Parma vs Bologna - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ITALY - Serie A

Parma Logo

2025-02-22
14:00:00
Bologna Logo
Parma5
Bologna7

Ennio Tardini ()
R. Abisso
4.313.871.96
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.32

Injuries & Suspensions

Parma
Bologna
Y. Osorio Paredes
Back Injury
App: 3 (2), G: 0
A. Benedyczak
Hamstring
App: 8 (2), G: 0
G. Charpentier
Achilles Tendon Rupture
App: 10 (0), G: 1
M. Đurić
Knee Injury
App: 16 (13), G: 4
J. Odgaard
Hamstring
App: 20 (17), G: 4
H. Azevedo Júnior
Thigh Injury
App: 16 (12), G: 3
V. Mihăilă
Thigh Injury
App: 21 (16), G: 0
L. Ferguson
Thigh Injury
App: 7 (3), G: 1
Serie A Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Napoli25175341192256DDDWW
2Inter25166358243454LWLDW
3Atalanta25156454262851DWDWL
4Juventus251113142212146WWWLW
5Lazio25144747341346DWWLW
6Fiorentina25126741271442LLWWW
7Milan24118536241241WWDWL
8Bologna24101133829941WDWDW
9Roma2510783629737WWDWW
10Udinese26106103337-436WWDWL
11Genoa257992433-930WDLWL
12Torino2561092731-428LDDWD
13Como2567123040-1025WLLLW
14Cagliari2567122639-1325DWLLW
15Lecce2667131842-2425LDDWL
16Hellas Verona2572162654-2823LLWDL
17Empoli2549122238-1621LLLDL
18Parma2548133045-1520LLLLD
19Venezia2537152241-1916LLLDD
20Monza2528152139-1814DLLLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Parma's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.711.28-35.5%

Parma's home matches when WIN odds between 3.6 and 5.1

16-02-25Parma60 - 1 (0)Roma2(A)1.5-1L
17-08-24Parma51 - 1 (0)Fiorentina111.50.29W

Bologna's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-0.931.38-18.6%

Bologna's away matches when WIN odds between 1.8 and 2.1

09-02-25Lecce80 - 0 (0)Bologna41.5-1L
19-10-24Genoa132 - 2 (1)Bologna121.50.43W
07-04-24Frosinone70 - 0 (0)Bologna51.5-1L
10-12-23Salernitana61 - 2 (0)Bologna61.50.4W
20-05-23Cremonese51 - 5 (2)Bologna51.50.24W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Parma's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.081.260.8%

Parma's last 10 home matches

16-02-25Parma60 - 1 (0)Roma2(A)1.5-1L
31-01-25Parma41 - 3 (1)Lecce41.50.24W
19-01-25Parma61 - 1 (0)Venezia61.50.28W
28-12-24Parma52 - 1 (2)Monza51.50.31W
15-12-24Parma82 - 3 (1)Hellas Verona61.50.27W
01-12-24Parma73 - 1 (2)Lazio21.50.25W
23-11-24Parma131 - 3 (0)Atalanta121.50.2W
04-11-24Parma40 - 1 (1)Genoa31.5-1L
27-10-24Parma71 - 1 (1)Empoli61.50.28W
30-09-24Parma82 - 3 (2)Cagliari51.50.25W

Bologna's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
102.811.4328.1%

Bologna's last 10 away matches.

09-02-25Lecce80 - 0 (0)Bologna41.5-1L
25-01-25Empoli51 - 1 (0)Bologna31.50.47W
15-01-25Inter2(A)2 - 2 (0)Bologna21.50.28W
21-12-24Torino70 - 2 (1)Bologna51.50.53W
07-12-24Juventus52 - 2 (1)Bologna31.50.57W
24-11-24Lazio133 - 0 (1)Bologna131.50.33W
10-11-24Roma2(A)2 - 3 (2)Bologna41.50.45W
29-10-24Cagliari30 - 2 (0)Bologna61.50.31W
19-10-24Genoa132 - 2 (1)Bologna121.50.43W
22-09-24Monza61 - 2 (1)Bologna31.50.44W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Parma's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.061.25-17.67%

Parma's all matches - last 6

16-02-25Parma60 - 1 (0)Roma2(A)1.5-1L
09-02-25Cagliari52 - 1 (1)Parma81.50.28W
31-01-25Parma41 - 3 (1)Lecce41.50.24W
26-01-25Milan33 - 2 (3)Parma61.50.14W
19-01-25Parma61 - 1 (0)Venezia61.50.28W
12-01-25Genoa61 - 0 (0)Parma61.5-1L

Bologna's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.951.4115.83%

Bologna's all matches - last 6

14-02-25Bologna43 - 2 (1)Torino51.50.47W
09-02-25Lecce80 - 0 (0)Bologna41.5-1L
01-02-25Bologna2(A)2 - 0 (0)Como61.50.35W
25-01-25Empoli51 - 1 (0)Bologna31.50.47W
18-01-25Bologna2(A)3 - 1 (0)Monza41.50.38W
15-01-25Inter2(A)2 - 2 (0)Bologna21.50.28W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
1-11.23-100%

H2H matches - last 6

06-10-24Bologna30 - 0 (0)Parma51.5-1L
Serie A Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Napoli25175341192256DDDWW
2Inter25166358243454LWLDW
3Atalanta25156454262851DWDWL
4Juventus251113142212146WWWLW
5Lazio25144747341346DWWLW
6Fiorentina25126741271442LLWWW
7Milan24118536241241WWDWL
8Bologna24101133829941WDWDW
9Roma2510783629737WWDWW
10Udinese26106103337-436WWDWL
11Genoa257992433-930WDLWL
12Torino2561092731-428LDDWD
13Como2567123040-1025WLLLW
14Cagliari2567122639-1325DWLLW
15Lecce2667131842-2425LDDWL
16Hellas Verona2572162654-2823LLWDL
17Empoli2549122238-1621LLLDL
18Parma2548133045-1520LLLLD
19Venezia2537152241-1916LLLDD
20Monza2528152139-1814DLLLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 8%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.84 (1.19)0.08 (1.32)0.542.75

Serie A Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.06 - 0.11 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
853.411.324.01%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Parma's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.06 - 0.11 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.511.24-17.00%
28-12-240.06Parma52 - 1 (2)Monza51.50.31W
22-12-240.07Roma35 - 0 (1)Parma61.50.18W
06-10-240.09Bologna30 - 0 (0)Parma51.5-1L

Bologna's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.06 - 0.11 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
90.401.344.44%
15-01-250.08Inter2(A)2 - 2 (0)Bologna21.50.28W
29-10-240.08Cagliari30 - 2 (0)Bologna61.50.31W
06-10-240.09Bologna30 - 0 (0)Parma51.5-1L
03-03-240.09Atalanta31 - 2 (0)Bologna81.50.32W
23-02-240.09Bologna42 - 0 (0)Hellas Verona51.50.39W
11-02-240.10Bologna74 - 0 (1)Lecce81.50.41W
27-01-240.07Milan62 - 2 (2)Bologna121.50.38W
23-12-230.09Bologna2(A)1 - 0 (1)Atalanta41.5-1L
21-08-230.08Bologna90 - 2 (0)Milan71.50.31W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
380.111.320.29%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -222 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Parma (ELO: 1548) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.461.27-15.33%
16-02-25-215Parma60 - 1Roma2(A)1.5-1L
01-12-24-247Parma73 - 1Lazio21.50.25W
17-08-24-204Parma51 - 1Fiorentina111.50.29W

Bologna (ELO 1770) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.521.41-26%
14-09-24-231Como122 - 2Bologna131.50.48W
07-04-24-213Frosinone70 - 0Bologna51.5-1L
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Parma's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.271.32-15.88%
28-12-24Parma52 - 1Monza51.50.31W
06-10-24Bologna30 - 0Parma51.5-1L
17-08-24Parma51 - 1Fiorentina111.50.29W
19-04-24Palermo50 - 0Parma51.5-1L
08-03-24Parma52 - 1Brescia51.50.3W
16-12-23Cosenza60 - 0Parma51.5-1L
07-10-23Venezia63 - 2Parma51.50.33W
26-08-23Parma52 - 0Cittadella51.50.5W

Bologna's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.021.34-0.25%
18-08-24Bologna71 - 1Udinese81.50.44W
11-05-24Napoli40 - 2Bologna71.50.3W
11-02-24Bologna74 - 0Lecce81.50.41W
28-05-23Bologna72 - 2Napoli61.50.27W
06-03-23Torino51 - 0Bologna71.5-1L
26-02-23Bologna71 - 0Inter31.5-1L
31-10-22Monza81 - 2Bologna71.50.36W
16-10-22Napoli33 - 2Bologna71.50.2W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Parma's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-0.25%

Bologna's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.021.3917%
23-02-24Bologna42 - 0Hellas Verona51.50.39W
18-02-24Lazio31 - 2Bologna31.50.54W
26-02-23Bologna71 - 0Inter31.5-1L
18-02-23Sampdoria41 - 2Bologna51.50.45W
26-02-22Salernitana61 - 1Bologna41.50.31W
21-02-22Bologna82 - 1Spezia61.50.33W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Serie A Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.682.692.652.43

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Serie A2502.69
2023/2024Serie A3802.61
2022/2023Serie A3812.57
2021/2022Serie A3802.87

Serie A Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
75.99%1.3276.4%1.3180%1.2570%1.43

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Serie A25076.4% 1.31
2023/2024Serie A38074.47% 1.34
2022/2023Serie A38175.33% 1.33
2021/2022Serie A38078.16% 1.28
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Serie A First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.21.190.971.08

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Serie A2501.19
2023/2024Serie A3801.13
2022/2023Serie A3811.16
2021/2022Serie A3801.30

Serie A Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.481.501.471.57

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Serie A2501.50
2023/2024Serie A3801.48
2022/2023Serie A3811.40
2021/2022Serie A3801.57
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
162.931.3418.31%

Last 2 seasons - 18 vs 8 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.541.5454%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Parma matches against table positions: 7,8,9

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.791.24-39.5%
16-02-2518Parma60 - 19Roma2(A)1.5-1L
24-08-2412Parma62 - 18Milan61.50.21W

Bologna matches against table positions: 18,19,20

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
81.991.4224.88%
19-10-2418Genoa132 - 213Bologna121.50.43W
14-09-2420Como122 - 218Bologna131.50.48W
25-08-2418Napoli63 - 011Bologna61.50.42W
07-04-2418Frosinone70 - 04Bologna51.5-1L
14-01-2418Cagliari72 - 16Bologna41.50.48W
10-12-2320Salernitana61 - 28Bologna61.50.4W
20-05-2319Cremonese51 - 511Bologna51.50.24W
21-04-2318Hellas Verona52 - 18Bologna51.50.54W
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