Holstein Kiel vs TSG Hoffenheim - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)
GERMANY - Bundesliga
2025-01-18
14:30:00
Holstein Kiel3
TSG Hoffenheim2(A)
Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)
3.043.782.46
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.23
Injuries & Suspensions
Holstein Kiel
TSG Hoffenheim
L. Holtby
Suspended
App: 14 (9), G: 0
S. Skrzybski
Achilles Tendon Rupture
App: 10 (5), G: 0
P. Erras
Concussion
App: 10 (10), G: 1
P. Kadeřábek
Suspended
App: 12 (9), G: 0
G. Prömel
ACL Knee Injury
App: 2 (2), G: 0
I. Bebou
Knee Injury
App: 0 (0), G: 0
C. Lenz
Calf Injury
App: 0 (0), G: 0
C. Johansson
Knee Injury
App: 5 (4), G: 0
M. BĂĽlter
Thigh Injury
App: 11 (11), G: 4
O. Kabak
ACL Knee Injury
App: 0 (0), G: 0
Bundesliga Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Bayern MĂĽnchen17133153134042WWWLW
2Bayer 04 Leverkusen17115141231838WWWWW
3Eintracht Frankfurt18113442241836WWLWL
4RB Leipzig179352924530LWLWW
5VfB Stuttgart178543226629WWLWW
6FSV Mainz 05178453021928LWWWL
7VfL Wolfsburg178363829927WWLLW
8SC Freiburg178362530-527LWLWD
9Werder Bremen177553132-126DLWWW
10Borussia Dortmund187473231125LLLWD
11Borussia Mönchengladbach177372626024LLWWD
12FC Augsburg175481933-1419WLLLD
13FC Union Berlin174581423-917LLLDL
14St. Pauli1742111221-914LLWLL
15Heidenheim1742112336-1314DLWLL
16TSG Hoffenheim173592034-1414LLLDD
17Holstein Kiel1732122543-1811WLWLL
18VfL Bochum 18481723121437-239WLWDL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)
Holstein Kiel's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
30.651.2221.67%
Holstein Kiel's home matches when WIN odds between 2.9 and 3.2
31-08-24Holstein Kiel60 - 2 (0)VfL Wolfsburg51.50.23W
23-02-24Holstein Kiel53 - 4 (1)St. Pauli41.50.24W
19-05-23Holstein Kiel53 - 4 (2)St. Pauli51.50.18W
TSG Hoffenheim's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.271.23-6.75%
TSG Hoffenheim's away matches when WIN odds between 2.3 and 2.6
02-10-22Hertha BSC151 - 1 (0)TSG Hoffenheim131.50.23W
06-03-22FC Köln70 - 1 (0)TSG Hoffenheim81.5-1L
19-02-22VfL Wolfsburg61 - 2 (1)TSG Hoffenheim51.50.25W
15-01-22FC Union Berlin62 - 1 (0)TSG Hoffenheim61.50.25W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES
Holstein Kiel's home matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.991.239.9%
Holstein Kiel's last 10 home matches
14-01-25Holstein Kiel2(A)4 - 2 (2)Borussia Dortmund31.50.18W
21-12-24Holstein Kiel65 - 1 (1)FC Augsburg61.50.29W
07-12-24Holstein Kiel70 - 2 (0)RB Leipzig21.50.2W
24-11-24Holstein Kiel140 - 3 (0)FSV Mainz 05141.50.28W
02-11-24Holstein Kiel31 - 0 (0)Heidenheim2(A)1.5-1L
20-10-24Holstein Kiel140 - 2 (1)FC Union Berlin141.50.27W
29-09-24Holstein Kiel72 - 4 (0)Eintracht Frankfurt21.50.21W
14-09-24Holstein Kiel131 - 6 (2)FC Bayern MĂĽnchen121.50.12W
31-08-24Holstein Kiel60 - 2 (0)VfL Wolfsburg51.50.23W
11-05-24Holstein Kiel51 - 1 (0)Fortuna DĂĽsseldorf71.50.21W
TSG Hoffenheim's away matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.691.18-6.9%
TSG Hoffenheim's last 10 away matches.
15-01-25FC Bayern MĂĽnchen35 - 0 (0)TSG Hoffenheim31.50.1W
15-12-24Borussia Dortmund31 - 1 (1)TSG Hoffenheim21.50.17W
01-12-24FSV Mainz 0562 - 0 (0)TSG Hoffenheim2(A)1.50.25W
10-11-24FC Augsburg70 - 0 (0)TSG Hoffenheim21.5-1L
27-10-24Heidenheim2(A)0 - 0 (0)TSG Hoffenheim2(A)1.5-1L
06-10-24VfB Stuttgart41 - 1 (1)TSG Hoffenheim21.50.12W
21-09-24FC Union Berlin62 - 1 (0)TSG Hoffenheim61.50.21W
31-08-24Eintracht Frankfurt63 - 1 (0)TSG Hoffenheim61.50.17W
12-05-24Darmstadt 9870 - 6 (0)TSG Hoffenheim81.50.12W
26-04-24VfL Bochum 184853 - 2 (1)TSG Hoffenheim51.50.17W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES
Holstein Kiel's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.281.2121.33%
Holstein Kiel's all matches - last 6
14-01-25Holstein Kiel2(A)4 - 2 (2)Borussia Dortmund31.50.18W
11-01-25SC Freiburg203 - 2 (2)Holstein Kiel51.50.18W
21-12-24Holstein Kiel65 - 1 (1)FC Augsburg61.50.29W
14-12-24Borussia Mönchengladbach64 - 1 (1)Holstein Kiel61.50.15W
07-12-24Holstein Kiel70 - 2 (0)RB Leipzig21.50.2W
29-11-24St. Pauli43 - 1 (2)Holstein Kiel41.50.28W
TSG Hoffenheim's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.011.210.17%
TSG Hoffenheim's all matches - last 6
15-01-25FC Bayern MĂĽnchen35 - 0 (0)TSG Hoffenheim31.50.1W
11-01-25TSG Hoffenheim40 - 1 (0)VfL Wolfsburg191.5-1L
21-12-24TSG Hoffenheim51 - 2 (0)Borussia Mönchengladbach61.50.22W
15-12-24Borussia Dortmund31 - 1 (1)TSG Hoffenheim21.50.17W
08-12-24TSG Hoffenheim31 - 1 (0)SC Freiburg41.50.27W
01-12-24FSV Mainz 0562 - 0 (0)TSG Hoffenheim2(A)1.50.25W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS
H2H Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.171.1717%
H2H matches - last 6
24-08-24TSG Hoffenheim73 - 2 (2)Holstein Kiel61.50.17W
Bundesliga Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Bayern MĂĽnchen17133153134042WWWLW
2Bayer 04 Leverkusen17115141231838WWWWW
3Eintracht Frankfurt18113442241836WWLWL
4RB Leipzig179352924530LWLWW
5VfB Stuttgart178543226629WWLWW
6FSV Mainz 05178453021928LWWWL
7VfL Wolfsburg178363829927WWLLW
8SC Freiburg178362530-527LWLWD
9Werder Bremen177553132-126DLWWW
10Borussia Dortmund187473231125LLLWD
11Borussia Mönchengladbach177372626024LLWWD
12FC Augsburg175481933-1419WLLLD
13FC Union Berlin174581423-917LLLDL
14St. Pauli1742111221-914LLWLL
15Heidenheim1742112336-1314DLWLL
16TSG Hoffenheim173592034-1414LLLDD
17Holstein Kiel1732122543-1811WLWLL
18VfL Bochum 18481723121437-239WLWDL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)
Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 0%
LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL
Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.81 (1.23)0.00 (1.23)2.170.89
Bundesliga Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.03 - 0.03 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
104-0.831.22-0.80%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown
Holstein Kiel's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.03 - 0.03 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.201.2020.00%
07-12-240.00Holstein Kiel70 - 2 (0)RB Leipzig21.50.2W
TSG Hoffenheim's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.03 - 0.03 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
161.791.1911.19%
10-11-240.02FC Augsburg70 - 0 (0)TSG Hoffenheim21.5-1L
19-10-24-0.01TSG Hoffenheim123 - 1 (2)VfL Bochum 1848131.50.12W
20-04-240.01TSG Hoffenheim64 - 3 (3)Borussia Mönchengladbach61.50.17W
16-03-240.02TSG Hoffenheim50 - 3 (0)VfB Stuttgart71.50.15W
10-03-24-0.01Eintracht Frankfurt73 - 1 (0)TSG Hoffenheim61.50.25W
11-02-240.01TSG Hoffenheim61 - 1 (2)FC Köln71.50.23W
12-01-240.02FC Bayern MĂĽnchen53 - 0 (1)TSG Hoffenheim51.50.09W
16-12-230.02RB Leipzig23 - 1 (0)TSG Hoffenheim71.50.14W
08-12-23-0.02TSG Hoffenheim53 - 1 (2)VfL Bochum 184851.50.2W
26-11-230.02TSG Hoffenheim141 - 1 (0)FSV Mainz 05141.50.21W
16-09-230.02FC Köln91 - 3 (0)TSG Hoffenheim131.50.21W
02-09-230.02TSG Hoffenheim63 - 1 (0)VfL Wolfsburg61.50.18W
19-08-230.01TSG Hoffenheim41 - 2 (0)SC Freiburg51.50.23W
27-05-230.01VfB Stuttgart51 - 1 (1)TSG Hoffenheim61.50.17W
13-05-23-0.01VfL Wolfsburg52 - 1 (1)TSG Hoffenheim61.50.17W
12-03-230.00SC Freiburg2(A)2 - 1 (1)TSG Hoffenheim71.50.27W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS
Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
761.611.262.12%
ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)
ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -68 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)
Holstein Kiel (ELO: 1534) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
51.021.220.4%
31-08-24-79Holstein Kiel60 - 2VfL Wolfsburg51.50.23W
23-02-24-58Holstein Kiel53 - 4St. Pauli41.50.24W
24-09-23-61Holstein Kiel62 - 3Hertha BSC61.50.14W
19-05-23-91Holstein Kiel53 - 4St. Pauli51.50.18W
25-02-23-47Holstein Kiel71 - 1Paderborn71.50.23W
TSG Hoffenheim (ELO 1602) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.551.226.88%
26-04-24-62VfL Bochum 184853 - 2TSG Hoffenheim51.50.17W
11-11-23-71FC Augsburg61 - 1TSG Hoffenheim61.50.18W
07-10-23-78Werder Bremen52 - 3TSG Hoffenheim71.50.2W
26-08-23-68Heidenheim62 - 3TSG Hoffenheim61.50.21W
04-02-23-53VfL Bochum 184865 - 2TSG Hoffenheim2(A)1.50.31W
02-10-22-89Hertha BSC151 - 1TSG Hoffenheim131.50.23W
06-03-22-67FC Köln70 - 1TSG Hoffenheim81.5-1L
05-02-22-47FSV Mainz 0582 - 0TSG Hoffenheim131.50.25W
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES
Holstein Kiel's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
1-11.31-100%
02-11-24Holstein Kiel31 - 0Heidenheim2(A)1.5-1L
TSG Hoffenheim's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.881.21-11%
15-12-24Borussia Dortmund31 - 1TSG Hoffenheim21.50.17W
01-12-24FSV Mainz 0562 - 0TSG Hoffenheim2(A)1.50.25W
10-11-24FC Augsburg70 - 0TSG Hoffenheim21.5-1L
02-11-24TSG Hoffenheim20 - 2St. Pauli31.50.23W
27-10-24Heidenheim2(A)0 - 0TSG Hoffenheim2(A)1.5-1L
06-10-24VfB Stuttgart41 - 1TSG Hoffenheim21.50.12W
19-12-23TSG Hoffenheim2(A)3 - 3Darmstadt 9821.50.21W
04-11-23TSG Hoffenheim2(A)2 - 3Bayer 04 Leverkusen2(A)1.50.14W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)
Holstein Kiel's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-11%
TSG Hoffenheim's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.071.2726.75%
20-01-24SC Freiburg63 - 2TSG Hoffenheim71.50.22W
21-01-23FC Union Berlin63 - 1TSG Hoffenheim111.50.43W
22-01-22TSG Hoffenheim22 - 3Borussia Dortmund31.50.17W
15-01-22FC Union Berlin62 - 1TSG Hoffenheim61.50.25W
League Trends By Game Week
Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)
Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)
Bundesliga Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
3.173.293.183.47
Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025Bundesliga1543.29
2023/2024Bundesliga3063.22
2022/2023Bundesliga3063.17
2021/2022Bundesliga3063.12
Bundesliga Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
84.42%1.1881.82%1.2280%1.2576.67%1.3
Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025Bundesliga15481.82% 1.22
2023/2024Bundesliga30685.29% 1.17
2022/2023Bundesliga30684.64% 1.18
2021/2022Bundesliga30683.33% 1.2
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)
Bundesliga First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.481.581.81.49
First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025Bundesliga1541.58
2023/2024Bundesliga3061.51
2022/2023Bundesliga3061.49
2021/2022Bundesliga3061.44
Bundesliga Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.691.711.671.69
Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025Bundesliga1541.71
2023/2024Bundesliga3061.71
2022/2023Bundesliga3061.69
2021/2022Bundesliga3061.68
League Positions - Stats
Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
121.981.2716.5%
Last 2 seasons - 17 vs 16 in the table
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00016.5%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS
Holstein Kiel matches against table positions: 16,17,18
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00016.5%
TSG Hoffenheim matches against table positions: 16,17,18
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.971.1919.4%
31-08-2417Eintracht Frankfurt63 - 17TSG Hoffenheim61.50.17W
12-05-2418Darmstadt 9870 - 68TSG Hoffenheim81.50.12W
26-04-2416VfL Bochum 184853 - 29TSG Hoffenheim51.50.17W
13-04-2416FSV Mainz 0564 - 18TSG Hoffenheim51.50.2W
04-02-2316VfL Bochum 184865 - 214TSG Hoffenheim2(A)1.50.31W