Juventus vs Milan - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ITALY - Serie A

Juventus Logo

2025-01-18
17:00:00
Milan Logo
Juventus3
Milan3

Allianz Stadium (Torino)
2.423.293.53
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.43

Injuries & Suspensions

Juventus
Milan
P. Pogba
Suspended
App: 7 (6), G: 0
A. Milik
Knee Injury
App: 0 (0), G: 0
D. Vlahović
Muscle Injury
App: 16 (16), G: 7
G. Bremer Silva Nascimento
ACL Knee Injury
App: 6 (6), G: 0
R. Loftus-Cheek
Hip Injury
App: 12 (6), G: 0
C. Pulisic
Muscle Injury
App: 16 (14), G: 5
A. Florenzi
ACL Knee Injury
App: 16 (9), G: 1
Á. Morata Martín
Muscle Injury
App: 15 (12), G: 5
S. Chukwueze
Hamstring
App: 16 (9), G: 1
Serie A Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Napoli20152332122047WWWWW
2Inter19135148173144DWWWW
3Atalanta20134344212343DDDWW
4Lazio2011363428636DLDWL
5Juventus20713032171534DDDWD
6Fiorentina1995532201232LLDLL
7Milan1987429191031WDDWD
8Bologna197932925430DDLWW
9Roma217683127427WDWDW
10Udinese207582328-526DDDWL
11Genoa215881830-1223LWDWL
12Torino205782025-522DDDLW
13Empoli204881925-620LDLLL
14Lecce2055101432-1820WDLLW
15Parma204792535-1019LDWLL
16Como204792233-1119LDWLW
17Hellas Verona2061132444-2019LDWLW
18Cagliari2046101933-1418DWLLL
19Venezia2035121833-1514LDLWD
20Monza2027111928-913WLLLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Juventus's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-2.221.37-44.4%

Juventus's home matches when WIN odds between 2.3 and 2.6

21-09-24Juventus30 - 0 (0)Napoli51.5-1L
10-03-24Juventus62 - 2 (0)Atalanta31.50.38W
08-12-23Juventus61 - 0 (0)Napoli41.5-1L
28-05-23Juventus50 - 1 (0)Milan71.5-1L
27-08-22Juventus41 - 1 (0)Roma41.50.4W

Milan's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.581.2929%

Milan's away matches when WIN odds between 3.3 and 3.8

29-10-23Napoli42 - 2 (0)Milan31.50.3W
16-09-23Inter125 - 1 (2)Milan141.50.28W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Juventus's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.441.38-4.4%

Juventus's last 10 home matches

29-12-24Juventus62 - 2 (1)Fiorentina51.50.37W
14-12-24Juventus22 - 2 (2)Venezia51.50.29W
07-12-24Juventus52 - 2 (1)Bologna31.50.57W
09-11-24Juventus32 - 0 (1)Torino51.50.53W
30-10-24Juventus2(A)2 - 2 (0)Parma21.50.23W
19-10-24Juventus121 - 0 (1)Lazio121.5-1L
06-10-24Juventus31 - 1 (1)Cagliari51.50.3W
21-09-24Juventus30 - 0 (0)Napoli51.5-1L
01-09-24Juventus50 - 0 (0)Roma61.5-1L
19-08-24Juventus73 - 0 (1)Como71.50.27W

Milan's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.131.271.3%

Milan's last 10 away matches.

14-01-25Como31 - 2 (1)Milan21.50.28W
20-12-24Hellas Verona40 - 1 (0)Milan41.5-1L
06-12-24Atalanta32 - 1 (1)Milan21.50.28W
09-11-24Cagliari43 - 3 (1)Milan31.50.22W
02-11-24Monza2(A)0 - 1 (0)Milan31.5-1L
06-10-24Fiorentina22 - 1 (0)Milan41.50.21W
22-09-24Inter31 - 2 (1)Milan41.50.25W
31-08-24Lazio62 - 2 (0)Milan61.50.28W
24-08-24Parma62 - 1 (1)Milan61.50.21W
18-05-24Torino53 - 1 (0)Milan61.50.4W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Juventus's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
62.691.4544.83%

Juventus's all matches - last 6

14-01-25Atalanta2(A)1 - 1 (1)Juventus2(A)1.50.44W
11-01-25Torino51 - 1 (0)Juventus71.50.66W
29-12-24Juventus62 - 2 (1)Fiorentina51.50.37W
22-12-24Monza61 - 2 (0)Juventus41.50.36W
14-12-24Juventus22 - 2 (2)Venezia51.50.29W
07-12-24Juventus52 - 2 (1)Bologna31.50.57W

Milan's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.951.27-15.83%

Milan's all matches - last 6

14-01-25Como31 - 2 (1)Milan21.50.28W
11-01-25Milan41 - 1 (0)Cagliari51.50.2W
29-12-24Milan81 - 1 (0)Roma61.50.29W
20-12-24Hellas Verona40 - 1 (0)Milan41.5-1L
15-12-24Milan30 - 0 (0)Genoa71.5-1L
06-12-24Atalanta32 - 1 (1)Milan21.50.28W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-4.591.35-76.5%

H2H matches - last 6

23-11-24Milan130 - 0 (0)Juventus131.5-1L
27-04-24Juventus30 - 0 (0)Milan41.5-1L
22-10-23Milan140 - 1 (0)Juventus141.5-1L
28-05-23Juventus50 - 1 (0)Milan71.5-1L
08-10-22Milan2(A)2 - 0 (0)Juventus21.50.41W
23-01-22Milan50 - 0 (0)Juventus41.5-1L
Serie A Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Napoli20152332122047WWWWW
2Inter19135148173144DWWWW
3Atalanta20134344212343DDDWW
4Lazio2011363428636DLDWL
5Juventus20713032171534DDDWD
6Fiorentina1995532201232LLDLL
7Milan1987429191031WDDWD
8Bologna197932925430DDLWW
9Roma217683127427WDWDW
10Udinese207582328-526DDDWL
11Genoa215881830-1223LWDWL
12Torino205782025-522DDDLW
13Empoli204881925-620LDLLL
14Lecce2055101432-1820WDLLW
15Parma204792535-1019LDWLL
16Como204792233-1119LDWLW
17Hellas Verona2061132444-2019LDWLW
18Cagliari2046101933-1418DWLLL
19Venezia2035121833-1514LDLWD
20Monza2027111928-913WLLLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -5%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.65 (1.54)-0.05 (1.43)1.111.11

Serie A Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.08 - -0.03 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
982.031.332.07%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Juventus's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.08 - -0.03 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-5.881.41-58.80%
14-09-24-0.04Empoli130 - 0 (0)Juventus121.5-1L
01-09-24-0.07Juventus50 - 0 (0)Roma61.5-1L
07-04-24-0.03Juventus41 - 0 (0)Fiorentina31.5-1L
17-02-24-0.07Hellas Verona52 - 2 (0)Juventus41.50.48W
12-02-24-0.04Juventus70 - 1 (0)Udinese81.5-1L
30-12-23-0.03Juventus61 - 0 (0)Roma61.5-1L
27-08-23-0.07Juventus61 - 1 (1)Bologna51.50.32W
23-04-23-0.05Juventus2(A)0 - 1 (1)Napoli41.5-1L
19-03-23-0.04Inter40 - 1 (0)Juventus2(A)1.5-1L
19-02-23-0.06Spezia70 - 2 (0)Juventus21.50.32W

Milan's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.08 - -0.03 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
140.101.280.71%
29-12-24-0.03Milan81 - 1 (0)Roma61.50.29W
02-11-24-0.06Monza2(A)0 - 1 (0)Milan31.5-1L
27-09-24-0.06Milan43 - 0 (0)Lecce21.50.18W
22-04-24-0.04Milan31 - 2 (1)Inter71.50.28W
14-04-24-0.03Sassuolo83 - 3 (1)Milan21.50.23W
30-03-24-0.05Fiorentina151 - 2 (0)Milan121.50.31W
10-03-24-0.06Milan21 - 0 (0)Empoli61.5-1L
17-12-23-0.03Milan33 - 0 (1)Monza61.50.24W
02-12-23-0.07Milan33 - 1 (1)Frosinone51.50.22W
04-11-23-0.06Milan50 - 1 (0)Udinese21.5-1L
16-09-23-0.05Inter125 - 1 (2)Milan141.50.28W
04-06-23-0.06Milan63 - 1 (2)Hellas Verona61.50.29W
13-05-23-0.07Spezia62 - 0 (1)Milan21.50.37W
04-03-23-0.05Fiorentina42 - 1 (2)Milan51.50.41W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
79-3.381.36-4.28%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 26 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Juventus (ELO: 1859) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-0.131.39-1.86%
19-10-2448Juventus121 - 0Lazio121.5-1L
01-09-2445Juventus50 - 0Roma61.5-1L
10-03-2434Juventus62 - 2Atalanta31.50.38W
16-09-2341Juventus123 - 1Lazio131.50.37W
22-01-2330Juventus23 - 3Atalanta21.50.31W
13-11-2224Juventus2(A)3 - 0Lazio21.50.41W
27-08-2225Juventus41 - 1Roma41.50.4W

Milan (ELO 1834) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.421.32-14%
29-10-2347Napoli42 - 2Milan31.50.3W
16-09-2345Inter125 - 1Milan141.50.28W
05-02-2345Inter41 - 0Milan61.5-1L
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Juventus's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.371.394.63%
01-12-24Lecce51 - 1Juventus31.50.55W
09-11-24Juventus32 - 0Torino51.50.53W
06-10-24Juventus31 - 1Cagliari51.50.3W
21-09-24Juventus30 - 0Napoli51.5-1L
27-04-24Juventus30 - 0Milan41.5-1L
22-05-23Empoli64 - 1Juventus31.50.21W
07-05-23Atalanta30 - 2Juventus31.50.3W
30-04-23Bologna81 - 1Juventus31.50.48W

Milan's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.331.28-4.13%
15-12-24Milan30 - 0Genoa71.5-1L
30-11-24Milan33 - 0Empoli41.50.28W
09-11-24Cagliari43 - 3Milan31.50.22W
02-11-24Monza2(A)0 - 1Milan31.5-1L
22-04-24Milan31 - 2Inter71.50.28W
14-01-24Milan33 - 1Roma31.50.43W
17-12-23Milan33 - 0Monza61.50.24W
02-12-23Milan33 - 1Frosinone51.50.22W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Juventus's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.661.3311%
21-01-24Lecce60 - 3Juventus41.50.5W
16-01-24Juventus43 - 0Sassuolo91.50.24W
22-01-23Juventus23 - 3Atalanta21.50.31W
13-01-23Napoli45 - 1Juventus51.50.38W
23-01-22Milan50 - 0Juventus41.5-1L
15-01-22Juventus2(A)2 - 0Udinese51.50.23W

Milan's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.251.325%
20-01-24Udinese52 - 3Milan51.50.29W
14-01-24Milan33 - 1Roma31.50.43W
14-01-23Lecce52 - 2Milan21.50.33W
23-01-22Milan50 - 0Juventus41.5-1L
17-01-22Milan31 - 2Spezia71.50.2W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Serie A Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.682.672.532.37

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Serie A1992.67
2023/2024Serie A3802.61
2022/2023Serie A3812.57
2021/2022Serie A3802.87

Serie A Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
75.99%1.3274.87%1.3473%1.3776.67%1.3

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Serie A19974.87% 1.34
2023/2024Serie A38074.47% 1.34
2022/2023Serie A38175.33% 1.33
2021/2022Serie A38078.16% 1.28
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Serie A First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.21.210.931.09

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Serie A1991.21
2023/2024Serie A3801.13
2022/2023Serie A3811.16
2021/2022Serie A3801.30

Serie A Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.481.471.431.44

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Serie A1991.47
2023/2024Serie A3801.48
2022/2023Serie A3811.40
2021/2022Serie A3801.57
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
17-3.791.36-22.29%

Last 2 seasons - 5 vs 7 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-2.531.46-63.25%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Juventus matches against table positions: 6,7,8

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-1.051.52-26.25%
07-12-246Juventus52 - 28Bologna31.50.57W
19-10-245Juventus121 - 06Lazio121.5-1L
10-03-243Juventus62 - 26Atalanta31.50.38W
30-12-232Juventus61 - 07Roma61.5-1L

Milan matches against table positions: 4,5,6

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
31.031.3434.33%
22-09-246Inter31 - 216Milan41.50.25W
29-10-234Napoli42 - 23Milan31.50.3W
29-04-235Roma41 - 14Milan51.50.48W
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