Juárez vs Toluca - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)
MEXICO - Liga MX
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2025-02-22
23:00:00
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Juárez6
Toluca5
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Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.21
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#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Cruz Azul17133139122742DDWWW
2Toluca17105238162235WLDWW
3Tigres UANL17104325151034DWWWL
4Pumas UNAM179442113831WWDLD
5Monterrey179442619731WWLDW
6Atlético San Luis179352719830WDWWL
7Tijuana178542425-129WDLDD
8América178362721627LWWWD
9Guadalajara177462415925LWDLW
10Atlas175751723-622DDLDD
11LeĂłn173952123-218LDDWD
12Juárez1752102236-1417WDWLL
13Necaxa173682026-615DDLLL
14Mazatlán172871019-914LDLDW
15Puebla1742111731-1414LLWLL
16Pachuca1734102029-913LLWLD
17Querétaro1733111331-1812WLLLL
18Santos Laguna1724111230-1810LLLDD
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)
Juárez's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-0.751.33-7.5%
Juárez's home matches when WIN odds between 3.3 and 4.8
09-02-25
Juárez72 - 1 (1)Monterrey2(A)1.50.27W
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23-09-24
Juárez30 - 1 (1)Tigres UANL41.5-1L
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21-07-24
Juárez21 - 2 (1)América2(A)1.50.3W
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18-07-24
Juárez31 - 2 (1)Pumas UNAM31.50.23W
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09-03-24
Juárez51 - 1 (0)Toluca61.50.23W
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20-01-24
Juárez50 - 0 (0)Cruz Azul51.5-1L
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19-08-23
Juárez2(A)1 - 1 (1)Guadalajara21.50.39W
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09-07-23
Juárez71 - 1 (1)Tigres UANL61.50.35W
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10-04-23
Juárez81 - 1 (0)Atlas41.50.48W
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10-09-22
Juárez2(A)0 - 1 (1)Monterrey21.5-1L
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Toluca's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
51.021.220.4%
Toluca's away matches when WIN odds between 1.8 and 2.1
20-04-24
Atlético San Luis41 - 5 (0)Toluca51.50.18W
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09-03-24
Juárez51 - 1 (0)Toluca61.50.23W
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10-02-24
Necaxa63 - 3 (2)Toluca61.50.22W
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27-01-24
Puebla61 - 1 (0)Toluca61.50.17W
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08-04-23
Puebla61 - 2 (0)Toluca51.50.22W
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MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES
Juárez's home matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.521.26-25.2%
Juárez's last 10 home matches
09-02-25
Juárez72 - 1 (1)Monterrey2(A)1.50.27W
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30-01-25
Juárez41 - 0 (0)Santos Laguna31.5-1L
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18-01-25
Juárez61 - 0 (0)Cruz Azul51.5-1L
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07-11-24
Juárez41 - 1 (2)Tijuana41.50.22W
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28-10-24
Juárez32 - 4 (1)Atlético San Luis71.50.21W
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20-10-24
Juárez122 - 3 (1)León131.50.25W
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23-09-24
Juárez30 - 1 (1)Tigres UANL41.5-1L
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14-09-24
Juárez131 - 0 (0)Mazatlán131.5-1L
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21-07-24
Juárez21 - 2 (1)América2(A)1.50.3W
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18-07-24
Juárez31 - 2 (1)Pumas UNAM31.50.23W
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Toluca's away matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.911.219.1%
Toluca's last 10 away matches.
09-02-25
LeĂłn2(A)3 - 3 (1)Toluca61.50.21W
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30-01-25
Pumas UNAM31 - 1 (0)Toluca41.50.21W
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25-01-25
Mazatlán62 - 1 (1)Toluca51.50.21W
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11-01-25
Tijuana92 - 4 (2)Toluca61.50.19W
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28-11-24
América52 - 0 (1)Toluca171.50.26W
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07-11-24
Tigres UANL42 - 1 (1)Toluca41.50.2W
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28-10-24
Necaxa41 - 3 (1)Toluca41.50.22W
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19-10-24
Querétaro130 - 1 (0)Toluca121.5-1L
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23-09-24
Santos Laguna72 - 0 (0)Toluca41.50.17W
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18-09-24
Pachuca32 - 2 (1)Toluca31.50.24W
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SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES
Juárez's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-2.321.24-38.67%
Juárez's all matches - last 6
15-02-25
Tijuana41 - 2 (1)Juárez51.50.21W
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09-02-25
Juárez72 - 1 (1)Monterrey2(A)1.50.27W
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01-02-25
América24 - 0 (1)Juárez11.50.2W
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30-01-25
Juárez41 - 0 (0)Santos Laguna31.5-1L
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25-01-25
León51 - 0 (0)Juárez61.5-1L
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18-01-25
Juárez61 - 0 (0)Cruz Azul51.5-1L
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Toluca's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.071.231.17%
Toluca's all matches - last 6
16-02-25
Toluca62 - 1 (1)Guadalajara21.50.25W
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09-02-25
LeĂłn2(A)3 - 3 (1)Toluca61.50.21W
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02-02-25
Toluca2(A)1 - 0 (1)Tigres UANL31.5-1L
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30-01-25
Pumas UNAM31 - 1 (0)Toluca41.50.21W
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25-01-25
Mazatlán62 - 1 (1)Toluca51.50.21W
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19-01-25
Toluca71 - 1 (0)Monterrey51.50.19W
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HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS
H2H Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
61.531.2625.5%
H2H matches - last 6
14-07-24
Toluca63 - 2 (0)Juárez71.50.17W
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09-03-24
Juárez51 - 1 (0)Toluca61.50.23W
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16-07-23
Toluca72 - 4 (2)Juárez61.50.2W
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23-04-23
Toluca61 - 1 (0)Juárez81.50.22W
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09-10-22
Toluca63 - 0 (1)Juárez71.50.26W
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30-07-22
Juárez21 - 1 (2)Toluca2(A)1.50.45W
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#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Cruz Azul17133139122742DDWWW
2Toluca17105238162235WLDWW
3Tigres UANL17104325151034DWWWL
4Pumas UNAM179442113831WWDLD
5Monterrey179442619731WWLDW
6Atlético San Luis179352719830WDWWL
7Tijuana178542425-129WDLDD
8América178362721627LWWWD
9Guadalajara177462415925LWDLW
10Atlas175751723-622DDLDD
11LeĂłn173952123-218LDDWD
12Juárez1752102236-1417WDWLL
13Necaxa173682026-615DDLLL
14Mazatlán172871019-914LDLDW
15Puebla1742111731-1414LLWLL
16Pachuca1734102029-913LLWLD
17Querétaro1733111331-1812WLLLL
18Santos Laguna1724111230-1810LLLDD
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)
Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -21%
LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL
Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.62 (1.61)-0.21 (1.21)0.881.24
Liga MX Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.24 - -0.19 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
41-6.961.27-16.98%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown
Juárez's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.24 - -0.19 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-1.151.27-23.00%
30-01-25
-0.23Juárez41 - 0 (0)Santos Laguna31.5-1L
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25-01-25
-0.21León51 - 0 (0)Juárez61.5-1L
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01-07-23
-0.21América81 - 2 (2)Juárez11.50.22W
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14-04-23
-0.23Atlético San Luis42 - 0 (0)Juárez31.50.36W
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05-03-23
-0.23Monterrey43 - 0 (1)Juárez71.50.27W
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Toluca's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.24 - -0.19 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.231.2323.00%
02-04-23
-0.22Toluca143 - 2 (2)Tigres UANL131.50.23W
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ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS
Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-5.38%
ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)
ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)
Juárez (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-5.38%
Toluca (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
000-5.38%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES
Juárez's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-3.11.26-38.75%
25-01-25
León51 - 0Juárez61.5-1L
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18-01-25
Juárez61 - 0Cruz Azul51.5-1L
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11-01-25
Mazatlán61 - 1Juárez61.50.24W
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31-08-24
Guadalajara55 - 0Juárez61.50.24W
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27-04-24
Juárez61 - 1León61.50.22W
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15-04-24
Juárez60 - 1Tijuana81.5-1L
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08-04-24
Atlético San Luis82 - 3Juárez61.50.2W
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16-03-24
Querétaro51 - 0Juárez61.5-1L
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Toluca's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
81.771.2222.13%
25-01-25
Mazatlán62 - 1Toluca51.50.21W
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20-04-24
Atlético San Luis41 - 5Toluca51.50.18W
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02-03-24
Toluca52 - 1Tigres UANL11.50.26W
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08-07-23
Cruz Azul50 - 2Toluca51.50.22W
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08-04-23
Puebla61 - 2Toluca51.50.22W
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18-03-23
Tijuana43 - 3Toluca51.50.25W
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12-03-23
Toluca54 - 1Mazatlán71.50.17W
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12-02-23
Toluca53 - 1Cruz Azul31.50.26W
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HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)
Juárez's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-2.231.38-44.6%
24-02-24
Juárez130 - 3Monterrey41.50.29W
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25-02-23
Cruz Azul11 - 0Juárez61.5-1L
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18-02-23
Juárez2(A)0 - 0León21.5-1L
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26-02-22
Juárez62 - 3Tigres UANL51.50.48W
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19-02-22
Juárez80 - 0Santos Laguna21.5-1L
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Toluca's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.431.24-5.38%
25-02-24
Toluca22 - 0Tijuana71.50.18W
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22-02-24
Toluca2(A)1 - 0Santos Laguna2(A)1.5-1L
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19-02-24
Monterrey20 - 0Toluca21.5-1L
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26-02-23
Toluca1(A)2 - 0Atlético San Luis71.50.2W
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24-02-23
Santos Laguna50 - 5Toluca31.50.15W
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20-02-23
Pachuca2(A)1 - 2Toluca31.50.22W
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25-02-22
Querétaro51 - 1Toluca31.50.39W
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21-02-22
Toluca81 - 4Cruz Azul31.50.43W
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League Trends By Game Week
Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)
Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)
Liga MX Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.682.742.783.07
Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
Liga MX2352.74
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2023/2024
Liga MX3382.86
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2022/2023
Liga MX3402.79
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2021/2022
Liga MX3292.39
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Liga MX Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
75.74%1.3275.74%1.3277%1.380%1.25
Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
Liga MX23575.74% 1.32
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2023/2024
Liga MX33879.88% 1.25
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2022/2023
Liga MX34075.29% 1.33
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2021/2022
Liga MX32972.04% 1.39
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Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)
Liga MX First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.221.251.71.23
First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
Liga MX2351.25
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2023/2024
Liga MX3381.24
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2022/2023
Liga MX3401.32
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2021/2022
Liga MX3291.09
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Liga MX Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.461.491.371.55
Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2024/2025
Liga MX2351.49
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2023/2024
Liga MX3381.62
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2022/2023
Liga MX3401.46
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2021/2022
Liga MX3291.30
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League Positions - Stats
Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
17-0.661.27-3.88%
Last 2 seasons - 7 vs 8 in the table
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.411.2120.5%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS
Juárez matches against table positions: 7,8,9
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.141.282.8%
18-01-25
11Juárez61 - 08Cruz Azul51.5-1L
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07-11-24
16Juárez41 - 18Tijuana41.50.22W
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28-10-24
17Juárez32 - 48Atlético San Luis71.50.21W
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23-09-23
3Juárez61 - 28Atlas41.50.44W
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23-08-23
3Juárez34 - 17Pumas UNAM31.50.27W
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Toluca matches against table positions: 6,7,8
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-1.351.23-27%
09-05-24
6Guadalajara101 - 03Toluca101.5-1L
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31-03-24
6Pachuca122 - 34Toluca121.50.2W
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10-02-24
6Necaxa63 - 37Toluca61.50.22W
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21-10-23
8LeĂłn111 - 06Toluca121.5-1L
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12-05-23
7Tigres UANL34 - 14Toluca111.50.23W
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