Torino vs Milan - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

ITALY - Serie A

Torino Logo

2025-02-22
17:00:00
Milan Logo
Torino7
Milan3

Allianz Stadium (Torino)
S. Sozza
4.263.582.06
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.43

Injuries & Suspensions

Torino
Milan
P. Schuurs
ACL Knee Injury
App: 0 (0), G: 0
A. Tameze
Calf Injury
App: 16 (8), G: 0
D. Zapata Banguera
ACL Knee Injury
App: 7 (7), G: 3
A. Masina
Suspended
App: 20 (15), G: 1
I. Ilić
Thigh Injury
App: 12 (8), G: 1
R. Loftus-Cheek
Hamstring
App: 12 (6), G: 0
A. Florenzi
ACL Knee Injury
App: 17 (16), G: 0
E. Leite de Souza Junior
Calf Injury
App: 17 (16), G: 0
Serie A Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Napoli25175341192256DDDWW
2Inter25166358243454LWLDW
3Atalanta25156454262851DWDWL
4Juventus251113142212146WWWLW
5Lazio25144747341346DWWLW
6Fiorentina25126741271442LLWWW
7Milan24118536241241WWDWL
8Bologna24101133829941WDWDW
9Roma2510783629737WWDWW
10Udinese26106103337-436WWDWL
11Genoa257992433-930WDLWL
12Torino2561092731-428LDDWD
13Como2567123040-1025WLLLW
14Cagliari2567122639-1325DWLLW
15Lecce2667131842-2425LDDWL
16Hellas Verona2572162654-2823LLWDL
17Empoli2549122238-1621LLLDL
18Parma2548133045-1520LLLLD
19Venezia2537152241-1916LLLDD
20Monza2528152139-1814DLLLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Torino's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-1.441.46-14.4%

Torino's home matches when WIN odds between 3.5 and 5

11-01-25Torino51 - 1 (0)Juventus71.50.66W
21-12-24Torino70 - 2 (1)Bologna51.50.53W
03-11-24Torino2(A)0 - 1 (0)Fiorentina2(A)1.5-1L
25-08-24Torino72 - 1 (0)Atalanta51.50.33W
13-04-24Torino60 - 0 (0)Juventus51.5-1L
29-04-23Torino61 - 2 (1)Atalanta41.50.39W
08-04-23Torino40 - 1 (0)Roma51.5-1L
30-10-22Torino62 - 1 ()Milan41.50.4W
20-05-22Torino50 - 3 (1)Roma51.50.25W
07-05-22Torino50 - 1 (0)Napoli61.5-1L

Milan's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
91.571.3317.44%

Milan's away matches when WIN odds between 1.9 and 2.2

14-01-25Como31 - 2 (1)Milan21.50.28W
06-10-24Fiorentina22 - 1 (0)Milan41.50.21W
20-01-24Udinese52 - 3 (2)Milan51.50.29W
07-10-23Genoa50 - 1 (1)Milan2(A)1.5-1L
27-09-23Cagliari2(A)1 - 3 (0)Milan31.50.39W
21-08-23Bologna90 - 2 (0)Milan71.50.31W
13-05-23Spezia62 - 0 (1)Milan21.50.37W
18-03-23Udinese63 - 1 (0)Milan41.50.32W
30-10-22Torino62 - 1 ()Milan41.50.4W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Torino's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.821.48-8.2%

Torino's last 10 home matches

08-02-25Torino61 - 1 (0)Genoa51.50.57W
24-01-25Torino42 - 0 (0)Cagliari41.50.43W
11-01-25Torino51 - 1 (0)Juventus71.50.66W
05-01-25Torino60 - 0 (0)Parma71.5-1L
21-12-24Torino70 - 2 (1)Bologna51.50.53W
01-12-24Torino60 - 1 (0)Napoli61.5-1L
24-11-24Torino141 - 1 (0)Monza131.50.56W
03-11-24Torino2(A)0 - 1 (0)Fiorentina2(A)1.5-1L
25-10-24Torino41 - 0 (0)Como51.5-1L
29-09-24Torino42 - 3 (2)Lazio31.50.43W

Milan's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.151.271.5%

Milan's last 10 away matches.

08-02-25Empoli50 - 2 (1)Milan21.50.25W
18-01-25Juventus32 - 0 (0)Milan31.50.38W
14-01-25Como31 - 2 (1)Milan21.50.28W
20-12-24Hellas Verona40 - 1 (0)Milan41.5-1L
06-12-24Atalanta32 - 1 (1)Milan21.50.28W
09-11-24Cagliari43 - 3 (1)Milan31.50.22W
02-11-24Monza2(A)0 - 1 (0)Milan31.5-1L
06-10-24Fiorentina22 - 1 (0)Milan41.50.21W
22-09-24Inter31 - 2 (1)Milan41.50.25W
31-08-24Lazio62 - 2 (0)Milan61.50.28W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Torino's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
62.831.4747.17%

Torino's all matches - last 6

14-02-25Bologna43 - 2 (1)Torino51.50.47W
08-02-25Torino61 - 1 (0)Genoa51.50.57W
01-02-25Atalanta2(A)1 - 1 (0)Torino71.50.28W
24-01-25Torino42 - 0 (0)Cagliari41.50.43W
19-01-25Fiorentina51 - 1 (0)Torino71.50.42W
11-01-25Torino51 - 1 (0)Juventus71.50.66W

Milan's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.321.265.33%

Milan's all matches - last 6

15-02-25Milan2(A)1 - 0 (0)Hellas Verona61.5-1L
08-02-25Empoli50 - 2 (1)Milan21.50.25W
02-02-25Milan31 - 1 (1)Inter31.50.27W
26-01-25Milan33 - 2 (3)Parma61.50.14W
18-01-25Juventus32 - 0 (0)Milan31.50.38W
14-01-25Como31 - 2 (1)Milan21.50.28W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.521.36-8.67%

H2H matches - last 6

17-08-24Milan102 - 2 (2)Torino51.50.28W
18-05-24Torino53 - 1 (0)Milan61.50.4W
26-08-23Milan44 - 1 (0)Torino41.50.4W
10-02-23Milan41 - 0 (0)Torino41.5-1L
30-10-22Torino62 - 1 ()Milan41.50.4W
10-04-22Torino70 - 0 (0)Milan51.5-1L
Serie A Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Napoli25175341192256DDDWW
2Inter25166358243454LWLDW
3Atalanta25156454262851DWDWL
4Juventus251113142212146WWWLW
5Lazio25144747341346DWWLW
6Fiorentina25126741271442LLWWW
7Milan24118536241241WWDWL
8Bologna24101133829941WDWDW
9Roma2510783629737WWDWW
10Udinese26106103337-436WWDWL
11Genoa257992433-930WDLWL
12Torino2561092731-428LDDWD
13Como2567123040-1025WLLLW
14Cagliari2567122639-1325DWLLW
15Lecce2667131842-2425LDDWL
16Hellas Verona2572162654-2823LLWDL
17Empoli2549122238-1621LLLDL
18Parma2548133045-1520LLLLD
19Venezia2537152241-1916LLLDD
20Monza2528152139-1814DLLLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -5%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.67 (1.49)-0.05 (1.43)0.871.44

Serie A Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.08 - -0.03 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
1010.101.330.10%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Torino's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.08 - -0.03 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.971.45-24.25%
05-01-25-0.05Torino60 - 0 (0)Parma71.5-1L
15-09-24-0.06Torino150 - 0 (0)Lecce141.5-1L
26-02-24-0.07Roma33 - 2 (1)Torino31.50.54W
27-11-23-0.06Bologna142 - 0 (1)Torino151.50.49W

Milan's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.08 - -0.03 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
150.341.282.27%
02-02-25-0.05Milan31 - 1 (1)Inter31.50.27W
18-01-25-0.05Juventus32 - 0 (0)Milan31.50.38W
29-12-24-0.03Milan81 - 1 (0)Roma61.50.29W
02-11-24-0.06Monza2(A)0 - 1 (0)Milan31.5-1L
27-09-24-0.06Milan43 - 0 (0)Lecce21.50.18W
22-04-24-0.04Milan31 - 2 (1)Inter71.50.28W
14-04-24-0.03Sassuolo83 - 3 (1)Milan21.50.23W
30-03-24-0.05Fiorentina151 - 2 (0)Milan121.50.31W
10-03-24-0.06Milan21 - 0 (0)Empoli61.5-1L
17-12-23-0.03Milan33 - 0 (1)Monza61.50.24W
02-12-23-0.07Milan33 - 1 (1)Frosinone51.50.22W
04-11-23-0.06Milan50 - 1 (0)Udinese21.5-1L
16-09-23-0.05Inter125 - 1 (2)Milan141.50.28W
04-06-23-0.06Milan63 - 1 (2)Hellas Verona61.50.29W
13-05-23-0.07Spezia62 - 0 (1)Milan21.50.37W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
751.091.391.45%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -98 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Torino (ELO: 1697) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-3.651.54-45.63%
01-12-24-100Torino60 - 1Napoli61.5-1L
03-05-24-76Torino40 - 0Bologna41.5-1L
13-04-24-106Torino60 - 0Juventus51.5-1L
04-12-23-86Torino63 - 0Atalanta31.50.43W
24-09-23-78Torino51 - 1Roma2(A)1.50.53W
29-04-23-85Torino61 - 2Atalanta41.50.39W
08-04-23-120Torino40 - 1Roma51.5-1L
15-10-22-119Torino50 - 1Juventus31.5-1L

Milan (ELO 1795) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
51.331.2726.6%
06-10-24-76Fiorentina22 - 1Milan41.50.21W
30-03-24-119Fiorentina151 - 2Milan121.50.31W
24-01-23-115Lazio44 - 0Milan51.50.31W
21-08-22-100Atalanta71 - 1Milan71.50.23W
24-04-22-81Lazio71 - 2Milan41.50.27W
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Torino's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
81.781.3922.25%
01-02-25Atalanta2(A)1 - 1Torino71.50.28W
19-01-25Fiorentina51 - 1Torino71.50.42W
29-12-24Udinese52 - 2Torino71.50.49W
21-12-24Torino70 - 2Bologna51.50.53W
25-08-24Torino72 - 1Atalanta51.50.33W
26-05-24Atalanta33 - 0Torino71.50.24W
21-04-24Torino70 - 0Frosinone61.5-1L
16-03-24Udinese40 - 2Torino71.50.49W

Milan's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.431.27-5.38%
02-02-25Milan31 - 1Inter31.50.27W
26-01-25Milan33 - 2Parma61.50.14W
18-01-25Juventus32 - 0Milan31.50.38W
15-12-24Milan30 - 0Genoa71.5-1L
30-11-24Milan33 - 0Empoli41.50.28W
09-11-24Cagliari43 - 3Milan31.50.22W
02-11-24Monza2(A)0 - 1Milan31.5-1L
22-04-24Milan31 - 2Inter71.50.28W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Torino's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
52.21.4444%
26-02-24Roma33 - 2Torino31.50.54W
22-02-24Torino50 - 2Lazio31.50.61W
20-02-23Torino92 - 2Cremonese71.50.42W
27-02-22Torino81 - 2Cagliari51.50.24W
18-02-22Juventus41 - 1Torino51.50.39W

Milan's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.491.38.17%
25-02-24Milan2(A)1 - 1Atalanta71.50.28W
18-02-24Monza64 - 2Milan21.50.32W
26-02-23Milan72 - 0Atalanta61.50.3W
18-02-23Monza50 - 1Milan31.5-1L
25-02-22Milan51 - 1Udinese41.50.31W
19-02-22Salernitana52 - 2Milan51.50.28W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Serie A Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.682.692.652.43

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Serie A2502.69
2023/2024Serie A3802.61
2022/2023Serie A3812.57
2021/2022Serie A3802.87

Serie A Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
75.99%1.3276.4%1.3180%1.2570%1.43

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Serie A25076.4% 1.31
2023/2024Serie A38074.47% 1.34
2022/2023Serie A38175.33% 1.33
2021/2022Serie A38078.16% 1.28
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Serie A First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.21.190.971.08

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Serie A2501.19
2023/2024Serie A3801.13
2022/2023Serie A3811.16
2021/2022Serie A3801.30

Serie A Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.481.501.471.57

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Serie A2501.50
2023/2024Serie A3801.48
2022/2023Serie A3811.40
2021/2022Serie A3801.57
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
24-2.561.34-10.67%

Last 2 seasons - 12 vs 7 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-1.611.35-53.67%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Torino matches against table positions: 6,7,8

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
70.391.485.57%
21-12-2411Torino70 - 28Bologna51.50.53W
02-03-2410Torino40 - 07Fiorentina41.5-1L
22-02-2410Torino50 - 28Lazio31.50.61W
07-01-2411Torino83 - 08Napoli81.50.43W
04-12-2313Torino63 - 08Atalanta31.50.43W
29-04-2312Torino61 - 27Atalanta41.50.39W
06-03-2311Torino51 - 08Bologna71.5-1L

Milan matches against table positions: 11,12,13

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.161.2929%
24-08-2412Parma62 - 18Milan61.50.21W
18-02-2412Monza64 - 23Milan21.50.32W
21-08-2312Bologna90 - 213Milan71.50.31W
18-03-2311Udinese63 - 14Milan41.50.32W
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