Holstein Kiel vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

GERMANY - Bundesliga

2025-02-22
14:30:00

Holstein Kiel⁵

Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁶

Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)

12.957.221.27

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.16

Injuries & Suspensions

Holstein Kiel

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

S. Skrzybski

Thigh Injury

App: 13 (6), G: 4

P. Erras

Head Injury

App: 10 (10), G: 1

A. Bernhardsson

Knee Injury

App: 9 (7), G: 2

M. Terrier

Achilles Tendon Rupture

App: 15 (7), G: 2

C. Johansson

Knee Injury

App: 5 (4), G: 0

B. Pichler

Muscle Injury

App: 16 (7), G: 0

T. Weiner

Illness

App: 21 (21), G: 0

J. Tolkin

Thigh Injury

App: 3 (2), G: 0

Bundesliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1FC Bayern München22174165194655DWWWW

2Bayer 04 Leverkusen22138149272247DDWDW

3Eintracht Frankfurt22126449292042WDDDW

4SC Freiburg2312383436-239WWWWL

5RB Leipzig2210753629737DWDDD

6FSV Mainz 0522105735241135WDLWL

7VfB Stuttgart2210574033735LWLLW

8Borussia Mönchengladbach2210483532334WDWWL

9VfL Wolfsburg229674536933WDDDL

10Werder Bremen238693547-1230LLLWD

11Borussia Dortmund228593738-129LLWDL

12FC Augsburg227782435-1128DDDWW

13FC Union Berlin2266102129-824LWDLW

14St. Pauli2263131825-721LLDWW

15TSG Hoffenheim2256112945-1621WLLDW

16Heidenheim2242162545-2014LLLLL

17VfL Bochum 18482235142146-2514WDLLD

18Holstein Kiel2234153457-2313LDLDL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Holstein Kiel's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000%

Holstein Kiel's home matches when WIN odds between 11.5 and 14.5

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

20.351.1817.5%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's away matches when WIN odds between 1.2 and 1.3

09-11-24

VfL Bochum 1848⁶1 - 1⁽¹⁾Bayer 04 Leverkusen³1.50.13W

03-02-24

Darmstadt 98⁵0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁶1.50.22W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Holstein Kiel's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

1011.2310%

Holstein Kiel's last 10 home matches

09-02-25

Holstein Kiel⁷2 - 2⁽⁰⁾VfL Bochum 1848⁷1.50.23W

18-01-25

Holstein Kiel³1 - 3⁽¹⁾TSG Hoffenheim^2(A)1.50.22W

14-01-25

Holstein Kiel^2(A)4 - 2⁽²⁾Borussia Dortmund³1.50.18W

21-12-24

Holstein Kiel⁶5 - 1⁽¹⁾FC Augsburg⁶1.50.29W

07-12-24

Holstein Kiel⁷0 - 2⁽⁰⁾RB Leipzig²1.50.2W

24-11-24

Holstein Kiel¹⁴0 - 3⁽⁰⁾FSV Mainz 05¹⁴1.50.28W

02-11-24

Holstein Kiel³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Heidenheim^2(A)1.5-1L

20-10-24

Holstein Kiel¹⁴0 - 2⁽¹⁾FC Union Berlin¹⁴1.50.27W

29-09-24

Holstein Kiel⁷2 - 4⁽⁰⁾Eintracht Frankfurt²1.50.21W

14-09-24

Holstein Kiel¹³1 - 6⁽²⁾FC Bayern München¹²1.50.12W

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

100.881.228.8%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last 10 away matches.

08-02-25

VfL Wolfsburg⁵0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Bayer 04 Leverkusen²1.5-1L

25-01-25

RB Leipzig²2 - 2⁽¹⁾Bayer 04 Leverkusen³1.50.28W

10-01-25

Borussia Dortmund¹⁸2 - 3⁽¹⁾Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁴1.50.2W

14-12-24

FC Augsburg⁶0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Bayer 04 Leverkusen³1.50.31W

30-11-24

FC Union Berlin⁶1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Bayer 04 Leverkusen³1.50.38W

09-11-24

VfL Bochum 1848⁶1 - 1⁽¹⁾Bayer 04 Leverkusen³1.50.13W

26-10-24

Werder Bremen⁵2 - 2⁽²⁾Bayer 04 Leverkusen^2(A)1.50.15W

28-09-24

FC Bayern München⁶1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁵1.50.13W

14-09-24

TSG Hoffenheim¹³1 - 4⁽⁰⁾Bayer 04 Leverkusen¹³1.50.13W

23-08-24

Borussia Mönchengladbach⁵2 - 3⁽²⁾Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁵1.50.17W

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Holstein Kiel's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61.021.1717%

Holstein Kiel's all matches - last 6

16-02-25

Eintracht Frankfurt⁷3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Holstein Kiel⁶1.50.15W

09-02-25

Holstein Kiel⁷2 - 2⁽⁰⁾VfL Bochum 1848⁷1.50.23W

01-02-25

FC Bayern München²4 - 3⁽²⁾Holstein Kiel⁷1.50.07W

24-01-25

VfL Wolfsburg⁵2 - 2⁽¹⁾Holstein Kiel⁵1.50.17W

18-01-25

Holstein Kiel³1 - 3⁽¹⁾TSG Hoffenheim^2(A)1.50.22W

14-01-25

Holstein Kiel^2(A)4 - 2⁽²⁾Borussia Dortmund³1.50.18W

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-2.451.23-40.83%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's all matches - last 6

15-02-25

Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾FC Bayern München^2(A)1.5-1L

08-02-25

VfL Wolfsburg⁵0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Bayer 04 Leverkusen²1.5-1L

02-02-25

Bayer 04 Leverkusen³3 - 1⁽⁰⁾TSG Hoffenheim^2(A)1.50.1W

25-01-25

RB Leipzig²2 - 2⁽¹⁾Bayer 04 Leverkusen³1.50.28W

18-01-25

Bayer 04 Leverkusen³3 - 1⁽¹⁾Borussia Mönchengladbach³1.50.17W

14-01-25

Bayer 04 Leverkusen³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾FSV Mainz 05²1.5-1L

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.091.099%

H2H matches - last 6

05-10-24

Bayer 04 Leverkusen³2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Holstein Kiel⁵1.50.09W

Bundesliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1FC Bayern München22174165194655DWWWW

2Bayer 04 Leverkusen22138149272247DDWDW

3Eintracht Frankfurt22126449292042WDDDW

4SC Freiburg2312383436-239WWWWL

5RB Leipzig2210753629737DWDDD

6FSV Mainz 0522105735241135WDLWL

7VfB Stuttgart2210574033735LWLLW

8Borussia Mönchengladbach2210483532334WDWWL

9VfL Wolfsburg229674536933WDDDL

10Werder Bremen238693547-1230LLLWD

11Borussia Dortmund228593738-129LLWDL

12FC Augsburg227782435-1128DDDWW

13FC Union Berlin2266102129-824LWDLW

14St. Pauli2263131825-721LLDWW

15TSG Hoffenheim2256112945-1621WLLDW

16Heidenheim2242162545-2014LLLLL

17VfL Bochum 18482235142146-2514WDLLD

18Holstein Kiel2234153457-2313LDLDL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 6%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.92 (1.09)0.06 (1.16)0.873.28

Bundesliga Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.04 - 0.09 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

922.851.193.10%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Holstein Kiel's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.04 - 0.09 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

50.751.1515.00%

16-02-25

^0.06Eintracht Frankfurt⁷3 - 1⁽⁰⁾Holstein Kiel⁶1.50.15W

11-01-25

^0.07SC Freiburg²⁰3 - 2⁽²⁾Holstein Kiel⁵1.50.18W

26-10-24

^0.07VfB Stuttgart³2 - 1⁽¹⁾Holstein Kiel⁵1.50.12W

05-10-24

^0.06Bayer 04 Leverkusen³2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Holstein Kiel⁵1.50.09W

29-09-24

^0.04Holstein Kiel⁷2 - 4⁽⁰⁾Eintracht Frankfurt²1.50.21W

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.04 - 0.09 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

14-1.221.17-8.71%

15-02-25

^0.07Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾FC Bayern München^2(A)1.5-1L

01-11-24

^0.05Bayer 04 Leverkusen²0 - 0⁽⁰⁾VfB Stuttgart²1.5-1L

26-10-24

^0.08Werder Bremen⁵2 - 2⁽²⁾Bayer 04 Leverkusen^2(A)1.50.15W

19-10-24

^0.08Bayer 04 Leverkusen¹³2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Eintracht Frankfurt¹²1.50.17W

05-10-24

^0.06Bayer 04 Leverkusen³2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Holstein Kiel⁵1.50.09W

22-09-24

^0.08Bayer 04 Leverkusen^2(A)4 - 3⁽¹⁾VfL Wolfsburg⁷1.50.14W

18-05-24

^0.04Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁵2 - 1⁽⁰⁾FC Augsburg⁷1.50.09W

13-01-24

^0.08FC Augsburg⁶0 - 1⁽¹⁾Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁵1.5-1L

03-12-23

^0.06Bayer 04 Leverkusen^2(A)1 - 1⁽¹⁾Borussia Dortmund⁴1.50.17W

25-11-23

^0.06Werder Bremen¹²0 - 3⁽¹⁾Bayer 04 Leverkusen¹²1.50.15W

12-11-23

^0.06Bayer 04 Leverkusen^2(A)4 - 0⁽¹⁾FC Union Berlin³1.50.21W

24-09-23

^0.08Bayer 04 Leverkusen²4 - 1⁽¹⁾Heidenheim⁶1.50.14W

26-08-23

^0.07Borussia Mönchengladbach⁶0 - 3⁽⁰⁾Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁶1.50.22W

05-03-23

^0.04Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁶4 - 1⁽⁰⁾Hertha BSC⁷1.50.25W

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.131.1313%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -383 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Holstein Kiel (ELO: 1523) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

00023%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen (ELO 1905) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.131.1313%

09-11-24

^-363VfL Bochum 1848⁶1 - 1Bayer 04 Leverkusen³1.50.13W

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Holstein Kiel's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

81.451.1818.13%

24-01-25

VfL Wolfsburg⁵2 - 2Holstein Kiel⁵1.50.17W

11-01-25

SC Freiburg²⁰3 - 2Holstein Kiel⁵1.50.18W

26-10-24

VfB Stuttgart³2 - 1Holstein Kiel⁵1.50.12W

05-10-24

Bayer 04 Leverkusen³2 - 2Holstein Kiel⁵1.50.09W

11-05-24

Holstein Kiel⁵1 - 1Fortuna Düsseldorf⁷1.50.21W

23-02-24

Holstein Kiel⁵3 - 4St. Pauli⁴1.50.24W

17-02-24

Paderborn⁶0 - 4Holstein Kiel⁵1.50.19W

19-01-24

Holstein Kiel⁵1 - 2Eintracht Braunschweig⁵1.50.25W

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-0.781.2-9.75%

15-02-25

Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁶0 - 0FC Bayern München^2(A)1.5-1L

21-12-24

Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁶5 - 1SC Freiburg⁷1.50.21W

17-02-24

Heidenheim⁶1 - 2Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁶1.50.2W

03-02-24

Darmstadt 98⁵0 - 2Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁶1.50.22W

27-01-24

Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁶0 - 0Borussia Mönchengladbach⁵1.5-1L

20-01-24

RB Leipzig⁶2 - 3Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁶1.50.2W

02-09-23

Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁶5 - 1Darmstadt 98⁶1.50.17W

26-08-23

Borussia Mönchengladbach⁶0 - 3Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁶1.50.22W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Holstein Kiel's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-9.75%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61.381.2323%

23-02-24

Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁵2 - 1FSV Mainz 05⁵1.50.21W

17-02-24

Heidenheim⁶1 - 2Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁶1.50.2W

26-02-23

SC Freiburg⁷1 - 1Bayer 04 Leverkusen^2(A)1.50.26W

19-02-23

Bayer 04 Leverkusen²2 - 3FSV Mainz 05⁷1.50.28W

26-02-22

Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁷3 - 0DSC Arminia Bielefeld⁶1.50.18W

18-02-22

FSV Mainz 05⁵3 - 2Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁵1.50.25W

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Bundesliga Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

3.173.183.142.43

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Bundesliga1993.18

2023/2024

Bundesliga3063.22

2022/2023

Bundesliga3063.17

2021/2022

Bundesliga3063.12

Bundesliga Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

84.42%1.1881.41%1.2382%1.2270%1.43

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Bundesliga19981.41% 1.23

2023/2024

Bundesliga30685.29% 1.17

2022/2023

Bundesliga30684.64% 1.18

2021/2022

Bundesliga30683.33% 1.2

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Bundesliga First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.481.521.071.48

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Bundesliga1991.52

2023/2024

Bundesliga3061.51

2022/2023

Bundesliga3061.49

2021/2022

Bundesliga3061.44

Bundesliga Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.691.661.371.66

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Bundesliga1991.66

2023/2024

Bundesliga3061.71

2022/2023

Bundesliga3061.69

2021/2022

Bundesliga3061.68

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

121.311.210.92%

Last 2 seasons - 18 vs 2 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

30.461.1515.33%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Holstein Kiel matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

00015.33%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen matches against table positions: 16,17,18

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

71.481.2121.14%

09-11-24

¹⁸VfL Bochum 1848⁶1 - 1⁵Bayer 04 Leverkusen³1.50.13W

03-03-24

¹⁶FC Köln⁷0 - 2¹Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁸1.50.22W

03-02-24

¹⁸Darmstadt 98⁵0 - 2¹Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁶1.50.22W

30-09-23

¹⁸FSV Mainz 05⁶0 - 3³Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁵1.50.21W

27-05-23

¹⁶VfL Bochum 1848⁶3 - 0⁶Bayer 04 Leverkusen⁵1.50.15W

14-05-23

¹⁷VfB Stuttgart⁷1 - 1⁷Bayer 04 Leverkusen^2(A)1.50.26W

01-04-23

¹⁷Schalke 04¹³0 - 3⁸Bayer 04 Leverkusen¹²1.50.29W

YOUR TEXT

Holstein Kiel vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

GERMANY - Bundesliga

Injuries & Suspensions

Holstein Kiel's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Holstein Kiel's home matches when WIN odds between 11.5 and 14.5

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's away matches when WIN odds between 1.2 and 1.3

Holstein Kiel's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Holstein Kiel's last 10 home matches

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last 10 away matches.

Holstein Kiel's all matches (last 6 matches)

Holstein Kiel's all matches - last 6

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's all matches (last 6 matches)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Bundesliga Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.04 - 0.09 )

Holstein Kiel's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.04 - 0.09 )

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.04 - 0.09 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Holstein Kiel (ELO: 1523) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Bayer 04 Leverkusen (ELO 1905) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Holstein Kiel's all matches (last 8 matches)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's all matches (last 8 matches)

Holstein Kiel's all matches (last 8 matches)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Bundesliga Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Bundesliga Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Bundesliga First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Bundesliga Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 18 vs 2 in the table

Holstein Kiel matches against table positions: 1,2,3

Bayer 04 Leverkusen matches against table positions: 16,17,18

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