Cerezo Osaka vs Shonan Bellmare - Over 1.5 Goals (PRO Data Analysis)

JAPAN - J-League

Cerezo Osaka Logo

2025-02-22
06:00:00
Shonan Bellmare Logo
Cerezo Osaka6
Shonan Bellmare6

KINCHO Stadium (Osaka)
2.133.853.69
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28
J-League Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Kawasaki Frontale11004043W
2Cerezo Osaka11005233W
3Fagiano Okayama11002023W
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima11002113W
5FC Tokyo11001013W
6Shonan Bellmare11001013W
7Kashiwa Reysol11001013W
8Shimizu S-Pulse11001013W
9Albirex Niigata10101101D
10Yokohama F. Marinos10101101D
11Urawa Reds10100001D
12Vissel Kobe10100001D
13Machida Zelvia100112-10L
14Kashima Antlers100101-10L
15Avispa Fukuoka100101-10L
16Tokyo Verdy100101-10L
17Yokohama100101-10L
18Kyoto Sanga100102-20L
19Gamba Osaka100125-30L
20Nagoya Grampus100104-40L
LONG TERM MONEY TRENDS HOME/AWAY (LAST 3 SEASONS)

Cerezo Osaka's home matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.861.358.6%

Cerezo Osaka's home matches when WIN odds between 2 and 2.3

17-08-24Cerezo Osaka53 - 5 (2)Kyoto Sanga41.50.31W
20-07-24Cerezo Osaka51 - 2 (1)Albirex Niigata61.50.31W
30-03-24Cerezo Osaka132 - 0 (1)Shonan Bellmare121.50.35W
28-10-23Cerezo Osaka61 - 0 (0)Gamba Osaka61.5-1L
23-04-23Cerezo Osaka31 - 0 (0)Kashiwa Reysol31.5-1L
09-04-23Cerezo Osaka32 - 3 (0)Consadole Sapporo31.50.29W
12-03-23Cerezo Osaka32 - 1 (1)Sagan Tosu31.50.33W
18-02-23Cerezo Osaka122 - 2 (1)Albirex Niigata251.50.39W
01-10-22Cerezo Osaka51 - 1 (2)Shonan Bellmare131.50.4W
30-07-22Cerezo Osaka132 - 0 (0)Avispa Fukuoka131.50.48W

Shonan Bellmare's away matches long term money trends (last 3 seasons)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.861.368.6%

Shonan Bellmare's away matches when WIN odds between 3.4 and 3.9

06-10-24Tokyo Verdy70 - 2 (0)Shonan Bellmare71.50.36W
14-09-24Albirex Niigata53 - 1 (1)Shonan Bellmare131.50.31W
11-08-24Machida Zelvia30 - 1 (0)Shonan Bellmare31.5-1L
26-06-24Kawasaki Frontale31 - 1 (1)Shonan Bellmare31.50.21W
02-03-24Kyoto Sanga51 - 2 (1)Shonan Bellmare61.50.42W
19-08-23Gamba Osaka62 - 1 (1)Shonan Bellmare61.50.29W
12-08-23Albirex Niigata62 - 2 (1)Shonan Bellmare61.50.39W
23-04-23Nagoya Grampus32 - 2 (1)Shonan Bellmare31.50.44W
12-10-22Vissel Kobe31 - 0 (0)Shonan Bellmare31.5-1L
08-10-22FC Tokyo60 - 2 (2)Shonan Bellmare61.50.44W
MEDIUM TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 10 HOME/AWAY MATCHES

Cerezo Osaka's home matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10-3.271.36-32.7%

Cerezo Osaka's last 10 home matches

30-11-24Cerezo Osaka200 - 2 (0)Kashima Antlers121.50.36W
09-11-24Cerezo Osaka51 - 0 (1)Avispa Fukuoka51.5-1L
19-10-24Cerezo Osaka131 - 2 (1)JĂşbilo Iwata121.50.31W
02-10-24Cerezo Osaka31 - 0 (0)Gamba Osaka31.5-1L
28-09-24Cerezo Osaka50 - 0 (0)Kashiwa Reysol61.5-1L
17-08-24Cerezo Osaka53 - 5 (2)Kyoto Sanga41.50.31W
07-08-24Cerezo Osaka130 - 0 (0)Machida Zelvia61.5-1L
20-07-24Cerezo Osaka51 - 2 (1)Albirex Niigata61.50.31W
30-06-24Cerezo Osaka32 - 1 (1)Nagoya Grampus31.50.44W
26-06-24Cerezo Osaka31 - 0 (0)Sagan Tosu31.5-1L

Shonan Bellmare's away matches (last 10 all matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
100.271.292.7%

Shonan Bellmare's last 10 away matches.

08-12-24Vissel Kobe43 - 0 (0)Shonan Bellmare71.50.23W
03-11-24FC Tokyo150 - 2 (0)Shonan Bellmare141.50.28W
06-10-24Tokyo Verdy70 - 2 (0)Shonan Bellmare71.50.36W
14-09-24Albirex Niigata53 - 1 (1)Shonan Bellmare131.50.31W
31-08-24Sagan Tosu51 - 2 (2)Shonan Bellmare61.50.24W
11-08-24Machida Zelvia30 - 1 (0)Shonan Bellmare31.5-1L
20-07-24Gamba Osaka50 - 1 (1)Shonan Bellmare51.5-1L
06-07-24Urawa Reds52 - 3 (2)Shonan Bellmare51.50.26W
26-06-24Kawasaki Frontale31 - 1 (1)Shonan Bellmare31.50.21W
16-06-24Nagoya Grampus31 - 1 (0)Shonan Bellmare31.50.38W
SHORT TERM MONEY TRENDS - LAST 6 MATCHES

Cerezo Osaka's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.551.359.17%

Cerezo Osaka's all matches - last 6

14-02-25Gamba Osaka122 - 5 (1)Cerezo Osaka51.50.36W
08-12-24FC Tokyo73 - 0 (1)Cerezo Osaka71.50.27W
30-11-24Cerezo Osaka200 - 2 (0)Kashima Antlers121.50.36W
09-11-24Cerezo Osaka51 - 0 (1)Avispa Fukuoka51.5-1L
03-11-24Consadole Sapporo141 - 1 (1)Cerezo Osaka141.50.25W
19-10-24Cerezo Osaka131 - 2 (1)JĂşbilo Iwata121.50.31W

Shonan Bellmare's all matches (last 6 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
60.181.263%

Shonan Bellmare's all matches - last 6

15-02-25Shonan Bellmare61 - 0 (0)Kashima Antlers131.5-1L
08-12-24Vissel Kobe43 - 0 (0)Shonan Bellmare71.50.23W
30-11-24Shonan Bellmare202 - 3 (2)Yokohama F. Marinos21.50.2W
09-11-24Shonan Bellmare51 - 1 (0)Consadole Sapporo51.50.21W
03-11-24FC Tokyo150 - 2 (0)Shonan Bellmare141.50.28W
19-10-24Shonan Bellmare122 - 1 (1)Sanfrecce Hiroshima121.50.26W
HEAD TO HEAD + LEAGUE STANDINGS

H2H Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
62.111.3535.17%

H2H matches - last 6

22-09-24Shonan Bellmare71 - 2 (0)Cerezo Osaka81.50.33W
30-03-24Cerezo Osaka132 - 0 (1)Shonan Bellmare121.50.35W
30-09-23Cerezo Osaka60 - 2 (2)Shonan Bellmare51.50.28W
20-05-23Shonan Bellmare60 - 2 (1)Cerezo Osaka51.50.29W
01-10-22Cerezo Osaka51 - 1 (2)Shonan Bellmare131.50.4W
29-05-22Shonan Bellmare30 - 2 (1)Cerezo Osaka31.50.46W
J-League Standings
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Kawasaki Frontale11004043W
2Cerezo Osaka11005233W
3Fagiano Okayama11002023W
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima11002113W
5FC Tokyo11001013W
6Shonan Bellmare11001013W
7Kashiwa Reysol11001013W
8Shimizu S-Pulse11001013W
9Albirex Niigata10101101D
10Yokohama F. Marinos10101101D
11Urawa Reds10100001D
12Vissel Kobe10100001D
13Machida Zelvia100112-10L
14Kashima Antlers100101-10L
15Avispa Fukuoka100101-10L
16Tokyo Verdy100101-10L
17Yokohama100101-10L
18Kyoto Sanga100102-20L
19Gamba Osaka100125-30L
20Nagoya Grampus100104-40L
POISSON DISTRUBITION & 5% POISSON VALUE BRACKETS (LEAGUE, HOME, AWAY)

Last 6 matches POISSON DISTRIBUTION VALUE parameter for this market is: 5%

LAST 6 MATCHES POISSON DISTRIBUTION MODEL

Poisson Prob. (Eq. odds)Value (Recent Odds)Home xGAway xG
0.83 (1.2)0.05 (1.28)1.261.98

J-League Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.03 - 0.08 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
822.531.283.09%
Home + Away Poisson Value Brackets Breakdown

Cerezo Osaka's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.03 - 0.08 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
91.151.2712.78%
14-02-250.07Gamba Osaka122 - 5 (1)Cerezo Osaka51.50.36W
24-08-240.04Yokohama F. Marinos2(A)4 - 0 (2)Cerezo Osaka51.50.17W
01-06-240.05Kyoto Sanga41 - 1 (0)Cerezo Osaka51.50.36W
03-05-240.03Cerezo Osaka51 - 1 (0)Consadole Sapporo51.50.23W
16-03-240.05Sagan Tosu60 - 2 (0)Cerezo Osaka61.50.33W
02-09-230.06Cerezo Osaka63 - 0 (1)Kawasaki Frontale2(A)1.50.25W
06-08-230.05Cerezo Osaka30 - 1 (0)FC Tokyo31.5-1L
08-07-230.03Sagan Tosu62 - 1 (1)Cerezo Osaka71.50.28W
24-06-230.04Consadole Sapporo51 - 4 (1)Cerezo Osaka51.50.17W

Shonan Bellmare's Profit/Loss figures for the POISSON VALUE bracket (0.03 - 0.08 )

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
101.231.2512.30%
31-08-240.07Sagan Tosu51 - 2 (2)Shonan Bellmare61.50.24W
17-08-240.05Shonan Bellmare51 - 2 (2)Kashiwa Reysol51.50.33W
26-06-240.03Kawasaki Frontale31 - 1 (1)Shonan Bellmare31.50.21W
07-04-240.04Sanfrecce Hiroshima32 - 0 (1)Shonan Bellmare31.50.26W
24-09-230.06Shonan Bellmare70 - 2 (0)Kawasaki Frontale41.50.23W
02-09-230.06Shonan Bellmare2(A)2 - 2 (1)Kashima Antlers61.50.39W
02-07-230.06Yokohama F. Marinos74 - 1 (1)Shonan Bellmare31.50.08W
27-05-230.04Sanfrecce Hiroshima2(A)1 - 0 (1)Shonan Bellmare2(A)1.5-1L
29-04-230.05Vissel Kobe62 - 0 (1)Shonan Bellmare51.50.28W
15-04-230.05Shonan Bellmare51 - 1 (1)Yokohama F. Marinos61.50.21W
ELO RATINGS - LEAGUE TRENDS

Last 3 seasons - SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00048.8%

ELO Ratings Historical Chart (Last 3-4 seasons)

ELO ratings difference for this fixture: 0 - SIMILAR DIFFERENCE (PAST MATCHES OF BOTH TEAMS)

Cerezo Osaka (ELO: 0) home matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00048.8%

Shonan Bellmare (ELO 0) away matches with SIMILAR ELO Difference

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
00048.8%
SAME NUMBER OF REST DAYS IN THE PAST - RECENT MATCHES

Cerezo Osaka's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.231.352.88%
22-06-24JĂşbilo Iwata51 - 1Cerezo Osaka61.50.37W
16-03-24Sagan Tosu60 - 2Cerezo Osaka61.50.33W
09-03-24Cerezo Osaka62 - 1Tokyo Verdy51.50.55W
02-03-24Kashima Antlers71 - 1Cerezo Osaka61.50.45W
28-10-23Cerezo Osaka61 - 0Gamba Osaka61.5-1L
30-09-23Cerezo Osaka60 - 2Shonan Bellmare51.50.28W
23-09-23Vissel Kobe61 - 0Cerezo Osaka61.5-1L
02-09-23Cerezo Osaka63 - 0Kawasaki Frontale2(A)1.50.25W

Shonan Bellmare's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
80.151.351.88%
15-02-25Shonan Bellmare61 - 0Kashima Antlers131.5-1L
31-08-24Sagan Tosu51 - 2Shonan Bellmare61.50.24W
01-06-24Shonan Bellmare61 - 2Gamba Osaka51.50.35W
20-04-24Shonan Bellmare60 - 1Vissel Kobe2(A)1.5-1L
09-03-24Avispa Fukuoka71 - 1Shonan Bellmare61.50.62W
02-03-24Kyoto Sanga51 - 2Shonan Bellmare61.50.42W
28-10-23Shonan Bellmare61 - 1Vissel Kobe61.50.23W
19-08-23Gamba Osaka62 - 1Shonan Bellmare61.50.29W
HOW DID THEY DO THIS TIME IN LAST YEARS IN THIS COMPETITION (Last 4 Seasons)

Cerezo Osaka's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
52.021.440.4%
24-02-24Cerezo Osaka252 - 2FC Tokyo201.50.4W
25-02-23Avispa Fukuoka62 - 1Cerezo Osaka61.50.61W
18-02-23Cerezo Osaka122 - 2Albirex Niigata251.50.39W
26-02-22Cerezo Osaka2(A)1 - 1Kyoto Sanga21.50.39W
19-02-22Yokohama F. Marinos142 - 2Cerezo Osaka61.50.23W

Shonan Bellmare's all matches (last 8 matches)

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
52.441.4948.8%
24-02-24Shonan Bellmare201 - 2Kawasaki Frontale31.50.28W
24-02-23Shonan Bellmare52 - 2Yokohama51.50.36W
18-02-23Sagan Tosu121 - 5Shonan Bellmare121.50.48W
26-02-22Sagan Tosu21 - 1Shonan Bellmare21.50.71W
19-02-22Shonan Bellmare140 - 2Kashiwa Reysol71.50.61W
League Trends By Game Week

Over 1.5 Goals distribution by rounds (Last 100 rounds)

Leagues Seasons Stats (FT Goals + Over 1.5 Goals)

J-League Full-Time Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
2.582.202.522.63

Full-Time Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025J-League102.20
2024J-League3792.67
2023J-League3062.54
2022J-League3062.52
2021J-League1642.47

J-League Over 1.5 Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
72.32%1.3850%271%1.4163.33%1.58

Over 1.5 Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025J-League1050% 2
2024J-League37974.14% 1.35
2023J-League30671.57% 1.4
2022J-League30671.24% 1.4
2021J-League16467.68% 1.48
Leagues Seasons Stats (1st & 2nd Half Goals)

J-League First-Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.080.701.21.12

First Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025J-League100.70
2024J-League3791.10
2023J-League3061.15
2022J-League3061.00
2021J-League1641.16

J-League Second Half Goals Averages Seasons Summary

3 seasons AVGCurrent season AVGLast 100 matches AVGLast 30 matches AVG
1.491.501.431.4

Second Half Goals Averages seasons breakdown

2025J-League101.50
2024J-League3791.57
2023J-League3061.39
2022J-League3061.52
2021J-League1641.30
League Positions - Stats

Last 2 seasons - Similar League Positions Matches

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
18-1.151.34-6.39%

Last 2 seasons - 2 vs 6 in the table

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
10.221.2222%
Teams VS similar league position +/- 1 position STATS

Cerezo Osaka matches against table positions: 5,6,7

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
4-1.441.32-36%
30-11-247Cerezo Osaka200 - 25Kashima Antlers121.50.36W
02-10-249Cerezo Osaka31 - 05Gamba Osaka31.5-1L
27-04-242Cerezo Osaka52 - 27Yokohama F. Marinos21.50.2W
29-04-237Cerezo Osaka50 - 15Sanfrecce Hiroshima61.5-1L

Shonan Bellmare matches against table positions: 1,2,3

No of matchesProfit/LossAverage OddsROI %
8-0.361.29-4.5%
08-12-241Vissel Kobe43 - 015Shonan Bellmare71.50.23W
11-08-241Machida Zelvia30 - 117Shonan Bellmare31.5-1L
20-07-242Gamba Osaka50 - 118Shonan Bellmare51.5-1L
07-04-242Sanfrecce Hiroshima32 - 018Shonan Bellmare31.50.26W
30-03-243Cerezo Osaka132 - 011Shonan Bellmare121.50.35W
02-07-231Yokohama F. Marinos74 - 118Shonan Bellmare31.50.08W
29-04-231Vissel Kobe62 - 011Shonan Bellmare51.50.28W
23-04-233Nagoya Grampus32 - 211Shonan Bellmare31.50.44W
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