Swindon Town vs Chesterfield - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - League Two

2025-02-22
15:00:00

Swindon Town⁶

Chesterfield⁶

County Ground (Swindon, Wiltshire) ()

C. Breakspear

2.853.622.68

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.26

League Two Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Walsall31196659342563WDLDL

2AFC Wimbledon31168743202356DWWDW

3Doncaster Rovers3216794639755WLLWW

4Notts County31159748301854DLWWW

5Bradford City31159740281254DWWLW

6Port Vale30141063932752WDWDW

7Crewe Alexandra32121373631549DLLDD

8Salford City3113993830848LWDDD

9Grimsby Town31153134447-348WWWDL

10Chesterfield301191049371242LWLWD

11Colchester United3191573631542DDWWW

12Bromley31101294140142WWDLL

13Fleetwood Town311011103936341DLDWL

14Cheltenham Town30118114043-341WLWDW

15Newport County31117134147-640DWWWW

16Milton Keynes Dons31116144444039DLLLW

17Swindon Town32911124648-238LDWWW

18Barrow31107143436-237LWWLL

19Gillingham3097142633-734DDLLD

20Harrogate Town3296172642-1633WLDLL

21Accrington Stanley3079143448-1430LLDLD

22Tranmere Rovers31610152249-2728DDLLL

23Morecambe3275202949-2026LWLLW

24Carlisle United3157192349-2622DLLLL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Swindon Town's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.351.295.83%

Swindon Town's home matches when WIN odds between 2.7 and 3

31-08-24

Swindon Town⁶1 - 2⁽¹⁾Notts County⁸1.50.2W

17-02-24

Swindon Town³1 - 2⁽¹⁾Milton Keynes Dons³1.50.21W

10-02-24

Swindon Town⁶1 - 1⁽²⁾Salford City⁶1.50.22W

15-04-23

Swindon Town⁴0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Barrow⁴1.5-1L

11-03-23

Swindon Town⁶1 - 2⁽²⁾Carlisle United⁶1.50.36W

16-08-22

Swindon Town^2(A)1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Leyton Orient²1.50.36W

Chesterfield's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-2.41.33-48%

Chesterfield's away matches when WIN odds between 2.5 and 2.8

01-02-25

Cheltenham Town³1 - 0⁽¹⁾Chesterfield³1.5-1L

18-01-25

Grimsby Town¹³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Chesterfield³1.50.28W

31-08-24

Gillingham⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Chesterfield⁶1.5-1L

07-03-23

Southend United³1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Chesterfield^2(A)1.50.32W

04-02-23

Boreham Wood³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Chesterfield⁶1.5-1L

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Swindon Town's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

102.021.3420.2%

Swindon Town's last 10 home matches

08-02-25

Swindon Town⁶3 - 3⁽¹⁾Port Vale³1.50.36W

28-01-25

Swindon Town³3 - 1⁽³⁾Tranmere Rovers²1.50.33W

18-01-25

Swindon Town³2 - 0⁽¹⁾Barrow¹³1.50.48W

11-01-25

Swindon Town⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Crewe Alexandra⁵1.5-1L

01-01-25

Swindon Town^2(A)3 - 2⁽²⁾Colchester United²1.50.36W

21-12-24

Swindon Town⁶3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Grimsby Town⁶1.50.31W

07-12-24

Swindon Town³3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Fleetwood Town²1.50.26W

23-11-24

Swindon Town⁶2 - 3⁽¹⁾Morecambe⁶1.50.29W

26-10-24

Swindon Town³1 - 1⁽¹⁾Gillingham³1.50.34W

19-10-24

Swindon Town⁶1 - 2⁽¹⁾Doncaster Rovers⁶1.50.29W

Chesterfield's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

101.341.2713.4%

Chesterfield's last 10 away matches.

15-02-25

Walsall³3 - 1⁽¹⁾Chesterfield⁸1.50.31W

01-02-25

Cheltenham Town³1 - 0⁽¹⁾Chesterfield³1.5-1L

18-01-25

Grimsby Town¹³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Chesterfield³1.50.28W

29-12-24

Bradford City²2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Chesterfield^2(A)1.50.28W

26-12-24

Fleetwood Town⁴2 - 0⁽¹⁾Chesterfield⁴1.50.27W

14-12-24

Carlisle United¹³0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Chesterfield³1.50.33W

03-12-24

Milton Keynes Dons¹⁶3 - 0⁽¹⁾Chesterfield^2(A)1.50.2W

16-11-24

Harrogate Town³2 - 1⁽²⁾Chesterfield³1.50.23W

26-10-24

Morecambe³2 - 5⁽²⁾Chesterfield³1.50.23W

18-10-24

Newport County⁵0 - 3⁽²⁾Chesterfield⁵1.50.21W

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Swindon Town's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.821.3613.67%

Swindon Town's all matches - last 6

15-02-25

Harrogate Town⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Swindon Town⁶1.5-1L

08-02-25

Swindon Town⁶3 - 3⁽¹⁾Port Vale³1.50.36W

01-02-25

Carlisle United³1 - 5⁽⁴⁾Swindon Town³1.50.36W

28-01-25

Swindon Town³3 - 1⁽³⁾Tranmere Rovers²1.50.33W

24-01-25

Newport County⁵1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Swindon Town⁵1.50.29W

18-01-25

Swindon Town³2 - 0⁽¹⁾Barrow¹³1.50.48W

Chesterfield's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.641.3310.67%

Chesterfield's all matches - last 6

15-02-25

Walsall³3 - 1⁽¹⁾Chesterfield⁸1.50.31W

06-02-25

Chesterfield⁴5 - 2⁽⁰⁾Doncaster Rovers⁴1.50.33W

01-02-25

Cheltenham Town³1 - 0⁽¹⁾Chesterfield³1.5-1L

28-01-25

Chesterfield²3 - 0⁽²⁾Bromley^2(A)1.50.39W

25-01-25

Chesterfield⁶1 - 1⁽¹⁾Port Vale⁶1.50.33W

18-01-25

Grimsby Town¹³1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Chesterfield³1.50.28W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.181.1818%

H2H matches - last 6

09-08-24

Chesterfield⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Swindon Town⁵1.50.18W

League Two Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Walsall31196659342563WDLDL

2AFC Wimbledon31168743202356DWWDW

3Doncaster Rovers3216794639755WLLWW

4Notts County31159748301854DLWWW

5Bradford City31159740281254DWWLW

6Port Vale30141063932752WDWDW

7Crewe Alexandra32121373631549DLLDD

8Salford City3113993830848LWDDD

9Grimsby Town31153134447-348WWWDL

10Chesterfield301191049371242LWLWD

11Colchester United3191573631542DDWWW

12Bromley31101294140142WWDLL

13Fleetwood Town311011103936341DLDWL

14Cheltenham Town30118114043-341WLWDW

15Newport County31117134147-640DWWWW

16Milton Keynes Dons31116144444039DLLLW

17Swindon Town32911124648-238LDWWW

18Barrow31107143436-237LWWLL

19Gillingham3097142633-734DDLLD

20Harrogate Town3296172642-1633WLDLL

21Accrington Stanley3079143448-1430LLDLD

22Tranmere Rovers31610152249-2728DDLLL

23Morecambe3275202949-2026LWLLW

24Carlisle United3157192349-2622DLLLL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 16%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.95 (1.05)0.16 (1.26)2.342.33

League Two Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.14 - 0.19 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

62-7.481.29-12.06%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Swindon Town's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.14 - 0.19 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-0.451.27-5.63%

21-12-24

^0.15Swindon Town⁶3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Grimsby Town⁶1.50.31W

23-11-24

^0.15Swindon Town⁶2 - 3⁽¹⁾Morecambe⁶1.50.29W

09-12-23

^0.14AFC Wimbledon⁴4 - 0⁽²⁾Swindon Town¹⁰1.50.21W

16-09-23

^0.14Swindon Town⁶2 - 0⁽¹⁾Walsall⁶1.50.21W

02-09-23

^0.18Doncaster Rovers²0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Swindon Town⁶1.5-1L

19-08-23

^0.16Wrexham³5 - 5⁽²⁾Swindon Town³1.50.2W

18-04-23

^0.17Swindon Town²1 - 0⁽¹⁾Bradford City^2(A)1.5-1L

01-04-23

^0.16Hartlepool United⁶2 - 1⁽²⁾Swindon Town⁶1.50.33W

Chesterfield's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.14 - 0.19 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

20.511.2625.50%

15-02-25

^0.18Walsall³3 - 1⁽¹⁾Chesterfield⁸1.50.31W

03-12-24

^0.15Milton Keynes Dons¹⁶3 - 0⁽¹⁾Chesterfield^2(A)1.50.2W

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

00014.13%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Swindon Town (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

00014.13%

Chesterfield (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

00014.13%

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Swindon Town's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-0.11.33-1.25%

15-02-25

Harrogate Town⁶1 - 0Swindon Town⁶1.5-1L

08-02-25

Swindon Town⁶3 - 3Port Vale³1.50.36W

11-01-25

Swindon Town⁶0 - 0Crewe Alexandra⁵1.5-1L

21-12-24

Swindon Town⁶3 - 1Grimsby Town⁶1.50.31W

23-11-24

Swindon Town⁶2 - 3Morecambe⁶1.50.29W

16-11-24

Accrington Stanley⁶2 - 2Swindon Town⁶1.50.32W

19-10-24

Swindon Town⁶1 - 2Doncaster Rovers⁶1.50.29W

28-09-24

Port Vale⁶2 - 1Swindon Town⁶1.50.33W

Chesterfield's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-1.731.28-21.63%

25-01-25

Chesterfield⁶1 - 1Port Vale⁶1.50.33W

21-12-24

Chesterfield⁶1 - 0AFC Wimbledon⁶1.5-1L

23-11-24

Chesterfield⁶1 - 0Barrow⁶1.5-1L

09-11-24

Chesterfield⁶0 - 3Accrington Stanley⁶1.50.24W

12-10-24

Chesterfield⁶2 - 2Notts County³1.50.21W

28-09-24

Doncaster Rovers³0 - 3Chesterfield⁶1.50.26W

21-09-24

Chesterfield⁶1 - 1Cheltenham Town⁶1.50.23W

14-09-24

Port Vale⁶1 - 0Chesterfield⁶1.5-1L

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Swindon Town's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

81.131.2914.13%

27-02-24

Swindon Town^2(A)3 - 1Tranmere Rovers^2(A)1.50.23W

24-02-24

Stockport County³0 - 0Swindon Town⁶1.5-1L

17-02-24

Swindon Town³1 - 2Milton Keynes Dons³1.50.21W

25-02-23

Swindon Town⁶3 - 0Harrogate Town³1.50.27W

18-02-23

Salford City³1 - 2Swindon Town³1.50.28W

26-02-22

Swindon Town³1 - 2Salford City¹³1.50.39W

22-02-22

Swindon Town^2(A)5 - 0Walsall^2(A)1.50.36W

19-02-22

Carlisle United⁶0 - 3Swindon Town⁶1.50.39W

Chesterfield's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

00014.13%

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

League Two Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.592.482.391.83

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

League Two3722.48

2023/2024

League Two5562.98

2022/2023

League Two5542.34

2021/2022

League Two5572.46

League Two Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

73.54%1.3670.43%1.4267%1.4950%2

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

League Two37270.43% 1.42

2023/2024

League Two55679.86% 1.25

2022/2023

League Two55468.59% 1.46

2021/2022

League Two55772.17% 1.39

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

League Two First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.181.120.671.05

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

League Two3721.12

2023/2024

League Two5561.37

2022/2023

League Two5541.08

2021/2022

League Two5571.09

League Two Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.411.371.171.34

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

League Two3721.37

2023/2024

League Two5561.61

2022/2023

League Two5541.26

2021/2022

League Two5571.37

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

19-0.341.33-1.79%

Last 2 seasons - 17 vs 10 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

40.31.417.5%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Swindon Town matches against table positions: 9,10,11

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.961.28-16%

26-10-24

²²Swindon Town³1 - 1¹¹Gillingham³1.50.34W

31-08-24

²¹Swindon Town⁶1 - 2¹⁰Notts County⁸1.50.2W

24-10-23

⁵Swindon Town^2(A)0 - 1⁹Gillingham²1.5-1L

16-09-23

⁵Swindon Town⁶2 - 0⁹Walsall⁶1.50.21W

12-08-23

¹⁴Swindon Town³2 - 2¹⁰Crewe Alexandra³1.50.29W

15-04-23

¹²Swindon Town⁴0 - 0⁹Barrow⁴1.5-1L

Chesterfield matches against table positions: 16,17,18

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

20.561.2828%

26-12-24

¹⁸Fleetwood Town⁴2 - 0⁵Chesterfield⁴1.50.27W

01-10-24

¹⁸Bromley²2 - 2⁹Chesterfield^2(A)1.50.29W

YOUR TEXT

Swindon Town vs Chesterfield - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ENGLAND - League Two

Swindon Town's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Swindon Town's home matches when WIN odds between 2.7 and 3

Chesterfield's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Chesterfield's away matches when WIN odds between 2.5 and 2.8

Swindon Town's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Swindon Town's last 10 home matches

Chesterfield's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Chesterfield's last 10 away matches.

Swindon Town's all matches (last 6 matches)

Swindon Town's all matches - last 6

Chesterfield's all matches (last 6 matches)

Chesterfield's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

League Two Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.14 - 0.19 )

Swindon Town's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.14 - 0.19 )

Chesterfield's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.14 - 0.19 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Swindon Town (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Chesterfield (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Swindon Town's all matches (last 8 matches)

Chesterfield's all matches (last 8 matches)

Swindon Town's all matches (last 8 matches)

Chesterfield's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

League Two Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

League Two Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

League Two First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

League Two Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 17 vs 10 in the table

Swindon Town matches against table positions: 9,10,11

Chesterfield matches against table positions: 16,17,18

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