Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)
SCOTLAND - Premiership
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2025-02-22
15:00:00
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Aberdeen6
Kilmarnock6
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Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.32
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#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Celtic26223176126469WWWDW
2Rangers26175454203456WWWWW
3Aberdeen26115103439-538WLLLD
4Dundee United2610793231137LLLWL
5Hibernian2681083737034DWDWD
6St. Mirren2694133039-931DLWLL
7Kilmarnock2687113141-1031WWLDL
8Motherwell2694133045-1531LLLLD
9Hearts2686123536-130LWWDW
10Ross County2678112747-2029WLDLW
11Dundee2676133855-1727LLLDD
12St. Johnstone2663172951-2221LWWLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)
Aberdeen's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
9-0.951.33-10.56%
Aberdeen's home matches when WIN odds between 2.1 and 2.4
21-12-24
Aberdeen131 - 3 (0)Hibernian61.50.25W
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27-04-24
Aberdeen61 - 0 (0)Motherwell131.5-1L
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17-02-24
Aberdeen22 - 2 (0)Hibernian61.50.3W
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06-12-23
Aberdeen2(A)0 - 1 (1)Kilmarnock31.5-1L
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13-05-23
Aberdeen50 - 0 (0)Hibernian61.5-1L
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18-03-23
Aberdeen133 - 0 (0)Hearts61.50.27W
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01-02-23
Aberdeen31 - 3 (2)St. Mirren31.50.32W
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16-10-22
Aberdeen72 - 0 (1)Hearts2(A)1.50.27W
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19-03-22
Aberdeen133 - 1 (1)Hibernian51.50.64W
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Kilmarnock's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-2.331.41-29.13%
Kilmarnock's away matches when WIN odds between 3.5 and 4
20-12-24
Motherwell51 - 1 (0)Kilmarnock41.50.31W
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11-05-24
St. Mirren60 - 1 (0)Kilmarnock51.5-1L
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11-11-23
Hibernian2(A)1 - 0 (0)Kilmarnock61.5-1L
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22-04-23
St. Mirren60 - 2 (0)Kilmarnock51.50.48W
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04-02-23
Livingston2(A)3 - 1 (0)Kilmarnock21.50.48W
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09-11-22
Dundee United34 - 0 (0)Kilmarnock41.50.4W
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29-10-22
St. Johnstone71 - 0 ()Kilmarnock61.5-1L
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20-08-22
Ross County61 - 0 (1)Kilmarnock51.5-1L
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MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES
Aberdeen's home matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-1.081.27-10.8%
Aberdeen's last 10 home matches
25-01-25
Aberdeen60 - 3 (1)St. Mirren61.50.31W
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12-01-25
Aberdeen60 - 0 (0)Hearts61.5-1L
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02-01-25
Aberdeen31 - 2 (0)Ross County31.50.26W
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21-12-24
Aberdeen131 - 3 (0)Hibernian61.50.25W
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07-12-24
Aberdeen21 - 1 (0)St. Johnstone51.50.25W
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04-12-24
Aberdeen2(A)0 - 1 (1)Celtic31.5-1L
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09-11-24
Aberdeen64 - 1 (1)Dundee51.50.29W
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30-10-24
Aberdeen32 - 1 (0)Rangers21.50.28W
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26-10-24
Aberdeen61 - 0 (1)Dundee United61.5-1L
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06-10-24
Aberdeen73 - 2 (1)Hearts2(A)1.50.28W
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Kilmarnock's away matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.471.34.7%
Kilmarnock's last 10 away matches.
25-01-25
Hearts73 - 2 (0)Kilmarnock61.50.24W
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29-12-24
Hibernian2(A)1 - 0 (0)Kilmarnock21.5-1L
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20-12-24
Motherwell51 - 1 (0)Kilmarnock41.50.31W
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07-12-24
Dundee United61 - 1 (2)Kilmarnock2(A)1.50.39W
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04-12-24
Rangers2(A)6 - 0 (1)Kilmarnock31.50.21W
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23-11-24
St. Johnstone131 - 0 (0)Kilmarnock121.5-1L
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03-11-24
Dundee33 - 2 (1)Kilmarnock31.50.31W
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30-10-24
Hearts2(A)1 - 2 (0)Kilmarnock31.50.31W
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26-10-24
Ross County62 - 1 (1)Kilmarnock51.50.39W
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05-10-24
Dundee62 - 3 (4)Kilmarnock61.50.31W
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SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES
Aberdeen's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.311.275.17%
Aberdeen's all matches - last 6
15-02-25
Dundee61 - 2 (0)Aberdeen51.50.28W
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01-02-25
Hibernian62 - 0 (0)Aberdeen61.50.27W
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25-01-25
Aberdeen60 - 3 (1)St. Mirren61.50.31W
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15-01-25
Rangers23 - 0 (2)Aberdeen21.50.15W
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12-01-25
Aberdeen60 - 0 (0)Hearts61.5-1L
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05-01-25
Motherwell2(A)2 - 0 (0)Aberdeen21.50.3W
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Kilmarnock's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.981.33-33%
Kilmarnock's all matches - last 6
15-02-25
Kilmarnock133 - 1 (1)St. Johnstone61.50.43W
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01-02-25
Kilmarnock61 - 0 (0)Dundee United51.5-1L
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25-01-25
Hearts73 - 2 (0)Kilmarnock61.50.24W
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08-01-25
Kilmarnock20 - 0 (0)Motherwell21.5-1L
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05-01-25
Kilmarnock20 - 1 (1)Ross County2(A)1.5-1L
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02-01-25
Kilmarnock32 - 0 (0)St. Mirren31.50.35W
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HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS
H2H Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.751.3512.5%
H2H matches - last 6
26-12-24
Kilmarnock54 - 0 (2)Aberdeen41.50.32W
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25-08-24
Aberdeen72 - 0 (0)Kilmarnock2(A)1.50.28W
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24-02-24
Kilmarnock62 - 0 (0)Aberdeen61.50.38W
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06-12-23
Aberdeen2(A)0 - 1 (1)Kilmarnock31.5-1L
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29-10-23
Kilmarnock72 - 0 (0)Aberdeen21.50.38W
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08-04-23
Aberdeen62 - 0 (0)Kilmarnock61.50.39W
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#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Celtic26223176126469WWWDW
2Rangers26175454203456WWWWW
3Aberdeen26115103439-538WLLLD
4Dundee United2610793231137LLLWL
5Hibernian2681083737034DWDWD
6St. Mirren2694133039-931DLWLL
7Kilmarnock2687113141-1031WWLDL
8Motherwell2694133045-1531LLLLD
9Hearts2686123536-130LWWDW
10Ross County2678112747-2029WLDLW
11Dundee2676133855-1727LLLDD
12St. Johnstone2663172951-2221LWWLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)
Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -13%
LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL
Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.63 (1.59)-0.13 (1.32)0.171.95
Premiership Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.16 - -0.11 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
341.631.324.79%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown
Aberdeen's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.16 - -0.11 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.401.23-10.00%
01-02-25
-0.15Hibernian62 - 0 (0)Aberdeen61.50.27W
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13-04-24
-0.13Aberdeen60 - 0 (0)Dundee61.5-1L
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06-02-24
-0.12Rangers22 - 1 (0)Aberdeen21.50.15W
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03-02-24
-0.12Aberdeen31 - 1 (0)Celtic61.50.18W
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Kilmarnock's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.16 - -0.11 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.271.34-15.88%
05-01-25
-0.13Kilmarnock20 - 1 (1)Ross County2(A)1.5-1L
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01-09-24
-0.11Kilmarnock21 - 1 (1)Hibernian71.50.34W
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11-08-24
-0.12Kilmarnock20 - 3 (1)St. Johnstone51.50.26W
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16-03-24
-0.15Kilmarnock65 - 2 (1)St. Mirren131.50.57W
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17-02-24
-0.15Celtic51 - 1 (1)Kilmarnock61.50.15W
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02-12-23
-0.13Kilmarnock60 - 1 (0)Hearts61.5-1L
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13-08-23
-0.12Hearts2(A)0 - 0 (0)Kilmarnock71.5-1L
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13-05-23
-0.12Kilmarnock62 - 0 (0)Livingston61.50.41W
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ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS
Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
763.191.374.2%
ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)
ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -22 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)
Aberdeen (ELO: 1330) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.241.353%
12-01-25
-24Aberdeen60 - 0Hearts61.5-1L
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27-04-24
-3Aberdeen61 - 0Motherwell131.5-1L
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09-12-23
-30Aberdeen22 - 1Hearts21.50.31W
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03-09-23
-3Aberdeen20 - 2Hibernian2(A)1.50.29W
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01-02-23
-16Aberdeen31 - 3St. Mirren31.50.32W
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16-10-22
-38Aberdeen72 - 0Hearts2(A)1.50.27W
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27-08-22
-18Aberdeen65 - 0Livingston61.50.41W
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19-03-22
-21Aberdeen133 - 1Hibernian51.50.64W
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Kilmarnock (ELO 1351) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-2.441.42-30.5%
29-12-24
-14Hibernian2(A)1 - 0Kilmarnock21.5-1L
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20-12-24
-21Motherwell51 - 1Kilmarnock41.50.31W
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07-12-24
-40Dundee United61 - 1Kilmarnock2(A)1.50.39W
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14-09-24
-11St. Mirren132 - 2Kilmarnock121.50.43W
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11-05-24
-34St. Mirren60 - 1Kilmarnock51.5-1L
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03-02-24
-19Motherwell61 - 1Kilmarnock61.50.43W
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27-12-23
-4St. Mirren30 - 1Kilmarnock31.5-1L
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25-11-23
-38Ross County130 - 0Kilmarnock131.5-1L
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SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES
Aberdeen's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-2.861.3-35.75%
01-02-25
Hibernian62 - 0Aberdeen61.50.27W
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25-01-25
Aberdeen60 - 3St. Mirren61.50.31W
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12-01-25
Aberdeen60 - 0Hearts61.5-1L
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09-11-24
Aberdeen64 - 1Dundee51.50.29W
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26-10-24
Aberdeen61 - 0Dundee United61.5-1L
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28-09-24
Dundee61 - 2Aberdeen61.50.27W
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04-05-24
Aberdeen61 - 0St. Johnstone61.5-1L
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27-04-24
Aberdeen61 - 0Motherwell131.5-1L
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Kilmarnock's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.111.331.38%
01-02-25
Kilmarnock61 - 0Dundee United51.5-1L
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25-01-25
Hearts73 - 2Kilmarnock61.50.24W
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30-11-24
Kilmarnock61 - 1Dundee61.50.28W
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10-11-24
Kilmarnock60 - 2Celtic41.50.17W
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05-10-24
Dundee62 - 3Kilmarnock61.50.31W
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13-04-24
St. Johnstone60 - 2Kilmarnock61.50.54W
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06-04-24
Kilmarnock61 - 0Ross County61.5-1L
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16-03-24
Kilmarnock65 - 2St. Mirren131.50.57W
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HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)
Aberdeen's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.811.3813.5%
24-02-24
Kilmarnock62 - 0Aberdeen61.50.38W
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17-02-24
Aberdeen22 - 2Hibernian61.50.3W
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25-02-23
Aberdeen61 - 0Livingston61.5-1L
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18-02-23
Celtic64 - 0Aberdeen131.50.11W
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26-02-22
Aberdeen61 - 1Dundee United51.50.48W
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19-02-22
Motherwell61 - 1Aberdeen31.50.54W
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Kilmarnock's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.341.3433.5%
24-02-24
Kilmarnock62 - 0Aberdeen61.50.38W
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17-02-24
Celtic51 - 1Kilmarnock61.50.15W
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25-02-23
Kilmarnock61 - 1Motherwell51.50.46W
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18-02-23
Hibernian132 - 0Kilmarnock61.50.35W
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League Trends By Game Week
Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)
Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)
Premiership Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.722.902.93.1
Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
Premiership1562.90
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2023/2024
Premiership2282.76
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2022/2023
Premiership2282.94
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2021/2022
Premiership2242.47
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Premiership Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
76%1.3280.13%1.2579%1.2780%1.25
Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
Premiership15680.13% 1.25
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2023/2024
Premiership22876.75% 1.3
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2022/2023
Premiership22880.7% 1.24
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2021/2022
Premiership22470.54% 1.42
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Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)
Premiership First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.221.261.371.21
First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
Premiership1561.26
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2023/2024
Premiership2281.16
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2022/2023
Premiership2281.32
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2021/2022
Premiership2241.17
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Premiership Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.51.651.731.69
Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
Premiership1561.65
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2023/2024
Premiership2281.60
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2022/2023
Premiership2281.61
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2021/2022
Premiership2241.29
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League Positions - Stats
Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
304.571.1915.23%
Last 2 seasons - 3 vs 7 in the table
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.231.274.6%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS
Aberdeen matches against table positions: 6,7,8
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.411.28-5.13%
25-01-25
4Aberdeen60 - 38St. Mirren61.50.31W
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09-11-24
2Aberdeen64 - 17Dundee51.50.29W
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15-05-24
1Aberdeen2(A)5 - 16Livingston31.50.2W
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13-04-24
9Aberdeen60 - 06Dundee61.5-1L
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14-02-24
9Aberdeen33 - 38Motherwell41.50.21W
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30-01-24
8Aberdeen2(A)1 - 17Dundee2(A)1.50.29W
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06-12-23
10Aberdeen2(A)0 - 17Kilmarnock31.5-1L
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24-09-23
11Aberdeen2(A)4 - 07Ross County71.50.29W
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Kilmarnock matches against table positions: 1,2,3
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
71.431.220.43%
04-12-24
3Rangers2(A)6 - 010Kilmarnock31.50.21W
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25-08-24
3Aberdeen72 - 012Kilmarnock2(A)1.50.28W
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05-05-24
2Rangers64 - 14Kilmarnock71.50.19W
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30-03-24
3Hearts131 - 14Kilmarnock131.50.24W
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17-02-24
1Celtic51 - 14Kilmarnock61.50.15W
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02-01-24
2Rangers2(A)3 - 14Kilmarnock21.50.19W
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07-10-23
1Celtic23 - 18Kilmarnock61.50.17W
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