Parma vs Bologna - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)
ITALY - Serie A
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2025-02-22
14:00:00
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Parma5
Bologna7
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Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.32
Injuries & Suspensions
Parma
Bologna
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Y. Osorio Paredes
Back Injury
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App: 3 (2), G: 0
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A. Benedyczak
Hamstring
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App: 8 (2), G: 0
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G. Charpentier
Achilles Tendon Rupture
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App: 10 (0), G: 1
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M. Đurić
Knee Injury
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App: 16 (13), G: 4
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J. Odgaard
Hamstring
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App: 20 (17), G: 4
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H. Azevedo Júnior
Thigh Injury
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App: 16 (12), G: 3
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V. Mihăilă
Thigh Injury
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App: 21 (16), G: 0
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L. Ferguson
Thigh Injury
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App: 7 (3), G: 1
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#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Napoli25175341192256DDDWW
2Inter25166358243454LWLDW
3Atalanta25156454262851DWDWL
4Juventus251113142212146WWWLW
5Lazio25144747341346DWWLW
6Fiorentina25126741271442LLWWW
7Milan24118536241241WWDWL
8Bologna24101133829941WDWDW
9Roma2510783629737WWDWW
10Udinese26106103337-436WWDWL
11Genoa257992433-930WDLWL
12Torino2561092731-428LDDWD
13Como2567123040-1025WLLLW
14Cagliari2567122639-1325DWLLW
15Lecce2667131842-2425LDDWL
16Hellas Verona2572162654-2823LLWDL
17Empoli2549122238-1621LLLDL
18Parma2548133045-1520LLLLD
19Venezia2537152241-1916LLLDD
20Monza2528152139-1814DLLLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)
Parma's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.711.28-35.5%
Parma's home matches when WIN odds between 3.6 and 5.1
16-02-25
Parma60 - 1 (0)Roma2(A)1.5-1L
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17-08-24
Parma51 - 1 (0)Fiorentina111.50.29W
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Bologna's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-0.931.38-18.6%
Bologna's away matches when WIN odds between 1.8 and 2.1
09-02-25
Lecce80 - 0 (0)Bologna41.5-1L
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19-10-24
Genoa132 - 2 (1)Bologna121.50.43W
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07-04-24
Frosinone70 - 0 (0)Bologna51.5-1L
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10-12-23
Salernitana61 - 2 (0)Bologna61.50.4W
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20-05-23
Cremonese51 - 5 (2)Bologna51.50.24W
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MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES
Parma's home matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.081.260.8%
Parma's last 10 home matches
16-02-25
Parma60 - 1 (0)Roma2(A)1.5-1L
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31-01-25
Parma41 - 3 (1)Lecce41.50.24W
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19-01-25
Parma61 - 1 (0)Venezia61.50.28W
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28-12-24
Parma52 - 1 (2)Monza51.50.31W
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15-12-24
Parma82 - 3 (1)Hellas Verona61.50.27W
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01-12-24
Parma73 - 1 (2)Lazio21.50.25W
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23-11-24
Parma131 - 3 (0)Atalanta121.50.2W
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04-11-24
Parma40 - 1 (1)Genoa31.5-1L
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27-10-24
Parma71 - 1 (1)Empoli61.50.28W
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30-09-24
Parma82 - 3 (2)Cagliari51.50.25W
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Bologna's away matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
102.811.4328.1%
Bologna's last 10 away matches.
09-02-25
Lecce80 - 0 (0)Bologna41.5-1L
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25-01-25
Empoli51 - 1 (0)Bologna31.50.47W
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15-01-25
Inter2(A)2 - 2 (0)Bologna21.50.28W
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21-12-24
Torino70 - 2 (1)Bologna51.50.53W
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07-12-24
Juventus52 - 2 (1)Bologna31.50.57W
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24-11-24
Lazio133 - 0 (1)Bologna131.50.33W
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10-11-24
Roma2(A)2 - 3 (2)Bologna41.50.45W
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29-10-24
Cagliari30 - 2 (0)Bologna61.50.31W
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19-10-24
Genoa132 - 2 (1)Bologna121.50.43W
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22-09-24
Monza61 - 2 (1)Bologna31.50.44W
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SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES
Parma's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.061.25-17.67%
Parma's all matches - last 6
16-02-25
Parma60 - 1 (0)Roma2(A)1.5-1L
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09-02-25
Cagliari52 - 1 (1)Parma81.50.28W
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31-01-25
Parma41 - 3 (1)Lecce41.50.24W
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26-01-25
Milan33 - 2 (3)Parma61.50.14W
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19-01-25
Parma61 - 1 (0)Venezia61.50.28W
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12-01-25
Genoa61 - 0 (0)Parma61.5-1L
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Bologna's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.951.4115.83%
Bologna's all matches - last 6
14-02-25
Bologna43 - 2 (1)Torino51.50.47W
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09-02-25
Lecce80 - 0 (0)Bologna41.5-1L
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01-02-25
Bologna2(A)2 - 0 (0)Como61.50.35W
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25-01-25
Empoli51 - 1 (0)Bologna31.50.47W
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18-01-25
Bologna2(A)3 - 1 (0)Monza41.50.38W
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15-01-25
Inter2(A)2 - 2 (0)Bologna21.50.28W
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HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS
H2H Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
1-11.23-100%
H2H matches - last 6
06-10-24
Bologna30 - 0 (0)Parma51.5-1L
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#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Napoli25175341192256DDDWW
2Inter25166358243454LWLDW
3Atalanta25156454262851DWDWL
4Juventus251113142212146WWWLW
5Lazio25144747341346DWWLW
6Fiorentina25126741271442LLWWW
7Milan24118536241241WWDWL
8Bologna24101133829941WDWDW
9Roma2510783629737WWDWW
10Udinese26106103337-436WWDWL
11Genoa257992433-930WDLWL
12Torino2561092731-428LDDWD
13Como2567123040-1025WLLLW
14Cagliari2567122639-1325DWLLW
15Lecce2667131842-2425LDDWL
16Hellas Verona2572162654-2823LLWDL
17Empoli2549122238-1621LLLDL
18Parma2548133045-1520LLLLD
19Venezia2537152241-1916LLLDD
20Monza2528152139-1814DLLLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)
Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 8%
LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL
Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.84 (1.19)0.08 (1.32)0.542.75
Serie A Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.06 - 0.11 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
853.411.324.01%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown
Parma's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.06 - 0.11 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.511.24-17.00%
28-12-24
0.06Parma52 - 1 (2)Monza51.50.31W
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22-12-24
0.07Roma35 - 0 (1)Parma61.50.18W
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06-10-24
0.09Bologna30 - 0 (0)Parma51.5-1L
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Bologna's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.06 - 0.11 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
90.401.344.44%
15-01-25
0.08Inter2(A)2 - 2 (0)Bologna21.50.28W
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29-10-24
0.08Cagliari30 - 2 (0)Bologna61.50.31W
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06-10-24
0.09Bologna30 - 0 (0)Parma51.5-1L
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03-03-24
0.09Atalanta31 - 2 (0)Bologna81.50.32W
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23-02-24
0.09Bologna42 - 0 (0)Hellas Verona51.50.39W
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11-02-24
0.10Bologna74 - 0 (1)Lecce81.50.41W
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27-01-24
0.07Milan62 - 2 (2)Bologna121.50.38W
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23-12-23
0.09Bologna2(A)1 - 0 (1)Atalanta41.5-1L
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21-08-23
0.08Bologna90 - 2 (0)Milan71.50.31W
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ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS
Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
380.111.320.29%
ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)
ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -222 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)
Parma (ELO: 1548) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.461.27-15.33%
16-02-25
-215Parma60 - 1Roma2(A)1.5-1L
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01-12-24
-247Parma73 - 1Lazio21.50.25W
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17-08-24
-204Parma51 - 1Fiorentina111.50.29W
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Bologna (ELO 1770) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.521.41-26%
14-09-24
-231Como122 - 2Bologna131.50.48W
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07-04-24
-213Frosinone70 - 0Bologna51.5-1L
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SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES
Parma's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.271.32-15.88%
28-12-24
Parma52 - 1Monza51.50.31W
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06-10-24
Bologna30 - 0Parma51.5-1L
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17-08-24
Parma51 - 1Fiorentina111.50.29W
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19-04-24
Palermo50 - 0Parma51.5-1L
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08-03-24
Parma52 - 1Brescia51.50.3W
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16-12-23
Cosenza60 - 0Parma51.5-1L
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07-10-23
Venezia63 - 2Parma51.50.33W
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26-08-23
Parma52 - 0Cittadella51.50.5W
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Bologna's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.021.34-0.25%
18-08-24
Bologna71 - 1Udinese81.50.44W
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11-05-24
Napoli40 - 2Bologna71.50.3W
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11-02-24
Bologna74 - 0Lecce81.50.41W
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28-05-23
Bologna72 - 2Napoli61.50.27W
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06-03-23
Torino51 - 0Bologna71.5-1L
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26-02-23
Bologna71 - 0Inter31.5-1L
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31-10-22
Monza81 - 2Bologna71.50.36W
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16-10-22
Napoli33 - 2Bologna71.50.2W
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HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)
Parma's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-0.25%
Bologna's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.021.3917%
23-02-24
Bologna42 - 0Hellas Verona51.50.39W
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18-02-24
Lazio31 - 2Bologna31.50.54W
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26-02-23
Bologna71 - 0Inter31.5-1L
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18-02-23
Sampdoria41 - 2Bologna51.50.45W
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26-02-22
Salernitana61 - 1Bologna41.50.31W
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21-02-22
Bologna82 - 1Spezia61.50.33W
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League Trends By Game Week
Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)
Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)
Serie A Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.682.692.652.43
Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
Serie A2502.69
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2023/2024
Serie A3802.61
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2022/2023
Serie A3812.57
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2021/2022
Serie A3802.87
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Serie A Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
75.99%1.3276.4%1.3180%1.2570%1.43
Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
Serie A25076.4% 1.31
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2023/2024
Serie A38074.47% 1.34
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2022/2023
Serie A38175.33% 1.33
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2021/2022
Serie A38078.16% 1.28
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Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)
Serie A First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.21.190.971.08
First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
Serie A2501.19
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2023/2024
Serie A3801.13
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2022/2023
Serie A3811.16
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2021/2022
Serie A3801.30
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Serie A Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.481.501.471.57
Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
Serie A2501.50
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2023/2024
Serie A3801.48
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2022/2023
Serie A3811.40
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2021/2022
Serie A3801.57
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League Positions - Stats
Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
162.931.3418.31%
Last 2 seasons - 18 vs 8 in the table
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.541.5454%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS
Parma matches against table positions: 7,8,9
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.791.24-39.5%
16-02-25
18Parma60 - 19Roma2(A)1.5-1L
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24-08-24
12Parma62 - 18Milan61.50.21W
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Bologna matches against table positions: 18,19,20
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
81.991.4224.88%
19-10-24
18Genoa132 - 213Bologna121.50.43W
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14-09-24
20Como122 - 218Bologna131.50.48W
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25-08-24
18Napoli63 - 011Bologna61.50.42W
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07-04-24
18Frosinone70 - 04Bologna51.5-1L
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14-01-24
18Cagliari72 - 16Bologna41.50.48W
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10-12-23
20Salernitana61 - 28Bologna61.50.4W
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20-05-23
19Cremonese51 - 511Bologna51.50.24W
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21-04-23
18Hellas Verona52 - 18Bologna51.50.54W
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