FSV Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

GERMANY - Bundesliga

2025-02-22
14:30:00

FSV Mainz 05⁵

St. Pauli⁶

Coface Arena (Mainz) ()

1.833.815.23

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.39

Injuries & Suspensions

FSV Mainz 05

St. Pauli

No absences...

S. Burchert

Groin Injury

App: 0 (0), G: 0

S. Bell

Thigh Injury

App: 15 (13), G: 0

S. Zoller

Calf Injury

App: 0 (0), G: 0

M. Saliakas

Thigh Injury

App: 19 (17), G: 1

K. Mets

Knee Injury

App: 10 (10), G: 0

M. Guilavogui

Ankle Injury

App: 18 (16), G: 5

J. Sands

Broken Ankle

App: 7 (5), G: 0

C. Metcalfe

Calf Injury

App: 4 (2), G: 0

Bundesliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1FC Bayern München22174165194655DWWWW

2Bayer 04 Leverkusen22138149272247DDWDW

3Eintracht Frankfurt22126449292042WDDDW

4SC Freiburg2312383436-239WWWWL

5RB Leipzig2210753629737DWDDD

6FSV Mainz 0522105735241135WDLWL

7VfB Stuttgart2210574033735LWLLW

8Borussia Mönchengladbach2210483532334WDWWL

9VfL Wolfsburg229674536933WDDDL

10Werder Bremen238693547-1230LLLWD

11Borussia Dortmund228593738-129LLWDL

12FC Augsburg227782435-1128DDDWW

13FC Union Berlin2266102129-824LWDLW

14St. Pauli2263131825-721LLDWW

15TSG Hoffenheim2256112945-1621WLLDW

16Heidenheim2242162545-2014LLLLL

17VfL Bochum 18482235142146-2514WDLLD

18Holstein Kiel2234153457-2313LDLDL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

FSV Mainz 05's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-0.031.26-0.3%

FSV Mainz 05's home matches when WIN odds between 1.7 and 1.9

08-02-25

FSV Mainz 05⁷0 - 0⁽⁰⁾FC Augsburg³1.5-1L

11-01-25

FSV Mainz 05²⁰2 - 0⁽⁰⁾VfL Bochum 1848⁵1.50.31W

28-09-24

FSV Mainz 05⁷0 - 2⁽¹⁾Heidenheim⁶1.50.28W

11-05-24

FSV Mainz 05⁵3 - 0⁽⁰⁾Borussia Dortmund³1.50.17W

13-04-24

FSV Mainz 05⁶4 - 1⁽¹⁾TSG Hoffenheim⁵1.50.2W

16-03-24

FSV Mainz 05⁶2 - 0⁽⁰⁾VfL Bochum 1848⁵1.50.23W

16-12-23

FSV Mainz 05⁵0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Heidenheim⁶1.5-1L

05-05-23

FSV Mainz 05⁴2 - 3⁽¹⁾Schalke 04⁵1.50.28W

08-04-23

FSV Mainz 05⁶2 - 2⁽⁴⁾Werder Bremen⁵1.50.25W

11-02-23

FSV Mainz 05⁶3 - 1⁽⁰⁾FC Augsburg⁷1.50.25W

St. Pauli's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-0.111.24-2.2%

St. Pauli's away matches when WIN odds between 4.2 and 6.2

09-02-25

RB Leipzig⁷2 - 0⁽⁰⁾St. Pauli⁷1.50.28W

24-11-24

Borussia Mönchengladbach¹⁴2 - 0⁽⁰⁾St. Pauli¹⁴1.50.25W

02-11-24

TSG Hoffenheim²0 - 2⁽¹⁾St. Pauli³1.50.23W

30-08-24

FC Union Berlin⁵1 - 0⁽⁰⁾St. Pauli⁴1.5-1L

07-05-22

Schalke 04⁷3 - 2⁽¹⁾St. Pauli⁷1.50.13W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

FSV Mainz 05's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

101.221.2612.2%

FSV Mainz 05's last 10 home matches

08-02-25

FSV Mainz 05⁷0 - 0⁽⁰⁾FC Augsburg³1.5-1L

25-01-25

FSV Mainz 05⁵2 - 0⁽¹⁾VfB Stuttgart³1.50.28W

11-01-25

FSV Mainz 05²⁰2 - 0⁽⁰⁾VfL Bochum 1848⁵1.50.31W

14-12-24

FSV Mainz 05⁵2 - 1⁽¹⁾FC Bayern München³1.50.22W

01-12-24

FSV Mainz 05⁶2 - 0⁽⁰⁾TSG Hoffenheim^2(A)1.50.25W

09-11-24

FSV Mainz 05⁵3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Borussia Dortmund³1.50.21W

25-10-24

FSV Mainz 05⁵1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Borussia Mönchengladbach⁵1.50.21W

19-10-24

FSV Mainz 05¹³0 - 2⁽⁰⁾RB Leipzig¹²1.50.21W

28-09-24

FSV Mainz 05⁷0 - 2⁽¹⁾Heidenheim⁶1.50.28W

15-09-24

FSV Mainz 05¹⁰1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Werder Bremen⁹1.50.25W

St. Pauli's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

100.041.260.4%

St. Pauli's last 10 away matches.

09-02-25

RB Leipzig⁷2 - 0⁽⁰⁾St. Pauli⁷1.50.28W

18-01-25

Heidenheim^2(A)0 - 2⁽¹⁾St. Pauli^2(A)1.50.31W

15-01-25

VfL Bochum 1848³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾St. Pauli³1.5-1L

21-12-24

VfB Stuttgart⁵0 - 1⁽⁰⁾St. Pauli⁶1.5-1L

07-12-24

Bayer 04 Leverkusen³2 - 1⁽¹⁾St. Pauli⁷1.50.21W

24-11-24

Borussia Mönchengladbach¹⁴2 - 0⁽⁰⁾St. Pauli¹⁴1.50.25W

02-11-24

TSG Hoffenheim²0 - 2⁽¹⁾St. Pauli³1.50.23W

18-10-24

Borussia Dortmund¹²2 - 1⁽²⁾St. Pauli¹²1.50.2W

28-09-24

SC Freiburg⁶0 - 3⁽⁰⁾St. Pauli⁵1.50.25W

15-09-24

FC Augsburg⁹3 - 1⁽¹⁾St. Pauli¹⁵1.50.31W

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

FSV Mainz 05's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-2.11.3-35%

FSV Mainz 05's all matches - last 6

16-02-25

Heidenheim^2(A)0 - 2⁽⁰⁾FSV Mainz 05⁷1.50.29W

08-02-25

FSV Mainz 05⁷0 - 0⁽⁰⁾FC Augsburg³1.5-1L

31-01-25

Werder Bremen⁵1 - 0⁽⁰⁾FSV Mainz 05⁵1.5-1L

25-01-25

FSV Mainz 05⁵2 - 0⁽¹⁾VfB Stuttgart³1.50.28W

19-01-25

FC Union Berlin³2 - 1⁽⁰⁾FSV Mainz 05⁴1.50.33W

14-01-25

Bayer 04 Leverkusen³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾FSV Mainz 05²1.5-1L

St. Pauli's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.631.35-10.5%

St. Pauli's all matches - last 6

15-02-25

St. Pauli⁵0 - 1⁽¹⁾SC Freiburg⁶1.5-1L

09-02-25

RB Leipzig⁷2 - 0⁽⁰⁾St. Pauli⁷1.50.28W

01-02-25

St. Pauli⁵1 - 1⁽¹⁾FC Augsburg⁶1.50.39W

26-01-25

St. Pauli⁷3 - 0⁽¹⁾FC Union Berlin⁶1.50.39W

18-01-25

Heidenheim^2(A)0 - 2⁽¹⁾St. Pauli^2(A)1.50.31W

15-01-25

VfL Bochum 1848³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾St. Pauli³1.5-1L

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.281.2828%

H2H matches - last 6

05-10-24

St. Pauli⁶0 - 3⁽⁰⁾FSV Mainz 05⁶1.50.28W

Bundesliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1FC Bayern München22174165194655DWWWW

2Bayer 04 Leverkusen22138149272247DDWDW

3Eintracht Frankfurt22126449292042WDDDW

4SC Freiburg2312383436-239WWWWL

5RB Leipzig2210753629737DWDDD

6FSV Mainz 0522105735241135WDLWL

7VfB Stuttgart2210574033735LWLLW

8Borussia Mönchengladbach2210483532334WDWWL

9VfL Wolfsburg229674536933WDDDL

10Werder Bremen238693547-1230LLLWD

11Borussia Dortmund228593738-129LLWDL

12FC Augsburg227782435-1128DDDWW

13FC Union Berlin2266102129-824LWDLW

14St. Pauli2263131825-721LLDWW

15TSG Hoffenheim2256112945-1621WLLDW

16Heidenheim2242162545-2014LLLLL

17VfL Bochum 18482235142146-2514WDLLD

18Holstein Kiel2234153457-2313LDLDL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -47%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.25 (4)-0.47 (1.39)0.410.55

Bundesliga Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.5 - -0.45 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

4-0.211.28-5.25%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

FSV Mainz 05's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.5 - -0.45 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.171.1717.00%

19-12-23

^-0.47Borussia Dortmund^2(A)1 - 1⁽⁰⁾FSV Mainz 05²1.50.17W

St. Pauli's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.5 - -0.45 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

1-1.001.31-100.00%

15-01-25

^-0.47VfL Bochum 1848³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾St. Pauli³1.5-1L

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

642.681.214.19%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 131 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

FSV Mainz 05 (ELO: 1708) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

30.741.2524.67%

06-04-24

¹¹⁶FSV Mainz 05⁶4 - 0Darmstadt 98⁵1.50.21W

05-05-23

¹⁴⁴FSV Mainz 05⁴2 - 3Schalke 04⁵1.50.28W

08-04-23

¹¹²FSV Mainz 05⁶2 - 2Werder Bremen⁵1.50.25W

St. Pauli (ELO 1578) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

20.531.2726.5%

09-02-25

¹⁵⁴RB Leipzig⁷2 - 0St. Pauli⁷1.50.28W

28-09-24

¹²⁸SC Freiburg⁶0 - 3St. Pauli⁵1.50.25W

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

FSV Mainz 05's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-0.71.23-8.75%

31-01-25

Werder Bremen⁵1 - 0FSV Mainz 05⁵1.5-1L

25-01-25

FSV Mainz 05⁵2 - 0VfB Stuttgart³1.50.28W

14-12-24

FSV Mainz 05⁵2 - 1FC Bayern München³1.50.22W

09-11-24

FSV Mainz 05⁵3 - 1Borussia Dortmund³1.50.21W

25-10-24

FSV Mainz 05⁵1 - 1Borussia Mönchengladbach⁵1.50.21W

11-05-24

FSV Mainz 05⁵3 - 0Borussia Dortmund³1.50.17W

23-02-24

Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁵2 - 1FSV Mainz 05⁵1.50.21W

17-02-24

FSV Mainz 05⁵1 - 0FC Augsburg⁶1.5-1L

St. Pauli's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-2.921.24-36.5%

21-12-24

VfB Stuttgart⁵0 - 1St. Pauli⁶1.5-1L

14-12-24

St. Pauli⁶0 - 2Werder Bremen⁶1.50.31W

09-11-24

St. Pauli⁶0 - 1FC Bayern München²1.5-1L

05-10-24

St. Pauli⁶0 - 3FSV Mainz 05⁶1.50.28W

22-09-24

St. Pauli⁶0 - 0RB Leipzig^2(A)1.5-1L

19-05-24

Wehen Wiesbaden⁶1 - 2St. Pauli⁶1.50.19W

03-05-24

Hamburger SV⁵1 - 0St. Pauli⁶1.5-1L

21-04-24

Hannover 96⁶1 - 2St. Pauli⁶1.50.3W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

FSV Mainz 05's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.421.297%

23-02-24

Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁵2 - 1FSV Mainz 05⁵1.50.21W

17-02-24

FSV Mainz 05⁵1 - 0FC Augsburg⁶1.5-1L

24-02-23

FSV Mainz 05⁴4 - 0Borussia Mönchengladbach⁵1.50.25W

19-02-23

Bayer 04 Leverkusen²2 - 3FSV Mainz 05⁷1.50.28W

26-02-22

FC Union Berlin⁶3 - 1FSV Mainz 05⁷1.50.43W

18-02-22

FSV Mainz 05⁵3 - 2Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁵1.50.25W

St. Pauli's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

0007%

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Bundesliga Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

3.173.183.142.43

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Bundesliga1993.18

2023/2024

Bundesliga3063.22

2022/2023

Bundesliga3063.17

2021/2022

Bundesliga3063.12

Bundesliga Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

84.42%1.1881.41%1.2382%1.2270%1.43

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Bundesliga19981.41% 1.23

2023/2024

Bundesliga30685.29% 1.17

2022/2023

Bundesliga30684.64% 1.18

2021/2022

Bundesliga30683.33% 1.2

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Bundesliga First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.481.521.071.48

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Bundesliga1991.52

2023/2024

Bundesliga3061.51

2022/2023

Bundesliga3061.49

2021/2022

Bundesliga3061.44

Bundesliga Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.691.661.371.66

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Bundesliga1991.66

2023/2024

Bundesliga3061.71

2022/2023

Bundesliga3061.69

2021/2022

Bundesliga3061.68

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

21-0.331.23-1.57%

Last 2 seasons - 6 vs 14 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

4-0.171.27-4.25%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

FSV Mainz 05 matches against table positions: 13,14,15

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

50.151.283%

01-12-24

¹⁰FSV Mainz 05⁶2 - 0¹⁴TSG Hoffenheim^2(A)1.50.25W

15-09-24

¹³FSV Mainz 05¹⁰1 - 2¹⁴Werder Bremen⁹1.50.25W

16-03-24

¹⁷FSV Mainz 05⁶2 - 0¹⁵VfL Bochum 1848⁵1.50.23W

07-02-24

¹⁷FSV Mainz 05³1 - 1¹⁵FC Union Berlin^2(A)1.50.42W

16-12-23

¹⁷FSV Mainz 05⁵0 - 1¹³Heidenheim⁶1.5-1L

St. Pauli matches against table positions: 5,6,7

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

3-0.521.23-17.33%

09-02-25

⁵RB Leipzig⁷2 - 0¹⁴St. Pauli⁷1.50.28W

21-12-24

⁶VfB Stuttgart⁵0 - 1¹⁵St. Pauli⁶1.5-1L

18-10-24

⁷Borussia Dortmund¹²2 - 1¹⁵St. Pauli¹²1.50.2W

YOUR TEXT

FSV Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

GERMANY - Bundesliga

Injuries & Suspensions

FSV Mainz 05's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

FSV Mainz 05's home matches when WIN odds between 1.7 and 1.9

St. Pauli's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

St. Pauli's away matches when WIN odds between 4.2 and 6.2

FSV Mainz 05's home matches (last 10 all matches)

FSV Mainz 05's last 10 home matches

St. Pauli's away matches (last 10 all matches)

St. Pauli's last 10 away matches.

FSV Mainz 05's all matches (last 6 matches)

FSV Mainz 05's all matches - last 6

St. Pauli's all matches (last 6 matches)

St. Pauli's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Bundesliga Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.5 - -0.45 )

FSV Mainz 05's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.5 - -0.45 )

St. Pauli's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.5 - -0.45 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

FSV Mainz 05 (ELO: 1708) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

St. Pauli (ELO 1578) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

FSV Mainz 05's all matches (last 8 matches)

St. Pauli's all matches (last 8 matches)

FSV Mainz 05's all matches (last 8 matches)

St. Pauli's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Bundesliga Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Bundesliga Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Bundesliga First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Bundesliga Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 6 vs 14 in the table

FSV Mainz 05 matches against table positions: 13,14,15

St. Pauli matches against table positions: 5,6,7

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