Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)
AUSTRALIA - A-League
2025-01-18
08:35:00
Adelaide United6
Melbourne Victory7
Coopers Stadium (Adelaide)
A. Faghani
2.264.133.18
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.16
Injuries & Suspensions
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
No absences...
J. Elsey
Leg Injury
App: 0 (0), G: 0
A-League Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Melbourne City1273221101124WWWDD
2Adelaide United117312617924WWLDW
3Western United147342620624WWLWW
4Auckland11722169723LDWLD
5Sydney136342920921DWWDW
6Macarthur136342718921WLWWD
7Melbourne Victory125431814419LDDLD
8Western Sydney Wanderers135352926318LWDLW
9Central Coast Mariners134541522-717WLWDL
10Wellington Phoenix124261316-314DLLWL
11Newcastle Jets123181421-710LLWDL
12Perth Glory142210935-268LWLLL
13Brisbane Roar1202101227-152LLLLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)
Adelaide United's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
102.081.2120.8%
Adelaide United's home matches when WIN odds between 2.1 and 2.4
20-12-24Adelaide United63 - 3 (2)Sydney51.50.1W
10-12-23Adelaide United50 - 2 (0)Brisbane Roar81.50.11W
11-11-23Adelaide United61 - 5 (0)Sydney71.50.14W
07-04-23Adelaide United61 - 1 (1)Sydney51.50.21W
04-02-23Adelaide United52 - 1 (1)Brisbane Roar71.50.33W
14-01-23Adelaide United61 - 1 (0)Melbourne Victory71.50.25W
15-05-22Adelaide United63 - 1 (1)Central Coast Mariners71.50.25W
08-05-22Adelaide United72 - 1 (0)Western United31.50.23W
30-04-22Adelaide United52 - 0 (0)Brisbane Roar41.50.27W
16-03-22Adelaide United21 - 2 (0)Western Sydney Wanderers31.50.19W
Melbourne Victory's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.211.27-5.25%
Melbourne Victory's away matches when WIN odds between 3 and 3.3
01-01-25Auckland30 - 0 (0)Melbourne Victory31.5-1L
15-04-23Western Sydney Wanderers62 - 1 (1)Melbourne Victory51.50.27W
14-01-23Adelaide United61 - 1 (0)Melbourne Victory71.50.25W
08-10-22Sydney62 - 3 (2)Melbourne Victory41.50.27W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES
Adelaide United's home matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.281.1312.8%
Adelaide United's last 10 home matches
27-12-24Adelaide United62 - 3 (1)Western Sydney Wanderers41.50.1W
20-12-24Adelaide United63 - 3 (2)Sydney51.50.1W
29-11-24Adelaide United52 - 2 (0)Perth Glory61.50.11W
09-11-24Adelaide United62 - 1 (0)Western United41.50.14W
26-10-24Adelaide United41 - 1 (0)Central Coast Mariners31.50.18W
12-04-24Adelaide United41 - 2 (2)Macarthur51.50.09W
29-03-24Adelaide United134 - 1 (1)Western United141.50.11W
09-03-24Adelaide United51 - 2 (0)Melbourne Victory51.50.17W
24-02-24Adelaide United61 - 2 (1)Western Sydney Wanderers51.50.15W
09-02-24Adelaide United53 - 3 (2)Perth Glory61.50.13W
Melbourne Victory's away matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.771.24-27.7%
Melbourne Victory's last 10 away matches.
01-01-25Auckland30 - 0 (0)Melbourne Victory31.5-1L
28-12-24Sydney73 - 0 (1)Melbourne Victory61.50.18W
01-12-24Western United81 - 3 (0)Melbourne Victory61.50.23W
24-11-24Wellington Phoenix131 - 0 (1)Melbourne Victory141.5-1L
26-10-24Melbourne City61 - 3 (0)Melbourne Victory71.50.26W
18-10-24Central Coast Mariners160 - 0 (0)Melbourne Victory181.5-1L
12-04-24Wellington Phoenix51 - 0 (1)Melbourne Victory51.5-1L
14-03-24Western United52 - 2 (2)Melbourne Victory41.50.19W
09-03-24Adelaide United51 - 2 (0)Melbourne Victory51.50.17W
03-03-24Brisbane Roar83 - 2 (1)Melbourne Victory61.50.2W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES
Adelaide United's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.311.14-5.17%
Adelaide United's all matches - last 6
11-01-25Wellington Phoenix71 - 2 (0)Adelaide United41.50.19W
06-01-25Macarthur41 - 2 (3)Adelaide United91.50.12W
27-12-24Adelaide United62 - 3 (1)Western Sydney Wanderers41.50.1W
20-12-24Adelaide United63 - 3 (2)Sydney51.50.1W
13-12-24Central Coast Mariners40 - 4 (0)Adelaide United51.50.18W
07-12-24Newcastle Jets60 - 1 (0)Adelaide United71.5-1L
Melbourne Victory's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.121.2-2%
Melbourne Victory's all matches - last 6
10-01-25Melbourne Victory53 - 4 (3)Western United2(A)1.50.18W
04-01-25Melbourne Victory2(A)2 - 2 (2)Western Sydney Wanderers21.50.15W
01-01-25Auckland30 - 0 (0)Melbourne Victory31.5-1L
28-12-24Sydney73 - 0 (1)Melbourne Victory61.50.18W
21-12-24Melbourne Victory121 - 1 (0)Melbourne City51.50.24W
08-12-24Melbourne Victory62 - 0 (0)Perth Glory81.50.13W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS
H2H Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.181.219.67%
H2H matches - last 6
09-03-24Adelaide United51 - 2 (0)Melbourne Victory51.50.17W
30-12-23Melbourne Victory62 - 0 (1)Adelaide United71.50.15W
04-11-23Melbourne Victory51 - 1 (0)Adelaide United51.50.15W
26-02-23Melbourne Victory71 - 1 (2)Adelaide United61.50.21W
14-01-23Adelaide United61 - 1 (0)Melbourne Victory71.50.25W
11-11-22Adelaide United43 - 0 (2)Melbourne Victory61.50.25W
A-League Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Melbourne City1273221101124WWWDD
2Adelaide United117312617924WWLDW
3Western United147342620624WWLWW
4Auckland11722169723LDWLD
5Sydney136342920921DWWDW
6Macarthur136342718921WLWWD
7Melbourne Victory125431814419LDDLD
8Western Sydney Wanderers135352926318LWDLW
9Central Coast Mariners134541522-717WLWDL
10Wellington Phoenix124261316-314DLLWL
11Newcastle Jets123181421-710LLWDL
12Perth Glory142210935-268LWLLL
13Brisbane Roar1202101227-152LLLLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)
Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 2%
LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL
Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.88 (1.14)0.02 (1.16)2.720.97
A-League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.01 - 0.05 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61-2.461.17-4.03%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown
Adelaide United's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.01 - 0.05 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.901.14-9.00%
11-01-250.01Wellington Phoenix71 - 2 (0)Adelaide United41.50.19W
06-01-250.03Macarthur41 - 2 (3)Adelaide United91.50.12W
07-12-240.00Newcastle Jets60 - 1 (0)Adelaide United71.5-1L
01-05-240.02Central Coast Mariners32 - 0 (1)Adelaide United41.50.15W
12-04-240.02Adelaide United41 - 2 (2)Macarthur51.50.09W
24-02-240.01Adelaide United61 - 2 (1)Western Sydney Wanderers51.50.15W
17-02-240.04Sydney62 - 1 (2)Adelaide United71.50.11W
26-11-230.03Western United141 - 3 (0)Adelaide United141.50.17W
20-05-230.01Central Coast Mariners62 - 0 (0)Adelaide United61.50.12W
16-04-230.03Adelaide United80 - 1 (0)Western United81.5-1L
Melbourne Victory's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.01 - 0.05 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-0.181.21-3.60%
28-12-240.03Sydney73 - 0 (1)Melbourne Victory61.50.18W
23-12-230.03Melbourne City50 - 0 (0)Melbourne Victory61.5-1L
03-12-230.00Central Coast Mariners32 - 2 (0)Melbourne Victory81.50.18W
19-03-230.03Melbourne Victory52 - 0 (0)Central Coast Mariners71.50.23W
13-03-230.02Melbourne Victory81 - 2 (0)Western United81.50.23W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS
Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00030.5%
ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)
ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)
Adelaide United (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00030.5%
Melbourne Victory (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00030.5%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES
Adelaide United's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
81.021.1312.75%
27-12-24Adelaide United62 - 3Western Sydney Wanderers41.50.1W
20-12-24Adelaide United63 - 3Sydney51.50.1W
09-11-24Adelaide United62 - 1Western United41.50.14W
02-11-24Western Sydney Wanderers53 - 4Adelaide United61.50.14W
24-02-24Adelaide United61 - 2Western Sydney Wanderers51.50.15W
22-12-23Adelaide United63 - 1Newcastle Jets51.50.13W
11-11-23Adelaide United61 - 5Sydney71.50.14W
20-05-23Central Coast Mariners62 - 0Adelaide United61.50.12W
Melbourne Victory's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.531.216.63%
03-11-24Melbourne Victory72 - 1Macarthur81.50.19W
26-10-24Melbourne City61 - 3Melbourne Victory71.50.26W
20-04-24Melbourne Victory70 - 0Brisbane Roar61.5-1L
03-02-24Newcastle Jets61 - 1Melbourne Victory71.50.19W
29-10-23Melbourne Victory75 - 3Newcastle Jets61.50.19W
23-04-23Melbourne Victory72 - 1Macarthur81.50.21W
26-02-23Melbourne Victory71 - 1Adelaide United61.50.21W
03-02-23Melbourne Victory73 - 1Wellington Phoenix51.50.28W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)
Adelaide United's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-0.121.21-2.4%
13-01-24Adelaide United44 - 3Sydney61.50.1W
20-01-23Adelaide United51 - 0Macarthur61.5-1L
14-01-23Adelaide United61 - 1Melbourne Victory71.50.25W
23-01-22Brisbane Roar31 - 3Adelaide United71.50.32W
15-01-22Adelaide United62 - 2Melbourne City51.50.21W
Melbourne Victory's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41.221.3130.5%
19-01-24Wellington Phoenix41 - 1Melbourne Victory51.50.25W
13-01-24Central Coast Mariners61 - 1Melbourne Victory61.50.23W
21-01-23Perth Glory63 - 1Melbourne Victory61.50.49W
14-01-23Adelaide United61 - 1Melbourne Victory71.50.25W
League Trends By Game Week
Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)
Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)
A-League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
3.083.153.233.13
Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025A-League813.15
2023/2024A-League1663.30
2022/2023A-League1633.07
2021/2022A-League1632.88
A-League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
81.09%1.2380.25%1.2579%1.2780%1.25
Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025A-League8180.25% 1.25
2023/2024A-League16681.93% 1.22
2022/2023A-League16381.6% 1.23
2021/2022A-League16379.75% 1.25
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)
A-League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.311.361.41.41
First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025A-League811.36
2023/2024A-League1661.38
2022/2023A-League1631.38
2021/2022A-League1631.17
A-League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.771.791.731.82
Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025A-League811.79
2023/2024A-League1661.92
2022/2023A-League1631.69
2021/2022A-League1631.71
League Positions - Stats
Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
19-0.081.19-0.42%
Last 2 seasons - 2 vs 7 in the table
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.791.1615.8%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS
Adelaide United matches against table positions: 6,7,8
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
81.071.1313.38%
27-12-242Adelaide United62 - 37Western Sydney Wanderers41.50.1W
20-12-242Adelaide United63 - 37Sydney51.50.1W
26-10-2410Adelaide United41 - 18Central Coast Mariners31.50.18W
24-02-249Adelaide United61 - 26Western Sydney Wanderers51.50.15W
13-01-247Adelaide United44 - 38Sydney61.50.1W
08-01-248Adelaide United31 - 16Macarthur21.50.08W
05-05-233Adelaide United62 - 06Wellington Phoenix51.50.15W
07-04-232Adelaide United61 - 16Sydney51.50.21W
Melbourne Victory matches against table positions: 1,2,3
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-1.31.25-26%
01-01-251Auckland30 - 03Melbourne Victory31.5-1L
12-04-242Wellington Phoenix51 - 03Melbourne Victory51.5-1L
19-01-242Wellington Phoenix41 - 11Melbourne Victory51.50.25W
10-12-233Western Sydney Wanderers83 - 46Melbourne Victory61.50.24W
05-04-231Melbourne City22 - 111Melbourne Victory31.50.21W