Värnamo vs Brommapojkarna - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)
SWEDEN - Allsvenskan



2025-10-19
15:30:00

Värnamo13
Brommapojkarna13



Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.18

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Mjällby26196147173063WWDWW
2Hammarby26164651262552WLWDW
3Malmö FF27129642281445WLWLD
4GAIS26129538251345WDWLW
5AIK2612863427744LDLWW
6IFK Göteborg26142103631544LWLWW
7DjurgĂĄrden26119641261542DWWDW
8Elfsborg26114114040037LLLDL
9Häcken2796123946-733DWWLL
10Sirius2786134449-530DWLLW
11Brommapojkarna2692153841-329LLWLW
12Norrköping2785143851-1329LLLWD
13Halmstad2684142147-2628LWWDL
14Ă–ster2667132537-1225WLDWL
15Degerfors2665152748-2123DWWLD
16Värnamo2636173254-2215WLLLL
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)
Värnamo's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.111.292.2%
Värnamo's home matches when WIN odds between 2.6 and 2.9
24-08-25
Värnamo2(A)1 - 5 (2)Häcken21.50.17W


13-04-25
Värnamo60 - 1 (0)IFK Göteborg71.5-1L


07-07-24
Värnamo72 - 0 (0)IFK Göteborg111.50.29W


02-06-24
Värnamo51 - 2 (0)Mjällby31.50.39W


08-04-24
Värnamo51 - 2 (0)GAIS61.50.26W


Brommapojkarna's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
3-1.791.19-59.67%
Brommapojkarna's away matches when WIN odds between 2.5 and 2.8
10-08-25
Ă–ster61 - 1 (0)Brommapojkarna71.50.21W


07-07-25
Norrköping60 - 1 (1)Brommapojkarna71.5-1L


14-07-24
Kalmar60 - 1 (0)Brommapojkarna71.5-1L


MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES
Värnamo's home matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.011.250.1%
Värnamo's last 10 home matches
22-09-25
Värnamo71 - 2 (0)Halmstad81.50.24W


24-08-25
Värnamo2(A)1 - 5 (2)Häcken21.50.17W


18-08-25
Värnamo63 - 2 (1)Degerfors71.50.23W


02-08-25
Värnamo52 - 2 (1)GAIS61.50.23W


27-07-25
Värnamo52 - 3 (1)Hammarby21.50.21W


13-07-25
Värnamo71 - 0 (1)Djurgården61.5-1L


29-06-25
Värnamo270 - 0 (0)Elfsborg91.5-1L


24-05-25
Värnamo51 - 1 (1)Öster51.50.36W


15-05-25
Värnamo42 - 2 (1)Malmö FF31.50.28W


27-04-25
Värnamo21 - 3 (0)Norrköping21.50.29W


Brommapojkarna's away matches (last 10 all matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-2.71.21-27%
Brommapojkarna's last 10 away matches.
21-09-25
IFK Göteborg50 - 1 (0)Brommapojkarna51.5-1L


15-09-25
AIK142 - 1 (1)Brommapojkarna151.50.31W


24-08-25
DjurgĂĄrden61 - 0 (0)Brommapojkarna2(A)1.5-1L


10-08-25
Ă–ster61 - 1 (0)Brommapojkarna71.50.21W


20-07-25
Hammarby63 - 2 (1)Brommapojkarna61.50.17W


07-07-25
Norrköping60 - 1 (1)Brommapojkarna71.5-1L


29-06-25
Degerfors280 - 3 (0)Brommapojkarna271.50.21W


19-05-25
Mjällby31 - 0 (0)Brommapojkarna31.5-1L


15-05-25
Elfsborg34 - 3 (2)Brommapojkarna41.50.2W


05-05-25
Malmö FF51 - 2 (1)Brommapojkarna101.50.2W


SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES
Värnamo's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.031.20.5%
Värnamo's all matches - last 6
05-10-25
AIK62 - 3 (1)Värnamo61.50.23W


28-09-25
Malmö FF33 - 2 (0)Värnamo51.50.17W


22-09-25
Värnamo71 - 2 (0)Halmstad81.50.24W


14-09-25
Öster44 - 3 (2)Värnamo141.50.22W


30-08-25
IFK Göteborg51 - 0 (0)Värnamo51.5-1L


24-08-25
Värnamo2(A)1 - 5 (2)Häcken21.50.17W


Brommapojkarna's all matches (last 6 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
6-2.291.23-38.17%
Brommapojkarna's all matches - last 6
05-10-25
Brommapojkarna61 - 3 (0)Häcken2(A)1.50.19W


28-09-25
Brommapojkarna60 - 1 (0)Mjällby71.5-1L


21-09-25
IFK Göteborg50 - 1 (0)Brommapojkarna51.5-1L


15-09-25
AIK142 - 1 (1)Brommapojkarna151.50.31W


30-08-25
Brommapojkarna53 - 0 (1)Elfsborg51.50.21W


24-08-25
DjurgĂĄrden61 - 0 (0)Brommapojkarna2(A)1.5-1L


HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS
H2H Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-1.221.27-24.4%
H2H matches - last 6
20-04-25
Brommapojkarna63 - 2 (2)Värnamo61.50.26W


03-11-24
Brommapojkarna70 - 1 (0)Värnamo61.5-1L


12-05-24
Värnamo61 - 1 (1)Brommapojkarna71.50.27W


05-08-23
Brommapojkarna60 - 2 (1)Värnamo41.50.25W


04-05-23
Värnamo40 - 1 (1)Brommapojkarna41.5-1L



#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Mjällby26196147173063WWDWW
2Hammarby26164651262552WLWDW
3Malmö FF27129642281445WLWLD
4GAIS26129538251345WDWLW
5AIK2612863427744LDLWW
6IFK Göteborg26142103631544LWLWW
7DjurgĂĄrden26119641261542DWWDW
8Elfsborg26114114040037LLLDL
9Häcken2796123946-733DWWLL
10Sirius2786134449-530DWLLW
11Brommapojkarna2692153841-329LLWLW
12Norrköping2785143851-1329LLLWD
13Halmstad2684142147-2628LWWDL
14Ă–ster2667132537-1225WLDWL
15Degerfors2665152748-2123DWWLD
16Värnamo2636173254-2215WLLLL
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)
Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: -2%
LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL
Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.83 (1.2)-0.02 (1.18)1.222.02
Allsvenskan Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.05 - 0.01 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
530.731.251.38%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown
Värnamo's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.05 - 0.01 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
70.721.2810.29%
14-09-25
-0.01Öster44 - 3 (2)Värnamo141.50.22W


01-06-25
0.00Mjällby52 - 0 (1)Värnamo71.50.19W


03-05-25
-0.04Halmstad54 - 2 (1)Värnamo51.50.43W


22-09-24
-0.02Värnamo62 - 0 (0)Västerås SK71.50.29W


02-06-24
-0.01Värnamo51 - 2 (0)Mjällby31.50.39W


01-04-24
-0.01Elfsborg92 - 2 (0)Värnamo101.50.2W


04-11-23
-0.02Värnamo50 - 0 (0)Hammarby41.5-1L


Brommapojkarna's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (-0.05 - 0.01 )
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.091.261.80%
10-05-25
-0.02Brommapojkarna40 - 1 (0)Halmstad61.5-1L


06-04-25
-0.02Brommapojkarna70 - 2 (1)Hammarby61.50.3W


26-10-24
-0.02Brommapojkarna41 - 2 (2)Kalmar51.50.22W


29-04-24
-0.02Brommapojkarna40 - 3 (1)IFK Göteborg41.50.28W


06-04-24
-0.04Brommapojkarna52 - 2 (1)AIK41.50.29W


ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS
Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
57-3.331.29-5.84%
ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)
ELO ratings difference for this fixture: -54 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)
Värnamo (ELO: 1274) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-1.81.27-22.5%
24-08-25
-75Värnamo2(A)1 - 5Häcken21.50.17W


31-03-25
-40Värnamo81 - 2Sirius81.50.32W


31-08-24
-63Värnamo50 - 1AIK51.5-1L


04-08-24
-32Värnamo72 - 4Sirius71.50.27W


20-07-24
-72Värnamo52 - 2Häcken51.50.15W


04-11-23
-72Värnamo50 - 0Hammarby41.5-1L


08-10-23
-39Värnamo62 - 1Norrköping71.50.29W


10-04-23
-71Värnamo70 - 1Mjällby61.5-1L


Brommapojkarna (ELO 1328) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.211.2121%
29-06-25
-52Degerfors280 - 3Brommapojkarna271.50.21W


SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES
Värnamo's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
2-0.721.29-36%
20-10-24
GAIS140 - 0Värnamo131.5-1L


16-09-23
Djurgården121 - 2Värnamo131.50.28W


Brommapojkarna's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.141.1414%
15-09-24
Sirius143 - 2Brommapojkarna131.50.14W


HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)
Värnamo's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
50.131.292.6%
20-10-24
GAIS140 - 0Värnamo131.5-1L


23-10-23
Värnamo143 - 1IFK Göteborg151.50.36W


24-10-22
Värnamo41 - 1Norrköping41.50.24W


19-10-22
GIF Sundsvall31 - 2Värnamo31.50.23W


15-10-22
Värnamo51 - 3Kalmar51.50.3W


Brommapojkarna's all matches (last 8 matches)
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.341.1717%
21-10-24
Norrköping141 - 1Brommapojkarna151.50.17W


21-10-23
Sirius133 - 2Brommapojkarna121.50.17W


League Trends By Game Week
Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)
Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)
Allsvenskan Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.792.823.023.27
Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025
Allsvenskan2102.82


2024
Allsvenskan2402.83


2023
Allsvenskan2402.77


2022
Allsvenskan2402.76


2021
Allsvenskan1422.71


Allsvenskan Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
77.22%1.376.67%1.379%1.2786.67%1.15
Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025
Allsvenskan21076.67% 1.3


2024
Allsvenskan24077.92% 1.28


2023
Allsvenskan24076.25% 1.31


2022
Allsvenskan24077.5% 1.29


2021
Allsvenskan14271.13% 1.41


Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)
Allsvenskan First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.241.221.431.33
First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025
Allsvenskan2101.22


2024
Allsvenskan2401.27


2023
Allsvenskan2401.23


2022
Allsvenskan2401.21


2021
Allsvenskan1421.29


Allsvenskan Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary
3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.551.601.831.69
Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown
2025
Allsvenskan2101.60


2024
Allsvenskan2401.56


2023
Allsvenskan2401.55


2022
Allsvenskan2401.55


2021
Allsvenskan1421.42


League Positions - Stats
Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20-5.091.25-25.45%
Last 2 seasons - 16 vs 11 in the table
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
20.421.2121%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS
Värnamo matches against table positions: 10,11,12
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.361.296%
24-08-25
16Värnamo2(A)1 - 511Häcken21.50.17W


27-04-25
16Värnamo21 - 312Norrköping21.50.29W


13-04-25
14Värnamo60 - 112IFK Göteborg71.5-1L


27-10-24
13Värnamo61 - 212Norrköping51.50.36W


04-08-24
13Värnamo72 - 410Sirius71.50.27W


12-05-24
14Värnamo61 - 112Brommapojkarna71.50.27W


Brommapojkarna matches against table positions: 14,15,16
No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
5-0.121.22-2.4%
10-08-25
15Ă–ster61 - 110Brommapojkarna71.50.21W


21-10-24
14Norrköping141 - 110Brommapojkarna151.50.17W


14-07-24
14Kalmar60 - 112Brommapojkarna71.5-1L


26-05-24
16Västerås SK51 - 110Brommapojkarna61.50.23W


12-05-24
14Värnamo61 - 112Brommapojkarna71.50.27W

