Juárez vs Toluca - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

MEXICO - Liga MX

Juárez Logo

2025-02-22
23:00:00
Toluca Logo
Juárez6
Toluca5

Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez (Ciudad Juárez)
4.084.121.95
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.21
Liga MX Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Cruz Azul17133139122742DDWWW
2Toluca17105238162235WLDWW
3Tigres UANL17104325151034DWWWL
4Pumas UNAM179442113831WWDLD
5Monterrey179442619731WWLDW
6Atlético San Luis179352719830WDWWL
7Tijuana178542425-129WDLDD
8América178362721627LWWWD
9Guadalajara177462415925LWDLW
10Atlas175751723-622DDLDD
11LeĂłn173952123-218LDDWD
12Juárez1752102236-1417WDWLL
13Necaxa173682026-615DDLLL
14Mazatlán172871019-914LDLDW
15Puebla1742111731-1414LLWLL
16Pachuca1734102029-913LLWLD
17Querétaro1733111331-1812WLLLL
18Santos Laguna1724111230-1810LLLDD
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Juárez's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.751.33-7.5%

Juárez's home matches when WIN odds between 3.3 and 4.8

09-02-25Juárez72 - 1 (1)Monterrey2(A)1.50.27W
23-09-24Juárez30 - 1 (1)Tigres UANL41.5-1L
21-07-24Juárez21 - 2 (1)América2(A)1.50.3W
18-07-24Juárez31 - 2 (1)Pumas UNAM31.50.23W
09-03-24Juárez51 - 1 (0)Toluca61.50.23W
20-01-24Juárez50 - 0 (0)Cruz Azul51.5-1L
19-08-23Juárez2(A)1 - 1 (1)Guadalajara21.50.39W
09-07-23Juárez71 - 1 (1)Tigres UANL61.50.35W
10-04-23Juárez81 - 1 (0)Atlas41.50.48W
10-09-22Juárez2(A)0 - 1 (1)Monterrey21.5-1L

Toluca's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
51.021.220.4%

Toluca's away matches when WIN odds between 1.8 and 2.1

20-04-24Atlético San Luis41 - 5 (0)Toluca51.50.18W
09-03-24Juárez51 - 1 (0)Toluca61.50.23W
10-02-24Necaxa63 - 3 (2)Toluca61.50.22W
27-01-24Puebla61 - 1 (0)Toluca61.50.17W
08-04-23Puebla61 - 2 (0)Toluca51.50.22W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Juárez's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.521.26-25.2%

Juárez's last 10 home matches

09-02-25Juárez72 - 1 (1)Monterrey2(A)1.50.27W
30-01-25Juárez41 - 0 (0)Santos Laguna31.5-1L
18-01-25Juárez61 - 0 (0)Cruz Azul51.5-1L
07-11-24Juárez41 - 1 (2)Tijuana41.50.22W
28-10-24Juárez32 - 4 (1)Atlético San Luis71.50.21W
20-10-24Juárez122 - 3 (1)León131.50.25W
23-09-24Juárez30 - 1 (1)Tigres UANL41.5-1L
14-09-24Juárez131 - 0 (0)Mazatlán131.5-1L
21-07-24Juárez21 - 2 (1)América2(A)1.50.3W
18-07-24Juárez31 - 2 (1)Pumas UNAM31.50.23W

Toluca's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.911.219.1%

Toluca's last 10 away matches.

09-02-25LeĂłn2(A)3 - 3 (1)Toluca61.50.21W
30-01-25Pumas UNAM31 - 1 (0)Toluca41.50.21W
25-01-25Mazatlán62 - 1 (1)Toluca51.50.21W
11-01-25Tijuana92 - 4 (2)Toluca61.50.19W
28-11-24América52 - 0 (1)Toluca171.50.26W
07-11-24Tigres UANL42 - 1 (1)Toluca41.50.2W
28-10-24Necaxa41 - 3 (1)Toluca41.50.22W
19-10-24Querétaro130 - 1 (0)Toluca121.5-1L
23-09-24Santos Laguna72 - 0 (0)Toluca41.50.17W
18-09-24Pachuca32 - 2 (1)Toluca31.50.24W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Juárez's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-2.321.24-38.67%

Juárez's all matches - last 6

15-02-25Tijuana41 - 2 (1)Juárez51.50.21W
09-02-25Juárez72 - 1 (1)Monterrey2(A)1.50.27W
01-02-25América24 - 0 (1)Juárez11.50.2W
30-01-25Juárez41 - 0 (0)Santos Laguna31.5-1L
25-01-25León51 - 0 (0)Juárez61.5-1L
18-01-25Juárez61 - 0 (0)Cruz Azul51.5-1L

Toluca's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.071.231.17%

Toluca's all matches - last 6

16-02-25Toluca62 - 1 (1)Guadalajara21.50.25W
09-02-25LeĂłn2(A)3 - 3 (1)Toluca61.50.21W
02-02-25Toluca2(A)1 - 0 (1)Tigres UANL31.5-1L
30-01-25Pumas UNAM31 - 1 (0)Toluca41.50.21W
25-01-25Mazatlán62 - 1 (1)Toluca51.50.21W
19-01-25Toluca71 - 1 (0)Monterrey51.50.19W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.531.2625.5%

H2H matches - last 6

14-07-24Toluca63 - 2 (0)Juárez71.50.17W
09-03-24Juárez51 - 1 (0)Toluca61.50.23W
16-07-23Toluca72 - 4 (2)Juárez61.50.2W
23-04-23Toluca61 - 1 (0)Juárez81.50.22W
09-10-22Toluca63 - 0 (1)Juárez71.50.26W
30-07-22Juárez21 - 1 (2)Toluca2(A)1.50.45W
Liga MX Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Cruz Azul17133139122742DDWWW
2Toluca17105238162235WLDWW
3Tigres UANL17104325151034DWWWL
4Pumas UNAM179442113831WWDLD
5Monterrey179442619731WWLDW
6Atlético San Luis179352719830WDWWL
7Tijuana178542425-129WDLDD
8América178362721627LWWWD
9Guadalajara177462415925LWDLW
10Atlas175751723-622DDLDD
11LeĂłn173952123-218LDDWD
12Juárez1752102236-1417WDWLL
13Necaxa173682026-615DDLLL
14Mazatlán172871019-914LDLDW
15Puebla1742111731-1414LLWLL
16Pachuca1734102029-913LLWLD
17Querétaro1733111331-1812WLLLL
18Santos Laguna1724111230-1810LLLDD
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -21%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.62 (1.61)-0.21 (1.21)0.881.24

Liga MX Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.24 - -0.19 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41-6.961.27-16.98%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Juárez's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.24 - -0.19 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-1.151.27-23.00%
30-01-25-0.23Juárez41 - 0 (0)Santos Laguna31.5-1L
25-01-25-0.21León51 - 0 (0)Juárez61.5-1L
01-07-23-0.21América81 - 2 (2)Juárez11.50.22W
14-04-23-0.23Atlético San Luis42 - 0 (0)Juárez31.50.36W
05-03-23-0.23Monterrey43 - 0 (1)Juárez71.50.27W

Toluca's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.24 - -0.19 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.231.2323.00%
02-04-23-0.22Toluca143 - 2 (2)Tigres UANL131.50.23W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-5.38%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Juárez (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-5.38%

Toluca (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-5.38%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Juárez's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-3.11.26-38.75%
25-01-25León51 - 0Juárez61.5-1L
18-01-25Juárez61 - 0Cruz Azul51.5-1L
11-01-25Mazatlán61 - 1Juárez61.50.24W
31-08-24Guadalajara55 - 0Juárez61.50.24W
27-04-24Juárez61 - 1León61.50.22W
15-04-24Juárez60 - 1Tijuana81.5-1L
08-04-24Atlético San Luis82 - 3Juárez61.50.2W
16-03-24Querétaro51 - 0Juárez61.5-1L

Toluca's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
81.771.2222.13%
25-01-25Mazatlán62 - 1Toluca51.50.21W
20-04-24Atlético San Luis41 - 5Toluca51.50.18W
02-03-24Toluca52 - 1Tigres UANL11.50.26W
08-07-23Cruz Azul50 - 2Toluca51.50.22W
08-04-23Puebla61 - 2Toluca51.50.22W
18-03-23Tijuana43 - 3Toluca51.50.25W
12-03-23Toluca54 - 1Mazatlán71.50.17W
12-02-23Toluca53 - 1Cruz Azul31.50.26W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Juárez's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-2.231.38-44.6%
24-02-24Juárez130 - 3Monterrey41.50.29W
25-02-23Cruz Azul11 - 0Juárez61.5-1L
18-02-23Juárez2(A)0 - 0León21.5-1L
26-02-22Juárez62 - 3Tigres UANL51.50.48W
19-02-22Juárez80 - 0Santos Laguna21.5-1L

Toluca's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.431.24-5.38%
25-02-24Toluca22 - 0Tijuana71.50.18W
22-02-24Toluca2(A)1 - 0Santos Laguna2(A)1.5-1L
19-02-24Monterrey20 - 0Toluca21.5-1L
26-02-23Toluca1(A)2 - 0Atlético San Luis71.50.2W
24-02-23Santos Laguna50 - 5Toluca31.50.15W
20-02-23Pachuca2(A)1 - 2Toluca31.50.22W
25-02-22Querétaro51 - 1Toluca31.50.39W
21-02-22Toluca81 - 4Cruz Azul31.50.43W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Liga MX Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.682.742.783.07

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Liga MX2352.74
2023/2024Liga MX3382.86
2022/2023Liga MX3402.79
2021/2022Liga MX3292.39

Liga MX Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
75.74%1.3275.74%1.3277%1.380%1.25

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Liga MX23575.74% 1.32
2023/2024Liga MX33879.88% 1.25
2022/2023Liga MX34075.29% 1.33
2021/2022Liga MX32972.04% 1.39
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Liga MX First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.221.251.71.23

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Liga MX2351.25
2023/2024Liga MX3381.24
2022/2023Liga MX3401.32
2021/2022Liga MX3291.09

Liga MX Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.461.491.371.55

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2024/2025Liga MX2351.49
2023/2024Liga MX3381.62
2022/2023Liga MX3401.46
2021/2022Liga MX3291.30
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
17-0.661.27-3.88%

Last 2 seasons - 7 vs 8 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.411.2120.5%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Juárez matches against table positions: 7,8,9

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.141.282.8%
18-01-2511Juárez61 - 08Cruz Azul51.5-1L
07-11-2416Juárez41 - 18Tijuana41.50.22W
28-10-2417Juárez32 - 48Atlético San Luis71.50.21W
23-09-233Juárez61 - 28Atlas41.50.44W
23-08-233Juárez34 - 17Pumas UNAM31.50.27W

Toluca matches against table positions: 6,7,8

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-1.351.23-27%
09-05-246Guadalajara101 - 03Toluca101.5-1L
31-03-246Pachuca122 - 34Toluca121.50.2W
10-02-246Necaxa63 - 37Toluca61.50.22W
21-10-238LeĂłn111 - 06Toluca121.5-1L
12-05-237Tigres UANL34 - 14Toluca111.50.23W
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