10-24Carlisle United30 - 1 (0)Cheltenham Town31.5-1L
Carlisle United30 - 1 (0)Cheltenham Town31.5-1L19-10-24Colchester United101 - 2 (0)Cheltenham Town61.50.36W
Colchester United101 - 2 (0)Cheltenham Town61.50.36W05-10-24Barrow32 - 1 (1)Cheltenham Town31.50.39W
Barrow32 - 1 (1)Cheltenham Town31.50.39W SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES
Newport County's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-2.141.3-35.67%
Newport County's all matches - last 6
15-02-25Newport County30 - 0 (0)Bradford City31.5-1L
Newport County30 - 0 (0)Bradford City31.5-1L11-02-25Newport County2(A)1 - 0 (1)Carlisle United2(A)1.5-1L
Newport County2(A)1 - 0 (1)Carlisle United2(A)1.5-1L08-02-25Crewe Alexandra60 - 3 (1)Newport County31.50.31W
Crewe Alexandra60 - 3 (1)Newport County31.50.31W04-02-25Newport County22 - 1 (2)Morecambe21.50.3W
Newport County22 - 1 (2)Morecambe21.50.3W01-02-25Newport County31 - 0 (0)Barrow21.5-1L
Newport County31 - 0 (0)Barrow21.5-1L28-01-25Salford City2(A)1 - 1 (0)Newport County31.50.25W
Salford City2(A)1 - 1 (0)Newport County31.50.25WCheltenham Town's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.441.39-7.33%
Cheltenham Town's all matches - last 6
15-02-25Cheltenham Town63 - 2 (1)Barrow31.50.42W
Cheltenham Town63 - 2 (1)Barrow31.50.42W08-02-25Fleetwood Town62 - 0 (1)Cheltenham Town2(A)1.50.39W
Fleetwood Town62 - 0 (1)Cheltenham Town2(A)1.50.39W01-02-25Cheltenham Town31 - 0 (1)Chesterfield31.5-1L
Cheltenham Town31 - 0 (1)Chesterfield31.5-1L28-01-25Accrington Stanley2(A)0 - 0 (0)Cheltenham Town21.5-1L
Accrington Stanley2(A)0 - 0 (0)Cheltenham Town21.5-1L25-01-25Cheltenham Town72 - 1 (2)Salford City61.50.39W
Cheltenham Town72 - 1 (2)Salford City61.50.39W17-01-25Harrogate Town52 - 0 (0)Cheltenham Town21.50.36W
Harrogate Town52 - 0 (0)Cheltenham Town21.50.36W HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS
H2H Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.271.2727%
H2H matches - last 6
10-08-24Cheltenham Town63 - 2 (1)Newport County61.50.27W
Cheltenham Town63 - 2 (1)Newport County61.50.27W League Two Standings#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Walsall31196659342563WDLDL
2AFC Wimbledon31168743202356DWWDW
3Doncaster Rovers3216794639755WLLWW
4Notts County31159748301854DLWWW
5Bradford City31159740281254DWWLW
6Port Vale30141063932752WDWDW
7Crewe Alexandra32121373631549DLLDD
8Salford City3113993830848LWDDD
9Grimsby Town31153134447-348WWWDL
10Chesterfield301191049371242LWLWD
11Colchester United3191573631542DDWWW
12Bromley31101294140142WWDLL
13Fleetwood Town311011103936341DLDWL
14Cheltenham Town30118114043-341WLWDW
15Newport County31117134147-640DWWWW
16Milton Keynes Dons31116144444039DLLLW
17Swindon Town32911124648-238LDWWW
18Barrow31107143436-237LWWLL
19Gillingham3097142633-734DDLLD
20Harrogate Town3296172642-1633WLDLL
21Accrington Stanley3079143448-1430LLDLD
22Tranmere Rovers31610152249-2728DDLLL
23Morecambe3275202949-2026LWLLW
24Carlisle United3157192349-2622DLLLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)
Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -35%
LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL
Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.43 (2.33)-0.35 (1.29)1.100.36
League Two Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.38 - -0.33 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
220.941.354.27%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown
Newport County's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.38 - -0.33 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.291.2929.00%
16-03-24-0.37AFC Wimbledon30 - 2 (0)Newport County31.50.29W
-0.37AFC Wimbledon30 - 2 (0)Newport County31.50.29WCheltenham Town's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.38 - -0.33 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.311.3131.00%
17-08-24-0.35Grimsby Town33 - 2 (2)Cheltenham Town2(A)1.50.31W
-0.35Grimsby Town33 - 2 (2)Cheltenham Town2(A)1.50.31WELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS
Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
0004.75%
ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)
ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)
Newport County (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
0004.75%
Cheltenham Town (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
0004.75%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES
Newport County's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.471.25-5.88%
21-12-24Newport County66 - 3Milton Keynes Dons61.50.23W
Newport County66 - 3Milton Keynes Dons61.50.23W23-11-24Notts County60 - 0Newport County61.5-1L
Notts County60 - 0Newport County61.5-1L09-11-24Tranmere Rovers62 - 1Newport County61.50.29W
Tranmere Rovers62 - 1Newport County61.50.29W28-09-24Newport County62 - 1Crewe Alexandra61.50.31W
Newport County62 - 1Crewe Alexandra61.50.31W14-09-24Swindon Town64 - 0Newport County61.50.2W
Swindon Town64 - 0Newport County61.50.2W31-08-24Morecambe60 - 1Newport County61.5-1L
Morecambe60 - 1Newport County61.5-1L24-08-24Newport County63 - 1Accrington Stanley61.50.23W
Newport County63 - 1Accrington Stanley61.50.23W10-08-24Cheltenham Town63 - 2Newport County61.50.27W
Cheltenham Town63 - 2Newport County61.50.27WCheltenham Town's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
82.471.3130.88%
15-02-25Cheltenham Town63 - 2Barrow31.50.42W
Cheltenham Town63 - 2Barrow31.50.42W16-11-24Milton Keynes Dons33 - 2Cheltenham Town61.50.27W
Milton Keynes Dons33 - 2Cheltenham Town61.50.27W19-10-24Colchester United101 - 2Cheltenham Town61.50.36W
Colchester United101 - 2Cheltenham Town61.50.36W12-10-24Cheltenham Town62 - 3Swindon Town31.50.32W
Cheltenham Town62 - 3Swindon Town31.50.32W28-09-24Cheltenham Town60 - 2Fleetwood Town41.50.29W
Cheltenham Town60 - 2Fleetwood Town41.50.29W21-09-24Chesterfield61 - 1Cheltenham Town61.50.23W
Chesterfield61 - 1Cheltenham Town61.50.23W14-09-24Salford City32 - 1Cheltenham Town61.50.29W
Salford City32 - 1Cheltenham Town61.50.29W31-08-24Walsall32 - 1Cheltenham Town61.50.29W
Walsall32 - 1Cheltenham Town61.50.29WHOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)
Newport County's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.381.374.75%
27-02-24Harrogate Town21 - 4Newport County2(A)1.50.3W
Harrogate Town21 - 4Newport County2(A)1.50.3W24-02-24Milton Keynes Dons33 - 0Newport County61.50.25W
Milton Keynes Dons33 - 0Newport County61.50.25W17-02-24Newport County31 - 0Gillingham31.5-1L
Newport County31 - 0Gillingham31.5-1L25-02-23Newport County30 - 2Sutton United61.50.51W
Newport County30 - 2Sutton United61.50.51W21-02-23Hartlepool United2(A)0 - 1Newport County2(A)1.5-1L
Hartlepool United2(A)0 - 1Newport County2(A)1.5-1L18-02-23Walsall31 - 1Newport County31.50.57W
Walsall31 - 1Newport County31.50.57W26-02-22Newport County64 - 2Tranmere Rovers61.50.39W
Newport County64 - 2Tranmere Rovers61.50.39W19-02-22Newport County61 - 1Mansfield Town61.50.36W
Newport County61 - 1Mansfield Town61.50.36WCheltenham Town's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
0004.75%
League Trends By Game Week
Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)
Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)
League Two Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.592.482.391.83
Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025League Two3722.48
League Two3722.482023/2024League Two5562.98
League Two5562.982022/2023League Two5542.34
League Two5542.342021/2022League Two5572.46
League Two5572.46League Two Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
73.54%1.3670.43%1.4267%1.4950%2
Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025League Two37270.43% 1.42
League Two37270.43% 1.422023/2024League Two55679.86% 1.25
League Two55679.86% 1.252022/2023League Two55468.59% 1.46
League Two55468.59% 1.462021/2022League Two55772.17% 1.39
League Two55772.17% 1.39 Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)
League Two First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.181.120.671.05
First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025League Two3721.12
League Two3721.122023/2024League Two5561.37
League Two5561.372022/2023League Two5541.08
League Two5541.082021/2022League Two5571.09
League Two5571.09League Two Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.411.371.171.34
Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025League Two3721.37
League Two3721.372023/2024League Two5561.61
League Two5561.612022/2023League Two5541.26
League Two5541.262021/2022League Two5571.37
League Two5571.37League Positions - Stats
Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
150.971.316.47%
Last 2 seasons - 15 vs 14 in the table
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.541.5454%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS
Newport County matches against table positions: 13,14,15
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.321.36.4%
26-10-2414Newport County30 - 015Fleetwood Town31.5-1L
14Newport County30 - 015Fleetwood Town31.5-1L03-02-2416Newport County52 - 114Swindon Town61.50.33W
16Newport County52 - 114Swindon Town61.50.33W20-10-2320Newport County53 - 313Walsall51.50.26W
20Newport County53 - 313Walsall51.50.26W08-05-2315Newport County82 - 213Crewe Alexandra41.50.21W
15Newport County82 - 213Crewe Alexandra41.50.21W14-03-2318Newport County21 - 115AFC Wimbledon2(A)1.50.52W
18Newport County21 - 115AFC Wimbledon2(A)1.50.52WCheltenham Town matches against table positions: 14,15,16
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.391.3939%
08-02-2515Fleetwood Town62 - 013Cheltenham Town2(A)1.50.39W
15Fleetwood Town62 - 013Cheltenham Town2(A)1.50.39W