Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

AUSTRALIA - A-League

Melbourne Victory Logo

2025-02-22
08:35:00
Melbourne City Logo
Melbourne Victory7
Melbourne City6

J. Barreiro
2.283.793.37
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25

Injuries & Suspensions

Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
No absences...
J. Jeggo
Achilles Strain
App: 4 (3), G: 0
S. Ugarković
Hamstring
App: 16 (16), G: 3
S. Souprayen
Muscle Injury
App: 15 (14), G: 1
Y. Cohen
MCL Knee Injury
App: 9 (8), G: 4
A. Nabbout
ACL Knee Injury
App: 3 (3), G: 2
A-League Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Auckland16113226121436WWWDW
2Adelaide United169433427731LWLDW
3Melbourne Victory178452520528WLWWL
4Melbourne City168352215727WLLLW
5Western United177553026426LDDWW
6Sydney177463930925DWLLD
7Macarthur187473326725LDLWL
8Western Sydney Wanderers177463531425WDWLL
9Newcastle Jets176382627-121WWWDD
10Central Coast Mariners174942027-721DDDDW
11Wellington Phoenix165471619-319LDDWD
12Perth Glory1824121241-2910LDLDL
13Brisbane Roar1613121835-176LDLWL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Melbourne Victory's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.671.24-26.7%

Melbourne Victory's home matches when WIN odds between 2.1 and 2.4

24-01-25Melbourne Victory52 - 0 (1)Sydney51.50.13W
12-05-24Melbourne Victory60 - 0 (0)Wellington Phoenix141.5-1L
26-01-24Melbourne Victory61 - 1 (0)Sydney61.50.21W
16-12-23Melbourne Victory53 - 0 (0)Sydney61.50.19W
29-04-23Melbourne Victory50 - 1 (0)Brisbane Roar41.5-1L
26-02-23Melbourne Victory71 - 1 (2)Adelaide United61.50.21W
03-02-23Melbourne Victory73 - 1 (1)Wellington Phoenix51.50.28W
15-10-22Melbourne Victory60 - 1 (0)Western Sydney Wanderers51.5-1L
23-03-22Melbourne Victory31 - 1 (1)Western United31.50.31W
19-02-22Melbourne Victory2(A)1 - 0 (1)Central Coast Mariners51.5-1L

Melbourne City's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.71.24-35%

Melbourne City's away matches when WIN odds between 3.1 and 3.6

07-02-25Adelaide United51 - 0 (0)Melbourne City121.5-1L
18-01-25Auckland63 - 0 (0)Melbourne City61.50.3W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Melbourne Victory's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.631.19-6.3%

Melbourne Victory's last 10 home matches

14-02-25Melbourne Victory51 - 0 (0)Wellington Phoenix71.5-1L
24-01-25Melbourne Victory52 - 0 (1)Sydney51.50.13W
10-01-25Melbourne Victory53 - 4 (3)Western United2(A)1.50.18W
04-01-25Melbourne Victory2(A)2 - 2 (2)Western Sydney Wanderers21.50.15W
21-12-24Melbourne Victory121 - 1 (0)Melbourne City51.50.24W
08-12-24Melbourne Victory62 - 0 (0)Perth Glory81.50.13W
09-11-24Melbourne Victory52 - 0 (1)Brisbane Roar71.50.18W
03-11-24Melbourne Victory72 - 1 (0)Macarthur81.50.19W
12-05-24Melbourne Victory60 - 0 (0)Wellington Phoenix141.5-1L
27-04-24Melbourne Victory63 - 4 (1)Western Sydney Wanderers61.50.17W

Melbourne City's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.631.22-26.3%

Melbourne City's last 10 away matches.

07-02-25Adelaide United51 - 0 (0)Melbourne City121.5-1L
25-01-25Macarthur41 - 0 (0)Melbourne City61.5-1L
18-01-25Auckland63 - 0 (0)Melbourne City61.50.3W
31-12-24Central Coast Mariners21 - 1 (0)Melbourne City91.50.29W
21-12-24Melbourne Victory121 - 1 (0)Melbourne City51.50.24W
06-12-24Brisbane Roar51 - 4 (2)Melbourne City51.50.17W
10-11-24Perth Glory70 - 5 (2)Melbourne City51.50.22W
04-11-24Western United70 - 1 (0)Melbourne City81.5-1L
19-10-24Newcastle Jets230 - 1 (0)Melbourne City151.5-1L
20-04-24Western Sydney Wanderers61 - 2 (0)Melbourne City51.50.15W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Melbourne Victory's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.181.17-3%

Melbourne Victory's all matches - last 6

14-02-25Melbourne Victory51 - 0 (0)Wellington Phoenix71.5-1L
08-02-25Newcastle Jets63 - 0 (3)Melbourne Victory61.50.18W
01-02-25Perth Glory60 - 2 (0)Melbourne Victory71.50.17W
24-01-25Melbourne Victory52 - 0 (1)Sydney51.50.13W
18-01-25Adelaide United63 - 2 (0)Melbourne Victory71.50.16W
10-01-25Melbourne Victory53 - 4 (3)Western United2(A)1.50.18W

Melbourne City's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-3.461.22-57.67%

Melbourne City's all matches - last 6

15-02-25Melbourne City71 - 0 (0)Perth Glory71.5-1L
07-02-25Adelaide United51 - 0 (0)Melbourne City121.5-1L
25-01-25Macarthur41 - 0 (0)Melbourne City61.5-1L
18-01-25Auckland63 - 0 (0)Melbourne City61.50.3W
11-01-25Melbourne City31 - 0 (0)Brisbane Roar31.5-1L
07-01-25Melbourne City32 - 0 (0)Western United31.50.24W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.031.23-17.17%

H2H matches - last 6

21-12-24Melbourne Victory121 - 1 (0)Melbourne City51.50.24W
26-10-24Melbourne City61 - 3 (0)Melbourne Victory71.50.26W
06-04-24Melbourne Victory52 - 1 (1)Melbourne City31.50.26W
17-02-24Melbourne City60 - 0 (0)Melbourne Victory61.5-1L
23-12-23Melbourne City50 - 0 (0)Melbourne Victory61.5-1L
05-04-23Melbourne City22 - 1 (1)Melbourne Victory31.50.21W
A-League Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Auckland16113226121436WWWDW
2Adelaide United169433427731LWLDW
3Melbourne Victory178452520528WLWWL
4Melbourne City168352215727WLLLW
5Western United177553026426LDDWW
6Sydney177463930925DWLLD
7Macarthur187473326725LDLWL
8Western Sydney Wanderers177463531425WDWLL
9Newcastle Jets176382627-121WWWDD
10Central Coast Mariners174942027-721DDDDW
11Wellington Phoenix165471619-319LDDWD
12Perth Glory1824121241-2910LDLDL
13Brisbane Roar1613121835-176LDLWL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -30%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.50 (2)-0.30 (1.25)0.910.78

A-League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.33 - -0.28 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
12-0.061.21-0.50%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Melbourne Victory's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.33 - -0.28 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.161.25-19.33%
24-11-24-0.28Wellington Phoenix131 - 0 (1)Melbourne Victory141.5-1L
26-10-24-0.28Melbourne City61 - 3 (0)Melbourne Victory71.50.26W
18-10-24-0.31Central Coast Mariners160 - 0 (0)Melbourne Victory181.5-1L
14-03-24-0.29Western United52 - 2 (2)Melbourne Victory41.50.19W
03-03-24-0.32Brisbane Roar83 - 2 (1)Melbourne Victory61.50.2W
29-10-23-0.30Melbourne Victory75 - 3 (0)Newcastle Jets61.50.19W

Melbourne City's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.33 - -0.28 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.261.2626.00%
26-10-24-0.28Melbourne City61 - 3 (0)Melbourne Victory71.50.26W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
0003.86%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Melbourne Victory (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
0003.86%

Melbourne City (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
0003.86%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Melbourne Victory's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.371.194.63%
01-02-25Perth Glory60 - 2Melbourne Victory71.50.17W
18-01-25Adelaide United63 - 2Melbourne Victory71.50.16W
03-11-24Melbourne Victory72 - 1Macarthur81.50.19W
26-10-24Melbourne City61 - 3Melbourne Victory71.50.26W
20-04-24Melbourne Victory70 - 0Brisbane Roar61.5-1L
03-02-24Newcastle Jets61 - 1Melbourne Victory71.50.19W
29-10-23Melbourne Victory75 - 3Newcastle Jets61.50.19W
23-04-23Melbourne Victory72 - 1Macarthur81.50.21W

Melbourne City's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.71.22-8.75%
25-01-25Macarthur41 - 0Melbourne City61.5-1L
18-01-25Auckland63 - 0Melbourne City61.50.3W
26-10-24Melbourne City61 - 3Melbourne Victory71.50.26W
24-02-24Sydney61 - 1Melbourne City61.50.15W
17-02-24Melbourne City60 - 0Melbourne Victory61.5-1L
19-05-23Melbourne City64 - 0Sydney61.50.24W
22-04-23Western United51 - 3Melbourne City61.50.2W
19-03-23Macarthur71 - 1Melbourne City61.50.15W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Melbourne Victory's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-2.341.24-39%
25-02-24Melbourne Victory40 - 1Central Coast Mariners61.5-1L
20-02-24Melbourne Victory2(A)2 - 1Western United31.50.17W
17-02-24Melbourne City60 - 0Melbourne Victory61.5-1L
26-02-23Melbourne Victory71 - 1Adelaide United61.50.21W
18-02-23Melbourne Victory53 - 2Melbourne City61.50.28W
19-02-22Melbourne Victory2(A)1 - 0Central Coast Mariners51.5-1L

Melbourne City's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
70.271.213.86%
24-02-24Sydney61 - 1Melbourne City61.50.15W
17-02-24Melbourne City60 - 0Melbourne Victory61.5-1L
25-02-23Melbourne City63 - 2Sydney61.50.2W
18-02-23Melbourne Victory53 - 2Melbourne City61.50.28W
26-02-22Sydney2(A)1 - 2Melbourne City31.50.29W
22-02-22Melbourne City33 - 2Central Coast Mariners2(A)1.50.18W
18-02-22Melbourne City23 - 0Newcastle Jets51.50.17W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

A-League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
3.083.083.122.97

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025A-League1093.08
2023/2024A-League1663.30
2022/2023A-League1633.07
2021/2022A-League1632.88

A-League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
81.09%1.2378.9%1.2779%1.2776.67%1.3

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025A-League10978.9% 1.27
2023/2024A-League16681.93% 1.22
2022/2023A-League16381.6% 1.23
2021/2022A-League16379.75% 1.25
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

A-League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.311.351.331.33

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025A-League1091.35
2023/2024A-League1661.38
2022/2023A-League1631.38
2021/2022A-League1631.17

A-League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.771.731.631.79

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025A-League1091.73
2023/2024A-League1661.92
2022/2023A-League1631.69
2021/2022A-League1631.71
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
21-0.651.21-3.1%

Last 2 seasons - 3 vs 4 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.761.2-38%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Melbourne Victory matches against table positions: 3,4,5

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.081.18-1.33%
24-01-257Melbourne Victory52 - 05Sydney51.50.13W
21-12-243Melbourne Victory121 - 14Melbourne City51.50.24W
10-02-243Melbourne Victory60 - 14Macarthur51.5-1L
10-11-232Melbourne Victory51 - 13Wellington Phoenix51.50.17W
04-11-234Melbourne Victory51 - 13Adelaide United51.50.15W
19-03-2312Melbourne Victory52 - 04Central Coast Mariners71.50.23W

Melbourne City matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-0.071.22-1.4%
07-02-252Adelaide United51 - 07Melbourne City121.5-1L
21-12-243Melbourne Victory121 - 14Melbourne City51.50.24W
06-04-243Melbourne Victory52 - 17Melbourne City31.50.26W
02-04-242Central Coast Mariners2(A)2 - 17Melbourne City21.50.25W
15-04-233Central Coast Mariners71 - 11Melbourne City41.50.18W
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