Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

SCOTLAND - Premiership

Aberdeen Logo

2025-02-22
15:00:00
Kilmarnock Logo
Aberdeen6
Kilmarnock6

Pittodrie Stadium (Aberdeen)
N. Walsh
2.293.403.72
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.32
Premiership Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Celtic26223176126469WWWDW
2Rangers26175454203456WWWWW
3Aberdeen26115103439-538WLLLD
4Dundee United2610793231137LLLWL
5Hibernian2681083737034DWDWD
6St. Mirren2694133039-931DLWLL
7Kilmarnock2687113141-1031WWLDL
8Motherwell2694133045-1531LLLLD
9Hearts2686123536-130LWWDW
10Ross County2678112747-2029WLDLW
11Dundee2676133855-1727LLLDD
12St. Johnstone2663172951-2221LWWLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Aberdeen's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
9-0.951.33-10.56%

Aberdeen's home matches when WIN odds between 2.1 and 2.4

21-12-24Aberdeen131 - 3 (0)Hibernian61.50.25W
27-04-24Aberdeen61 - 0 (0)Motherwell131.5-1L
17-02-24Aberdeen22 - 2 (0)Hibernian61.50.3W
06-12-23Aberdeen2(A)0 - 1 (1)Kilmarnock31.5-1L
13-05-23Aberdeen50 - 0 (0)Hibernian61.5-1L
18-03-23Aberdeen133 - 0 (0)Hearts61.50.27W
01-02-23Aberdeen31 - 3 (2)St. Mirren31.50.32W
16-10-22Aberdeen72 - 0 (1)Hearts2(A)1.50.27W
19-03-22Aberdeen133 - 1 (1)Hibernian51.50.64W

Kilmarnock's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-2.331.41-29.13%

Kilmarnock's away matches when WIN odds between 3.5 and 4

20-12-24Motherwell51 - 1 (0)Kilmarnock41.50.31W
11-05-24St. Mirren60 - 1 (0)Kilmarnock51.5-1L
11-11-23Hibernian2(A)1 - 0 (0)Kilmarnock61.5-1L
22-04-23St. Mirren60 - 2 (0)Kilmarnock51.50.48W
04-02-23Livingston2(A)3 - 1 (0)Kilmarnock21.50.48W
09-11-22Dundee United34 - 0 (0)Kilmarnock41.50.4W
29-10-22St. Johnstone71 - 0 ()Kilmarnock61.5-1L
20-08-22Ross County61 - 0 (1)Kilmarnock51.5-1L
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Aberdeen's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-1.081.27-10.8%

Aberdeen's last 10 home matches

25-01-25Aberdeen60 - 3 (1)St. Mirren61.50.31W
12-01-25Aberdeen60 - 0 (0)Hearts61.5-1L
02-01-25Aberdeen31 - 2 (0)Ross County31.50.26W
21-12-24Aberdeen131 - 3 (0)Hibernian61.50.25W
07-12-24Aberdeen21 - 1 (0)St. Johnstone51.50.25W
04-12-24Aberdeen2(A)0 - 1 (1)Celtic31.5-1L
09-11-24Aberdeen64 - 1 (1)Dundee51.50.29W
30-10-24Aberdeen32 - 1 (0)Rangers21.50.28W
26-10-24Aberdeen61 - 0 (1)Dundee United61.5-1L
06-10-24Aberdeen73 - 2 (1)Hearts2(A)1.50.28W

Kilmarnock's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.471.34.7%

Kilmarnock's last 10 away matches.

25-01-25Hearts73 - 2 (0)Kilmarnock61.50.24W
29-12-24Hibernian2(A)1 - 0 (0)Kilmarnock21.5-1L
20-12-24Motherwell51 - 1 (0)Kilmarnock41.50.31W
07-12-24Dundee United61 - 1 (2)Kilmarnock2(A)1.50.39W
04-12-24Rangers2(A)6 - 0 (1)Kilmarnock31.50.21W
23-11-24St. Johnstone131 - 0 (0)Kilmarnock121.5-1L
03-11-24Dundee33 - 2 (1)Kilmarnock31.50.31W
30-10-24Hearts2(A)1 - 2 (0)Kilmarnock31.50.31W
26-10-24Ross County62 - 1 (1)Kilmarnock51.50.39W
05-10-24Dundee62 - 3 (4)Kilmarnock61.50.31W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Aberdeen's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.311.275.17%

Aberdeen's all matches - last 6

15-02-25Dundee61 - 2 (0)Aberdeen51.50.28W
01-02-25Hibernian62 - 0 (0)Aberdeen61.50.27W
25-01-25Aberdeen60 - 3 (1)St. Mirren61.50.31W
15-01-25Rangers23 - 0 (2)Aberdeen21.50.15W
12-01-25Aberdeen60 - 0 (0)Hearts61.5-1L
05-01-25Motherwell2(A)2 - 0 (0)Aberdeen21.50.3W

Kilmarnock's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.981.33-33%

Kilmarnock's all matches - last 6

15-02-25Kilmarnock133 - 1 (1)St. Johnstone61.50.43W
01-02-25Kilmarnock61 - 0 (0)Dundee United51.5-1L
25-01-25Hearts73 - 2 (0)Kilmarnock61.50.24W
08-01-25Kilmarnock20 - 0 (0)Motherwell21.5-1L
05-01-25Kilmarnock20 - 1 (1)Ross County2(A)1.5-1L
02-01-25Kilmarnock32 - 0 (0)St. Mirren31.50.35W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.751.3512.5%

H2H matches - last 6

26-12-24Kilmarnock54 - 0 (2)Aberdeen41.50.32W
25-08-24Aberdeen72 - 0 (0)Kilmarnock2(A)1.50.28W
24-02-24Kilmarnock62 - 0 (0)Aberdeen61.50.38W
06-12-23Aberdeen2(A)0 - 1 (1)Kilmarnock31.5-1L
29-10-23Kilmarnock72 - 0 (0)Aberdeen21.50.38W
08-04-23Aberdeen62 - 0 (0)Kilmarnock61.50.39W
Premiership Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Celtic26223176126469WWWDW
2Rangers26175454203456WWWWW
3Aberdeen26115103439-538WLLLD
4Dundee United2610793231137LLLWL
5Hibernian2681083737034DWDWD
6St. Mirren2694133039-931DLWLL
7Kilmarnock2687113141-1031WWLDL
8Motherwell2694133045-1531LLLLD
9Hearts2686123536-130LWWDW
10Ross County2678112747-2029WLDLW
11Dundee2676133855-1727LLLDD
12St. Johnstone2663172951-2221LWWLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -13%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.63 (1.59)-0.13 (1.32)0.171.95

Premiership Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.16 - -0.11 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
341.631.324.79%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Aberdeen's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.16 - -0.11 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.401.23-10.00%
01-02-25-0.15Hibernian62 - 0 (0)Aberdeen61.50.27W
13-04-24-0.13Aberdeen60 - 0 (0)Dundee61.5-1L
06-02-24-0.12Rangers22 - 1 (0)Aberdeen21.50.15W
03-02-24-0.12Aberdeen31 - 1 (0)Celtic61.50.18W

Kilmarnock's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.16 - -0.11 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.271.34-15.88%
05-01-25-0.13Kilmarnock20 - 1 (1)Ross County2(A)1.5-1L
01-09-24-0.11Kilmarnock21 - 1 (1)Hibernian71.50.34W
11-08-24-0.12Kilmarnock20 - 3 (1)St. Johnstone51.50.26W
16-03-24-0.15Kilmarnock65 - 2 (1)St. Mirren131.50.57W
17-02-24-0.15Celtic51 - 1 (1)Kilmarnock61.50.15W
02-12-23-0.13Kilmarnock60 - 1 (0)Hearts61.5-1L
13-08-23-0.12Hearts2(A)0 - 0 (0)Kilmarnock71.5-1L
13-05-23-0.12Kilmarnock62 - 0 (0)Livingston61.50.41W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
763.191.374.2%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -22 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Aberdeen (ELO: 1330) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.241.353%
12-01-25-24Aberdeen60 - 0Hearts61.5-1L
27-04-24-3Aberdeen61 - 0Motherwell131.5-1L
09-12-23-30Aberdeen22 - 1Hearts21.50.31W
03-09-23-3Aberdeen20 - 2Hibernian2(A)1.50.29W
01-02-23-16Aberdeen31 - 3St. Mirren31.50.32W
16-10-22-38Aberdeen72 - 0Hearts2(A)1.50.27W
27-08-22-18Aberdeen65 - 0Livingston61.50.41W
19-03-22-21Aberdeen133 - 1Hibernian51.50.64W

Kilmarnock (ELO 1351) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-2.441.42-30.5%
29-12-24-14Hibernian2(A)1 - 0Kilmarnock21.5-1L
20-12-24-21Motherwell51 - 1Kilmarnock41.50.31W
07-12-24-40Dundee United61 - 1Kilmarnock2(A)1.50.39W
14-09-24-11St. Mirren132 - 2Kilmarnock121.50.43W
11-05-24-34St. Mirren60 - 1Kilmarnock51.5-1L
03-02-24-19Motherwell61 - 1Kilmarnock61.50.43W
27-12-23-4St. Mirren30 - 1Kilmarnock31.5-1L
25-11-23-38Ross County130 - 0Kilmarnock131.5-1L
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Aberdeen's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-2.861.3-35.75%
01-02-25Hibernian62 - 0Aberdeen61.50.27W
25-01-25Aberdeen60 - 3St. Mirren61.50.31W
12-01-25Aberdeen60 - 0Hearts61.5-1L
09-11-24Aberdeen64 - 1Dundee51.50.29W
26-10-24Aberdeen61 - 0Dundee United61.5-1L
28-09-24Dundee61 - 2Aberdeen61.50.27W
04-05-24Aberdeen61 - 0St. Johnstone61.5-1L
27-04-24Aberdeen61 - 0Motherwell131.5-1L

Kilmarnock's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.111.331.38%
01-02-25Kilmarnock61 - 0Dundee United51.5-1L
25-01-25Hearts73 - 2Kilmarnock61.50.24W
30-11-24Kilmarnock61 - 1Dundee61.50.28W
10-11-24Kilmarnock60 - 2Celtic41.50.17W
05-10-24Dundee62 - 3Kilmarnock61.50.31W
13-04-24St. Johnstone60 - 2Kilmarnock61.50.54W
06-04-24Kilmarnock61 - 0Ross County61.5-1L
16-03-24Kilmarnock65 - 2St. Mirren131.50.57W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Aberdeen's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.811.3813.5%
24-02-24Kilmarnock62 - 0Aberdeen61.50.38W
17-02-24Aberdeen22 - 2Hibernian61.50.3W
25-02-23Aberdeen61 - 0Livingston61.5-1L
18-02-23Celtic64 - 0Aberdeen131.50.11W
26-02-22Aberdeen61 - 1Dundee United51.50.48W
19-02-22Motherwell61 - 1Aberdeen31.50.54W

Kilmarnock's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.341.3433.5%
24-02-24Kilmarnock62 - 0Aberdeen61.50.38W
17-02-24Celtic51 - 1Kilmarnock61.50.15W
25-02-23Kilmarnock61 - 1Motherwell51.50.46W
18-02-23Hibernian132 - 0Kilmarnock61.50.35W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Premiership Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.722.902.93.1

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Premiership1562.90
2023/2024Premiership2282.76
2022/2023Premiership2282.94
2021/2022Premiership2242.47

Premiership Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
76%1.3280.13%1.2579%1.2780%1.25

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Premiership15680.13% 1.25
2023/2024Premiership22876.75% 1.3
2022/2023Premiership22880.7% 1.24
2021/2022Premiership22470.54% 1.42
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Premiership First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.221.261.371.21

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Premiership1561.26
2023/2024Premiership2281.16
2022/2023Premiership2281.32
2021/2022Premiership2241.17

Premiership Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.51.651.731.69

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Premiership1561.65
2023/2024Premiership2281.60
2022/2023Premiership2281.61
2021/2022Premiership2241.29
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
304.571.1915.23%

Last 2 seasons - 3 vs 7 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.231.274.6%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Aberdeen matches against table positions: 6,7,8

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.411.28-5.13%
25-01-254Aberdeen60 - 38St. Mirren61.50.31W
09-11-242Aberdeen64 - 17Dundee51.50.29W
15-05-241Aberdeen2(A)5 - 16Livingston31.50.2W
13-04-249Aberdeen60 - 06Dundee61.5-1L
14-02-249Aberdeen33 - 38Motherwell41.50.21W
30-01-248Aberdeen2(A)1 - 17Dundee2(A)1.50.29W
06-12-2310Aberdeen2(A)0 - 17Kilmarnock31.5-1L
24-09-2311Aberdeen2(A)4 - 07Ross County71.50.29W

Kilmarnock matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
71.431.220.43%
04-12-243Rangers2(A)6 - 010Kilmarnock31.50.21W
25-08-243Aberdeen72 - 012Kilmarnock2(A)1.50.28W
05-05-242Rangers64 - 14Kilmarnock71.50.19W
30-03-243Hearts131 - 14Kilmarnock131.50.24W
17-02-241Celtic51 - 14Kilmarnock61.50.15W
02-01-242Rangers2(A)3 - 14Kilmarnock21.50.19W
07-10-231Celtic23 - 18Kilmarnock61.50.17W
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