Värnamo vs Brommapojkarna - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

SWEDEN - Allsvenskan

Värnamo Logo

2025-10-19
15:30:00
Brommapojkarna Logo
Värnamo13
Brommapojkarna13

Finnvedsvallen (Värnamo)
2.753.942.62
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.18
Allsvenskan Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Mjällby26196147173063WWDWW
2Hammarby26164651262552WLWDW
3Malmö FF27129642281445WLWLD
4GAIS26129538251345WDWLW
5AIK2612863427744LDLWW
6IFK Göteborg26142103631544LWLWW
7DjurgĂĄrden26119641261542DWWDW
8Elfsborg26114114040037LLLDL
9Häcken2796123946-733DWWLL
10Sirius2786134449-530DWLLW
11Brommapojkarna2692153841-329LLWLW
12Norrköping2785143851-1329LLLWD
13Halmstad2684142147-2628LWWDL
14Ă–ster2667132537-1225WLDWL
15Degerfors2665152748-2123DWWLD
16Värnamo2636173254-2215WLLLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Värnamo's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.111.292.2%

Värnamo's home matches when WIN odds between 2.6 and 2.9

24-08-25Värnamo2(A)1 - 5 (2)Häcken21.50.17W
13-04-25Värnamo60 - 1 (0)IFK Göteborg71.5-1L
07-07-24Värnamo72 - 0 (0)IFK Göteborg111.50.29W
02-06-24Värnamo51 - 2 (0)Mjällby31.50.39W
08-04-24Värnamo51 - 2 (0)GAIS61.50.26W

Brommapojkarna's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-1.791.19-59.67%

Brommapojkarna's away matches when WIN odds between 2.5 and 2.8

10-08-25Ă–ster61 - 1 (0)Brommapojkarna71.50.21W
07-07-25Norrköping60 - 1 (1)Brommapojkarna71.5-1L
14-07-24Kalmar60 - 1 (0)Brommapojkarna71.5-1L
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Värnamo's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.011.250.1%

Värnamo's last 10 home matches

22-09-25Värnamo71 - 2 (0)Halmstad81.50.24W
24-08-25Värnamo2(A)1 - 5 (2)Häcken21.50.17W
18-08-25Värnamo63 - 2 (1)Degerfors71.50.23W
02-08-25Värnamo52 - 2 (1)GAIS61.50.23W
27-07-25Värnamo52 - 3 (1)Hammarby21.50.21W
13-07-25Värnamo71 - 0 (1)Djurgården61.5-1L
29-06-25Värnamo270 - 0 (0)Elfsborg91.5-1L
24-05-25Värnamo51 - 1 (1)Öster51.50.36W
15-05-25Värnamo42 - 2 (1)Malmö FF31.50.28W
27-04-25Värnamo21 - 3 (0)Norrköping21.50.29W

Brommapojkarna's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.71.21-27%

Brommapojkarna's last 10 away matches.

21-09-25IFK Göteborg50 - 1 (0)Brommapojkarna51.5-1L
15-09-25AIK142 - 1 (1)Brommapojkarna151.50.31W
24-08-25DjurgĂĄrden61 - 0 (0)Brommapojkarna2(A)1.5-1L
10-08-25Ă–ster61 - 1 (0)Brommapojkarna71.50.21W
20-07-25Hammarby63 - 2 (1)Brommapojkarna61.50.17W
07-07-25Norrköping60 - 1 (1)Brommapojkarna71.5-1L
29-06-25Degerfors280 - 3 (0)Brommapojkarna271.50.21W
19-05-25Mjällby31 - 0 (0)Brommapojkarna31.5-1L
15-05-25Elfsborg34 - 3 (2)Brommapojkarna41.50.2W
05-05-25Malmö FF51 - 2 (1)Brommapojkarna101.50.2W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Värnamo's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.031.20.5%

Värnamo's all matches - last 6

05-10-25AIK62 - 3 (1)Värnamo61.50.23W
28-09-25Malmö FF33 - 2 (0)Värnamo51.50.17W
22-09-25Värnamo71 - 2 (0)Halmstad81.50.24W
14-09-25Öster44 - 3 (2)Värnamo141.50.22W
30-08-25IFK Göteborg51 - 0 (0)Värnamo51.5-1L
24-08-25Värnamo2(A)1 - 5 (2)Häcken21.50.17W

Brommapojkarna's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-2.291.23-38.17%

Brommapojkarna's all matches - last 6

05-10-25Brommapojkarna61 - 3 (0)Häcken2(A)1.50.19W
28-09-25Brommapojkarna60 - 1 (0)Mjällby71.5-1L
21-09-25IFK Göteborg50 - 1 (0)Brommapojkarna51.5-1L
15-09-25AIK142 - 1 (1)Brommapojkarna151.50.31W
30-08-25Brommapojkarna53 - 0 (1)Elfsborg51.50.21W
24-08-25DjurgĂĄrden61 - 0 (0)Brommapojkarna2(A)1.5-1L
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-1.221.27-24.4%

H2H matches - last 6

20-04-25Brommapojkarna63 - 2 (2)Värnamo61.50.26W
03-11-24Brommapojkarna70 - 1 (0)Värnamo61.5-1L
12-05-24Värnamo61 - 1 (1)Brommapojkarna71.50.27W
05-08-23Brommapojkarna60 - 2 (1)Värnamo41.50.25W
04-05-23Värnamo40 - 1 (1)Brommapojkarna41.5-1L
Allsvenskan Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Mjällby26196147173063WWDWW
2Hammarby26164651262552WLWDW
3Malmö FF27129642281445WLWLD
4GAIS26129538251345WDWLW
5AIK2612863427744LDLWW
6IFK Göteborg26142103631544LWLWW
7DjurgĂĄrden26119641261542DWWDW
8Elfsborg26114114040037LLLDL
9Häcken2796123946-733DWWLL
10Sirius2786134449-530DWLLW
11Brommapojkarna2692153841-329LLWLW
12Norrköping2785143851-1329LLLWD
13Halmstad2684142147-2628LWWDL
14Ă–ster2667132537-1225WLDWL
15Degerfors2665152748-2123DWWLD
16Värnamo2636173254-2215WLLLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -2%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.83 (1.2)-0.02 (1.18)1.222.02

Allsvenskan Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.05 - 0.01 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
530.731.251.38%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Värnamo's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.05 - 0.01 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
70.721.2810.29%
14-09-25-0.01Öster44 - 3 (2)Värnamo141.50.22W
01-06-250.00Mjällby52 - 0 (1)Värnamo71.50.19W
03-05-25-0.04Halmstad54 - 2 (1)Värnamo51.50.43W
22-09-24-0.02Värnamo62 - 0 (0)Västerås SK71.50.29W
02-06-24-0.01Värnamo51 - 2 (0)Mjällby31.50.39W
01-04-24-0.01Elfsborg92 - 2 (0)Värnamo101.50.2W
04-11-23-0.02Värnamo50 - 0 (0)Hammarby41.5-1L

Brommapojkarna's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.05 - 0.01 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.091.261.80%
10-05-25-0.02Brommapojkarna40 - 1 (0)Halmstad61.5-1L
06-04-25-0.02Brommapojkarna70 - 2 (1)Hammarby61.50.3W
26-10-24-0.02Brommapojkarna41 - 2 (2)Kalmar51.50.22W
29-04-24-0.02Brommapojkarna40 - 3 (1)IFK Göteborg41.50.28W
06-04-24-0.04Brommapojkarna52 - 2 (1)AIK41.50.29W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
57-3.331.29-5.84%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -54 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Värnamo (ELO: 1274) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.81.27-22.5%
24-08-25-75Värnamo2(A)1 - 5Häcken21.50.17W
31-03-25-40Värnamo81 - 2Sirius81.50.32W
31-08-24-63Värnamo50 - 1AIK51.5-1L
04-08-24-32Värnamo72 - 4Sirius71.50.27W
20-07-24-72Värnamo52 - 2Häcken51.50.15W
04-11-23-72Värnamo50 - 0Hammarby41.5-1L
08-10-23-39Värnamo62 - 1Norrköping71.50.29W
10-04-23-71Värnamo70 - 1Mjällby61.5-1L

Brommapojkarna (ELO 1328) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.211.2121%
29-06-25-52Degerfors280 - 3Brommapojkarna271.50.21W
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Värnamo's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.721.29-36%
20-10-24GAIS140 - 0Värnamo131.5-1L
16-09-23Djurgården121 - 2Värnamo131.50.28W

Brommapojkarna's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.141.1414%
15-09-24Sirius143 - 2Brommapojkarna131.50.14W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Värnamo's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.131.292.6%
20-10-24GAIS140 - 0Värnamo131.5-1L
23-10-23Värnamo143 - 1IFK Göteborg151.50.36W
24-10-22Värnamo41 - 1Norrköping41.50.24W
19-10-22GIF Sundsvall31 - 2Värnamo31.50.23W
15-10-22Värnamo51 - 3Kalmar51.50.3W

Brommapojkarna's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.341.1717%
21-10-24Norrköping141 - 1Brommapojkarna151.50.17W
21-10-23Sirius133 - 2Brommapojkarna121.50.17W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

Allsvenskan Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.792.823.023.27

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025Allsvenskan2102.82
2024Allsvenskan2402.83
2023Allsvenskan2402.77
2022Allsvenskan2402.76
2021Allsvenskan1422.71

Allsvenskan Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
77.22%1.376.67%1.379%1.2786.67%1.15

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025Allsvenskan21076.67% 1.3
2024Allsvenskan24077.92% 1.28
2023Allsvenskan24076.25% 1.31
2022Allsvenskan24077.5% 1.29
2021Allsvenskan14271.13% 1.41
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

Allsvenskan First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.241.221.431.33

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025Allsvenskan2101.22
2024Allsvenskan2401.27
2023Allsvenskan2401.23
2022Allsvenskan2401.21
2021Allsvenskan1421.29

Allsvenskan Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.551.601.831.69

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025Allsvenskan2101.60
2024Allsvenskan2401.56
2023Allsvenskan2401.55
2022Allsvenskan2401.55
2021Allsvenskan1421.42
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20-5.091.25-25.45%

Last 2 seasons - 16 vs 11 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.421.2121%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Värnamo matches against table positions: 10,11,12

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.361.296%
24-08-2516Värnamo2(A)1 - 511Häcken21.50.17W
27-04-2516Värnamo21 - 312Norrköping21.50.29W
13-04-2514Värnamo60 - 112IFK Göteborg71.5-1L
27-10-2413Värnamo61 - 212Norrköping51.50.36W
04-08-2413Värnamo72 - 410Sirius71.50.27W
12-05-2414Värnamo61 - 112Brommapojkarna71.50.27W

Brommapojkarna matches against table positions: 14,15,16

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-0.121.22-2.4%
10-08-2515Ă–ster61 - 110Brommapojkarna71.50.21W
21-10-2414Norrköping141 - 110Brommapojkarna151.50.17W
14-07-2414Kalmar60 - 112Brommapojkarna71.5-1L
26-05-2416Västerås SK51 - 110Brommapojkarna61.50.23W
12-05-2414Värnamo61 - 112Brommapojkarna71.50.27W
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