Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)
AUSTRALIA - A-League
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2025-02-22
08:35:00
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Melbourne Victory7
Melbourne City6
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Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25
Injuries & Suspensions
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
No absences...
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J. Jeggo
Achilles Strain
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App: 4 (3), G: 0
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S. Ugarković
Hamstring
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App: 16 (16), G: 3
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S. Souprayen
Muscle Injury
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App: 15 (14), G: 1
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Y. Cohen
MCL Knee Injury
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App: 9 (8), G: 4
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A. Nabbout
ACL Knee Injury
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App: 3 (3), G: 2
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#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Auckland16113226121436WWWDW
2Adelaide United169433427731LWLDW
3Melbourne Victory178452520528WLWWL
4Melbourne City168352215727WLLLW
5Western United177553026426LDDWW
6Sydney177463930925DWLLD
7Macarthur187473326725LDLWL
8Western Sydney Wanderers177463531425WDWLL
9Newcastle Jets176382627-121WWWDD
10Central Coast Mariners174942027-721DDDDW
11Wellington Phoenix165471619-319LDDWD
12Perth Glory1824121241-2910LDLDL
13Brisbane Roar1613121835-176LDLWL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)
Melbourne Victory's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.671.24-26.7%
Melbourne Victory's home matches when WIN odds between 2.1 and 2.4
24-01-25
Melbourne Victory52 - 0 (1)Sydney51.50.13W
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12-05-24
Melbourne Victory60 - 0 (0)Wellington Phoenix141.5-1L
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26-01-24
Melbourne Victory61 - 1 (0)Sydney61.50.21W
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16-12-23
Melbourne Victory53 - 0 (0)Sydney61.50.19W
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29-04-23
Melbourne Victory50 - 1 (0)Brisbane Roar41.5-1L
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26-02-23
Melbourne Victory71 - 1 (2)Adelaide United61.50.21W
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03-02-23
Melbourne Victory73 - 1 (1)Wellington Phoenix51.50.28W
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15-10-22
Melbourne Victory60 - 1 (0)Western Sydney Wanderers51.5-1L
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23-03-22
Melbourne Victory31 - 1 (1)Western United31.50.31W
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19-02-22
Melbourne Victory2(A)1 - 0 (1)Central Coast Mariners51.5-1L
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Melbourne City's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.71.24-35%
Melbourne City's away matches when WIN odds between 3.1 and 3.6
07-02-25
Adelaide United51 - 0 (0)Melbourne City121.5-1L
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18-01-25
Auckland63 - 0 (0)Melbourne City61.50.3W
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MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES
Melbourne Victory's home matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.631.19-6.3%
Melbourne Victory's last 10 home matches
14-02-25
Melbourne Victory51 - 0 (0)Wellington Phoenix71.5-1L
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24-01-25
Melbourne Victory52 - 0 (1)Sydney51.50.13W
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10-01-25
Melbourne Victory53 - 4 (3)Western United2(A)1.50.18W
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04-01-25
Melbourne Victory2(A)2 - 2 (2)Western Sydney Wanderers21.50.15W
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21-12-24
Melbourne Victory121 - 1 (0)Melbourne City51.50.24W
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08-12-24
Melbourne Victory62 - 0 (0)Perth Glory81.50.13W
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09-11-24
Melbourne Victory52 - 0 (1)Brisbane Roar71.50.18W
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03-11-24
Melbourne Victory72 - 1 (0)Macarthur81.50.19W
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12-05-24
Melbourne Victory60 - 0 (0)Wellington Phoenix141.5-1L
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27-04-24
Melbourne Victory63 - 4 (1)Western Sydney Wanderers61.50.17W
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Melbourne City's away matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.631.22-26.3%
Melbourne City's last 10 away matches.
07-02-25
Adelaide United51 - 0 (0)Melbourne City121.5-1L
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25-01-25
Macarthur41 - 0 (0)Melbourne City61.5-1L
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18-01-25
Auckland63 - 0 (0)Melbourne City61.50.3W
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31-12-24
Central Coast Mariners21 - 1 (0)Melbourne City91.50.29W
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21-12-24
Melbourne Victory121 - 1 (0)Melbourne City51.50.24W
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06-12-24
Brisbane Roar51 - 4 (2)Melbourne City51.50.17W
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10-11-24
Perth Glory70 - 5 (2)Melbourne City51.50.22W
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04-11-24
Western United70 - 1 (0)Melbourne City81.5-1L
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19-10-24
Newcastle Jets230 - 1 (0)Melbourne City151.5-1L
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20-04-24
Western Sydney Wanderers61 - 2 (0)Melbourne City51.50.15W
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SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES
Melbourne Victory's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.181.17-3%
Melbourne Victory's all matches - last 6
14-02-25
Melbourne Victory51 - 0 (0)Wellington Phoenix71.5-1L
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08-02-25
Newcastle Jets63 - 0 (3)Melbourne Victory61.50.18W
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01-02-25
Perth Glory60 - 2 (0)Melbourne Victory71.50.17W
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24-01-25
Melbourne Victory52 - 0 (1)Sydney51.50.13W
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18-01-25
Adelaide United63 - 2 (0)Melbourne Victory71.50.16W
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10-01-25
Melbourne Victory53 - 4 (3)Western United2(A)1.50.18W
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Melbourne City's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-3.461.22-57.67%
Melbourne City's all matches - last 6
15-02-25
Melbourne City71 - 0 (0)Perth Glory71.5-1L
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07-02-25
Adelaide United51 - 0 (0)Melbourne City121.5-1L
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25-01-25
Macarthur41 - 0 (0)Melbourne City61.5-1L
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18-01-25
Auckland63 - 0 (0)Melbourne City61.50.3W
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11-01-25
Melbourne City31 - 0 (0)Brisbane Roar31.5-1L
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07-01-25
Melbourne City32 - 0 (0)Western United31.50.24W
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HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS
H2H Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.031.23-17.17%
H2H matches - last 6
21-12-24
Melbourne Victory121 - 1 (0)Melbourne City51.50.24W
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26-10-24
Melbourne City61 - 3 (0)Melbourne Victory71.50.26W
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06-04-24
Melbourne Victory52 - 1 (1)Melbourne City31.50.26W
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17-02-24
Melbourne City60 - 0 (0)Melbourne Victory61.5-1L
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23-12-23
Melbourne City50 - 0 (0)Melbourne Victory61.5-1L
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05-04-23
Melbourne City22 - 1 (1)Melbourne Victory31.50.21W
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#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Auckland16113226121436WWWDW
2Adelaide United169433427731LWLDW
3Melbourne Victory178452520528WLWWL
4Melbourne City168352215727WLLLW
5Western United177553026426LDDWW
6Sydney177463930925DWLLD
7Macarthur187473326725LDLWL
8Western Sydney Wanderers177463531425WDWLL
9Newcastle Jets176382627-121WWWDD
10Central Coast Mariners174942027-721DDDDW
11Wellington Phoenix165471619-319LDDWD
12Perth Glory1824121241-2910LDLDL
13Brisbane Roar1613121835-176LDLWL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)
Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -30%
LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL
Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.50 (2)-0.30 (1.25)0.910.78
A-League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.33 - -0.28 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
12-0.061.21-0.50%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown
Melbourne Victory's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.33 - -0.28 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.161.25-19.33%
24-11-24
-0.28Wellington Phoenix131 - 0 (1)Melbourne Victory141.5-1L
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26-10-24
-0.28Melbourne City61 - 3 (0)Melbourne Victory71.50.26W
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18-10-24
-0.31Central Coast Mariners160 - 0 (0)Melbourne Victory181.5-1L
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14-03-24
-0.29Western United52 - 2 (2)Melbourne Victory41.50.19W
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03-03-24
-0.32Brisbane Roar83 - 2 (1)Melbourne Victory61.50.2W
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29-10-23
-0.30Melbourne Victory75 - 3 (0)Newcastle Jets61.50.19W
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Melbourne City's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.33 - -0.28 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.261.2626.00%
26-10-24
-0.28Melbourne City61 - 3 (0)Melbourne Victory71.50.26W
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ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS
Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
0003.86%
ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)
ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)
Melbourne Victory (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
0003.86%
Melbourne City (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
0003.86%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES
Melbourne Victory's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.371.194.63%
01-02-25
Perth Glory60 - 2Melbourne Victory71.50.17W
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18-01-25
Adelaide United63 - 2Melbourne Victory71.50.16W
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03-11-24
Melbourne Victory72 - 1Macarthur81.50.19W
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26-10-24
Melbourne City61 - 3Melbourne Victory71.50.26W
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20-04-24
Melbourne Victory70 - 0Brisbane Roar61.5-1L
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03-02-24
Newcastle Jets61 - 1Melbourne Victory71.50.19W
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29-10-23
Melbourne Victory75 - 3Newcastle Jets61.50.19W
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23-04-23
Melbourne Victory72 - 1Macarthur81.50.21W
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Melbourne City's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.71.22-8.75%
25-01-25
Macarthur41 - 0Melbourne City61.5-1L
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18-01-25
Auckland63 - 0Melbourne City61.50.3W
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26-10-24
Melbourne City61 - 3Melbourne Victory71.50.26W
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24-02-24
Sydney61 - 1Melbourne City61.50.15W
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17-02-24
Melbourne City60 - 0Melbourne Victory61.5-1L
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19-05-23
Melbourne City64 - 0Sydney61.50.24W
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22-04-23
Western United51 - 3Melbourne City61.50.2W
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19-03-23
Macarthur71 - 1Melbourne City61.50.15W
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HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)
Melbourne Victory's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-2.341.24-39%
25-02-24
Melbourne Victory40 - 1Central Coast Mariners61.5-1L
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20-02-24
Melbourne Victory2(A)2 - 1Western United31.50.17W
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17-02-24
Melbourne City60 - 0Melbourne Victory61.5-1L
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26-02-23
Melbourne Victory71 - 1Adelaide United61.50.21W
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18-02-23
Melbourne Victory53 - 2Melbourne City61.50.28W
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19-02-22
Melbourne Victory2(A)1 - 0Central Coast Mariners51.5-1L
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Melbourne City's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
70.271.213.86%
24-02-24
Sydney61 - 1Melbourne City61.50.15W
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17-02-24
Melbourne City60 - 0Melbourne Victory61.5-1L
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25-02-23
Melbourne City63 - 2Sydney61.50.2W
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18-02-23
Melbourne Victory53 - 2Melbourne City61.50.28W
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26-02-22
Sydney2(A)1 - 2Melbourne City31.50.29W
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22-02-22
Melbourne City33 - 2Central Coast Mariners2(A)1.50.18W
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18-02-22
Melbourne City23 - 0Newcastle Jets51.50.17W
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League Trends By Game Week
Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)
Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)
A-League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
3.083.083.122.97
Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
A-League1093.08
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2023/2024
A-League1663.30
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2022/2023
A-League1633.07
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2021/2022
A-League1632.88
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A-League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
81.09%1.2378.9%1.2779%1.2776.67%1.3
Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
A-League10978.9% 1.27
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2023/2024
A-League16681.93% 1.22
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2022/2023
A-League16381.6% 1.23
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2021/2022
A-League16379.75% 1.25
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Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)
A-League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.311.351.331.33
First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
A-League1091.35
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2023/2024
A-League1661.38
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2022/2023
A-League1631.38
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2021/2022
A-League1631.17
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A-League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.771.731.631.79
Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
A-League1091.73
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2023/2024
A-League1661.92
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2022/2023
A-League1631.69
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2021/2022
A-League1631.71
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League Positions - Stats
Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
21-0.651.21-3.1%
Last 2 seasons - 3 vs 4 in the table
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.761.2-38%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS
Melbourne Victory matches against table positions: 3,4,5
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.081.18-1.33%
24-01-25
7Melbourne Victory52 - 05Sydney51.50.13W
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21-12-24
3Melbourne Victory121 - 14Melbourne City51.50.24W
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10-02-24
3Melbourne Victory60 - 14Macarthur51.5-1L
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10-11-23
2Melbourne Victory51 - 13Wellington Phoenix51.50.17W
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04-11-23
4Melbourne Victory51 - 13Adelaide United51.50.15W
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19-03-23
12Melbourne Victory52 - 04Central Coast Mariners71.50.23W
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Melbourne City matches against table positions: 1,2,3
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-0.071.22-1.4%
07-02-25
2Adelaide United51 - 07Melbourne City121.5-1L
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21-12-24
3Melbourne Victory121 - 14Melbourne City51.50.24W
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06-04-24
3Melbourne Victory52 - 17Melbourne City31.50.26W
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02-04-24
2Central Coast Mariners2(A)2 - 17Melbourne City21.50.25W
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15-04-23
3Central Coast Mariners71 - 11Melbourne City41.50.18W
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