Santa Clara vs Estoril - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

PORTUGAL - Primeira Liga

Santa Clara Logo

2025-01-18
15:30:00
Estoril Logo
Santa Clara12
Estoril12

Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada, Ilha de São Miguel, Açores)
1.853.565.60
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.54
Primeira Liga Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Sporting CP17132248143441DWDWL
2Benfica18132342113141WLLWW
3Porto17131340112940LWWWD
4Sporting Braga1794430191131WLWDD
5Santa Clara1710161816231DWLLW
6VitĂłria SC176742622425DDDDL
7Casa Pia176651920-124DWWWD
8Moreirense176472225-322DDLLW
9FamalicĂŁo184862024-420LDLLD
10Rio Ave175571828-1020DWLDL
11Gil Vicente174761926-719DDDWW
12Estoril174671828-1018WDLLD
13Nacional174491323-1016WLDLW
14Estrela Amadora174491629-1316LDWLW
15AVS172961324-1115DDDDD
16Arouca1743101328-1515WDLWL
17Farense173591123-1214DDWLD
18Boavista172691126-1512LLDLD
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Santa Clara's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.591.3811.8%

Santa Clara's home matches when WIN odds between 1.8 and 2

20-05-23Santa Clara51 - 0 (0)Portimonense61.5-1L
17-09-22Santa Clara71 - 1 (0)Paços de Ferreira51.50.4W
08-05-22Santa Clara62 - 0 (0)Paços de Ferreira51.50.33W
23-04-22Santa Clara72 - 2 (1)MarĂ­timo61.50.47W
16-01-22Santa Clara82 - 2 (2)Tondela31.50.39W

Estoril's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
31.081.3636%

Estoril's away matches when WIN odds between 4.6 and 6.6

21-09-24Rio Ave62 - 2 (0)Estoril51.50.44W
01-10-23VitĂłria SC73 - 2 (1)Estoril31.50.29W
29-04-22FamalicĂŁo53 - 1 (1)Estoril41.50.35W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Santa Clara's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-3.041.42-30.4%

Santa Clara's last 10 home matches

05-01-25Santa Clara50 - 0 (0)Farense61.5-1L
22-12-24Santa Clara30 - 2 (1)Sporting Braga51.50.41W
07-12-24Santa Clara61 - 0 (0)Rio Ave61.5-1L
10-11-24Santa Clara51 - 0 (1)VitĂłria SC21.5-1L
25-10-24Santa Clara52 - 1 (0)Gil Vicente51.50.62W
29-09-24Santa Clara71 - 0 (0)Boavista51.5-1L
21-09-24Santa Clara61 - 0 (1)Estrela Amadora41.5-1L
31-08-24Santa Clara62 - 1 (0)AVS51.50.45W
16-08-24Santa Clara40 - 2 (0)Porto51.50.2W
19-05-24Santa Clara62 - 0 (1)UniĂŁo de Leiria51.50.28W

Estoril's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-1.091.31-10.9%

Estoril's last 10 away matches.

05-01-25Estrela Amadora72 - 4 (1)Estoril71.50.44W
23-12-24Benfica33 - 0 (1)Estoril71.50.11W
06-12-24Sporting Braga42 - 2 (1)Estoril41.50.21W
03-11-24Porto24 - 0 (2)Estoril71.50.13W
06-10-24Farense51 - 0 (1)Estoril81.5-1L
21-09-24Rio Ave62 - 2 (0)Estoril51.50.44W
31-08-24Boavista60 - 0 (0)Estoril51.5-1L
18-08-24VitĂłria SC21 - 0 (0)Estoril61.5-1L
18-05-24Moreirense52 - 1 (0)Estoril61.50.31W
05-05-24Farense53 - 2 (0)Estoril61.50.27W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Santa Clara's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-2.951.45-49.17%

Santa Clara's all matches - last 6

05-01-25Santa Clara50 - 0 (0)Farense61.5-1L
30-12-24FamalicĂŁo81 - 2 (0)Santa Clara71.50.64W
22-12-24Santa Clara30 - 2 (1)Sporting Braga51.50.41W
15-12-24Arouca51 - 0 (0)Santa Clara71.5-1L
07-12-24Santa Clara61 - 0 (0)Rio Ave61.5-1L
30-11-24Sporting CP30 - 1 (0)Santa Clara51.5-1L

Estoril's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
62.311.3938.5%

Estoril's all matches - last 6

05-01-25Estrela Amadora72 - 4 (1)Estoril71.50.44W
28-12-24Estoril42 - 2 (0)Moreirense61.50.5W
23-12-24Benfica33 - 0 (1)Estoril71.50.11W
15-12-24Estoril80 - 2 (0)Casa Pia61.50.55W
06-12-24Sporting Braga42 - 2 (1)Estoril41.50.21W
01-12-24Estoril212 - 1 (0)FamalicĂŁo61.50.5W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.871.4746.75%

H2H matches - last 6

11-08-24Estoril71 - 4 (1)Santa Clara71.50.5W
30-04-23Estoril63 - 0 (1)Santa Clara61.50.43W
14-11-22Santa Clara63 - 1 (0)Estoril41.50.46W
10-04-22Santa Clara52 - 0 (0)Estoril71.50.48W
Primeira Liga Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Sporting CP17132248143441DWDWL
2Benfica18132342113141WLLWW
3Porto17131340112940LWWWD
4Sporting Braga1794430191131WLWDD
5Santa Clara1710161816231DWLLW
6VitĂłria SC176742622425DDDDL
7Casa Pia176651920-124DWWWD
8Moreirense176472225-322DDLLW
9FamalicĂŁo184862024-420LDLLD
10Rio Ave175571828-1020DWLDL
11Gil Vicente174761926-719DDDWW
12Estoril174671828-1018WDLLD
13Nacional174491323-1016WLDLW
14Estrela Amadora174491629-1316LDWLW
15AVS172961324-1115DDDDD
16Arouca1743101328-1515WDLWL
17Farense173591123-1214DDWLD
18Boavista172691126-1512LLDLD
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -11%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.57 (1.75)-0.11 (1.54)0.940.96

Primeira Liga Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.14 - -0.09 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
72-6.781.32-9.42%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Santa Clara's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.14 - -0.09 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-1.391.38-34.75%
22-12-24-0.10Santa Clara30 - 2 (1)Sporting Braga51.50.41W
15-12-24-0.12Arouca51 - 0 (0)Santa Clara71.5-1L
07-12-24-0.12Santa Clara61 - 0 (0)Rio Ave61.5-1L
14-09-24-0.13Benfica144 - 1 (0)Santa Clara131.50.2W

Estoril's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.14 - -0.09 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.351.38-11.67%
05-01-25-0.13Estrela Amadora72 - 4 (1)Estoril71.50.44W
30-12-23-0.09Estoril124 - 0 (1)Farense141.50.21W
04-02-23-0.13Estoril50 - 1 (0)VitĂłria SC41.5-1L
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
81-14.681.39-18.12%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 32 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Santa Clara (ELO: 1457) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.861.44-10.75%
05-01-2546Santa Clara50 - 0Farense61.5-1L
29-09-2421Santa Clara71 - 0Boavista51.5-1L
21-09-2440Santa Clara61 - 0Estrela Amadora41.5-1L
31-08-2426Santa Clara62 - 1AVS51.50.45W
14-11-2216Santa Clara63 - 1Estoril41.50.46W
04-09-2242Santa Clara62 - 1MarĂ­timo71.50.43W
08-05-2222Santa Clara62 - 0Paços de Ferreira51.50.33W
23-04-2228Santa Clara72 - 2MarĂ­timo61.50.47W

Estoril (ELO 1426) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-2.641.38-33%
31-08-2420Boavista60 - 0Estoril51.5-1L
05-05-2418Farense53 - 2Estoril61.50.27W
08-04-2421Casa Pia70 - 0Estoril81.5-1L
10-02-2419Boavista42 - 1Estoril51.50.27W
28-10-2313Portimonense71 - 0Estoril51.5-1L
21-05-2333Casa Pia62 - 2Estoril51.50.36W
29-01-2338FamalicĂŁo61 - 0Estoril61.5-1L
14-11-2216Santa Clara63 - 1Estoril41.50.46W
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Santa Clara's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.461.42-23%
30-03-24AVS131 - 2Santa Clara121.50.54W
29-12-22Gil Vicente71 - 0Santa Clara121.5-1L

Estoril's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.481.27-16%
30-12-23Estoril124 - 0Farense141.50.21W
31-03-23Estoril121 - 0Gil Vicente181.5-1L
02-04-22Estoril121 - 2Vizela141.50.31W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Santa Clara's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
40.021.370.5%
21-01-23Santa Clara70 - 3Benfica51.50.2W
13-01-23Portimonense60 - 0Santa Clara71.5-1L
22-01-22Moreirense60 - 2Santa Clara51.50.43W
16-01-22Santa Clara82 - 2Tondela31.50.39W

Estoril's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.431.388.6%
20-01-24Estoril61 - 2Arouca41.50.26W
13-01-24Estoril31 - 3Moreirense41.50.31W
22-01-23MarĂ­timo71 - 0Estoril51.5-1L
16-01-23Estoril82 - 0Casa Pia31.50.54W
23-01-22VitĂłria SC53 - 1Estoril141.50.32W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Primeira Liga Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.672.582.72.9

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Primeira Liga1542.58
2023/2024Primeira Liga3062.87
2022/2023Primeira Liga3062.49
2021/2022Primeira Liga3062.64

Primeira Liga Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
72.77%1.3772.08%1.3976%1.3283.33%1.2

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Primeira Liga15472.08% 1.39
2023/2024Primeira Liga30675.16% 1.33
2022/2023Primeira Liga30666.34% 1.51
2021/2022Primeira Liga30676.8% 1.3
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Primeira Liga First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.181.181.31.25

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Primeira Liga1541.18
2023/2024Primeira Liga3061.24
2022/2023Primeira Liga3061.10
2021/2022Primeira Liga3061.20

Primeira Liga Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.491.401.61.45

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Primeira Liga1541.40
2023/2024Primeira Liga3061.63
2022/2023Primeira Liga3061.39
2021/2022Primeira Liga3061.44
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
140.181.291.29%

Last 2 seasons - 5 vs 12 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.371.3737%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Santa Clara matches against table positions: 11,12,13

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.611.34-30.5%
20-05-2318Santa Clara51 - 013Portimonense61.5-1L
23-04-2318Santa Clara71 - 111Chaves71.50.39W

Estoril matches against table positions: 4,5,6

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
40.811.220.25%
06-12-245Sporting Braga42 - 211Estoril41.50.21W
18-05-246Moreirense52 - 113Estoril61.50.31W
03-12-234Sporting Braga33 - 114Estoril61.50.11W
27-02-234Sporting CP32 - 015Estoril81.50.18W
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