Inter vs Genoa - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ITALY - Serie A

Inter Logo

2025-02-22
19:45:00
Genoa Logo
Inter5
Genoa4

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milano)
M. Piccinini
1.326.2112.12
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28

Injuries & Suspensions

Inter
Genoa
No absences...
M. Thorsby
Calf Injury
App: 23 (18), G: 0
M. Badelj
Groin Injury
App: 20 (18), G: 1
Serie A Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Napoli25175341192256DDDWW
2Inter25166358243454LWLDW
3Atalanta25156454262851DWDWL
4Juventus251113142212146WWWLW
5Lazio25144747341346DWWLW
6Fiorentina25126741271442LLWWW
7Milan24118536241241WWDWL
8Bologna24101133829941WDWDW
9Roma2510783629737WWDWW
10Udinese26106103337-436WWDWL
11Genoa257992433-930WDLWL
12Torino2561092731-428LDDWD
13Como2567123040-1025WLLLW
14Cagliari2567122639-1325DWLLW
15Lecce2667131842-2425LDDWL
16Hellas Verona2572162654-2823LLWDL
17Empoli2549122238-1621LLLDL
18Parma2548133045-1520LLLLD
19Venezia2537152241-1916LLLDD
20Monza2528152139-1814DLLLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Inter's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.911.219.1%

Inter's home matches when WIN odds between 1.2 and 1.4

19-01-25Inter33 - 1 (3)Empoli71.50.23W
23-12-24Inter32 - 0 (1)Como71.50.23W
06-12-24Inter43 - 1 (1)Parma41.50.12W
03-11-24Inter31 - 0 (0)Venezia31.5-1L
05-10-24Inter33 - 2 (1)Torino51.50.23W
24-08-24Inter62 - 0 (0)Lecce41.50.22W
14-04-24Inter52 - 2 (1)Cagliari61.50.2W
01-04-24Inter142 - 0 (1)Empoli161.50.17W
04-03-24Inter42 - 1 (0)Genoa81.50.24W
23-12-23Inter22 - 0 (1)Lecce61.50.27W

Genoa's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.721.26-36%

Genoa's away matches when WIN odds between 10.6 and 13.6

15-04-22Milan42 - 0 (1)Genoa41.50.28W
13-03-22Atalanta20 - 0 (0)Genoa61.5-1L
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Inter's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.241.2412.4%

Inter's last 10 home matches

10-02-25Inter32 - 1 (0)Fiorentina31.50.25W
19-01-25Inter33 - 1 (3)Empoli71.50.23W
15-01-25Inter2(A)2 - 2 (0)Bologna21.50.28W
23-12-24Inter32 - 0 (1)Como71.50.23W
06-12-24Inter43 - 1 (1)Parma41.50.12W
10-11-24Inter31 - 1 (0)Napoli61.50.3W
03-11-24Inter31 - 0 (0)Venezia31.5-1L
27-10-24Inter34 - 4 (1)Juventus41.50.35W
05-10-24Inter33 - 2 (1)Torino51.50.23W
22-09-24Inter31 - 2 (1)Milan41.50.25W

Genoa's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.431.36-4.3%

Genoa's last 10 away matches.

08-02-25Torino61 - 1 (0)Genoa51.50.57W
02-02-25Fiorentina62 - 1 (0)Genoa51.50.21W
17-01-25Roma43 - 1 (0)Genoa41.50.32W
05-01-25Lecce50 - 0 (0)Genoa71.5-1L
28-12-24Empoli51 - 2 (0)Genoa61.50.56W
15-12-24Milan30 - 0 (0)Genoa71.5-1L
01-12-24Udinese50 - 2 (0)Genoa61.50.39W
04-11-24Parma40 - 1 (1)Genoa31.5-1L
27-10-24Lazio2(A)3 - 0 (2)Genoa71.50.26W
05-10-24Atalanta2(A)5 - 1 (2)Genoa61.50.26W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Inter's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.291.274.83%

Inter's all matches - last 6

16-02-25Juventus41 - 0 (0)Inter51.5-1L
10-02-25Inter32 - 1 (0)Fiorentina31.50.25W
06-02-25Fiorentina23 - 0 (1)Inter41.50.29W
02-02-25Milan31 - 1 (1)Inter31.50.27W
26-01-25Lecce60 - 4 (0)Inter31.50.25W
19-01-25Inter33 - 1 (3)Empoli71.50.23W

Genoa's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.981.3816.33%

Genoa's all matches - last 6

17-02-25Genoa82 - 0 (2)Venezia71.50.34W
08-02-25Torino61 - 1 (0)Genoa51.50.57W
02-02-25Fiorentina62 - 1 (0)Genoa51.50.21W
27-01-25Genoa92 - 0 (1)Monza81.50.54W
17-01-25Roma43 - 1 (0)Genoa41.50.32W
12-01-25Genoa61 - 0 (0)Parma61.5-1L
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.031.3-0.75%

H2H matches - last 6

17-08-24Genoa72 - 2 (2)Inter51.50.28W
04-03-24Inter42 - 1 (0)Genoa81.50.24W
29-12-23Genoa61 - 1 (0)Inter51.50.45W
25-02-22Genoa40 - 0 (0)Inter41.5-1L
Serie A Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Napoli25175341192256DDDWW
2Inter25166358243454LWLDW
3Atalanta25156454262851DWDWL
4Juventus251113142212146WWWLW
5Lazio25144747341346DWWLW
6Fiorentina25126741271442LLWWW
7Milan24118536241241WWDWL
8Bologna24101133829941WDWDW
9Roma2510783629737WWDWW
10Udinese26106103337-436WWDWL
11Genoa257992433-930WDLWL
12Torino2561092731-428LDDWD
13Como2567123040-1025WLLLW
14Cagliari2567122639-1325DWLLW
15Lecce2667131842-2425LDDWL
16Hellas Verona2572162654-2823LLWDL
17Empoli2549122238-1621LLLDL
18Parma2548133045-1520LLLLD
19Venezia2537152241-1916LLLDD
20Monza2528152139-1814DLLLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -12%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.68 (1.47)-0.12 (1.28)1.091.28

Serie A Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.15 - -0.1 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
841.621.351.93%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Inter's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.15 - -0.1 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
71.561.2222.29%
24-08-24-0.10Inter62 - 0 (0)Lecce41.50.22W
26-05-24-0.12Hellas Verona52 - 2 (0)Inter61.50.17W
01-04-24-0.14Inter142 - 0 (1)Empoli161.50.17W
04-03-24-0.10Inter42 - 1 (0)Genoa81.50.24W
09-12-23-0.10Inter54 - 0 (1)Udinese51.50.21W
21-05-23-0.14Napoli63 - 1 (3)Inter41.50.3W
10-03-23-0.10Spezia42 - 1 (2)Inter41.50.25W

Genoa's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.15 - -0.1 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-1.371.44-19.57%
15-04-24-0.10Fiorentina31 - 1 (0)Genoa71.50.4W
04-03-24-0.10Inter42 - 1 (0)Genoa81.50.24W
24-02-24-0.14Genoa62 - 0 (0)Udinese51.50.55W
13-01-24-0.11Genoa70 - 0 (0)Torino51.5-1L
10-12-23-0.14Monza81 - 0 (1)Genoa41.5-1L
02-12-23-0.14Genoa51 - 1 (0)Empoli51.50.44W
27-08-23-0.11Lazio60 - 1 (0)Genoa71.5-1L
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
252.361.249.44%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 275 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Inter (ELO: 1944) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-0.981.2-14%
28-04-24261Inter52 - 0Torino61.50.31W
09-12-23298Inter54 - 0Udinese51.50.21W
27-09-23257Inter2(A)1 - 2Sassuolo31.50.12W
05-03-23265Inter62 - 0Lecce71.50.26W
23-01-23273Inter40 - 1Empoli61.5-1L
14-01-23284Inter31 - 0Hellas Verona41.5-1L
22-05-22277Inter63 - 0Sampdoria51.50.12W

Genoa (ELO 1669) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
1-11.23-100%
13-03-22261Atalanta20 - 0Genoa61.5-1L
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Inter's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.661.26-20.75%
16-02-25Juventus41 - 0Inter51.5-1L
12-01-25Venezia70 - 1Inter51.5-1L
16-12-24Lazio30 - 6Inter51.50.34W
28-09-24Udinese22 - 3Inter51.50.25W
30-08-24Inter54 - 0Atalanta41.50.22W
17-08-24Genoa72 - 2Inter51.50.28W
10-05-24Frosinone40 - 5Inter51.50.25W
04-05-24Sassuolo51 - 0Inter51.5-1L

Genoa's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.991.42-12.38%
17-01-25Roma43 - 1Genoa41.50.32W
24-05-24Genoa42 - 0Bologna31.50.31W
09-03-24Genoa42 - 3Monza61.50.44W
15-12-23Genoa41 - 1Juventus61.50.61W
10-12-23Monza81 - 0Genoa41.5-1L
10-11-23Genoa41 - 0Hellas Verona41.5-1L
27-10-23Genoa41 - 0Salernitana41.5-1L
06-05-23Genoa42 - 1Ascoli41.50.33W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Inter's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-1.351.24-27%
25-02-24Lecce80 - 4Inter41.50.29W
26-02-23Bologna71 - 0Inter31.5-1L
18-02-23Inter43 - 1Udinese51.50.23W
25-02-22Genoa40 - 0Inter41.5-1L
20-02-22Inter30 - 2Sassuolo61.50.13W

Genoa's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
40.321.398%
24-02-24Genoa62 - 0Udinese51.50.55W
17-02-24Napoli51 - 1Genoa51.50.41W
25-02-22Genoa40 - 0Inter41.5-1L
20-02-22Venezia71 - 1Genoa61.50.36W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Serie A Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.682.692.652.43

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Serie A2502.69
2023/2024Serie A3802.61
2022/2023Serie A3812.57
2021/2022Serie A3802.87

Serie A Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
75.99%1.3276.4%1.3180%1.2570%1.43

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Serie A25076.4% 1.31
2023/2024Serie A38074.47% 1.34
2022/2023Serie A38175.33% 1.33
2021/2022Serie A38078.16% 1.28
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Serie A First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.21.190.971.08

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Serie A2501.19
2023/2024Serie A3801.13
2022/2023Serie A3811.16
2021/2022Serie A3801.30

Serie A Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.481.501.471.57

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Serie A2501.50
2023/2024Serie A3801.48
2022/2023Serie A3811.40
2021/2022Serie A3801.57
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
211.81.298.57%

Last 2 seasons - 2 vs 11 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.211.2121%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Inter matches against table positions: 10,11,12

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.191.219.83%
06-12-243Inter43 - 111Parma41.50.12W
28-04-241Inter52 - 010Torino61.50.31W
04-03-241Inter42 - 112Genoa81.50.24W
23-12-231Inter22 - 012Lecce61.50.27W
12-11-232Inter32 - 012Frosinone51.50.13W
27-09-231Inter2(A)1 - 212Sassuolo31.50.12W

Genoa matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.581.26-19.33%
05-05-242Milan73 - 312Genoa51.50.18W
17-03-243Juventus60 - 012Genoa71.5-1L
04-03-241Inter42 - 112Genoa81.50.24W
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