Ayr United vs Livingston - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

SCOTLAND - Championship

2025-02-22
15:00:00

Ayr United⁶

Livingston⁶

Somerset Park (Ayr)

D. Robertson

2.493.323.37

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.35

Championship Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Falkirk24155447232450DWLWD

2Ayr United24146440202048DWWWW

3Livingston24137432171546DWWWL

4Partick Thistle2510693131036LLDLW

5Greenock Morton2371062527-231WDDWW

6Raith Rovers2393112631-530WLWLL

7Queen's Park2485112628-229LLLDW

8Hamilton Academical2473142945-1624LWLLL

9Dunfermline Athletic2465132432-823DWLLW

10Airdrieonians2334161844-2613DWWLL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Ayr United's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

90.121.31.33%

Ayr United's home matches when WIN odds between 2.3 and 2.6

19-10-24

Ayr United⁶1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Livingston⁶1.50.43W

03-05-24

Ayr United⁵3 - 3⁽⁰⁾Dunfermline Athletic⁵1.50.23W

23-03-24

Ayr United⁶1 - 2⁽¹⁾Queen's Park⁶1.50.26W

06-01-24

Ayr United³1 - 3⁽⁰⁾Inverness CT³1.50.37W

30-12-23

Ayr United⁷2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Dunfermline Athletic⁶1.50.27W

16-12-23

Ayr United⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Airdrieonians⁶1.5-1L

04-11-23

Ayr United³2 - 2⁽¹⁾Queen's Park⁷1.50.23W

21-04-23

Ayr United⁵0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Queen's Park⁶1.5-1L

08-04-23

Ayr United⁷1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Greenock Morton⁶1.50.33W

Livingston's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-1.281.49-12.8%

Livingston's away matches when WIN odds between 3.1 and 3.6

19-10-24

Ayr United⁶1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Livingston⁶1.50.43W

24-02-24

Ross County⁶3 - 2⁽²⁾Livingston⁶1.50.38W

30-09-23

St. Johnstone⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Livingston^2(A)1.50.51W

08-04-23

Motherwell⁶3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Livingston⁶1.50.37W

14-01-23

St. Johnstone⁶2 - 4⁽¹⁾Livingston⁶1.50.52W

04-11-22

Kilmarnock⁵2 - 3⁽⁰⁾Livingston⁴1.50.51W

20-08-22

Motherwell⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Livingston⁶1.5-1L

07-08-22

Dundee United²0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Livingston⁷1.5-1L

11-05-22

St. Mirren³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Livingston³1.5-1L

02-04-22

St. Johnstone¹³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Livingston¹³1.5-1L

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Ayr United's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-0.71.32-7%

Ayr United's last 10 home matches

25-01-25

Ayr United⁶2 - 1⁽¹⁾Partick Thistle¹⁴1.50.33W

04-01-25

Ayr United⁶3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Raith Rovers⁶1.50.5W

28-12-24

Ayr United⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Greenock Morton⁶1.5-1L

14-12-24

Ayr United⁶5 - 2⁽⁰⁾Falkirk⁶1.50.33W

23-11-24

Ayr United⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Dunfermline Athletic⁶1.5-1L

16-11-24

Ayr United³3 - 2⁽³⁾Queen's Park⁶1.50.29W

19-10-24

Ayr United⁶1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Livingston⁶1.50.43W

28-09-24

Ayr United⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Greenock Morton⁶1.5-1L

14-09-24

Ayr United⁵1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Partick Thistle⁶1.50.2W

24-08-24

Ayr United⁶2 - 0⁽¹⁾Raith Rovers¹⁰1.50.22W

Livingston's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-0.541.36-5.4%

Livingston's last 10 away matches.

31-01-25

Falkirk⁵1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Livingston⁵1.50.33W

04-01-25

Queen's Park⁶2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Livingston⁶1.50.3W

28-12-24

Raith Rovers⁷2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Livingston⁶1.50.32W

17-12-24

Airdrieonians²0 - 3⁽⁰⁾Livingston³1.50.29W

07-12-24

Greenock Morton⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Livingston⁶1.5-1L

09-11-24

Hamilton Academical⁶1 - 3⁽¹⁾Livingston⁶1.50.31W

29-10-24

Dunfermline Athletic^2(A)3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Livingston²1.50.48W

19-10-24

Ayr United⁶1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Livingston⁶1.50.43W

08-10-24

Falkirk²0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Livingston^2(A)1.5-1L

05-10-24

Partick Thistle⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Livingston⁶1.5-1L

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Ayr United's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.961.3716%

Ayr United's all matches - last 6

15-02-25

Falkirk⁶2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Ayr United⁷1.50.28W

01-02-25

Hamilton Academical³0 - 2⁽²⁾Ayr United⁶1.50.26W

25-01-25

Ayr United⁶2 - 1⁽¹⁾Partick Thistle¹⁴1.50.33W

14-01-25

Dunfermline Athletic⁹0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Ayr United⁹1.50.59W

04-01-25

Ayr United⁶3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Raith Rovers⁶1.50.5W

28-12-24

Ayr United⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Greenock Morton⁶1.5-1L

Livingston's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.451.317.5%

Livingston's all matches - last 6

15-02-25

Livingston⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Dunfermline Athletic⁵1.5-1L

31-01-25

Falkirk⁵1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Livingston⁵1.50.33W

25-01-25

Livingston⁶3 - 0⁽¹⁾Hamilton Academical⁶1.50.29W

14-01-25

Livingston⁹2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Airdrieonians¹⁶1.50.21W

04-01-25

Queen's Park⁶2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Livingston⁶1.50.3W

28-12-24

Raith Rovers⁷2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Livingston⁶1.50.32W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

2-0.571.39-28.5%

H2H matches - last 6

21-12-24

Livingston³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Ayr United⁶1.5-1L

19-10-24

Ayr United⁶1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Livingston⁶1.50.43W

Championship Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Falkirk24155447232450DWLWD

2Ayr United24146440202048DWWWW

3Livingston24137432171546DWWWL

4Partick Thistle2510693131036LLDLW

5Greenock Morton2371062527-231WDDWW

6Raith Rovers2393112631-530WLWLL

7Queen's Park2485112628-229LLLDW

8Hamilton Academical2473142945-1624LWLLL

9Dunfermline Athletic2465132432-823DWLLW

10Airdrieonians2334161844-2613DWWLL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -24%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.50 (2)-0.24 (1.35)1.110.57

Championship Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.27 - -0.22 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

33-3.611.28-10.94%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Ayr United's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.27 - -0.22 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

7-0.521.28-7.43%

Livingston's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.27 - -0.22 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.211.2121.00%

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

00023.63%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Ayr United (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-24.43%

Livingston (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

81.891.4123.63%

24-02-24

⁵Ross County⁶3 - 2Livingston⁶1.50.38W

05-11-23

^-14Dundee³1 - 0Livingston³1.5-1L

21-10-23

^-19Kilmarnock¹³3 - 1Livingston¹³1.50.41W

16-09-23

^-12Ross County¹³1 - 1Livingston¹³1.50.42W

28-05-23

^-24St. Johnstone³2 - 0Livingston³1.50.42W

08-04-23

^-15Motherwell⁶3 - 0Livingston⁶1.50.37W

01-04-23

^-10St. Mirren¹³3 - 0Livingston¹³1.50.57W

12-11-22

¹⁵Hearts^2(A)1 - 1Livingston³1.50.32W

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Ayr United's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-2.581.36-32.25%

01-02-25

Hamilton Academical³0 - 2Ayr United⁶1.50.26W

25-01-25

Ayr United⁶2 - 1Partick Thistle¹⁴1.50.33W

04-01-25

Ayr United⁶3 - 0Raith Rovers⁶1.50.5W

28-12-24

Ayr United⁶0 - 0Greenock Morton⁶1.5-1L

21-12-24

Livingston³0 - 1Ayr United⁶1.5-1L

14-12-24

Ayr United⁶5 - 2Falkirk⁶1.50.33W

07-12-24

Partick Thistle⁶1 - 0Ayr United⁶1.5-1L

23-11-24

Ayr United⁶1 - 0Dunfermline Athletic⁶1.5-1L

Livingston's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.081.371%

15-02-25

Livingston⁶0 - 0Dunfermline Athletic⁵1.5-1L

25-01-25

Livingston⁶3 - 0Hamilton Academical⁶1.50.29W

04-01-25

Queen's Park⁶2 - 0Livingston⁶1.50.3W

28-12-24

Raith Rovers⁷2 - 1Livingston⁶1.50.32W

07-12-24

Greenock Morton⁶0 - 0Livingston⁶1.5-1L

09-11-24

Hamilton Academical⁶1 - 3Livingston⁶1.50.31W

26-10-24

Livingston⁶2 - 1Raith Rovers⁶1.50.43W

19-10-24

Ayr United⁶1 - 2Livingston⁶1.50.43W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Ayr United's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

7-1.711.32-24.43%

27-02-24

Ayr United²4 - 3Partick Thistle³1.50.26W

24-02-24

Ayr United⁶1 - 2Raith Rovers⁷1.50.28W

17-02-24

Airdrieonians⁵2 - 3Ayr United⁶1.50.36W

24-02-23

Raith Rovers⁶0 - 0Ayr United⁵1.5-1L

18-02-23

Ayr United⁶0 - 1Partick Thistle⁵1.5-1L

26-02-22

Ayr United⁶0 - 1Queen of the South⁶1.5-1L

19-02-22

Inverness CT⁹1 - 2Ayr United⁹1.50.39W

Livingston's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-24.43%

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Championship Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.652.502.542.9

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Championship1202.50

2023/2024

Championship1802.79

2022/2023

Championship1802.80

2021/2022

Championship1762.35

Championship Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

73.09%1.3774.17%1.3575%1.3390%1.11

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Championship12074.17% 1.35

2023/2024

Championship18076.11% 1.31

2022/2023

Championship18076.67% 1.3

2021/2022

Championship17666.48% 1.5

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Championship First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.161.211.631.26

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Championship1201.21

2023/2024

Championship1801.23

2022/2023

Championship1801.19

2021/2022

Championship1761.05

Championship Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.51.291.271.28

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Championship1201.29

2023/2024

Championship1801.57

2022/2023

Championship1801.61

2021/2022

Championship1761.31

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

25-1.951.28-7.8%

Last 2 seasons - 2 vs 3 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

7-1.851.29-26.43%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Ayr United matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

81.231.3115.38%

14-12-24

³Ayr United⁶5 - 2¹Falkirk⁶1.50.33W

19-10-24

²Ayr United⁶1 - 2³Livingston⁶1.50.43W

27-02-24

⁵Ayr United²4 - 3³Partick Thistle³1.50.26W

24-02-24

⁵Ayr United⁶1 - 2²Raith Rovers⁷1.50.28W

03-02-24

⁶Ayr United⁶1 - 2¹Dundee United⁶1.50.28W

30-09-23

⁸Ayr United⁷1 - 2²Raith Rovers⁶1.50.32W

26-08-23

⁷Ayr United⁶0 - 3²Dundee United¹³1.50.33W

21-04-23

⁵Ayr United⁵0 - 0²Queen's Park⁶1.5-1L

Livingston matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

3-0.241.34-8%

31-01-25

¹Falkirk⁵1 - 2³Livingston⁵1.50.33W

19-10-24

²Ayr United⁶1 - 2³Livingston⁶1.50.43W

08-10-24

²Falkirk²0 - 0³Livingston^2(A)1.5-1L

YOUR TEXT

Ayr United vs Livingston - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

SCOTLAND - Championship

Ayr United's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Ayr United's home matches when WIN odds between 2.3 and 2.6

Livingston's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Livingston's away matches when WIN odds between 3.1 and 3.6

Ayr United's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Ayr United's last 10 home matches

Livingston's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Livingston's last 10 away matches.

Ayr United's all matches (last 6 matches)

Ayr United's all matches - last 6

Livingston's all matches (last 6 matches)

Livingston's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Championship Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.27 - -0.22 )

Ayr United's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.27 - -0.22 )

Livingston's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.27 - -0.22 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Ayr United (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Livingston (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Ayr United's all matches (last 8 matches)

Livingston's all matches (last 8 matches)

Ayr United's all matches (last 8 matches)

Livingston's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Championship Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Championship Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Championship First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Championship Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 2 vs 3 in the table

Ayr United matches against table positions: 1,2,3

Livingston matches against table positions: 1,2,3

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