Necaxa vs Guadalajara - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)
MEXICO - Liga MX
2025-01-18
03:05:00
Necaxa5
Guadalajara5
Estadio Victoria (Aguascalientes)
2.773.572.78
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.3
Liga MX Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Cruz Azul17133139122742DDWWW
2Toluca17105238162235WLDWW
3Tigres UANL17104325151034DWWWL
4Pumas UNAM179442113831WWDLD
5Monterrey179442619731WWLDW
6Atlético San Luis179352719830WDWWL
7Tijuana178542425-129WDLDD
8América178362721627LWWWD
9Guadalajara177462415925LWDLW
10Atlas175751723-622DDLDD
11LeĂłn173952123-218LDDWD
12Juárez1752102236-1417WDWLL
13Necaxa173682026-615DDLLL
14Mazatlán172871019-914LDLDW
15Puebla1742111731-1414LLWLL
16Pachuca1734102029-913LLWLD
17Querétaro1733111331-1812WLLLL
18Santos Laguna1724111230-1810LLLDD
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)
Necaxa's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-1.451.27-16.11%
Necaxa's home matches when WIN odds between 2.6 and 2.9
07-11-24Necaxa31 - 1 (1)Atlético San Luis41.50.23W
28-10-24Necaxa41 - 3 (1)Toluca41.50.22W
18-07-24Necaxa40 - 1 (0)Monterrey31.5-1L
01-04-24Necaxa151 - 2 (1)LeĂłn141.50.24W
09-03-24Necaxa63 - 1 (1)Atlético San Luis61.50.31W
05-11-23Necaxa34 - 0 (1)Mazatlán21.50.25W
01-04-23Necaxa130 - 0 (0)Santos Laguna111.5-1L
16-02-23Necaxa43 - 1 (1)Pumas UNAM31.50.3W
04-02-23Necaxa41 - 1 (0)Tijuana61.5W
26-02-22Necaxa60 - 1 (0)LeĂłn21.5-1L
Guadalajara's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.391.4523.17%
Guadalajara's away matches when WIN odds between 2.6 and 2.9
01-11-23Querétaro31 - 2 (0)Guadalajara21.50.29W
29-01-23Juárez51 - 2 (0)Guadalajara61.50.45W
04-09-22Toluca60 - 0 (0)Guadalajara61.5-1L
20-08-22Necaxa2(A)0 - 4 (0)Guadalajara51.50.54W
06-08-22Mazatlán52 - 1 (2)Guadalajara1(A)1.50.53W
15-05-22Atlas1(A)1 - 1 (1)Guadalajara11.50.58W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES
Necaxa's home matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
1001.260%
Necaxa's last 10 home matches
10-11-24Necaxa20 - 0 (0)Atlas21.5-1L
07-11-24Necaxa31 - 1 (1)Atlético San Luis41.50.23W
28-10-24Necaxa41 - 3 (1)Toluca41.50.22W
19-10-24Necaxa131 - 2 (0)Tijuana131.50.23W
22-09-24Necaxa2(A)1 - 1 (1)América31.50.27W
14-09-24Necaxa112 - 0 (0)Pumas UNAM121.50.33W
24-08-24Necaxa1(A)3 - 0 (1)Juárez281.50.24W
18-07-24Necaxa40 - 1 (0)Monterrey31.5-1L
13-07-24Necaxa54 - 1 (2)Puebla71.50.21W
29-04-24Necaxa72 - 5 (3)Monterrey31.50.27W
Guadalajara's away matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-3.371.32-33.7%
Guadalajara's last 10 away matches.
06-11-24Santos Laguna2(A)0 - 2 (1)Guadalajara21.50.26W
26-10-24Puebla2(A)1 - 0 (0)Guadalajara21.5-1L
19-10-24Pachuca130 - 2 (0)Guadalajara121.50.33W
22-09-24Cruz Azul31 - 0 (0)Guadalajara21.5-1L
15-09-24América131 - 0 (0)Guadalajara141.5-1L
25-08-24Tigres UANL31 - 1 (0)Guadalajara41.50.32W
17-07-24Querétaro30 - 2 (1)Guadalajara31.50.39W
13-07-24Tijuana64 - 2 (3)Guadalajara51.50.33W
19-05-24América2(A)1 - 0 (0)Guadalajara21.5-1L
12-05-24Toluca2(A)0 - 0 (0)Guadalajara21.5-1L
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES
Necaxa's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.261.264.33%
Necaxa's all matches - last 6
12-01-25Pumas UNAM72 - 1 (0)Necaxa291.50.29W
10-11-24Necaxa20 - 0 (0)Atlas21.5-1L
07-11-24Necaxa31 - 1 (1)Atlético San Luis41.50.23W
03-11-24Pachuca66 - 2 (2)Necaxa51.50.24W
28-10-24Necaxa41 - 3 (1)Toluca41.50.22W
23-10-24Guadalajara33 - 2 (1)Necaxa31.50.28W
Guadalajara's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-3.291.3-54.83%
Guadalajara's all matches - last 6
12-01-25Guadalajara61 - 0 (0)Santos Laguna291.5-1L
22-11-24Guadalajara121 - 2 (2)Atlas111.50.45W
09-11-24Guadalajara2(A)0 - 1 (1)Atlético San Luis1(A)1.5-1L
06-11-24Santos Laguna2(A)0 - 2 (1)Guadalajara21.50.26W
03-11-24Guadalajara70 - 0 (0)Pumas UNAM61.5-1L
26-10-24Puebla2(A)1 - 0 (0)Guadalajara21.5-1L
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS
H2H Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-1.771.41-29.5%
H2H matches - last 6
23-10-24Guadalajara33 - 2 (1)Necaxa31.50.28W
21-02-24Necaxa31 - 0 (0)Guadalajara31.5-1L
14-07-23Guadalajara42 - 0 (1)Necaxa51.50.41W
08-04-23Guadalajara51 - 0 (0)Necaxa61.5-1L
20-08-22Necaxa2(A)0 - 4 (0)Guadalajara51.50.54W
30-04-22Necaxa60 - 1 (1)Guadalajara51.5-1L
Liga MX Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Cruz Azul17133139122742DDWWW
2Toluca17105238162235WLDWW
3Tigres UANL17104325151034DWWWL
4Pumas UNAM179442113831WWDLD
5Monterrey179442619731WWLDW
6Atlético San Luis179352719830WDWWL
7Tijuana178542425-129WDLDD
8América178362721627LWWWD
9Guadalajara177462415925LWDLW
10Atlas175751723-622DDLDD
11LeĂłn173952123-218LDDWD
12Juárez1752102236-1417WDWLL
13Necaxa173682026-615DDLLL
14Mazatlán172871019-914LDLDW
15Puebla1742111731-1414LLWLL
16Pachuca1734102029-913LLWLD
17Querétaro1733111331-1812WLLLL
18Santos Laguna1724111230-1810LLLDD
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)
Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -19%
LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL
Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.58 (1.72)-0.19 (1.3)0.511.43
Liga MX Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
47-1.761.27-3.74%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown
Necaxa's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-0.591.25-19.67%
01-04-24-0.18Necaxa151 - 2 (1)LeĂłn141.50.24W
24-08-23-0.19América23 - 2 (0)Necaxa21.50.17W
08-04-23-0.19Guadalajara51 - 0 (0)Necaxa61.5-1L
Guadalajara's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.22 - -0.17 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
7-1.661.33-23.71%
31-03-24-0.18Monterrey130 - 2 (1)Guadalajara61.50.29W
31-01-24-0.17Guadalajara33 - 2 (1)Toluca31.50.29W
03-09-23-0.19Guadalajara61 - 2 (0)Monterrey2(A)1.50.37W
04-07-23-0.18LeĂłn281 - 2 (1)Guadalajara41.50.39W
19-05-23-0.21Guadalajara30 - 1 (0)América41.5-1L
15-05-23-0.19Guadalajara2(A)1 - 0 (0)Atlas21.5-1L
08-04-23-0.19Guadalajara51 - 0 (0)Necaxa61.5-1L
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS
Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-8.67%
ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)
ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)
Necaxa (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-8.67%
Guadalajara (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-8.67%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES
Necaxa's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.421.28-5.25%
03-11-24Pachuca66 - 2Necaxa51.50.24W
28-09-24Querétaro60 - 0Necaxa51.5-1L
13-07-24Necaxa54 - 1Puebla71.50.21W
11-11-23Atlas50 - 0Necaxa51.5-1L
02-09-23LeĂłn51 - 1Necaxa51.50.2W
14-07-23Guadalajara42 - 0Necaxa51.50.41W
08-07-23Necaxa51 - 1Tijuana61.50.21W
03-09-22Necaxa53 - 2LeĂłn41.50.31W
Guadalajara's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-3.891.37-48.63%
31-08-24Guadalajara55 - 0Juárez61.50.24W
13-07-24Tijuana64 - 2Guadalajara51.50.33W
13-04-24Pachuca10 - 1Guadalajara51.5-1L
08-04-23Guadalajara51 - 0Necaxa61.5-1L
11-03-23Puebla51 - 0Guadalajara51.5-1L
14-01-23Atlético San Luis60 - 0Guadalajara51.5-1L
20-08-22Necaxa2(A)0 - 4Guadalajara51.50.54W
30-04-22Necaxa60 - 1Guadalajara51.5-1L
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)
Necaxa's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.451.369%
20-01-24Puebla51 - 2Necaxa41.50.25W
15-01-24Necaxa82 - 1Atlas31.50.51W
22-01-23Necaxa41 - 0Cruz Azul71.5-1L
17-01-23LeĂłn72 - 1Necaxa91.50.26W
15-01-22Necaxa60 - 4Monterrey51.50.43W
Guadalajara's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.521.38-8.67%
22-01-24Tigres UANL31 - 0Guadalajara71.5-1L
14-01-24Guadalajara91 - 1Santos Laguna111.50.27W
22-01-23Guadalajara71 - 2Toluca61.50.3W
14-01-23Atlético San Luis60 - 0Guadalajara51.5-1L
22-01-22Guadalajara51 - 1Querétaro61.50.48W
16-01-22Pachuca82 - 1Guadalajara51.50.43W
League Trends By Game Week
Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)
Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)
Liga MX Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.682.672.682.77
Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025Liga MX1772.67
2023/2024Liga MX3382.86
2022/2023Liga MX3402.79
2021/2022Liga MX3292.39
Liga MX Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
75.74%1.3274.58%1.3473%1.3776.67%1.3
Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025Liga MX17774.58% 1.34
2023/2024Liga MX33879.88% 1.25
2022/2023Liga MX34075.29% 1.33
2021/2022Liga MX32972.04% 1.39
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)
Liga MX First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.221.170.871.09
First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025Liga MX1771.17
2023/2024Liga MX3381.24
2022/2023Liga MX3401.32
2021/2022Liga MX3291.09
Liga MX Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.461.501.91.59
Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025Liga MX1771.50
2023/2024Liga MX3381.62
2022/2023Liga MX3401.46
2021/2022Liga MX3291.30
League Positions - Stats
Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
232.061.268.96%
Last 2 seasons - 15 vs 5 in the table
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
1-11.22-100%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS
Necaxa matches against table positions: 4,5,6
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-0.291.24-7.25%
07-11-2414Necaxa31 - 16Atlético San Luis41.50.23W
13-07-2414Necaxa54 - 16Puebla71.50.21W
29-04-249Necaxa72 - 56Monterrey31.50.27W
28-10-2318Necaxa41 - 05Pumas UNAM51.5-1L
Guadalajara matches against table positions: 14,15,16
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-0.71.31-11.67%
26-10-2414Puebla2(A)1 - 07Guadalajara21.5-1L
19-10-2416Pachuca130 - 29Guadalajara121.50.33W
28-04-2415Atlas50 - 17Guadalajara61.5-1L
27-01-2414Tijuana51 - 110Guadalajara41.50.41W
01-11-2316Querétaro31 - 27Guadalajara21.50.29W
27-08-2314Santos Laguna62 - 11Guadalajara31.50.27W