Estoril vs Rio Ave - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

PORTUGAL - Primeira Liga

2025-02-22
20:30:00

Estoril⁶

Rio Ave⁵

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota (Estoril)

2.133.583.99

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36

Injuries & Suspensions

Estoril

Rio Ave

No absences...

V. de Souza Zanocelo

Thigh Injury

App: 20 (15), G: 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Sporting CP22164259184152DDWWW

2Benfica22162450183250WWWLW

3Sporting Braga23145439201947WDWWW

4Porto22144446182846WDDDL

5Santa Clara2212282523238LWWDL

6Casa Pia229672928133LWLWW

7Vitória SC2271053025531DDWLD

8Estoril228772834-631DWWWW

9Famalicão2261062424028WDWDL

10Moreirense2275102833-526WLLLD

11Rio Ave226882436-1226DDDWL

12Arouca2266102134-1324DDWWD

13Nacional2365122131-1023LDWLL

14Gil Vicente2257102334-1122LLLLW

15Estrela Amadora2255121934-1520WLLDL

16AVS2231091732-1519DLLWL

17Farense2236131331-1815LLLLD

18Boavista2226141437-2312LLLLL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Estoril's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

91.981.3722%

Estoril's home matches when WIN odds between 2 and 2.3

18-02-24

Estoril⁷1 - 3⁽¹⁾Gil Vicente⁴1.50.3W

04-02-24

Estoril³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Estrela Amadora⁵1.5-1L

27-05-23

Estoril⁵3 - 1⁽²⁾Marítimo⁷1.50.27W

30-04-23

Estoril⁶3 - 0⁽¹⁾Santa Clara⁶1.50.43W

18-03-23

Estoril⁷0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Chaves⁶1.50.36W

18-02-23

Estoril⁴1 - 3⁽⁰⁾Paços de Ferreira¹¹1.50.43W

19-08-22

Estoril⁴2 - 2⁽¹⁾Rio Ave⁵1.50.45W

24-04-22

Estoril⁵2 - 2⁽¹⁾Belenenses⁷1.50.43W

02-04-22

Estoril¹²1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Vizela¹⁴1.50.31W

Rio Ave's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

90.791.418.78%

Rio Ave's away matches when WIN odds between 3.7 and 4.2

10-02-25

Arouca⁸1 - 1⁽¹⁾Rio Ave³1.50.33W

06-01-25

Gil Vicente⁹1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Rio Ave⁷1.50.37W

16-02-24

Famalicão⁵2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Rio Ave⁴1.50.48W

10-12-23

Arouca⁶2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Rio Ave⁷1.50.44W

02-09-23

Casa Pia⁵1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Rio Ave⁴1.50.41W

22-01-23

Famalicão⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Rio Ave⁷1.5-1L

30-10-22

Casa Pia⁷1 - 0⁽⁾Rio Ave⁵1.5-1L

17-09-22

Gil Vicente⁵2 - 2⁽²⁾Rio Ave⁵1.50.31W

19-08-22

Estoril⁴2 - 2⁽¹⁾Rio Ave⁵1.50.45W

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Estoril's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-1.541.41-15.4%

Estoril's last 10 home matches

09-02-25

Estoril⁷2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Boavista⁸1.50.33W

26-01-25

Estoril⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Vitória SC⁷1.5-1L

28-12-24

Estoril⁴2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Moreirense⁶1.50.5W

15-12-24

Estoril⁸0 - 2⁽⁰⁾Casa Pia⁶1.50.55W

01-12-24

Estoril²¹2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Famalicão⁶1.50.5W

09-11-24

Estoril⁵0 - 0⁽⁰⁾AVS⁵1.5-1L

26-10-24

Estoril⁵4 - 1⁽¹⁾Arouca⁵1.50.45W

27-09-24

Estoril⁵0 - 3⁽¹⁾Sporting CP⁴1.50.13W

15-09-24

Estoril¹⁴1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Nacional¹³1.5-1L

25-08-24

Estoril⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Gil Vicente⁸1.5-1L

Rio Ave's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-0.971.32-9.7%

Rio Ave's last 10 away matches.

10-02-25

Arouca⁸1 - 1⁽¹⁾Rio Ave³1.50.33W

25-01-25

Farense⁵1 - 2⁽¹⁾Rio Ave⁶1.50.39W

06-01-25

Gil Vicente⁹1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Rio Ave⁷1.50.37W

23-12-24

Estrela Amadora⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Rio Ave⁶1.5-1L

07-12-24

Santa Clara⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Rio Ave⁶1.5-1L

09-11-24

Boavista⁶0 - 2⁽¹⁾Rio Ave⁶1.50.37W

27-10-24

Benfica³5 - 0⁽²⁾Rio Ave⁷1.50.11W

29-09-24

Sporting Braga²4 - 0⁽¹⁾Rio Ave⁷1.50.27W

14-09-24

AVS¹³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Rio Ave¹²1.5-1L

24-08-24

Porto⁷2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Rio Ave⁶1.50.19W

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Estoril's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.981.3916.33%

Estoril's all matches - last 6

15-02-25

Nacional⁵2 - 2⁽¹⁾Estoril⁵1.50.32W

09-02-25

Estoril⁷2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Boavista⁸1.50.33W

01-02-25

Gil Vicente⁴1 - 2⁽¹⁾Estoril⁵1.50.46W

26-01-25

Estoril⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Vitória SC⁷1.5-1L

18-01-25

Santa Clara¹²2 - 3⁽⁰⁾Estoril¹²1.50.43W

05-01-25

Estrela Amadora⁷2 - 4⁽¹⁾Estoril⁷1.50.44W

Rio Ave's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61.911.3231.83%

Rio Ave's all matches - last 6

16-02-25

Rio Ave⁵1 - 1⁽⁰⁾AVS⁷1.50.36W

10-02-25

Arouca⁸1 - 1⁽¹⁾Rio Ave³1.50.33W

03-02-25

Rio Ave⁸2 - 2⁽¹⁾Porto³1.50.25W

25-01-25

Farense⁵1 - 2⁽¹⁾Rio Ave⁶1.50.39W

18-01-25

Rio Ave⁵0 - 3⁽¹⁾Sporting CP⁶1.50.21W

06-01-25

Gil Vicente⁹1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Rio Ave⁷1.50.37W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

52.11.4242%

H2H matches - last 6

21-09-24

Rio Ave⁶2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Estoril⁵1.50.44W

31-01-24

Rio Ave⁹1 - 1⁽¹⁾Estoril³1.50.33W

20-08-23

Estoril⁶2 - 0⁽¹⁾Rio Ave⁶1.50.4W

13-02-23

Rio Ave⁶2 - 0⁽¹⁾Estoril³1.50.48W

19-08-22

Estoril⁴2 - 2⁽¹⁾Rio Ave⁵1.50.45W

Primeira Liga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Sporting CP22164259184152DDWWW

2Benfica22162450183250WWWLW

3Sporting Braga23145439201947WDWWW

4Porto22144446182846WDDDL

5Santa Clara2212282523238LWWDL

6Casa Pia229672928133LWLWW

7Vitória SC2271053025531DDWLD

8Estoril228772834-631DWWWW

9Famalicão2261062424028WDWDL

10Moreirense2275102833-526WLLLD

11Rio Ave226882436-1226DDDWL

12Arouca2266102134-1324DDWWD

13Nacional2365122131-1023LDWLL

14Gil Vicente2257102334-1122LLLLW

15Estrela Amadora2255121934-1520WLLDL

16AVS2231091732-1519DLLWL

17Farense2236131331-1815LLLLD

18Boavista2226141437-2312LLLLL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 13%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.88 (1.14)0.13 (1.36)2.501.18

Primeira Liga Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.11 - 0.16 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

540.721.311.33%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Estoril's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.11 - 0.16 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

71.241.3617.71%

15-02-25

^0.14Nacional⁵2 - 2⁽¹⁾Estoril⁵1.50.32W

09-02-25

^0.15Estoril⁷2 - 1⁽⁰⁾Boavista⁸1.50.33W

28-12-24

^0.11Estoril⁴2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Moreirense⁶1.50.5W

11-08-24

^0.11Estoril⁷1 - 4⁽¹⁾Santa Clara⁷1.50.5W

25-02-24

^0.11Vizela⁶3 - 3⁽⁴⁾Estoril⁶1.50.28W

13-01-24

^0.12Estoril³1 - 3⁽¹⁾Moreirense⁴1.50.31W

28-10-23

^0.11Portimonense⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Estoril⁵1.5-1L

Rio Ave's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.11 - 0.16 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

11-0.201.34-1.82%

23-12-24

^0.15Estrela Amadora⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Rio Ave⁶1.5-1L

09-11-24

^0.13Boavista⁶0 - 2⁽¹⁾Rio Ave⁶1.50.37W

02-11-24

^0.11Rio Ave⁵2 - 2⁽⁰⁾Casa Pia⁷1.50.41W

17-08-24

^0.12Rio Ave⁷1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Farense⁵1.5-1L

11-05-24

^0.13Portimonense⁶2 - 2⁽²⁾Rio Ave⁶1.50.3W

25-02-24

^0.11Rio Ave⁸3 - 3⁽⁰⁾Sporting CP²1.50.19W

23-12-23

^0.12Vitória SC⁶1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Rio Ave⁶1.5-1L

02-12-23

^0.11Rio Ave¹⁹1 - 1⁽²⁾Estrela Amadora⁷1.50.33W

05-11-23

^0.15Rio Ave⁶2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Boavista⁵1.50.31W

21-05-23

^0.13Paços de Ferreira⁷3 - 1⁽¹⁾Rio Ave⁶1.50.33W

16-04-23

^0.12Rio Ave⁷1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Casa Pia⁶1.50.56W

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

106-7.821.39-7.38%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -16 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Estoril (ELO: 1459) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

81.31.3416.25%

15-12-24

^-16Estoril⁸0 - 2Casa Pia⁶1.50.55W

15-09-24

⁰Estoril¹⁴1 - 0Nacional¹³1.5-1L

18-02-24

^-30Estoril⁷1 - 3Gil Vicente⁴1.50.3W

13-01-24

^-27Estoril³1 - 3Moreirense⁴1.50.31W

30-12-23

^-20Estoril¹²4 - 0Farense¹⁴1.50.21W

10-12-23

^-14Estoril³4 - 0Chaves⁸1.50.26W

10-11-23

^-29Estoril⁶4 - 0Casa Pia⁴1.50.36W

23-09-23

^-39Estoril⁵2 - 2Vizela⁶1.50.31W

Rio Ave (ELO 1475) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-1.021.41-12.75%

10-02-25

⁷Arouca⁸1 - 1Rio Ave³1.50.33W

06-01-25

^-10Gil Vicente⁹1 - 1Rio Ave⁷1.50.37W

07-12-24

^-22Santa Clara⁶1 - 0Rio Ave⁶1.5-1L

14-04-24

^-40Estrela Amadora⁶2 - 2Rio Ave⁷1.50.48W

30-03-24

^-8Boavista¹²0 - 0Rio Ave¹³1.5-1L

16-03-24

^-21Farense⁶1 - 1Rio Ave⁶1.50.39W

21-01-24

^-25Chaves⁷0 - 0Rio Ave⁶1.5-1L

02-09-23

⁴Casa Pia⁵1 - 1Rio Ave⁴1.50.41W

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Estoril's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-1.551.32-19.38%

25-08-24

Estoril⁶0 - 0Gil Vicente⁸1.5-1L

18-08-24

Vitória SC²1 - 0Estoril⁶1.5-1L

18-05-24

Moreirense⁵2 - 1Estoril⁶1.50.31W

05-05-24

Farense⁵3 - 2Estoril⁶1.50.27W

28-04-24

Estoril⁶1 - 0Famalicão⁶1.5-1L

25-02-24

Vizela⁶3 - 3Estoril⁶1.50.28W

20-01-24

Estoril⁶1 - 2Arouca⁴1.50.26W

17-12-23

Famalicão⁷1 - 1Estoril⁶1.50.33W

Rio Ave's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.941.3111.75%

16-02-25

Rio Ave⁵1 - 1AVS⁷1.50.36W

18-01-25

Rio Ave⁵0 - 3Sporting CP⁶1.50.21W

29-12-24

Rio Ave⁵2 - 1Nacional⁵1.50.34W

02-11-24

Rio Ave⁵2 - 2Casa Pia⁷1.50.41W

09-08-24

Sporting CP⁵3 - 1Rio Ave⁵1.50.13W

17-05-24

Rio Ave⁵1 - 1Benfica⁴1.50.13W

02-03-24

Moreirense⁶0 - 0Rio Ave⁵1.5-1L

16-12-23

Rio Ave⁵1 - 1Vizela⁷1.50.36W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Estoril's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

61.961.3332.67%

25-02-24

Vizela⁶3 - 3Estoril⁶1.50.28W

18-02-24

Estoril⁷1 - 3Gil Vicente⁴1.50.3W

27-02-23

Sporting CP³2 - 0Estoril⁸1.50.18W

18-02-23

Estoril⁴1 - 3Paços de Ferreira¹¹1.50.43W

27-02-22

Estoril⁶2 - 3Boavista⁸1.50.48W

20-02-22

Sporting CP⁴3 - 0Estoril⁷1.50.29W

Rio Ave's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

3-1.811.27-60.33%

25-02-24

Rio Ave⁸3 - 3Sporting CP²1.50.19W

26-02-23

Rio Ave⁷1 - 0Chaves⁵1.5-1L

18-02-23

Porto⁵1 - 0Rio Ave⁴1.5-1L

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Primeira Liga Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

2.672.562.572.4

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Primeira Liga1992.56

2023/2024

Primeira Liga3062.87

2022/2023

Primeira Liga3062.49

2021/2022

Primeira Liga3062.64

Primeira Liga Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

72.77%1.3771.86%1.3974%1.3570%1.43

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Primeira Liga19971.86% 1.39

2023/2024

Primeira Liga30675.16% 1.33

2022/2023

Primeira Liga30666.34% 1.51

2021/2022

Primeira Liga30676.8% 1.3

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Primeira Liga First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.181.201.21.2

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Primeira Liga1991.20

2023/2024

Primeira Liga3061.24

2022/2023

Primeira Liga3061.10

2021/2022

Primeira Liga3061.20

Primeira Liga Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.491.361.21.37

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

Primeira Liga1991.36

2023/2024

Primeira Liga3061.63

2022/2023

Primeira Liga3061.39

2021/2022

Primeira Liga3061.44

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

19-0.521.33-2.74%

Last 2 seasons - 8 vs 11 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

2-0.711.27-35.5%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Estoril matches against table positions: 10,11,12

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

41.711.4342.75%

15-12-24

¹²Estoril⁸0 - 2¹¹Casa Pia⁶1.50.55W

11-08-24

⁹Estoril⁷1 - 4¹⁰Santa Clara⁷1.50.5W

18-02-24

¹⁴Estoril⁷1 - 3¹²Gil Vicente⁴1.50.3W

18-03-23

¹⁵Estoril⁷0 - 2¹²Chaves⁶1.50.36W

Rio Ave matches against table positions: 7,8,9

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

20.681.3434%

29-09-24

⁷Sporting Braga²4 - 0¹⁰Rio Ave⁷1.50.27W

02-09-23

⁷Casa Pia⁵1 - 1¹⁴Rio Ave⁴1.50.41W

YOUR TEXT

Estoril vs Rio Ave - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

PORTUGAL - Primeira Liga

Injuries & Suspensions

Estoril's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Estoril's home matches when WIN odds between 2 and 2.3

Rio Ave's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Rio Ave's away matches when WIN odds between 3.7 and 4.2

Estoril's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Estoril's last 10 home matches

Rio Ave's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Rio Ave's last 10 away matches.

Estoril's all matches (last 6 matches)

Estoril's all matches - last 6

Rio Ave's all matches (last 6 matches)

Rio Ave's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Primeira Liga Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.11 - 0.16 )

Estoril's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.11 - 0.16 )

Rio Ave's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.11 - 0.16 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Estoril (ELO: 1459) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Rio Ave (ELO 1475) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Estoril's all matches (last 8 matches)

Rio Ave's all matches (last 8 matches)

Estoril's all matches (last 8 matches)

Rio Ave's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Primeira Liga Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Primeira Liga Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Primeira Liga First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Primeira Liga Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 8 vs 11 in the table

Estoril matches against table positions: 10,11,12

Rio Ave matches against table positions: 7,8,9

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