Port Vale vs Salford City - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - League Two

Port Vale Logo

2025-02-22
15:00:00
Salford City Logo
Port Vale8
Salford City6

Vale Park (Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire)
T. Kirk
2.273.613.53
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.37
League Two Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Walsall31196659342563WDLDL
2AFC Wimbledon31168743202356DWWDW
3Doncaster Rovers3216794639755WLLWW
4Notts County31159748301854DLWWW
5Bradford City31159740281254DWWLW
6Port Vale30141063932752WDWDW
7Crewe Alexandra32121373631549DLLDD
8Salford City3113993830848LWDDD
9Grimsby Town31153134447-348WWWDL
10Chesterfield301191049371242LWLWD
11Colchester United3191573631542DDWWW
12Bromley31101294140142WWDLL
13Fleetwood Town311011103936341DLDWL
14Cheltenham Town30118114043-341WLWDW
15Newport County31117134147-640DWWWW
16Milton Keynes Dons31116144444039DLLLW
17Swindon Town32911124648-238LDWWW
18Barrow31107143436-237LWWLL
19Gillingham3097142633-734DDLLD
20Harrogate Town3296172642-1633WLDLL
21Accrington Stanley3079143448-1430LLDLD
22Tranmere Rovers31610152249-2728DDLLL
23Morecambe3275202949-2026LWLLW
24Carlisle United3157192349-2622DLLLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Port Vale's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.841.358.4%

Port Vale's home matches when WIN odds between 2.1 and 2.4

25-11-24Port Vale81 - 1 (1)Crewe Alexandra81.50.39W
26-10-24Port Vale33 - 2 (1)AFC Wimbledon31.50.45W
19-10-24Port Vale63 - 1 (0)Fleetwood Town101.50.33W
29-03-24Port Vale52 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers121.50.3W
09-03-24Port Vale61 - 2 (0)Shrewsbury Town61.50.39W
06-01-24Port Vale43 - 3 (2)Charlton Athletic41.50.26W
16-12-23Port Vale33 - 2 (2)Wigan Athletic61.50.39W
16-09-23Port Vale101 - 0 (1)Northampton Town101.5-1L
26-08-23Port Vale61 - 0 (0)Carlisle United61.5-1L
22-04-23Port Vale32 - 0 (0)Bristol Rovers31.50.33W

Salford City's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.681.316.8%

Salford City's away matches when WIN odds between 3.3 and 3.8

29-10-24Fleetwood Town2(A)2 - 2 (1)Salford City2(A)1.50.29W
19-10-24Crewe Alexandra61 - 1 (0)Salford City61.50.36W
27-09-24Tranmere Rovers50 - 0 (0)Salford City51.5-1L
01-04-24Walsall2(A)2 - 1 (1)Salford City21.50.24W
27-01-24Crewe Alexandra62 - 3 (1)Salford City31.50.21W
22-12-23Colchester United52 - 1 (2)Salford City51.50.2W
24-10-23Doncaster Rovers30 - 3 (1)Salford City21.50.21W
24-01-23Colchester United21 - 1 (0)Salford City91.50.43W
01-01-23Bradford City23 - 2 (0)Salford City2(A)1.50.38W
24-09-22Sutton United31 - 2 (2)Salford City31.50.36W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Port Vale's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-1.821.37-18.2%

Port Vale's last 10 home matches

13-02-25Port Vale41 - 0 (1)Notts County41.5-1L
01-02-25Port Vale62 - 1 (0)Accrington Stanley31.50.36W
18-01-25Port Vale133 - 2 (1)Newport County151.50.29W
01-01-25Port Vale2(A)0 - 0 (0)Cheltenham Town21.5-1L
21-12-24Port Vale60 - 0 (0)Carlisle United61.5-1L
07-12-24Port Vale30 - 1 (0)Walsall31.5-1L
25-11-24Port Vale81 - 1 (1)Crewe Alexandra81.50.39W
26-10-24Port Vale33 - 2 (1)AFC Wimbledon31.50.45W
19-10-24Port Vale63 - 1 (0)Fleetwood Town101.50.33W
01-10-24Port Vale21 - 1 (1)Colchester United2(A)1.50.36W

Salford City's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.611.36-6.1%

Salford City's last 10 away matches.

15-02-25AFC Wimbledon31 - 0 (0)Salford City61.5-1L
01-02-25Walsall32 - 2 (2)Salford City31.50.36W
25-01-25Cheltenham Town72 - 1 (2)Salford City61.50.39W
04-01-25Milton Keynes Dons2(A)0 - 1 (0)Salford City2(A)1.5-1L
01-01-25Harrogate Town2(A)0 - 2 (0)Salford City21.50.39W
21-12-24Accrington Stanley40 - 2 (1)Salford City61.50.36W
07-12-24Gillingham2(A)1 - 0 (0)Salford City31.5-1L
16-11-24Doncaster Rovers61 - 1 (1)Salford City31.50.28W
29-10-24Fleetwood Town2(A)2 - 2 (1)Salford City2(A)1.50.29W
26-10-24Colchester United31 - 2 (0)Salford City31.50.32W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Port Vale's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.551.319.17%

Port Vale's all matches - last 6

13-02-25Port Vale41 - 0 (1)Notts County41.5-1L
08-02-25Swindon Town63 - 3 (1)Port Vale31.50.36W
01-02-25Port Vale62 - 1 (0)Accrington Stanley31.50.36W
25-01-25Chesterfield61 - 1 (1)Port Vale61.50.33W
18-01-25Port Vale133 - 2 (1)Newport County151.50.29W
04-01-25Doncaster Rovers21 - 2 (1)Port Vale21.50.21W

Salford City's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.731.3612.17%

Salford City's all matches - last 6

15-02-25AFC Wimbledon31 - 0 (0)Salford City61.5-1L
08-02-25Salford City32 - 0 (0)Tranmere Rovers61.50.36W
04-02-25Salford City2(A)3 - 3 (2)Bromley21.50.37W
01-02-25Walsall32 - 2 (2)Salford City31.50.36W
28-01-25Salford City2(A)1 - 1 (0)Newport County31.50.25W
25-01-25Cheltenham Town72 - 1 (2)Salford City61.50.39W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.721.36-36%

H2H matches - last 6

10-08-24Salford City60 - 2 (0)Port Vale61.50.28W
05-04-22Salford City2(A)0 - 1 (0)Port Vale2(A)1.5-1L
League Two Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Walsall31196659342563WDLDL
2AFC Wimbledon31168743202356DWWDW
3Doncaster Rovers3216794639755WLLWW
4Notts County31159748301854DLWWW
5Bradford City31159740281254DWWLW
6Port Vale30141063932752WDWDW
7Crewe Alexandra32121373631549DLLDD
8Salford City3113993830848LWDDD
9Grimsby Town31153134447-348WWWDL
10Chesterfield301191049371242LWLWD
11Colchester United3191573631542DDWWW
12Bromley31101294140142WWDLL
13Fleetwood Town311011103936341DLDWL
14Cheltenham Town30118114043-341WLWDW
15Newport County31117134147-640DWWWW
16Milton Keynes Dons31116144444039DLLLW
17Swindon Town32911124648-238LDWWW
18Barrow31107143436-237LWWLL
19Gillingham3097142633-734DDLLD
20Harrogate Town3296172642-1633WLDLL
21Accrington Stanley3079143448-1430LLDLD
22Tranmere Rovers31610152249-2728DDLLL
23Morecambe3275202949-2026LWLLW
24Carlisle United3157192349-2622DLLLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 20%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.93 (1.08)0.20 (1.37)2.112.17

League Two Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.18 - 0.23 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
19-0.171.34-0.89%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Port Vale's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.18 - 0.23 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
%

Salford City's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.18 - 0.23 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
31.121.3737.33%
10-04-230.18AFC Wimbledon2(A)2 - 3 (2)Salford City21.50.4W
07-04-230.19Salford City60 - 2 (0)Leyton Orient51.50.39W
25-03-230.20Stevenage61 - 3 (3)Salford City61.50.33W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00027.83%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Port Vale (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00027.83%

Salford City (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00027.83%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Port Vale's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.421.3635.5%
25-11-24Port Vale81 - 1Crewe Alexandra81.50.39W
02-12-22Plymouth Argyle90 - 2Port Vale81.50.29W
28-05-22Mansfield Town90 - 3Port Vale81.50.53W
02-05-22Port Vale81 - 2Newport County91.50.21W

Salford City's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.071.350.88%
15-02-25AFC Wimbledon31 - 0Salford City61.5-1L
25-01-25Cheltenham Town72 - 1Salford City61.50.39W
18-01-25Salford City60 - 2Fleetwood Town161.50.36W
21-12-24Accrington Stanley40 - 2Salford City61.50.36W
14-12-24Salford City63 - 0Notts County101.50.29W
09-11-24Salford City60 - 1Carlisle United61.5-1L
19-10-24Crewe Alexandra61 - 1Salford City61.50.36W
12-10-24Salford City61 - 2Grimsby Town31.50.31W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Port Vale's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
31.291.4343%
26-02-22Port Vale32 - 0Stevenage61.50.39W
22-02-22Rochdale2(A)1 - 1Port Vale2(A)1.50.36W
19-02-22Tranmere Rovers31 - 1Port Vale61.50.54W

Salford City's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.671.2827.83%
27-02-24Salford City2(A)1 - 1Colchester United2(A)1.50.19W
24-02-24Mansfield Town65 - 1Salford City61.50.19W
17-02-24Salford City35 - 3Barrow31.50.31W
25-02-23Mansfield Town62 - 5Salford City61.50.31W
18-02-23Salford City31 - 2Swindon Town31.50.28W
26-02-22Swindon Town31 - 2Salford City131.50.39W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

League Two Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.592.482.391.83

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025League Two3722.48
2023/2024League Two5562.98
2022/2023League Two5542.34
2021/2022League Two5572.46

League Two Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
73.54%1.3670.43%1.4267%1.4950%2

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025League Two37270.43% 1.42
2023/2024League Two55679.86% 1.25
2022/2023League Two55468.59% 1.46
2021/2022League Two55772.17% 1.39
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

League Two First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.181.120.671.05

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025League Two3721.12
2023/2024League Two5561.37
2022/2023League Two5541.08
2021/2022League Two5571.09

League Two Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.411.371.171.34

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025League Two3721.37
2023/2024League Two5561.61
2022/2023League Two5541.26
2021/2022League Two5571.37
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
11-0.621.27-5.64%

Last 2 seasons - 6 vs 8 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.411.2120.5%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Port Vale matches against table positions: 7,8,9

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
1-11.26-100%
14-09-2412Port Vale61 - 09Chesterfield61.5-1L

Salford City matches against table positions: 5,6,7

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.291.254.83%
24-08-246Chesterfield31 - 120Salford City31.50.26W
17-08-246Bradford City30 - 023Salford City31.5-1L
09-03-245Milton Keynes Dons33 - 119Salford City61.50.15W
14-10-237Wrexham33 - 213Salford City31.50.16W
29-04-235Carlisle United62 - 36Salford City61.50.33W
31-03-235Stockport County51 - 16Salford City51.50.39W
ajax-loader