Sydney vs Brisbane Roar - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

AUSTRALIA - A-League

Sydney Logo

2025-01-18
06:00:00
Brisbane Roar Logo
Sydney2(A)
Brisbane Roar6

Allianz Stadium (Sydney)
T. Danaskos
1.435.907.49
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.16

Injuries & Suspensions

Sydney
Brisbane Roar
D. Costa de Souza
Hamstring
App: 6 (6), G: 2
B. Warland
ACL Knee Injury
App: 8 (8), G: 0
A-League Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Melbourne City1273221101124WWWDD
2Adelaide United117312617924WWLDW
3Auckland11722169723LDWLD
4Sydney136342920921DWWDW
5Macarthur136342718921WLWWD
6Western United136342319421WLWWW
7Melbourne Victory125431814419LDDLD
8Western Sydney Wanderers125342823518WDLWW
9Wellington Phoenix124261316-314DLLWL
10Central Coast Mariners123541221-914LWDLD
11Newcastle Jets113171318-510LWDLW
12Perth Glory142210935-268LWLLL
13Brisbane Roar1202101227-152LLLLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Sydney's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.11.110%

Sydney's home matches when WIN odds between 1.3 and 1.5

28-04-24Sydney77 - 1 (2)Perth Glory61.50.1W

Brisbane Roar's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.681.17-22.67%

Brisbane Roar's away matches when WIN odds between 6.2 and 8.7

11-01-25Melbourne City31 - 0 (0)Brisbane Roar31.5-1L
27-01-24Central Coast Mariners52 - 0 (1)Brisbane Roar31.50.15W
12-03-23Melbourne City82 - 1 (2)Brisbane Roar61.50.17W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Sydney's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.581.1615.8%

Sydney's last 10 home matches

11-01-25Sydney24 - 1 (2)Central Coast Mariners71.50.16W
08-01-25Sydney33 - 0 (1)Perth Glory41.50.1W
28-12-24Sydney73 - 0 (1)Melbourne Victory61.50.18W
14-12-24Sydney53 - 4 (1)Western United61.50.11W
23-11-24Sydney124 - 2 (2)Western Sydney Wanderers141.50.17W
10-11-24Sydney21 - 2 (2)Macarthur61.50.15W
10-05-24Sydney51 - 2 (0)Central Coast Mariners41.50.33W
04-05-24Sydney54 - 0 (1)Macarthur61.50.11W
28-04-24Sydney77 - 1 (2)Perth Glory61.50.1W
13-04-24Sydney52 - 1 (2)Western Sydney Wanderers71.50.17W

Brisbane Roar's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-31.17-30%

Brisbane Roar's last 10 away matches.

11-01-25Melbourne City31 - 0 (0)Brisbane Roar31.5-1L
29-12-24Western United71 - 0 (0)Brisbane Roar71.5-1L
14-12-24Western Sydney Wanderers132 - 2 (0)Brisbane Roar71.50.14W
30-11-24Macarthur54 - 4 (3)Brisbane Roar61.50.15W
09-11-24Melbourne Victory52 - 0 (1)Brisbane Roar71.50.18W
19-10-24Auckland272 - 0 (0)Brisbane Roar151.50.25W
20-04-24Melbourne Victory70 - 0 (0)Brisbane Roar61.5-1L
05-04-24Western Sydney Wanderers31 - 2 (1)Brisbane Roar41.50.17W
31-03-24Wellington Phoenix141 - 0 (0)Brisbane Roar141.5-1L
10-03-24Sydney71 - 1 (0)Brisbane Roar61.50.11W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Sydney's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.341.14-5.67%

Sydney's all matches - last 6

15-01-25Wellington Phoenix30 - 0 (0)Sydney31.5-1L
11-01-25Sydney24 - 1 (2)Central Coast Mariners71.50.16W
08-01-25Sydney33 - 0 (1)Perth Glory41.50.1W
04-01-25Newcastle Jets62 - 2 (2)Sydney61.50.12W
28-12-24Sydney73 - 0 (1)Melbourne Victory61.50.18W
20-12-24Adelaide United63 - 3 (2)Sydney51.50.1W

Brisbane Roar's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-3.561.19-59.33%

Brisbane Roar's all matches - last 6

11-01-25Melbourne City31 - 0 (0)Brisbane Roar31.5-1L
07-01-25Brisbane Roar30 - 1 (0)Newcastle Jets21.5-1L
03-01-25Brisbane Roar41 - 3 (2)Central Coast Mariners21.50.3W
29-12-24Western United71 - 0 (0)Brisbane Roar71.5-1L
21-12-24Brisbane Roar60 - 1 (0)Perth Glory61.5-1L
14-12-24Western Sydney Wanderers132 - 2 (0)Brisbane Roar71.50.14W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.151.1919.17%

H2H matches - last 6

01-11-24Brisbane Roar122 - 3 (2)Sydney41.50.2W
10-03-24Sydney71 - 1 (0)Brisbane Roar61.50.11W
06-01-24Brisbane Roar81 - 2 (0)Sydney71.50.12W
27-10-23Brisbane Roar53 - 0 (0)Sydney51.50.19W
24-04-23Brisbane Roar70 - 2 (1)Sydney71.50.25W
18-02-23Sydney61 - 1 (1)Brisbane Roar71.50.28W
A-League Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Melbourne City1273221101124WWWDD
2Adelaide United117312617924WWLDW
3Auckland11722169723LDWLD
4Sydney136342920921DWWDW
5Macarthur136342718921WLWWD
6Western United136342319421WLWWW
7Melbourne Victory125431814419LDDLD
8Western Sydney Wanderers125342823518WDLWW
9Wellington Phoenix124261316-314DLLWL
10Central Coast Mariners123541221-914LWDLD
11Newcastle Jets113171318-510LWDLW
12Perth Glory142210935-268LWLLL
13Brisbane Roar1202101227-152LLLLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -8%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.78 (1.28)-0.08 (1.16)2.620.27

A-League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.11 - -0.06 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
40-2.731.20-6.83%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Sydney's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.11 - -0.06 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-1.331.22-26.60%
10-11-24-0.06Sydney21 - 2 (2)Macarthur61.50.15W
20-04-24-0.10Macarthur71 - 0 (0)Sydney61.5-1L
26-01-24-0.08Melbourne Victory61 - 1 (0)Sydney61.50.21W
18-03-23-0.09Sydney50 - 4 (0)Western Sydney Wanderers71.50.31W
11-02-23-0.10Western Sydney Wanderers50 - 1 (0)Sydney61.5-1L

Brisbane Roar's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.11 - -0.06 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.331.21-8.25%
20-04-24-0.10Melbourne Victory70 - 0 (0)Brisbane Roar61.5-1L
28-12-23-0.10Melbourne City48 - 1 (2)Brisbane Roar61.50.17W
01-04-23-0.09Central Coast Mariners124 - 1 (1)Brisbane Roar131.50.22W
05-03-23-0.09Macarthur73 - 2 (3)Brisbane Roar61.50.28W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-40%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Sydney (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-40%

Brisbane Roar (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-40%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Sydney's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
81.731.2221.63%
11-01-25Sydney24 - 1Central Coast Mariners71.50.16W
08-12-24Central Coast Mariners42 - 1Sydney21.50.2W
10-11-24Sydney21 - 2Macarthur61.50.15W
10-05-22Brisbane Roar63 - 1Sydney21.50.23W
12-04-22Sydney2(A)2 - 3Adelaide United31.50.19W
09-04-22Central Coast Mariners30 - 5Sydney2(A)1.50.23W
02-04-22Sydney23 - 2Western Sydney Wanderers51.50.28W
26-02-22Sydney2(A)1 - 2Melbourne City31.50.29W

Brisbane Roar's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.031.16-12.88%
21-12-24Brisbane Roar60 - 1Perth Glory61.5-1L
30-11-24Macarthur54 - 4Brisbane Roar61.50.15W
20-04-24Melbourne Victory70 - 0Brisbane Roar61.5-1L
10-03-24Sydney71 - 1Brisbane Roar61.50.11W
17-02-24Perth Glory73 - 2Brisbane Roar61.50.15W
28-12-23Melbourne City48 - 1Brisbane Roar61.50.17W
08-04-23Brisbane Roar63 - 0Newcastle Jets51.50.22W
12-03-23Melbourne City82 - 1Brisbane Roar61.50.17W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Sydney's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.091.221.5%
19-01-24Sydney54 - 0Newcastle Jets41.50.09W
13-01-24Adelaide United44 - 3Sydney61.50.1W
21-01-23Western United51 - 0Sydney61.5-1L
14-01-23Perth Glory32 - 2Sydney61.50.28W
22-01-22Sydney31 - 2Perth Glory2(A)1.50.29W
15-01-22Sydney21 - 1Brisbane Roar2(A)1.50.33W

Brisbane Roar's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-2.41.26-40%
18-01-24Brisbane Roar31 - 3Macarthur51.50.13W
14-01-24Brisbane Roar73 - 2Newcastle Jets81.50.14W
21-01-23Brisbane Roar60 - 0Melbourne City51.5-1L
14-01-23Brisbane Roar30 - 1Wellington Phoenix61.5-1L
19-01-22Brisbane Roar31 - 0Perth Glory101.5-1L
15-01-22Sydney21 - 1Brisbane Roar2(A)1.50.33W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

A-League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
3.083.133.23.03

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025A-League793.13
2023/2024A-League1663.30
2022/2023A-League1633.07
2021/2022A-League1632.88

A-League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
81.09%1.2379.75%1.2579%1.2776.67%1.3

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025A-League7979.75% 1.25
2023/2024A-League16681.93% 1.22
2022/2023A-League16381.6% 1.23
2021/2022A-League16379.75% 1.25
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

A-League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.311.351.41.38

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025A-League791.35
2023/2024A-League1661.38
2022/2023A-League1631.38
2021/2022A-League1631.17

A-League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.771.771.631.82

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025A-League791.77
2023/2024A-League1661.92
2022/2023A-League1631.69
2021/2022A-League1631.71
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
13-0.161.19-1.23%

Last 2 seasons - 5 vs 13 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-1.23%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Sydney matches against table positions: 11,12,13

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.661.16-16.5%
08-01-258Sydney33 - 012Perth Glory41.50.1W
28-04-245Sydney77 - 112Perth Glory61.50.1W
23-12-2310Sydney64 - 211Western United71.50.14W
04-03-236Sydney61 - 012Melbourne Victory51.5-1L

Brisbane Roar matches against table positions: 4,5,6

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
81.531.1919.13%
05-04-246Western Sydney Wanderers31 - 28Brisbane Roar41.50.17W
10-03-245Sydney71 - 18Brisbane Roar61.50.11W
27-01-244Central Coast Mariners52 - 09Brisbane Roar31.50.15W
10-12-235Adelaide United50 - 24Brisbane Roar81.50.11W
04-11-236Wellington Phoenix65 - 24Brisbane Roar71.50.2W
16-04-235Wellington Phoenix52 - 29Brisbane Roar71.50.29W
01-04-234Central Coast Mariners124 - 112Brisbane Roar131.50.22W
18-02-236Sydney61 - 110Brisbane Roar71.50.28W
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