Auckland vs Melbourne City - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

AUSTRALIA - A-League

2025-01-18
04:00:00

Auckland⁶

Melbourne City⁶

B. Abraham

2.353.563.41

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36

Injuries & Suspensions

Auckland

Melbourne City

No absences...

M. Leckie

Hamstring

App: 2 (0), G: 0

H. Sakai

Head Injury

App: 10 (10), G: 1

A. Kuen

Hamstring

App: 8 (7), G: 2

J. Jeggo

Achilles Strain

App: 4 (3), G: 0

Y. Cohen

MCL Knee Injury

App: 9 (8), G: 4

A. Nabbout

ACL Knee Injury

App: 3 (3), G: 2

M. Tilio

Hamstring

App: 3 (3), G: 1

A-League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Melbourne City1273221101124WWWDD

2Adelaide United117312617924WWLDW

3Auckland11722169723LDWLD

4Sydney136342920921DWWDW

5Macarthur136342718921WLWWD

6Western United136342319421WLWWW

7Melbourne Victory125431814419LDDLD

8Western Sydney Wanderers125342823518WDLWW

9Wellington Phoenix124261316-314DLLWL

10Central Coast Mariners123541221-914LWDLD

11Newcastle Jets113171318-510LWDLW

12Perth Glory142210935-268LWLLL

13Brisbane Roar1202101227-152LLLLL

LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Auckland's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.251.2525%

Auckland's home matches when WIN odds between 2.2 and 2.5

19-10-24

Auckland²⁷2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Brisbane Roar¹⁵1.50.25W

Melbourne City's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

0000%

Melbourne City's away matches when WIN odds between 3.2 and 3.7

MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Auckland's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-11.24-16.67%

Auckland's last 10 home matches

01-01-25

Auckland³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Melbourne Victory³1.5-1L

21-12-24

Auckland⁵0 - 4⁽¹⁾Western United⁶1.50.18W

07-12-24

Auckland⁶2 - 1⁽¹⁾Wellington Phoenix¹²1.50.34W

30-11-24

Auckland⁵2 - 0⁽²⁾Newcastle Jets⁷1.50.23W

27-10-24

Auckland⁷1 - 0⁽¹⁾Sydney³1.5-1L

19-10-24

Auckland²⁷2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Brisbane Roar¹⁵1.50.25W

Melbourne City's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10-0.281.21-2.8%

Melbourne City's last 10 away matches.

31-12-24

Central Coast Mariners²1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Melbourne City⁹1.50.29W

21-12-24

Melbourne Victory¹²1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Melbourne City⁵1.50.24W

06-12-24

Brisbane Roar⁵1 - 4⁽²⁾Melbourne City⁵1.50.17W

10-11-24

Perth Glory⁷0 - 5⁽²⁾Melbourne City⁵1.50.22W

04-11-24

Western United⁷0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Melbourne City⁸1.5-1L

19-10-24

Newcastle Jets²³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Melbourne City¹⁵1.5-1L

20-04-24

Western Sydney Wanderers⁶1 - 2⁽⁰⁾Melbourne City⁵1.50.15W

06-04-24

Melbourne Victory⁵2 - 1⁽¹⁾Melbourne City³1.50.26W

02-04-24

Central Coast Mariners^2(A)2 - 1⁽¹⁾Melbourne City²1.50.25W

01-03-24

Macarthur⁴2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Melbourne City⁵1.50.14W

SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Auckland's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

6-0.841.28-14%

Auckland's all matches - last 6

11-01-25

Perth Glory^2(A)1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Auckland⁹1.5-1L

01-01-25

Auckland³0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Melbourne Victory³1.5-1L

28-12-24

Central Coast Mariners⁴1 - 4⁽¹⁾Auckland⁶1.50.37W

21-12-24

Auckland⁵0 - 4⁽¹⁾Western United⁶1.50.18W

15-12-24

Melbourne City⁸2 - 2⁽²⁾Auckland⁷1.50.27W

07-12-24

Auckland⁶2 - 1⁽¹⁾Wellington Phoenix¹²1.50.34W

Melbourne City's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

60.341.265.67%

Melbourne City's all matches - last 6

11-01-25

Melbourne City³1 - 0⁽⁰⁾Brisbane Roar³1.5-1L

07-01-25

Melbourne City³2 - 0⁽⁰⁾Western United³1.50.24W

03-01-25

Melbourne City^2(A)2 - 0⁽¹⁾Wellington Phoenix⁵1.50.3W

31-12-24

Central Coast Mariners²1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Melbourne City⁹1.50.29W

21-12-24

Melbourne Victory¹²1 - 1⁽⁰⁾Melbourne City⁵1.50.24W

15-12-24

Melbourne City⁸2 - 2⁽²⁾Auckland⁷1.50.27W

HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.271.2727%

H2H matches - last 6

15-12-24

Melbourne City⁸2 - 2⁽²⁾Auckland⁷1.50.27W

A-League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm

1Melbourne City1273221101124WWWDD

2Adelaide United117312617924WWLDW

3Auckland11722169723LDWLD

4Sydney136342920921DWWDW

5Macarthur136342718921WLWWD

6Western United136342319421WLWWW

7Melbourne Victory125431814419LDDLD

8Western Sydney Wanderers125342823518WDLWW

9Wellington Phoenix124261316-314DLLWL

10Central Coast Mariners123541221-914LWDLD

11Newcastle Jets113171318-510LWDLW

12Perth Glory142210935-268LWLLL

13Brisbane Roar1202101227-152LLLLL

POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -18%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG

0.55 (1.82)-0.18 (1.36)0.621.24

A-League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.21 - -0.16 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

25-3.791.19-15.16%

Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Auckland's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.21 - -0.16 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

10.181.1818.00%

21-12-24

^-0.19Auckland⁵0 - 4⁽¹⁾Western United⁶1.50.18W

Melbourne City's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.21 - -0.16 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

2-2.001.21-100.00%

19-10-24

^-0.20Newcastle Jets²³0 - 1⁽⁰⁾Melbourne City¹⁵1.5-1L

17-02-24

^-0.17Melbourne City⁶0 - 0⁽⁰⁾Melbourne Victory⁶1.5-1L

ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-27%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Auckland (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-27%

Melbourne City (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

000-27%

SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Auckland's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

20.711.3635.5%

28-12-24

Central Coast Mariners⁴1 - 4Auckland⁶1.50.37W

07-12-24

Auckland⁶2 - 1Wellington Phoenix¹²1.50.34W

Melbourne City's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

80.481.216%

26-10-24

Melbourne City⁶1 - 3Melbourne Victory⁷1.50.26W

24-02-24

Sydney⁶1 - 1Melbourne City⁶1.50.15W

17-02-24

Melbourne City⁶0 - 0Melbourne Victory⁶1.5-1L

19-05-23

Melbourne City⁶4 - 0Sydney⁶1.50.24W

22-04-23

Western United⁵1 - 3Melbourne City⁶1.50.2W

19-03-23

Macarthur⁷1 - 1Melbourne City⁶1.50.15W

25-02-23

Melbourne City⁶3 - 2Sydney⁶1.50.2W

18-02-23

Melbourne Victory⁵3 - 2Melbourne City⁶1.50.28W

HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Auckland's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

0006%

Melbourne City's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

5-1.351.24-27%

21-01-24

Central Coast Mariners⁷2 - 1Melbourne City⁸1.50.15W

12-01-24

Melbourne City⁴0 - 1Western Sydney Wanderers⁵1.5-1L

21-01-23

Brisbane Roar⁶0 - 0Melbourne City⁵1.5-1L

15-01-23

Western Sydney Wanderers⁸1 - 1Melbourne City⁷1.50.29W

15-01-22

Adelaide United⁶2 - 2Melbourne City⁵1.50.21W

League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

A-League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

3.083.133.23.03

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

A-League793.13

2023/2024

A-League1663.30

2022/2023

A-League1633.07

2021/2022

A-League1632.88

A-League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

81.09%1.2379.75%1.2579%1.2776.67%1.3

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

A-League7979.75% 1.25

2023/2024

A-League16681.93% 1.22

2022/2023

A-League16381.6% 1.23

2021/2022

A-League16379.75% 1.25

Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

A-League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.311.351.41.38

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

A-League791.35

2023/2024

A-League1661.38

2022/2023

A-League1631.38

2021/2022

A-League1631.17

A-League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG

1.771.771.631.82

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025

A-League791.77

2023/2024

A-League1661.92

2022/2023

A-League1631.69

2021/2022

A-League1631.71

League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

19-0.891.21-4.68%

Last 2 seasons - 4 vs 1 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

51.141.2322.8%

Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Auckland matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

1-11.29-100%

01-01-25

¹Auckland³0 - 0³Melbourne Victory³1.5-1L

Melbourne City matches against table positions: 3,4,5

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %

8-0.921.19-11.5%

21-12-24

³Melbourne Victory¹²1 - 1⁴Melbourne City⁵1.50.24W

19-10-24

⁴Newcastle Jets²³0 - 1³Melbourne City¹⁵1.5-1L

06-04-24

³Melbourne Victory⁵2 - 1⁷Melbourne City³1.50.26W

01-03-24

⁴Macarthur⁴2 - 0⁷Melbourne City⁵1.50.14W

24-02-24

⁵Sydney⁶1 - 1⁷Melbourne City⁶1.50.15W

21-01-24

⁵Central Coast Mariners⁷2 - 1⁷Melbourne City⁸1.50.15W

25-11-23

⁴Wellington Phoenix¹⁴1 - 0⁹Melbourne City¹²1.5-1L

29-10-23

⁵Adelaide United⁸6 - 0¹⁰Melbourne City³1.50.14W

YOUR TEXT

Auckland vs Melbourne City - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

AUSTRALIA - A-League

Injuries & Suspensions

Auckland's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Auckland's home matches when WIN odds between 2.2 and 2.5

Melbourne City's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

Melbourne City's away matches when WIN odds between 3.2 and 3.7

Auckland's home matches (last 10 all matches)

Auckland's last 10 home matches

Melbourne City's away matches (last 10 all matches)

Melbourne City's last 10 away matches.

Auckland's all matches (last 6 matches)

Auckland's all matches - last 6

Melbourne City's all matches (last 6 matches)

Melbourne City's all matches - last 6

H2H Matches

H2H matches - last 6

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

A-League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.21 - -0.16 )

Auckland's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.21 - -0.16 )

Melbourne City's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.21 - -0.16 )

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

Auckland (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Melbourne City (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

Auckland's all matches (last 8 matches)

Melbourne City's all matches (last 8 matches)

Auckland's all matches (last 8 matches)

Melbourne City's all matches (last 8 matches)

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

A-League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

A-League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

A-League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

A-League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

Last 2 seasons - 4 vs 1 in the table

Auckland matches against table positions: 1,2,3

Melbourne City matches against table positions: 3,4,5

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